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NHL top 100 prospects

All 1088 prospects of the 32 teams, ranked by potential, then by probability of becoming an NHLer, then by the WAR we can expect from them from age 21 to 26. It starts from their draft slot, then what they've done since: their output translated into NHL points, at their age, and their first NHL games.

RankProspectTeamLeagueNHLe /82ValuePotentialNHL prob.Rating
1Michael MisaC · 20 yrs · 2025, #2SJSAHL2 games197.480Star94 %100
2Gavin McKennaL · 19 yrs · 2026, #1TORNCAA35 games468.280Star94 %100
3Ivar StenbergL · 19 yrs · 2026, #2SJSSHL43 games396.980Star94 %100
4Anton FrondellC · 19 yrs · 2025, #3CHISHL43 games336.675First line or top pair93 %99
5Porter MartoneR · 20 yrs · 2025, #6PHINCAA35 games456.475First line or top pair92 %99
6Berkly CattonC · 21 yrs · 2024, #8SEANHL—6.275First line or top pair92 %99
7Ben KindelC · 19 yrs · 2025, #11PITNHL—5.775First line or top pair91 %99
8James HagensC · 20 yrs · 2025, #7BOSNCAA40 games415.675First line or top pair90 %99
9Caleb MalhotraC · 18 yrs · 2026, #3VANOHL67 games305.575First line or top pair90 %99
10Jake O'BrienC · 19 yrs · 2025, #8SEAOHL53 games425.275First line or top pair88 %98
11Dalibor DvorskyR · 21 yrs · 2023, #10STLAHL6 games315.275First line or top pair88 %98
12Caleb DesnoyersC · 19 yrs · 2025, #4UTAQMJHL45 games385.275First line or top pair88 %98
13Konsta HeleniusC · 20 yrs · 2024, #14BUFAHL63 games385.175First line or top pair87 %98
14Samuel HonzekL · 22 yrs · 2023, #16CGYNHL—4.975First line or top pair85 %98
15Dmitri SimashevD · 22 yrs · 2023, #6UTAAHL40 games333.275First line or top pair85 %100
16Carson CarelsD · 18 yrs · 2026, #6CGYWHL58 games283.075First line or top pair84 %100
17Daxon RudolphD · 19 yrs · 2026, #4BUFWHL68 games263.075First line or top pair84 %99
18Carter YakemchukD · 21 yrs · 2024, #7OTTAHL54 games282.775First line or top pair82 %99
19Zayne ParekhD · 21 yrs · 2024, #9CGYAHL4 games472.675First line or top pair82 %99
20Tom WillanderD · 22 yrs · 2023, #11VANAHL5 games152.675First line or top pair82 %99
21Zeev BuiumD · 21 yrs · 2024, #12MINNHL—2.675First line or top pair82 %98
22Sam DickinsonD · 20 yrs · 2024, #11SJSNHL—2.575First line or top pair81 %98
23Axel Sandin-PellikkaD · 22 yrs · 2023, #17DETAHL6 games192.475First line or top pair78 %98
24Chase ReidD · 19 yrs · 2026, #7SEAOHL45 games252.475First line or top pair78 %98
25Cole HutsonD · 20 yrs · 2024, #43WSHNCAA35 games292.375First line or top pair78 %97
26Tommy BleylD · 19 yrs · 2026, #31NSHQMJHL63 games282.275First line or top pair76 %97
27Alberts SmitsD · 19 yrs · 2026, #5NYRLiiga43 games112.375First line or top pair76 %97
28Adam JiricekD · 20 yrs · 2024, #16STLOHL55 games252.175First line or top pair71 %96
29Kashawn AitchesonD · 20 yrs · 2025, #17NYIOHL56 games302.175First line or top pair71 %96
30Ryan LinD · 18 yrs · 2026, #21SJSWHL53 games242.075First line or top pair68 %96
31Yan KuznetsovD · 25 yrs · 2020, #50CGYAHL10 games82.075First line or top pair68 %96
32Owen PickeringD · 23 yrs · 2022, #21PITAHL68 games151.975First line or top pair65 %95
33Daemon HuntD · 24 yrs · 2020, #65MINNHL—1.975First line or top pair64 %95
34Harrison BrunickeD · 20 yrs · 2024, #44PITWHL35 games241.875First line or top pair62 %95
35David ReinbacherD · 22 yrs · 2023, #5MTLAHL57 games161.875First line or top pair61 %94
36Keaton VerhoeffD · 18 yrs · 2026, #9SJSNCAA36 games181.775First line or top pair60 %94
37Matthew WoodR · 22 yrs · 2023, #15NSHAHL5 games304.870First line or top pair84 %98
38Tij IginlaC · 20 yrs · 2024, #6UTAWHL48 games424.870First line or top pair84 %97
39Jiri KulichC · 22 yrs · 2022, #28BUFNHL—4.870First line or top pair83 %97
40Daniil ButL · 22 yrs · 2023, #12UTAAHL41 games364.670First line or top pair81 %97
41Nikita KlepovR · 18 yrs · 2026, #15ANAOHL67 games344.570First line or top pair80 %97
42Brady MartinC · 20 yrs · 2025, #5NSHOHL24 games244.570First line or top pair80 %97
43Nate DanielsonC · 22 yrs · 2023, #9DETAHL18 games314.470First line or top pair80 %97
44Calum RitchieC · 22 yrs · 2023, #27COLAHL3 games384.270First line or top pair78 %96
45Oliver MooreC · 22 yrs · 2023, #19CHIAHL9 games384.170First line or top pair76 %96
46Rutger McGroartyR · 23 yrs · 2022, #14PITAHL30 games434.170First line or top pair76 %96
47Michael Brandsegg-NygårdR · 21 yrs · 2024, #15DETAHL60 games284.170First line or top pair76 %96
48Noah OstlundC · 23 yrs · 2022, #16BUFAHL7 games544.170First line or top pair75 %96
49Easton CowanR · 21 yrs · 2023, #28TORAHL4 games284.170First line or top pair75 %96
50Bradly NadeauL · 21 yrs · 2023, #30CARAHL52 games414.070First line or top pair74 %95
51Roman KantserovR · 22 yrs · 2023, #44CHIKHL63 games494.070First line or top pair74 %95
52Liam RuckR · 19 yrs · 2026, #22PITWHL68 games344.070First line or top pair74 %95
53Viggo BjörckC · 19 yrs · 2026, #8WPGSHL42 games184.070First line or top pair73 %95
54Trevor ConnellyL · 21 yrs · 2024, #19VGKAHL46 games404.070First line or top pair73 %95
55Matvei GridinR · 21 yrs · 2024, #28CGYAHL37 games314.070First line or top pair73 %95
56Cayden LindstromC · 21 yrs · 2024, #4CBJNCAA31 games104.070First line or top pair73 %94
57Gabe PerreaultR · 21 yrs · 2023, #23NYRAHL20 games323.970First line or top pair72 %94
58Victor EklundR · 20 yrs · 2025, #16NYISHL52 games313.870First line or top pair72 %94
59JP HurlbertL · 18 yrs · 2026, #23DETWHL68 games323.770First line or top pair70 %94
60Jett LuchankoC · 20 yrs · 2024, #13PHIOHL11 games373.770First line or top pair70 %94
61Markus RuckC · 19 yrs · 2026, #39PITWHL68 games363.770First line or top pair69 %94
62Igor ChernyshovL · 21 yrs · 2024, #33SJSAHL41 games303.670First line or top pair68 %93
63Theo LindsteinD · 22 yrs · 2023, #29STLAHL59 games91.770First line or top pair59 %94
64Roger McQueenC · 20 yrs · 2025, #10ANANCAA43 games223.070First line or top pair57 %90
65Cameron ReidD · 19 yrs · 2025, #21NSHOHL57 games231.770First line or top pair57 %94
66Maddox DagenaisC · 19 yrs · 2026, #16STLQMJHL62 games222.970First line or top pair57 %90
67Jackson SmithD · 19 yrs · 2025, #14CBJNCAA35 games231.670First line or top pair57 %93
68Alexander ZharovskyR · 20 yrs · 2025, #34MTLKHL59 games352.970First line or top pair55 %90
69Jonas WooD · 20 yrs · 2026, #185CBJWHL56 games351.670First line or top pair55 %93
70Hunter BrzustewiczD · 22 yrs · 2023, #75VANAHL34 games141.670First line or top pair55 %93
71Bryce PickfordD · 21 yrs · 2025, #81MTLWHL55 games341.670First line or top pair54 %93
72Justin CarbonneauR · 20 yrs · 2025, #19STLQMJHL60 games302.970First line or top pair54 %90
73Tynan LawrenceC · 18 yrs · 2026, #11STLNCAA18 games122.970First line or top pair54 %90
74Elias SalomonssonD · 22 yrs · 2022, #55WPGAHL29 games121.670First line or top pair54 %92
75Radim MrtkaD · 19 yrs · 2025, #9BUFWHL51 games161.570First line or top pair53 %92
76Brayden YagerC · 22 yrs · 2023, #14WPGAHL68 games172.870First line or top pair53 %89
77Matias VanhanenL · 19 yrs · 2026, #37NJDWHL62 games322.870First line or top pair52 %89
78Gavin BrindleyC · 22 yrs · 2023, #34CBJAHL9 games253.665Top six or top four66 %93
79Otto StenbergC · 21 yrs · 2023, #25STLAHL36 games183.565Top six or top four65 %93
80Carter BearL · 20 yrs · 2025, #13DETWHL53 games333.465Top six or top four63 %93
81Braeden CootesC · 20 yrs · 2025, #15VANWHL17 games303.365Top six or top four61 %93
82Wyatt CullenL · 18 yrs · 2026, #10NSH——3.165Top six or top four59 %92
83Cole BeaudoinC · 20 yrs · 2024, #24NYROHL54 games393.165Top six or top four59 %91
84Luca Del Bel BelluzC · 23 yrs · 2022, #44CBJAHL55 games403.165Top six or top four58 %92
85Jack FinleyC · 24 yrs · 2020, #57STLAHL3 games383.165Top six or top four58 %91
86Ethan BelchetzL · 19 yrs · 2026, #17UTAOHL57 games253.065Top six or top four58 %91
87Reid SchaeferL · 23 yrs · 2022, #32NSHAHL33 games323.065Top six or top four57 %91
88Jack NesbittC · 20 yrs · 2025, #12PHIOHL55 games253.065Top six or top four57 %91
89Nick LardisL · 21 yrs · 2023, #67CHIAHL35 games343.065Top six or top four57 %91
90Alexander CommandC · 18 yrs · 2026, #12NJDSHL6 games02.965Top six or top four56 %90
91Owen BeckC · 23 yrs · 2022, #33MTLAHL58 games212.765Top six or top four53 %89
92Jani NymanR · 22 yrs · 2022, #49SEAAHL39 games322.865Top six or top four52 %89
93Cole ReschnyC · 19 yrs · 2025, #18CGYNCAA36 games312.865Top six or top four52 %89
94Adam NovotnyL · 19 yrs · 2026, #24VANOHL58 games272.865Top six or top four52 %89
95Seamus CaseyD · 23 yrs · 2022, #46NJDAHL29 games251.465Top six or top four50 %92
96Xavier VilleneuveD · 19 yrs · 2026, #34CHIQMJHL37 games231.465Top six or top four49 %91
97Ethan Del MastroD · 24 yrs · 2021, #105CHIAHL45 games151.365Top six or top four45 %91
98Luca CagnoniD · 22 yrs · 2023, #123SJSAHL67 games241.365Top six or top four45 %91
99Henry BrzustewiczD · 20 yrs · 2025, #31LAKOHL64 games201.365Top six or top four43 %91
100Joshua RavensbergenG · 20 yrs · 2025, #30SJSWHL46 games—4.265Top six or top four11 %99

How we rate them

A prospect is worth his draft slot first: scouts watched him closely. That slot is then corrected, season after season, by what he produces. His points are translated into NHL points with a factor for each league, measured on players who went from that league to the NHL the next season. The younger he is for his league, the more that output counts. For defensemen, points say less; for goalies, nothing: their value stays mostly that of their draft slot, age and NHL games.

The result is expected WAR from age 21 to 26: the same window for everyone, so an 18-year-old compares with a 22-year-old. Potential is the ceiling (what the best 10% of the most similar past prospects produced), on the scouts' 20-80 scale; NHL probability is the share of those prospects who played 200 NHL games. Our WAR only goes back to 2022-23: for older seasons, we use an equivalent from games and points (or save percentage), fitted on 2022-2026.

The test: drafts the model never saw

Fitted on the 2005-2013 drafts, tested on 2014-2019: correlation with the WAR actually produced, and mean error, compared with draft slot alone.

PositionModel (r)Slot only (r)Error, modelError, slot only
Forwards0.680.591.401.54
Defensemen0.600.540.630.66
Goalies0.420.422.302.30

What a draft pick is worth

Expected WAR over the seven seasons after the draft, by slot (2005-2019 drafts, smoothed).

Pick 1

12.3

Pick 3

7.0

Pick 5

4.8

Pick 10

2.7

Pick 15

1.8

Pick 20

1.4

Pick 32

0.9

Pick 48

0.6

Pick 64

0.4

Pick 96

0.3

Pick 128

0.2

Pick 200

0.1

NHL equivalencies (NHLe)

One point in this league is worth this factor in NHL points. Measured on players who moved from that league to the NHL the next season (or to the AHL, then AHL to NHL, for leagues that send few players directly).

SHL0.63
KHL0.59
AHL0.46
Liiga0.43
NCAA0.39
OHL0.29
WHL0.27
QMJHL0.27
ECHL0.21