Otto
Stenberg
C · STL · Balanced · Below average
- PAL
- 27
- WAR
- -0.1
- Value
- 42
- PTS
- 10
2025-26№ 456 / 615
Otto Stenberg (St. Louis Blues) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Otto Stenberg
#28CPlays: Winger · 4% of faceoffs
St. Louis Blues
HEIGHT : 180 cm · WEIGHT : 85 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : May 28, 2005 · Stenungsund, Sweden
Drafted : 2023 · STL · round 1, pick #25
Contract : $950,000 · 2024-25 → 2027-28 · Entry-Level Contract · RFA · Signing bonus $95,000
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | St. Louis Blues | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | St. Louis Blues | 32 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| NHL totals | 35 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 5 | |
Otto Stenberg: our analysis
2025-26 season: 32 GP, 3 G, 7 A, 10 PTS, +3 +/-, 13:37 TOI. WAR -0.1 (456th of 615) · PAL 27, below average.
In 2025-26, Otto Stenberg, 21, posts a PAL Rating of 27 out of 100 (below average), and his WAR of -0.1 ranks 456th among 615 regulars, in the bottom half.
On the other hand, power play (19, well below average) and possession (24, well below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV defense (+0.2); his biggest cost: finishing (-1.7).
Contract-wise, his Value score of 42 (poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Otto Stenberg's story
Growing up in Stenungsund, Otto Stenberg learned his hockey in the town's club Stenungsund HF before moving into Frölunda HC's junior structure. He progressed through Frölunda's system and established himself as a centre with playmaking responsibilities, which paved the way for opportunities at higher levels.
In 2021–22 he finished with 35 points in 38 games for Frölunda's under-20 squad, a mark that raised his profile among scouts. He made his Swedish Hockey League debut in 2022–23 with Frölunda HC; his first regular-season appearance came on 14 October 2022 and he recorded his first professional goal on 25 January 2023 against Örebro HK.
Selected 25th overall by the St. Louis Blues in the 2023 NHL Entry Draft, Stenberg continued developing in Sweden before signing an NHL entry-level deal. During the 2023–24 SHL campaign he played 31 regular-season games for Frölunda, scoring three goals and totaling six points. On 2 May 2024 he signed a three-year entry-level contract with the Blues and is currently listed as a prospect with the Springfield Thunderbirds in the American Hockey League.
Internationally, Stenberg captained Sweden at the 2022 Hlinka Gretzky Cup, where the team earned the silver medal. Off the ice he remains connected to his hometown region; his younger brothers Ivar and Knut are also involved in hockey.
On the ice he is known as a centre who seeks to create offense and manage play through passing and positioning. His early pro minutes and junior production suggest a player still developing his two-way responsibilities while adjusting to the North American professional game.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 10:31
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:00
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:18
- Pts/GP
- 0.33
- EV points
- 1
- Hits
- 3
- Blocks
- 1
- Takeaways
- 0
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 52.8 %
- Off. zone starts
- 30.0 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
Prospect value
Scout Report Center →Rank
78
among all 32 teams' prospects
Rating
93/ 100
percentile among prospects at his position
Potential
65/ 80
Top six or top four
Ceiling: 8.3 WAR from age 21 to 26
NHL probability
65 %
of playing 200 NHL games from age 21 to 26
Expected WAR, age 21-26
3.5
the most likely outcome
NHLe
18
NHL points over 82 games, from 2025-26 (AHL, 36 games)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
10between 1 and 20 (80% range)
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 8
- Games
- 30
So far: 1 pts in 3 games. The team has played 17 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.33 pts per game (last season: 0.31).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 30 %
69
Depth
- SK
- Skating
- 59
- Confidence 40 %
- ST
- Strength
- 67
- Confidence 34 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 67
- Confidence 50 %
- DU
- Durability
- 59
- Confidence 40 %
- CK
- Checking
- 79
- Confidence 34 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 83
- Confidence 17 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 78
- Confidence 34 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 76
- Confidence 30 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 73
- Confidence 30 %
- DF
- Defense
- 76
- Confidence 26 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 76
- Confidence 0 %
- EX
- Experience
- 34
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating59
- Top speed (35 %)34.8 · 54
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)4.461 · 67
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.3 · 74
- Speed consistency (15 %)34.4 · 61
ST — Strength67
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)3.985 · 74
- Body mass (50 %)-0.896 · 66
EN — Endurance67
- Ice time per game (45 %)14.3 · 72
- Total ice time (20 %)421 · 48
- Shift length (15 %)42.8 · 66
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)13.5 · 74
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)2.041 · 70
DU — Durability59
- Share of games played (100 %)0.683 · 59
CK — Checking79
- Hits /60 (70 %)5.476 · 79
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)5.526 · 83
- Season volume (10 %)3.912 · 72
FG — Fighting83
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)1.084 · 83
DI — Discipline78
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.022 · 77
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.375 · 89
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.503 · 59
PA — Passing76
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.673 · 76
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.484 · 75
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.025 · 73
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.458 · 75
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.537 · 78
SC — Scoring73
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.693 · 70
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.763 · 74
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)-0.363 · 72
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.271 · 76
- xG per shot (10 %)0.083 · 77
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)11.4 · 70
DF — Defense76
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.019 · 76
- Relative xG against (20 %)-0.051 · 75
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.522 · 79
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.004 · 79
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.431 · 73
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)57.8 · 76
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.594 · 74
PS — Penalty shot76
- Shootouts (60 %)32.7 · 76
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience34
- Career regular-season games (65 %)49
- Career playoff games (25 %)0
- NHL seasons (10 %)24
OV — Overall69
- SC · Scoring (20 %)73
- PA · Passing (20 %)76
- DF · Defense (20 %)76
- SK · Skating (12 %)59
- EN · Endurance (8 %)67
- DI · Discipline (5 %)78
- ST · Strength (3 %)67
- CK · Checking (2 %)79
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
-0.1
wins above replacement
456 of 615
PAL Rating
27/ 100
Performance · Below average
334 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
42/ 100
Poor return
0.92 M$ · expected PAL 35
ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates
- Offense
- 22
- Defense
- 48
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 30
- Creation
- 31
- Shooting
- 27
- Possession
- 24
- Defense
- 58
- Discipline
- 51
- Power play
- 19
- Penalty kill
- 60
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
59/ 100
Average
better than 59% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
25/ 100
Below average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
81/ 100
Very good
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 172 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 42
- Shot selection
- 67
- Penalties drawn
- 1
- Puck management
- 56
Defense
- Takeaways
- 21
- Discipline
- 98
- Safe zone exits
- 56
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
-0.1
wins above replacement
-0.3 to 0.4 — 90% interval
456 of 615 forwards
-0.4 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- -0.2
- EV defense
- +0.2
- Power play
- 0.0
- Penalty kill
- +0.0
- Shooting
- -1.7
- Penalties
- +0.2
- Average → replacement
- +1.1
In goals.
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 129.2 km/h40th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 32.2 km/h2nd percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 12nd percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 39.5 %21st percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 9.1 km9th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 3.26 km14th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 39.0 %15th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 22.0 %100th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 38.5 %63rd percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 29th percentile | 024th percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
| High danger | 115th percentile | 034th percentile | 0.0 %10th percentile |
| Mid range | 010th percentile | 054th percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
| Long range | 031st percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
CAR
VGK
WPGOtto Stenberg: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Otto Stenberg have in 2026-27?
Otto Stenberg has 0 goals and 1 point (1 assist) in 3 games in 2026-27.
How old is Otto Stenberg?
Otto Stenberg is 21 years old: he was born on May 29, 2005.
How tall is Otto Stenberg, and how much does he weigh?
Otto Stenberg is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 187 lb (85 kg).
Where is Otto Stenberg from?
Sweden: Otto Stenberg was born in Stenungsund, Sweden.
What team does Otto Stenberg play for?
Otto Stenberg plays for the St. Louis Blues in the NHL, at C, wearing number 28.
Is Otto Stenberg injured?
No: Otto Stenberg is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Otto Stenberg?
Otto Stenberg produced -0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 456th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 27 out of 100: below average for his position.
How much does Otto Stenberg make?
Otto Stenberg earns $918K for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 42 out of 100 (poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Otto Stenberg's contract end?
Otto Stenberg's contract runs through the 2027-28 season; he will then be a restricted free agent.
Is Otto Stenberg overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 42 out of 100 (poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Otto Stenberg a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 456th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
How has Otto Stenberg played lately?
Over his last 3 games, Otto Stenberg has 1 point (0 goals, 1 assist).
What are Otto Stenberg's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Otto Stenberg has 35 games, 3 goals, 8 assists and 11 points. His best season: 2025-26, with 10 points in 32 games.
Where was Otto Stenberg drafted?
Otto Stenberg was drafted 25th overall (round 1) by St. Louis Blues in 2023.
How does Otto Stenberg perform in the playoffs?
Otto Stenberg has not played in the NHL playoffs yet.
Which player is most similar to Otto Stenberg?
Luke Kunin: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Luke Kunin's page →Is Otto Stenberg a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 10 points in 2026-27, or 0.33 points per game.
Does Otto Stenberg have siblings?
Yes: his brother Ivar, his brother Knut.
What is Otto Stenberg's nationality?
Otto Stenberg is Swedish. Internationally: Sweden — captain at the 2022 Hlinka Gretzky Cup, silver medal.
Where did Otto Stenberg play before turning pro?
Youth club Stenungsund HF, then joined the Frölunda HC junior system; 2021–22 season: 35 points in 38 games for Frölunda's U20 team..
How many points is Otto Stenberg projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 10 points in 30 games in 2026-27 (1 to 20 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his St. Louis Blues teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)