Matvei
Gridin
R · CGY · Balanced · Below average
- PAL
- 20
- WAR
- 0.1
- Value
- 33
- PTS
- 20
2025-26№ 327 / 615
Matvei Gridin (Calgary Flames) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Matvei Gridin
#92RPlays: Right wing · 1% of faceoffs
Calgary Flames
HEIGHT : 185 cm · WEIGHT : 83 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : February 28, 2006 · Kurgan, Russia
Drafted : 2024 · CGY · round 1, pick #28
Contract : $975,000 · 2024-25 → 2027-28 · Entry-Level Contract · RFA · Signing bonus $97,500
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Calgary Flames | 18 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 2 |
| 2025-26 | Calgary Flames | 37 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 2 |
| NHL totals | 54 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 4 | |
Matvei Gridin: our analysis
2025-26 season: 37 GP, 6 G, 14 A, 20 PTS, -14 +/-, 15:10 TOI. WAR 0.1 (327th of 615) · PAL 20, below average.
In 2025-26, Matvei Gridin, 20, posts a PAL Rating of 20 out of 100 (below average), and his WAR of 0.1 ranks 327th among 615 regulars, in the bottom half.
His strengths: discipline (81, well above average), power play (73, above average) and offense (62, above average). On the other hand, possession (9, among the weakest in the league) and defense (20, well below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: penalties (+0.7); his biggest cost: EV defense (-0.7).
Contract-wise, his Value score of 33 (poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Matvei Gridin's story
Growing up in Kurgan, Matvei Gridin moved through several Russian development programs before making the jump to North America. Early spells with Amur Khabarovsk’s system were followed by time in the youth ranks of Spartak Saint Petersburg and Avangard Omsk, foundations that prepared him for junior hockey abroad.
Gridin arrived in the USHL with the Muskegon Lumberjacks in 2022. He posted eight goals and 11 assists in 40 games in his first USHL season, then exploded offensively the next year with 38 goals and 45 assists in 60 contests, finishing at the top of the league scoring list and earning a spot on the All-USHL First Team.
That breakout drew NHL interest: Calgary selected him 28th overall in the 2024 NHL Entry Draft, and he signed a three-year entry-level contract with the Flames on 5 July 2024. Earlier in July he had been taken first overall in the 2024 CHL Import Draft by the Val-d'Or Foreurs; those CHL rights were later traded to the Shawinigan Cataractes on 20 September 2024. Gridin had been committed to play college hockey at Michigan but forfeited that eligibility after signing his NHL contract.
In his 2024–25 rookie season in the QMJHL with Shawinigan, Gridin led the team in scoring, posting 36 goals and 43 assists in 56 games. He topped all QMJHL rookies in numerous categories — points, goals, assists, plus/minus, shots, game-winning goals, power-play assists and shorthanded goals — and was named to both the QMJHL All-Rookie Team and the CHL All-Rookie Team. He also received the Michel Bergeron Trophy and the Sidney Crosby Trophy as that season’s offensive and overall rookie of the year.
Gridin reached the NHL milestone on 8 October 2025, making his debut for the Calgary Flames and scoring his first NHL goal in a 4–3 shootout win against the Edmonton Oilers. His profile is defined by consistent offensive output and a knack for producing in key situations.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 15:55
- PP TOI/GP
- 2:24
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:00
- Pts/GP
- 0.61
- EV points
- 6
- Hits
- 4
- Blocks
- 11
- Takeaways
- 5
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 55.2 %
- Off. zone starts
- 36.4 %
- Faceoffs
- 0.0 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
Prospect value
Scout Report Center →Rank
53
among all 32 teams' prospects
Rating
95/ 100
percentile among prospects at his position
Potential
70/ 80
First line or top pair
Ceiling: 10.1 WAR from age 21 to 26
NHL probability
74 %
of playing 200 NHL games from age 21 to 26
Expected WAR, age 21-26
4.0
the most likely outcome
NHLe
31
NHL points over 82 games, from 2025-26 (AHL, 37 games)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
35between 19 and 51 (80% range)
- Goals
- 14
- Assists
- 21
- Games
- 58
So far: 11 pts in 18 games. The team has played 18 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.60 pts per game (last season: 0.54).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 35 %
70
Established NHL
- SK
- Skating
- 71
- Confidence 40 %
- ST
- Strength
- 65
- Confidence 40 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 71
- Confidence 50 %
- DU
- Durability
- 61
- Confidence 40 %
- CK
- Checking
- 65
- Confidence 40 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 79
- Confidence 19 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 83
- Confidence 40 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 81
- Confidence 35 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 69
- Confidence 35 %
- DF
- Defense
- 65
- Confidence 31 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 69
- Confidence 25 %
- EX
- Experience
- 36
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating71
- Top speed (35 %)35.7 · 69
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)4.595 · 71
- Distance /60 (20 %)16 · 72
- Speed consistency (15 %)35.3 · 76
ST — Strength65
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)3.743 · 72
- Body mass (50 %)-1.025 · 65
EN — Endurance71
- Ice time per game (45 %)14.9 · 75
- Total ice time (20 %)544 · 60
- Shift length (15 %)46.3 · 77
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)14.2 · 78
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)2.143 · 75
DU — Durability61
- Share of games played (100 %)0.7 · 61
CK — Checking65
- Hits /60 (70 %)3.199 · 69
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)2.891 · 70
- Season volume (10 %)2.485 · 49
FG — Fighting79
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.907 · 79
DI — Discipline83
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.045 · 82
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.416 · 87
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.683 · 70
PA — Passing81
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.872 · 82
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.531 · 79
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.044 · 69
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)5.13 · 84
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.755 · 85
SC — Scoring69
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.834 · 70
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.824 · 70
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.058 · 73
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.121 · 66
- xG per shot (10 %)0.078 · 68
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)15.2 · 78
DF — Defense65
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.042 · 67
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.039 · 73
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.803 · 63
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.036 · 76
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-2.658 · 49
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)61.6 · 57
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.803 · 81
PS — Penalty shot69
- Shootouts (60 %)32 · 68
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience36
- Career regular-season games (65 %)51
- Career playoff games (25 %)0
- NHL seasons (10 %)24
OV — Overall70
- SC · Scoring (28 %)69
- PA · Passing (22 %)81
- DF · Defense (18 %)65
- SK · Skating (12 %)71
- EN · Endurance (8 %)71
- DI · Discipline (5 %)83
- ST · Strength (4 %)65
- CK · Checking (3 %)65
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
0.1
wins above replacement
327 of 615
PAL Rating
20/ 100
Performance · Below average
371 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
33/ 100
Poor return
0.94 M$ · expected PAL 36
ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates
- Offense
- 44
- Defense
- 13
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 62
- Creation
- 36
- Shooting
- 33
- Possession
- 9
- Defense
- 20
- Discipline
- 81
- Power play
- 73
- Penalty kill
- 31
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
21/ 100
Below average
better than 21% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
9/ 100
Low
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
53/ 100
Average
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 333 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 46
- Shot selection
- 10
- Penalties drawn
- 21
- Puck management
- 45
Defense
- Takeaways
- 43
- Discipline
- 95
- Safe zone exits
- 13
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
0.1
wins above replacement
-0.7 to 0.6 — 90% interval
327 of 615 forwards
+0.6 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- -0.2
- EV defense
- -0.7
- Power play
- 0.0
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- -0.7
- Penalties
- +0.7
- Average → replacement
- +1.4
In goals.
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 138.8 km/h75th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 37.2 km/h94th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 4389th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 45.0 %81st percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 70.1 km70th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 5.97 km90th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 41.8 %65th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 18.9 %86th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 36.1 %90th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 3784th percentile | 581st percentile | 13.5 %53rd percentile |
| High danger | 539th percentile | 034th percentile | 0.0 %10th percentile |
| Mid range | 1488th percentile | 396th percentile | 21.4 %79th percentile |
| Long range | 999th percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
PHI
ANA
SEA
SJS
COL
EDM
TOR
DET
MIN
CAR
VGK
VANMatvei Gridin: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Matvei Gridin have in 2026-27?
Matvei Gridin has 5 goals and 11 points (6 assists) in 18 games in 2026-27.
How old is Matvei Gridin?
Matvei Gridin is 20 years old: he was born on March 1, 2006.
How tall is Matvei Gridin, and how much does he weigh?
Matvei Gridin is 6'1" (185 cm) and weighs 183 lb (83 kg).
Where is Matvei Gridin from?
Russia: Matvei Gridin was born in Kurgan, Russia.
What team does Matvei Gridin play for?
Matvei Gridin plays for the Calgary Flames in the NHL, at R, wearing number 92.
Is Matvei Gridin injured?
No: Matvei Gridin is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Matvei Gridin?
Matvei Gridin produced 0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 327th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 20 out of 100: below average for his position.
How much does Matvei Gridin make?
Matvei Gridin earns $943K for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 33 out of 100 (poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Matvei Gridin's contract end?
Matvei Gridin's contract runs through the 2027-28 season; he will then be a restricted free agent.
Is Matvei Gridin overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 33 out of 100 (poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Matvei Gridin a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 327th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
How has Matvei Gridin played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Matvei Gridin has 8 points (4 goals, 4 assists).
What are Matvei Gridin's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Matvei Gridin has 54 games, 11 goals, 19 assists and 30 points. His best season: 2025-26, with 20 points in 37 games.
Where was Matvei Gridin drafted?
Matvei Gridin was drafted 28th overall (round 1) by Calgary Flames in 2024.
Is Matvei Gridin better at home or on the road?
At home: in 2026-27, he averages 0.90 points per game at home (9 in 10 games) and 0.25 on the road (2 in 8 games).
How does Matvei Gridin perform in the playoffs?
Matvei Gridin has not played in the NHL playoffs yet.
Which player is most similar to Matvei Gridin?
Max Shabanov: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Max Shabanov's page →Is Matvei Gridin a good fantasy pick?
A useful depth pick: our projection has him at 35 points in 2026-27, or 0.60 points per game.
What is Matvei Gridin's nationality?
Matvei Gridin is Russian.
What awards has Matvei Gridin won?
Named to the All-USHL first team following the 2023–24 season ; Named to the QMJHL All-Rookie Team following the 2024–25 season ; Named to the Canadian Hockey League (CHL) All-Rookie Team following the 2024–25 season ; Recipient of the Michel Bergeron Trophy (offensive rookie of the year) following the 2024–25 season ; Recipient of the Sidney Crosby Trophy (overall rookie of the year) following the 2024–25 season.
Where did Matvei Gridin play before turning pro?
Youth hockey with Spartak St. Petersburg and the Avangard Omsk organization; Muskegon Lumberjacks (USHL) 2022–23 and 2023–24; committed to Michigan (college eligibility later forfeited after signing a professional contract).
How many points is Matvei Gridin projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 35 points in 58 games in 2026-27 (19 to 51 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Calgary Flames teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)