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Nick

Lardis

L · CHI · Balanced · Very poor

PAL
17
WAR
0.7
Value
31
PTS
15

2025-26№ 203 / 615

Nick Lardis (Chicago Blackhawks) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.

Nick Lardis

#76LPlays: Left wing · 0% of faceoffsChicago Blackhawks logoChicago Blackhawks

HEIGHT : 180 cm · WEIGHT : 84 kg · SHOOTS : L

Born : July 7, 2005 · Oakville, Canada

Drafted : 2023 · CHI · round 3, pick #67

Contract : $896,667 · 2024-25 → 2027-28 · Entry-Level Contract · RFA · Signing bonus $95,000

NHL record

Year Team GPGAPTSPIM
2026-27Chicago Blackhawks60220
2025-26Chicago Blackhawks411051510
NHL totals471071710

Nick Lardis: our analysis

2025-26 season: 41 GP, 10 G, 5 A, 15 PTS, -18 +/-, 12:40 TOI. WAR 0.7 (203rd of 615) · PAL 17, very poor.

In 2025-26, Nick Lardis, 21, posts a PAL Rating of 17 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of 0.7 ranks 203rd among 615 regulars, in the top half.

His strengths: shooting (74, above average). On the other hand, possession (10, among the weakest in the league) and defense (27, below average) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: finishing (+3.1); his biggest cost: EV defense (-0.5).

Contract-wise, his Value score of 31 (poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.

Nick Lardis's story

Growing up in Oakville, Nick Lardis developed his game in the local Oakville Rangers AAA program, standing out with the U15 squad before the pandemic interrupted his 2020–21 season. His youth was multi‑sport — track and field, golf, basketball, volleyball and lacrosse — factors that helped shape his athletic toolbox on the ice.

Taken sixth overall in the 2021 OHL priority draft by the Peterborough Petes, Lardis moved quickly through junior ranks. As a rookie he appeared in 63 games for Peterborough in 2021–22, producing 18 goals and 37 points. The following season he split time between Peterborough and the Hamilton Bulldogs, turning especially productive in Hamilton with 25 goals and 21 assists in 33 contests.

Chicago selected him in the third round, 67th overall, at the 2023 NHL Entry Draft. He spent much of 2023–24 with the Brantford Bulldogs in the OHL, posting 29 goals and 21 assists in 37 games and making a single appearance for the Rockford IceHogs in the AHL. On April 3, 2024, he signed a three‑year entry‑level contract with the Blackhawks. The 2024–25 OHL season was a breakout: 71 goals and 46 assists for 117 points in 65 regular‑season games, plus 11 goals and 4 assists in seven playoff contests. His 71 goals set a team record and were the most by an OHL forward since John Tavares in 2006–07, earning him the Jim Mahon Memorial Trophy as the league’s top goalscorer.

Lardis began 2025–26 in the AHL with Rockford, where he was named AHL Rookie of the Month for October 2025. The Blackhawks recalled him on December 13, and he made his NHL debut that night in a 4–0 loss to the Detroit Red Wings, logging 15:32 of ice time and leading the team with eight shot attempts. Internationally, he played for Canada at the 2023 World U18 Championships, scoring four goals in seven games and helping the squad capture the bronze medal.

In plain terms, Lardis is a winger defined by his scoring touch and willingness to generate offence. His junior numbers underline a knack for locating the net; early pro appearances have shown the same shot‑rate and offensive instincts that carried him through junior ranks.

Nick Lardis at the 2026 AHL All‑Star Classic
Nick Lardis at the AHL All‑Star Classic, February 10, 2026.Photo: TheAHL · CC BY 4.0

Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.

Advanced stats

TOI/GP
10:57
PP TOI/GP
1:18
SH TOI/GP
0:00
Pts/GP
0.33
EV points
1
Hits
7
Blocks
3
Takeaways
0
Corsi % (SAT)
33.6 %
Off. zone starts
30.0 %

Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)

Rank

84

among all 32 teams' prospects

Rating

91/ 100

percentile among prospects at his position

Potential

65/ 80

Top six or top four

Ceiling: 8.2 WAR from age 21 to 26

NHL probability

58 %

of playing 200 NHL games from age 21 to 26

Expected WAR, age 21-26

3.0

the most likely outcome

NHLe

34

NHL points over 82 games, from 2025-26 (AHL, 35 games)

2026-27 projection

Projected points

23between 8 and 38 (80% range)

Goals
10
Assists
13
Games
59

So far: 2 pts in 6 games. The team has played 0 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.40 pts per game (last season: 0.37).

The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.

This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.

Player ratings, 2025-26

All ratings →

Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.

OV · OverallConfidence 34 %

71

Established NHL

SK
Skating
82
Confidence 40 %
ST
Strength
65
Confidence 39 %
EN
Endurance
65
Confidence 50 %
DU
Durability
63
Confidence 40 %
CK
Checking
79
Confidence 39 %
FG
Fighting
78
Confidence 20 %
DI
Discipline
75
Confidence 39 %
FO
Faceoffs
—
PA
Passing
67
Confidence 34 %
SC
Scoring
77
Confidence 34 %
DF
Defense
69
Confidence 30 %
PS
Penalty shot
84
Confidence 29 %
EX
Experience
37
Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?

SK — Skating82

  • Top speed (35 %)36.5 · 82
  • Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)6.982 · 81
  • Distance /60 (20 %)16 · 71
  • Speed consistency (15 %)36.1 · 86

ST — Strength65

  • Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)3.709 · 71
  • Body mass (50 %)-1.05 · 65

EN — Endurance65

  • Ice time per game (45 %)13.7 · 67
  • Total ice time (20 %)505 · 55
  • Shift length (15 %)44.7 · 70
  • Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)13 · 72
  • Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.87 · 70

DU — Durability63

  • Share of games played (100 %)0.714 · 63

CK — Checking79

  • Hits /60 (70 %)5.806 · 79
  • Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)5.667 · 81
  • Season volume (10 %)4.06 · 72

FG — Fighting78

  • Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.899 · 78

DI — Discipline75

  • Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.019 · 74
  • Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.647 · 75
  • Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.761 · 74

PA — Passing67

  • Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.522 · 63
  • Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.441 · 73
  • Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.046 · 70
  • Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.152 · 71
  • Assist consistency (10 %)0.377 · 68

SC — Scoring77

  • Goals /60 (25 %)1.08 · 81
  • Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.869 · 75
  • Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.591 · 82
  • High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.106 · 65
  • xG per shot (10 %)0.079 · 72
  • Shot attempts /60 (10 %)14.7 · 77

DF — Defense69

  • RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.029 · 69
  • Relative xG against (20 %)-0.002 · 75
  • On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.822 · 62
  • Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.036 · 78
  • Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.61 · 73
  • Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)57.3 · 80
  • Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.086 · 71

PS — Penalty shot84

  • Shootouts (60 %)33.6 · 85
  • Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76

EX — Experience37

  • Career regular-season games (65 %)53
  • Career playoff games (25 %)0
  • NHL seasons (10 %)24

OV — Overall71

  • SC · Scoring (28 %)77
  • PA · Passing (22 %)67
  • DF · Defense (18 %)69
  • SK · Skating (12 %)82
  • EN · Endurance (8 %)65
  • DI · Discipline (5 %)75
  • ST · Strength (4 %)65
  • CK · Checking (3 %)79

The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.

WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26

How we rate →

PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.

ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates

Offense
40
Defense
18
See full details
Offense
48
Creation
34
Shooting
74
Possession
10
Defense
27
Discipline
50
Power play
45
Penalty kill
30

From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.

Hockey IQ, 2025-26

Rankings and method →

The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.

Overall IQ

44/ 100

Average
better than 44% of forwards, offense and defense combined

Offensive IQ

29/ 100

Below average
passing, shots, puck

Defensive IQ

58/ 100

Average
takeaways, discipline, own zone

Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 236 of 424 forwards.

See full details

Offense

Playmaking passes
17
Shot selection
31
Penalties drawn
49
Puck management
75

Defense

Takeaways
13
Discipline
81
Safe zone exits
65

Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.

Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.

0.7

wins above replacement

-0.3 to 1.6 — 90% interval

203 of 615 forwards

+3.8 goals above replacement

Full leaderboard →
See full details
EV offense
-0.2
EV defense
-0.5
Power play
-0.1
Penalty kill
0.0
Shooting
+3.1
Penalties
+0.2
Average → replacement
+1.3

In goals.

Player tracking (NHL EDGE)

League EDGE leaderboards →

Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.

Season
Hardest shot
136.6 km/h65th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
Top skating speed
36.2 km/h77th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
Bursts over 20 mph, season
2056th percentileleague avg. 21
Offensive zone time
36.7 %6th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full details
Total distance, season
17.5 km17th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
Distance, single-game high
3.91 km30th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
Offensive zone at 5v5
36.8 %3rd percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
Neutral zone time
19.1 %88th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
Defensive zone time
44.3 %10th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %

Shooting

Shots on goalGoalsShooting %
All620th percentile024th percentile0.0 %0th percentile
High danger08th percentile034th percentile0.0 %0th percentile
Mid range442nd percentile054th percentile0.0 %32nd percentile
Long range153rd percentile092nd percentile0.0 %87th percentile

Shots on goal by zone

Neutral zone : 0 · 63th percentileOutside left : 1 · 68th percentileOutside right : 0 · 42th percentileLeft point : 1 · 86th percentileRight point : 0 · 61th percentileCenter point : 0 · 62th percentileLeft circle : 1 · 46th percentileRight circle : 2 · 65th percentileHigh slot : 1 · 45th percentileLeft of the net : 0 · 58th percentileRight of the net : 0 · 59th percentileLow slot : 0 · 9th percentileCrease : 0 · 50th percentileLeft corner : 0 · 95th percentileBehind the net : 0 · 79th percentileRight corner : 0 · 97th percentile0101001210000000
Beyond the red line : 0

2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.

Game log, 2026-27

DateOpponentGAPTS+/-
Oct 10vsCarolina Hurricanes logoCAR000-1
Oct 8@New York Islanders logoNYI0000
Oct 6vsSt. Louis Blues logoSTL011-1
Oct 3@Buffalo Sabres logoBUF011-1
Oct 1@Utah Mammoth logoUTA000-1
Sep 29@Vegas Golden Knights logoVGK000-2

Nick Lardis: frequently asked questions

How many goals does Nick Lardis have in 2026-27?

Nick Lardis has 0 goals and 2 points (2 assists) in 6 games in 2026-27.

How old is Nick Lardis?

Nick Lardis is 21 years old: he was born on July 8, 2005.

How tall is Nick Lardis, and how much does he weigh?

Nick Lardis is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 185 lb (84 kg).

Where is Nick Lardis from?

Canada: Nick Lardis was born in Oakville, Ontario, Canada.

What team does Nick Lardis play for?

Nick Lardis plays for the Chicago Blackhawks in the NHL, at L, wearing number 76.

Is Nick Lardis injured?

No: Nick Lardis is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.

How good is Nick Lardis?

Nick Lardis produced 0.7 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 203rd of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 17 out of 100: very poor for his position.

How much does Nick Lardis make?

Nick Lardis earns $865K for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 31 out of 100 (poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.

When does Nick Lardis's contract end?

Nick Lardis's contract runs through the 2027-28 season; he will then be a restricted free agent.

Is Nick Lardis overpaid?

Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 31 out of 100 (poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.

Is Nick Lardis a top-10 player at his position?

No: by WAR, he ranks 203rd of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

How has Nick Lardis played lately?

Over his last 6 games, Nick Lardis has 2 points (0 goals, 2 assists).

What are Nick Lardis's career stats?

Over his NHL career, Nick Lardis has 47 games, 10 goals, 7 assists and 17 points. His best season: 2025-26, with 15 points in 41 games.

Where was Nick Lardis drafted?

Nick Lardis was drafted 67th overall (round 3) by Chicago Blackhawks in 2023.

How does Nick Lardis perform in the playoffs?

Nick Lardis has not played in the NHL playoffs yet.

Which player is most similar to Nick Lardis?

Tyler Seguin: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.

Tyler Seguin's page →

Is Nick Lardis a good fantasy pick?

Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 23 points in 2026-27, or 0.39 points per game.

What is Nick Lardis's nationality?

Nick Lardis is Canadian. Internationally: Canada U18 national team — 2023 IIHF World U18 Championship: bronze medal (4 goals in 7 games).

What awards has Nick Lardis won?

Jim Mahon Memorial Trophy (OHL leading goalscorer) — 2024–25 ; AHL Rookie of the Month — October 2025.

Where did Nick Lardis play before turning pro?

Junior background: Oakville Rangers AAA (U15, 2019–20); selected by the Peterborough Petes in the OHL priority draft in June 2021 — Peterborough Petes (2021–22, part of 2022–23); Hamilton Bulldogs (part of 2022–23); Brantford Bulldogs (2023–24, 2024–25)..

How many points is Nick Lardis projected to score in 2026-27?

Our projection has him at 23 points in 59 games in 2026-27 (8 to 38 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.

See also: his Chicago Blackhawks teammates

Full roster →

NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)