Scout Report Center
NHL top 100 prospects
All 1088 prospects of the 32 teams, ranked by potential, then by probability of becoming an NHLer, then by the WAR we can expect from them from age 21 to 26. It starts from their draft slot, then what they've done since: their output translated into NHL points, at their age, and their first NHL games.
| Rank | Prospect | Team | League | NHLe /82 | Value | Potential | NHL prob. | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael MisaC · 20 yrs · 2025, #2 | AHL2 games | 19 | 7.4 | 80Star | 94 % | 100 | |
| 2 | Gavin McKennaL · 19 yrs · 2026, #1 | NCAA35 games | 46 | 8.2 | 80Star | 94 % | 100 | |
| 3 | Ivar StenbergL · 19 yrs · 2026, #2 | SHL43 games | 39 | 6.9 | 80Star | 94 % | 100 | |
| 4 | Anton FrondellC · 19 yrs · 2025, #3 | SHL43 games | 33 | 6.6 | 75First line or top pair | 93 % | 99 | |
| 5 | Porter MartoneR · 20 yrs · 2025, #6 | NCAA35 games | 45 | 6.4 | 75First line or top pair | 92 % | 99 | |
| 6 | Berkly CattonC · 21 yrs · 2024, #8 | NHL | — | 6.2 | 75First line or top pair | 92 % | 99 | |
| 7 | Ben KindelC · 19 yrs · 2025, #11 | NHL | — | 5.7 | 75First line or top pair | 91 % | 99 | |
| 8 | James HagensC · 20 yrs · 2025, #7 | NCAA40 games | 41 | 5.6 | 75First line or top pair | 90 % | 99 | |
| 9 | Caleb MalhotraC · 18 yrs · 2026, #3 | OHL67 games | 30 | 5.5 | 75First line or top pair | 90 % | 99 | |
| 10 | Jake O'BrienC · 19 yrs · 2025, #8 | OHL53 games | 42 | 5.2 | 75First line or top pair | 88 % | 98 | |
| 11 | Dalibor DvorskyR · 21 yrs · 2023, #10 | AHL6 games | 31 | 5.2 | 75First line or top pair | 88 % | 98 | |
| 12 | Caleb DesnoyersC · 19 yrs · 2025, #4 | QMJHL45 games | 38 | 5.2 | 75First line or top pair | 88 % | 98 | |
| 13 | Konsta HeleniusC · 20 yrs · 2024, #14 | AHL63 games | 38 | 5.1 | 75First line or top pair | 87 % | 98 | |
| 14 | Samuel HonzekL · 22 yrs · 2023, #16 | NHL | — | 4.9 | 75First line or top pair | 85 % | 98 | |
| 15 | Dmitri SimashevD · 22 yrs · 2023, #6 | AHL40 games | 33 | 3.2 | 75First line or top pair | 85 % | 100 | |
| 16 | Carson CarelsD · 18 yrs · 2026, #6 | WHL58 games | 28 | 3.0 | 75First line or top pair | 84 % | 100 | |
| 17 | Daxon RudolphD · 19 yrs · 2026, #4 | WHL68 games | 26 | 3.0 | 75First line or top pair | 84 % | 99 | |
| 18 | Carter YakemchukD · 21 yrs · 2024, #7 | AHL54 games | 28 | 2.7 | 75First line or top pair | 82 % | 99 | |
| 19 | Zayne ParekhD · 21 yrs · 2024, #9 | AHL4 games | 47 | 2.6 | 75First line or top pair | 82 % | 99 | |
| 20 | Tom WillanderD · 22 yrs · 2023, #11 | AHL5 games | 15 | 2.6 | 75First line or top pair | 82 % | 99 | |
| 21 | Zeev BuiumD · 21 yrs · 2024, #12 | NHL | — | 2.6 | 75First line or top pair | 82 % | 98 | |
| 22 | Sam DickinsonD · 20 yrs · 2024, #11 | NHL | — | 2.5 | 75First line or top pair | 81 % | 98 | |
| 23 | Axel Sandin-PellikkaD · 22 yrs · 2023, #17 | AHL6 games | 19 | 2.4 | 75First line or top pair | 78 % | 98 | |
| 24 | Chase ReidD · 19 yrs · 2026, #7 | OHL45 games | 25 | 2.4 | 75First line or top pair | 78 % | 98 | |
| 25 | Cole HutsonD · 20 yrs · 2024, #43 | NCAA35 games | 29 | 2.3 | 75First line or top pair | 78 % | 97 | |
| 26 | Tommy BleylD · 19 yrs · 2026, #31 | QMJHL63 games | 28 | 2.2 | 75First line or top pair | 76 % | 97 | |
| 27 | Alberts SmitsD · 19 yrs · 2026, #5 | Liiga43 games | 11 | 2.3 | 75First line or top pair | 76 % | 97 | |
| 28 | Adam JiricekD · 20 yrs · 2024, #16 | OHL55 games | 25 | 2.1 | 75First line or top pair | 71 % | 96 | |
| 29 | Kashawn AitchesonD · 20 yrs · 2025, #17 | OHL56 games | 30 | 2.1 | 75First line or top pair | 71 % | 96 | |
| 30 | Ryan LinD · 18 yrs · 2026, #21 | WHL53 games | 24 | 2.0 | 75First line or top pair | 68 % | 96 | |
| 31 | Yan KuznetsovD · 25 yrs · 2020, #50 | AHL10 games | 8 | 2.0 | 75First line or top pair | 68 % | 96 | |
| 32 | Owen PickeringD · 23 yrs · 2022, #21 | AHL68 games | 15 | 1.9 | 75First line or top pair | 65 % | 95 | |
| 33 | Daemon HuntD · 24 yrs · 2020, #65 | NHL | — | 1.9 | 75First line or top pair | 64 % | 95 | |
| 34 | Harrison BrunickeD · 20 yrs · 2024, #44 | WHL35 games | 24 | 1.8 | 75First line or top pair | 62 % | 95 | |
| 35 | David ReinbacherD · 22 yrs · 2023, #5 | AHL57 games | 16 | 1.8 | 75First line or top pair | 61 % | 94 | |
| 36 | Keaton VerhoeffD · 18 yrs · 2026, #9 | NCAA36 games | 18 | 1.7 | 75First line or top pair | 60 % | 94 | |
| 37 | Matthew WoodR · 22 yrs · 2023, #15 | AHL5 games | 30 | 4.8 | 70First line or top pair | 84 % | 98 | |
| 38 | Tij IginlaC · 20 yrs · 2024, #6 | WHL48 games | 42 | 4.8 | 70First line or top pair | 84 % | 97 | |
| 39 | Jiri KulichC · 22 yrs · 2022, #28 | NHL | — | 4.8 | 70First line or top pair | 83 % | 97 | |
| 40 | Daniil ButL · 22 yrs · 2023, #12 | AHL41 games | 36 | 4.6 | 70First line or top pair | 81 % | 97 | |
| 41 | Nikita KlepovR · 18 yrs · 2026, #15 | OHL67 games | 34 | 4.5 | 70First line or top pair | 80 % | 97 | |
| 42 | Brady MartinC · 20 yrs · 2025, #5 | OHL24 games | 24 | 4.5 | 70First line or top pair | 80 % | 97 | |
| 43 | Nate DanielsonC · 22 yrs · 2023, #9 | AHL18 games | 31 | 4.4 | 70First line or top pair | 80 % | 97 | |
| 44 | Calum RitchieC · 22 yrs · 2023, #27 | AHL3 games | 38 | 4.2 | 70First line or top pair | 78 % | 96 | |
| 45 | Oliver MooreC · 22 yrs · 2023, #19 | AHL9 games | 38 | 4.1 | 70First line or top pair | 76 % | 96 | |
| 46 | Rutger McGroartyR · 23 yrs · 2022, #14 | AHL30 games | 43 | 4.1 | 70First line or top pair | 76 % | 96 | |
| 47 | Michael Brandsegg-NygårdR · 21 yrs · 2024, #15 | AHL60 games | 28 | 4.1 | 70First line or top pair | 76 % | 96 | |
| 48 | Noah OstlundC · 23 yrs · 2022, #16 | AHL7 games | 54 | 4.1 | 70First line or top pair | 75 % | 96 | |
| 49 | Easton CowanR · 21 yrs · 2023, #28 | AHL4 games | 28 | 4.1 | 70First line or top pair | 75 % | 96 | |
| 50 | Bradly NadeauL · 21 yrs · 2023, #30 | AHL52 games | 41 | 4.0 | 70First line or top pair | 74 % | 95 | |
| 51 | Roman KantserovR · 22 yrs · 2023, #44 | KHL63 games | 49 | 4.0 | 70First line or top pair | 74 % | 95 | |
| 52 | Liam RuckR · 19 yrs · 2026, #22 | WHL68 games | 34 | 4.0 | 70First line or top pair | 74 % | 95 | |
| 53 | Viggo BjörckC · 19 yrs · 2026, #8 | SHL42 games | 18 | 4.0 | 70First line or top pair | 73 % | 95 | |
| 54 | Trevor ConnellyL · 21 yrs · 2024, #19 | AHL46 games | 40 | 4.0 | 70First line or top pair | 73 % | 95 | |
| 55 | Matvei GridinR · 21 yrs · 2024, #28 | AHL37 games | 31 | 4.0 | 70First line or top pair | 73 % | 95 | |
| 56 | Cayden LindstromC · 21 yrs · 2024, #4 | NCAA31 games | 10 | 4.0 | 70First line or top pair | 73 % | 94 | |
| 57 | Gabe PerreaultR · 21 yrs · 2023, #23 | AHL20 games | 32 | 3.9 | 70First line or top pair | 72 % | 94 | |
| 58 | Victor EklundR · 20 yrs · 2025, #16 | SHL52 games | 31 | 3.8 | 70First line or top pair | 72 % | 94 | |
| 59 | JP HurlbertL · 18 yrs · 2026, #23 | WHL68 games | 32 | 3.7 | 70First line or top pair | 70 % | 94 | |
| 60 | Jett LuchankoC · 20 yrs · 2024, #13 | OHL11 games | 37 | 3.7 | 70First line or top pair | 70 % | 94 | |
| 61 | Markus RuckC · 19 yrs · 2026, #39 | WHL68 games | 36 | 3.7 | 70First line or top pair | 69 % | 94 | |
| 62 | Igor ChernyshovL · 21 yrs · 2024, #33 | AHL41 games | 30 | 3.6 | 70First line or top pair | 68 % | 93 | |
| 63 | Theo LindsteinD · 22 yrs · 2023, #29 | AHL59 games | 9 | 1.7 | 70First line or top pair | 59 % | 94 | |
| 64 | Roger McQueenC · 20 yrs · 2025, #10 | NCAA43 games | 22 | 3.0 | 70First line or top pair | 57 % | 90 | |
| 65 | Cameron ReidD · 19 yrs · 2025, #21 | OHL57 games | 23 | 1.7 | 70First line or top pair | 57 % | 94 | |
| 66 | Maddox DagenaisC · 19 yrs · 2026, #16 | QMJHL62 games | 22 | 2.9 | 70First line or top pair | 57 % | 90 | |
| 67 | Jackson SmithD · 19 yrs · 2025, #14 | NCAA35 games | 23 | 1.6 | 70First line or top pair | 57 % | 93 | |
| 68 | Alexander ZharovskyR · 20 yrs · 2025, #34 | KHL59 games | 35 | 2.9 | 70First line or top pair | 55 % | 90 | |
| 69 | Jonas WooD · 20 yrs · 2026, #185 | WHL56 games | 35 | 1.6 | 70First line or top pair | 55 % | 93 | |
| 70 | Hunter BrzustewiczD · 22 yrs · 2023, #75 | AHL34 games | 14 | 1.6 | 70First line or top pair | 55 % | 93 | |
| 71 | Bryce PickfordD · 21 yrs · 2025, #81 | WHL55 games | 34 | 1.6 | 70First line or top pair | 54 % | 93 | |
| 72 | Justin CarbonneauR · 20 yrs · 2025, #19 | QMJHL60 games | 30 | 2.9 | 70First line or top pair | 54 % | 90 | |
| 73 | Tynan LawrenceC · 18 yrs · 2026, #11 | NCAA18 games | 12 | 2.9 | 70First line or top pair | 54 % | 90 | |
| 74 | Elias SalomonssonD · 22 yrs · 2022, #55 | AHL29 games | 12 | 1.6 | 70First line or top pair | 54 % | 92 | |
| 75 | Radim MrtkaD · 19 yrs · 2025, #9 | WHL51 games | 16 | 1.5 | 70First line or top pair | 53 % | 92 | |
| 76 | Brayden YagerC · 22 yrs · 2023, #14 | AHL68 games | 17 | 2.8 | 70First line or top pair | 53 % | 89 | |
| 77 | Matias VanhanenL · 19 yrs · 2026, #37 | WHL62 games | 32 | 2.8 | 70First line or top pair | 52 % | 89 | |
| 78 | Gavin BrindleyC · 22 yrs · 2023, #34 | AHL9 games | 25 | 3.6 | 65Top six or top four | 66 % | 93 | |
| 79 | Otto StenbergC · 21 yrs · 2023, #25 | AHL36 games | 18 | 3.5 | 65Top six or top four | 65 % | 93 | |
| 80 | Carter BearL · 20 yrs · 2025, #13 | WHL53 games | 33 | 3.4 | 65Top six or top four | 63 % | 93 | |
| 81 | Braeden CootesC · 20 yrs · 2025, #15 | WHL17 games | 30 | 3.3 | 65Top six or top four | 61 % | 93 | |
| 82 | Wyatt CullenL · 18 yrs · 2026, #10 | — | — | 3.1 | 65Top six or top four | 59 % | 92 | |
| 83 | Cole BeaudoinC · 20 yrs · 2024, #24 | OHL54 games | 39 | 3.1 | 65Top six or top four | 59 % | 91 | |
| 84 | Luca Del Bel BelluzC · 23 yrs · 2022, #44 | AHL55 games | 40 | 3.1 | 65Top six or top four | 58 % | 92 | |
| 85 | Jack FinleyC · 24 yrs · 2020, #57 | AHL3 games | 38 | 3.1 | 65Top six or top four | 58 % | 91 | |
| 86 | Ethan BelchetzL · 19 yrs · 2026, #17 | OHL57 games | 25 | 3.0 | 65Top six or top four | 58 % | 91 | |
| 87 | Reid SchaeferL · 23 yrs · 2022, #32 | AHL33 games | 32 | 3.0 | 65Top six or top four | 57 % | 91 | |
| 88 | Jack NesbittC · 20 yrs · 2025, #12 | OHL55 games | 25 | 3.0 | 65Top six or top four | 57 % | 91 | |
| 89 | Nick LardisL · 21 yrs · 2023, #67 | AHL35 games | 34 | 3.0 | 65Top six or top four | 57 % | 91 | |
| 90 | Alexander CommandC · 18 yrs · 2026, #12 | SHL6 games | 0 | 2.9 | 65Top six or top four | 56 % | 90 | |
| 91 | Owen BeckC · 23 yrs · 2022, #33 | AHL58 games | 21 | 2.7 | 65Top six or top four | 53 % | 89 | |
| 92 | Jani NymanR · 22 yrs · 2022, #49 | AHL39 games | 32 | 2.8 | 65Top six or top four | 52 % | 89 | |
| 93 | Cole ReschnyC · 19 yrs · 2025, #18 | NCAA36 games | 31 | 2.8 | 65Top six or top four | 52 % | 89 | |
| 94 | Adam NovotnyL · 19 yrs · 2026, #24 | OHL58 games | 27 | 2.8 | 65Top six or top four | 52 % | 89 | |
| 95 | Seamus CaseyD · 23 yrs · 2022, #46 | AHL29 games | 25 | 1.4 | 65Top six or top four | 50 % | 92 | |
| 96 | Xavier VilleneuveD · 19 yrs · 2026, #34 | QMJHL37 games | 23 | 1.4 | 65Top six or top four | 49 % | 91 | |
| 97 | Ethan Del MastroD · 24 yrs · 2021, #105 | AHL45 games | 15 | 1.3 | 65Top six or top four | 45 % | 91 | |
| 98 | Luca CagnoniD · 22 yrs · 2023, #123 | AHL67 games | 24 | 1.3 | 65Top six or top four | 45 % | 91 | |
| 99 | Henry BrzustewiczD · 20 yrs · 2025, #31 | OHL64 games | 20 | 1.3 | 65Top six or top four | 43 % | 91 | |
| 100 | Joshua RavensbergenG · 20 yrs · 2025, #30 | WHL46 games | — | 4.2 | 65Top six or top four | 11 % | 99 |
How we rate them
A prospect is worth his draft slot first: scouts watched him closely. That slot is then corrected, season after season, by what he produces. His points are translated into NHL points with a factor for each league, measured on players who went from that league to the NHL the next season. The younger he is for his league, the more that output counts. For defensemen, points say less; for goalies, nothing: their value stays mostly that of their draft slot, age and NHL games.
The result is expected WAR from age 21 to 26: the same window for everyone, so an 18-year-old compares with a 22-year-old. Potential is the ceiling (what the best 10% of the most similar past prospects produced), on the scouts' 20-80 scale; NHL probability is the share of those prospects who played 200 NHL games. Our WAR only goes back to 2022-23: for older seasons, we use an equivalent from games and points (or save percentage), fitted on 2022-2026.
The test: drafts the model never saw
Fitted on the 2005-2013 drafts, tested on 2014-2019: correlation with the WAR actually produced, and mean error, compared with draft slot alone.
| Position | Model (r) | Slot only (r) | Error, model | Error, slot only |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | 0.68 | 0.59 | 1.40 | 1.54 |
| Defensemen | 0.60 | 0.54 | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| Goalies | 0.42 | 0.42 | 2.30 | 2.30 |
What a draft pick is worth
Expected WAR over the seven seasons after the draft, by slot (2005-2019 drafts, smoothed).
Pick 1
12.3
Pick 3
7.0
Pick 5
4.8
Pick 10
2.7
Pick 15
1.8
Pick 20
1.4
Pick 32
0.9
Pick 48
0.6
Pick 64
0.4
Pick 96
0.3
Pick 128
0.2
Pick 200
0.1
NHL equivalencies (NHLe)
One point in this league is worth this factor in NHL points. Measured on players who moved from that league to the NHL the next season (or to the AHL, then AHL to NHL, for leagues that send few players directly).
