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Tampa Bay Lightning

11-4-224 PTS3rd in the Atlantic divisionNHL

Playoff odds

97%

Power play

19.4 %

Penalty kill

72.9 %

Goals per game

3.71

Goals against

3.06

Faceoffs

49.2 %

Playoff odds

All 32 teams →

Make playoffs

97%

Top 3 in division

89%

Win the division

48%

Projected points

110

100–119

Performance

Actual goals: on pace for 107 pts
Expected goals: on pace for 126 pts

Expected goals are kinder: Tampa Bay Lightning has been unlucky, and that should turn.

Talent (WAR)

Lineup: 33.0 WAR (1st of 32)

  • Andrei Vasilevskiy7.7
  • Nikita Kucherov5.6
  • Dennis Hildeby5.2
  • Brandon Hagel3.5
  • Jake Guentzel2.8

Injuries

Cost the rest of the way: −0.2 win

  • Brayden Point (9 g.)−0.2

Team Pulse · 2026-27

All 32 teams →

Team Pulse says which way the team is heading (−100 to +100), first over its last five seasons, then this season. The rating this year, separately, says how good it is right now (0 to 100): an average team can rise fast, an excellent one can decline.

5-year pulse

+2

→ Stable

21-22 : 111.222-23 : 106.423-24 : 107.724-25 : 112.525-26 : 109.4
21-2225-26
RESResults
→
OFFOffense
→
DEFDefense
→
PPPower play
↓
PKPenalty kill
↑
GOALGoaltending
→
POSPossession
→

Rating this year

88/ 100

4 of 32

Changes as the season goes: after 7 games, last season still counts for 74%. It fades with every game.

Pulse this season

+7

→ Stable

OFFOffense
92
→
DEFDefense
84
→
PPPower play
35
→
PKPenalty kill
70
→
GOALGoaltending
59
→
POSPossession
91
→
ROSTERRoster
80
→

Why Tampa Bay Lightning is stable

  • Over 5 years (21-22 to 25-26): index 111.2 → 109.4, stable (+0.3 per season); improving: the penalty kill; slipping: the power play.
  • EV xGF/60: 2.74 → 2.95 (↑ 7.8%, better)
  • EV xGA/60: 2.33 → 1.98 (↓ 15.2%, better)
  • PP xGF/60: 8.06 → 8.63 (↑ 7.1%, better)
  • EV xG%: 54.0 % → 59.9 % (↑ 10.9%, better)
  • Roster: 6 key players rising, 3 declining, 9 stable.
  • The progress comes mostly from defense; the core is stable.
  • Early season (7 games): the pulse rests mostly on the roster, and last season still weighs heavily in the rating this year.
See full details

Pulse by horizon

10 gamesSeason1 year3 years
Team Pulse——+7+8
OFF · Offense——+7+12
DEF · Defense——+18+21
PP · Power play——-9-17
PK · Penalty kill——00
GOAL · Goaltending——+3+3
POS · Possession——+15+18
ROSTER · Roster——+4+4

— : not enough games yet for that horizon (last 10 vs previous 10: 20 games; season: 25). The 5- and 10-year horizons will come with past seasons' history.

Roster Trend · +4 (core +9)

PlayerTrend
John CarlsonD · 36 · core↑ +14
Jake GuentzelC · 31 · core→ 0
Nikita KucherovW · 33 · core→ +1
J.J. MoserD · 26 · core↑↑ +33
Brandon HagelW · 28 · core→ +4
Anthony CirelliC · 29 · core→ -1
Yanni GourdeC · 34→ 0
Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · 28→ 0
Brayden PointC · 30↓ -21
Ilya MikheyevW · 31↓ -20
Pontus HolmbergW · 27↑ +14
Ryan McDonaghD · 37↑ +13
Erik CernakD · 29→ -6
Gage GoncalvesC · 25↑ +29
Zemgus GirgensonsC · 32→ -9
Emil LillebergD · 25↑ +20
Victor HedmanD · 35↓ -29
Max CrozierD · 26→ 0

A player's trend compares 2025-26 with 2024-25 (PAL, WAR per 60, SC, PA, DF, SK ratings, in percentile points) and adds age. Roster Trend weights each player by ice time and importance: a rising fourth line doesn't offset a declining top center.

The Tampa Bay Lightning story

Raised as an expansion franchise and entering the NHL in the 1992–93 season, the club established itself quickly in a nontraditional hockey market. Early growth culminated in a first Stanley Cup in 2004, but it was the sustained run from 2015 onward that defined the modern era: multiple Final appearances, back-to-back championships in 2020 and 2021, and a Presidents' Trophy season in 2019 that tied the then-record for wins with 62 in 2018–19.

Today the team plays its home games in Downtown Tampa and has become one of Florida's signature sporting institutions. Ownership under Vinik Sports Group has overseen an organizational commitment to competing at the highest level, with a front office that built a roster capable of deep playoff runs. Long-tenured head coach Jon Cooper has been a steadying presence behind the bench, shaping a culture of resilience and playoff performance that sustains the club's identity.

A handful of figures loom large in the franchise story: on-ice leaders whose names are embedded in Lightning lore and whose numbers have been retired, and executives who guided the club to its championships. Their contributions, from the early breakthrough to the recent dynasty-like stretch, have made the team a perennial contender in the NHL.

Historical facts from Wikipedia and NHL archives; text written by PickALeague.

The franchise

Founded
1991
Stanley Cups
3
First season
1992-93
City
Q49255
Home
Q940199
Seats
19,204
Head coach
Jon Cooper
Captain
Victor Hedman

Stanley Cups

  • 2003-04
  • 2019-20
  • 2020-21

Retired numbers

  • 4Vincent Lecavalier (1998-13)
  • 26Martin St. Louis (2000-14)

Captains

  • Victor HedmanOct. 11, 2024 – Present
  • Steven StamkosMarch 6, 2014 – April 29, 2024
  • Martin St. LouisOct. 3, 2013 – March 4, 2014
  • Vincent LecavalierOct. 4, 2008 – April 27, 2013
  • (No Captain)Oct. 4, 2007 – April 5, 2008
  • Tim TaylorOct. 5, 2006 – April 22, 2007
  • (No Captain)Jan. 13 – April 29, 2006
  • Dave AndreychukOct. 10, 2002 – Jan. 7, 2006
  • (No Captain)April 8, 2001 – April 14, 2002
  • Vincent LecavalierOct. 6, 2000 – April 5, 2001
See all 16
  • Chris Gratton, Bill Houlder and Vincent Lecavalier (Co-Captains)Oct. 2, 1999 – April 9, 2000
  • Rob ZamunerOct. 9, 1998 – April 17, 1999
  • Mikael RenbergNov. 19, 1997 – April 18, 1998
  • (No Captain)Oct. 29 – Nov. 17, 1997
  • Paul YsebaertOct. 7, 1995 – Oct. 26, 1997
  • (No Captain)October 7, 1992 – May 3, 1995

Head coaches

  • Jon CooperMarch 29, 2013^ – Present
  • Guy BoucherOct. 9, 2010 – March 23, 2013
  • Rick TocchetNov. 16, 2008 – April 11, 2010
  • Barry MelroseOct. 4 – Nov. 13, 2008
  • John TortorellaJan. 7, 2001 – April 5, 2008
  • Steve LudzikOct. 2, 1999 – Jan. 4, 2001
  • Jacques DemersNov. 14, 1997 – April 17, 1999
  • Rick PatersonOct. 26 – Nov. 11, 1997
  • Terry CrispOct. 7, 1992 – Oct. 24, 1997
  • ^ The Lightning hired Cooper on March 25, 2013, but he did not coach his first game until March 29. No interim head coach was used for games on March 24 or March 26.

Fun facts: Tampa Bay Lightning