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49BaseReid Schaefer headshot

Reid

Schaefer

L · NSH · Limited · Very poor

PAL
5
WAR
0.4
Value
13
PTS
8

2025-26№ 260 / 615

Reid Schaefer (Nashville Predators) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.

Reid Schaefer

#49LPlays: Left wing · 2% of faceoffsNashville Predators logoNashville Predators

HEIGHT : 196 cm · WEIGHT : 103 kg · SHOOTS : L

Born : September 20, 2003 · Edmonton, Canada

Drafted : 2022 · EDM · round 1, pick #32

Contract : $950,000 · 2022-23 → 2026-27 · Entry-Level Contract · RFA · Signing bonus $95,000

NHL record

Year Team GPGAPTSPIM
2026-27Nashville Predators101124
2025-26Nashville Predators4762817
NHL totals57731021

Reid Schaefer: our analysis

2025-26 season: 47 GP, 6 G, 2 A, 8 PTS, -12 +/-, 9:38 TOI. WAR 0.4 (260th of 615) · PAL 5, very poor.

In 2025-26, Reid Schaefer, 23, posts a PAL Rating of 5 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of 0.4 ranks 260th among 615 regulars, in the top half.

On the other hand, possession (2, among the weakest in the league) and creation (9, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: finishing (+1.8); his biggest cost: EV offense (-0.6).

Contract-wise, his Value score of 13 (very poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.

Reid Schaefer's story

Raised in Spruce Grove, Schaefer climbed the Canadian junior ladder through the OHA program in Edmonton before landing with the Seattle Thunderbirds organization. As a teenager he produced 23 points in 27 games with the OHA under-15s and followed with 24 points in 34 games the next year, performances that led to his selection by Seattle in the eighth round of the WHL draft and to signing a WHL Standard Player Agreement on 2 September 2018.

The pandemic interrupted his early WHL trajectory: after a handful of games with the Thunderbirds he spent 2019–20 with the Spruce Grove Saints in the AJHL, where he scored 6 goals and 16 points. He returned to Seattle and, in 2021–22, completed his first full WHL season, finishing with 32 goals and 58 points in 66 regular‑season contests. That campaign raised his profile on NHL Central Scouting’s North American list as his ranking climbed during the season.

Selected 32nd overall by the Edmonton Oilers at the 2022 NHL Entry Draft, Schaefer signed a three‑year entry‑level contract and took part in the Oilers’ development and rookie camps to work on strength and skating explosiveness. He was returned to the Thunderbirds to continue his junior development and did not appear in an NHL game for Edmonton: on 28 February 2023 he was traded to the Nashville Predators in a multi‑asset deal that involved Tyson Barrie, draft picks and Mattias Ekholm.

He finished his junior tenure on noteworthy team highs—Seattle captured the Ed Chynoweth Cup and advanced to the 2023 Memorial Cup final, where they fell to the Quebec Remparts. Internationally, Schaefer was named to Canada’s roster for the 2023 World Junior Championship on 12 December 2022; he recorded one assist in seven games and won gold in the final against Czechia.

Scouting reports on Schaefer emphasise a big, competitive winger with scoring touch and tenacity. He drew comparisons to Zack Kassian and was projected as a middle‑six option who could transition to the NHL within a couple of seasons if his physical and on‑ice development continue.

Reid Schaefer and Joey Daccord during a 2022 preseason game
Reid Schaefer and Joey Daccord during a 2022 preseason game on 2022-09-29.Photo: Jenn G · CC BY-SA 2.0

Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.

Advanced stats

TOI/GP
10:44
PP TOI/GP
0:01
SH TOI/GP
0:30
Pts/GP
0.20
EV points
2
Hits
22
Blocks
6
Takeaways
0
Corsi % (SAT)
43.5 %
Off. zone starts
17.6 %
Faceoffs
50.0 %

Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)

Rank

83

among all 32 teams' prospects

Rating

91/ 100

percentile among prospects at his position

Potential

65/ 80

Top six or top four

Ceiling: 8.2 WAR from age 21 to 26

NHL probability

58 %

of playing 200 NHL games from age 21 to 26

Expected WAR, age 21-26

3.0

the most likely outcome

NHLe

32

NHL points over 82 games, from 2025-26 (AHL, 33 games)

2026-27 projection

Projected points

9between 2 and 18 (80% range)

Goals
5
Assists
5
Games
51

So far: 2 pts in 10 games. The team has played 17 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.18 pts per game (last season: 0.17).

The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.

This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.

Player ratings, 2025-26

All ratings →

Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.

OV · OverallConfidence 31 %

66

Depth

SK
Skating
79
Confidence 40 %
ST
Strength
90
Confidence 36 %
EN
Endurance
57
Confidence 50 %
DU
Durability
65
Confidence 40 %
CK
Checking
86
Confidence 36 %
FG
Fighting
82
Confidence 23 %
DI
Discipline
74
Confidence 36 %
FO
Faceoffs
—
PA
Passing
62
Confidence 31 %
SC
Scoring
71
Confidence 31 %
DF
Defense
69
Confidence 27 %
PS
Penalty shot
76
Confidence 0 %
EX
Experience
38
Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?

SK — Skating79

  • Top speed (35 %)35.9 · 74
  • Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)7.153 · 82
  • Distance /60 (20 %)16.3 · 79
  • Speed consistency (15 %)35.5 · 78

ST — Strength90

  • Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)4.933 · 85
  • Body mass (50 %)1.587 · 89

EN — Endurance57

  • Ice time per game (45 %)12.1 · 57
  • Total ice time (20 %)450 · 50
  • Shift length (15 %)44.9 · 70
  • Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)11.6 · 63
  • Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.135 · 57

DU — Durability65

  • Share of games played (100 %)0.735 · 65

CK — Checking86

  • Hits /60 (70 %)9.025 · 85
  • Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)9.48 · 88
  • Season volume (10 %)4.691 · 80

FG — Fighting82

  • Fights per 82 games (100 %)1.051 · 82

DI — Discipline74

  • Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.02 · 74
  • Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.738 · 72
  • Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.858 · 79

PA — Passing62

  • Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.492 · 60
  • Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.35 · 62
  • Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.017 · 67
  • Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.637 · 80
  • Assist consistency (10 %)0.325 · 65

SC — Scoring71

  • Goals /60 (25 %)0.909 · 74
  • Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.756 · 66
  • Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.436 · 80
  • High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.107 · 65
  • xG per shot (10 %)0.079 · 72
  • Shot attempts /60 (10 %)13.3 · 71

DF — Defense69

  • RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.034 · 69
  • Relative xG against (20 %)0.067 · 71
  • On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.773 · 65
  • Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.035 · 69
  • Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.694 · 71
  • Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)60.6 · 63
  • Blocked shots /60 (5 %)3.338 · 88

PS — Penalty shot76

  • Shootouts (60 %)32.7 · 76
  • Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76

EX — Experience38

  • Career regular-season games (65 %)55
  • Career playoff games (25 %)0
  • NHL seasons (10 %)24

OV — Overall66

  • SC · Scoring (28 %)71
  • PA · Passing (22 %)62
  • DF · Defense (18 %)69
  • SK · Skating (12 %)79
  • EN · Endurance (8 %)57
  • DI · Discipline (5 %)74
  • ST · Strength (4 %)90
  • CK · Checking (3 %)86

The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.

WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26

How we rate →

PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.

ProfileLimitedBelow average at both ends

Offense
9
Defense
16
See full details
Offense
19
Creation
9
Shooting
47
Possession
2
Defense
31
Discipline
52
Power play
41
Penalty kill
31

From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.

Hockey IQ, 2025-26

Rankings and method →

The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.

Overall IQ

19/ 100

Low
better than 19% of forwards, offense and defense combined

Offensive IQ

28/ 100

Below average
passing, shots, puck

Defensive IQ

24/ 100

Below average
takeaways, discipline, own zone

Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 342 of 424 forwards.

See full details

Offense

Playmaking passes
6
Shot selection
23
Penalties drawn
73
Puck management
67

Defense

Takeaways
12
Discipline
37
Safe zone exits
43

Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.

Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.

0.4

wins above replacement

-0.5 to 1.3 — 90% interval

260 of 615 forwards

+2.0 goals above replacement

Full leaderboard →
See full details
EV offense
-0.6
EV defense
-0.5
Power play
0.0
Penalty kill
0.0
Shooting
+1.8
Penalties
+0.2
Average → replacement
+1.2

In goals.

Player tracking (NHL EDGE)

League EDGE leaderboards →

Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.

Season
Hardest shot
138.8 km/h75th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
Top skating speed
35.1 km/h49th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
Bursts over 20 mph, season
1749th percentileleague avg. 21
Offensive zone time
39.6 %22nd percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full details
Total distance, season
28.8 km25th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
Distance, single-game high
3.21 km12th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
Offensive zone at 5v5
40.0 %30th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
Neutral zone time
17.1 %10th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
Defensive zone time
43.3 %15th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %

Shooting

Shots on goalGoalsShooting %
All1027th percentile139th percentile10.0 %32nd percentile
High danger221st percentile034th percentile0.0 %10th percentile
Mid range656th percentile177th percentile16.7 %66th percentile
Long range272nd percentile092nd percentile0.0 %87th percentile

Shots on goal by zone

Neutral zone : 0 · 63th percentileOutside left : 0 · 42th percentileOutside right : 0 · 42th percentileLeft point : 0 · 60th percentileRight point : 2 · 95th percentileCenter point : 0 · 62th percentileLeft circle : 0 · 24th percentileRight circle : 5 · 89th percentileHigh slot : 1 · 45th percentileLeft of the net : 0 · 58th percentileRight of the net : 0 · 59th percentileLow slot : 2 · 24th percentileCrease : 0 · 50th percentileLeft corner : 0 · 95th percentileBehind the net : 0 · 79th percentileRight corner : 0 · 97th percentile0000200510020000
Beyond the red line : 0

2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.

Game log, 2026-27

DateOpponentGAPTS+/-
Nov 7vsSt. Louis Blues logoSTL0000
Nov 5@Colorado Avalanche logoCOL011+1
Nov 3vsCarolina Hurricanes logoCAR000-1
Oct 31vsTampa Bay Lightning logoTBL101+2
Oct 22@Boston Bruins logoBOS0000
Oct 17vsSt. Louis Blues logoSTL0000
Oct 15vsSan Jose Sharks logoSJS0000
Oct 10@Ottawa Senators logoOTT0000
Oct 8@Montreal Canadiens logoMTL0000
Oct 1vsMinnesota Wild logoMIN000-1

Reid Schaefer: frequently asked questions

How many goals does Reid Schaefer have in 2026-27?

Reid Schaefer has 1 goal and 2 points (1 assist) in 10 games in 2026-27.

How old is Reid Schaefer?

Reid Schaefer is 23 years old: he was born on September 21, 2003.

How tall is Reid Schaefer, and how much does he weigh?

Reid Schaefer is 6'5" (196 cm) and weighs 227 lb (103 kg).

Where is Reid Schaefer from?

Canada: Reid Schaefer was born in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.

What team does Reid Schaefer play for?

Reid Schaefer plays for the Nashville Predators in the NHL, at L, wearing number 49.

Is Reid Schaefer injured?

No: Reid Schaefer is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.

How good is Reid Schaefer?

Reid Schaefer produced 0.4 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 260th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 5 out of 100: very poor for his position.

How much does Reid Schaefer make?

Reid Schaefer earns $887K for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 13 out of 100 (very poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.

When does Reid Schaefer's contract end?

Reid Schaefer's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be a restricted free agent.

Is Reid Schaefer overpaid?

Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 13 out of 100 (very poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.

Is Reid Schaefer a top-10 player at his position?

No: by WAR, he ranks 260th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

How has Reid Schaefer played lately?

Over his last 10 games, Reid Schaefer has 2 points (1 goal, 1 assist).

What are Reid Schaefer's career stats?

Over his NHL career, Reid Schaefer has 57 games, 7 goals, 3 assists and 10 points. His best season: 2025-26, with 8 points in 47 games.

Where was Reid Schaefer drafted?

Reid Schaefer was drafted 32nd overall (round 1) by Edmonton Oilers in 2022.

How does Reid Schaefer perform in the playoffs?

Reid Schaefer has not played in the NHL playoffs yet.

Which player is most similar to Reid Schaefer?

Cole Reinhardt: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.

Cole Reinhardt's page →

Is Reid Schaefer a good fantasy pick?

Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 9 points in 2026-27, or 0.18 points per game.

Is Reid Schaefer related to anyone famous?

Yes: Jeremy (father, drafted by the Boston Bruins after five years in the WHL); Colin Fraser (cousin, third-round draft pick by the Philadelphia Flyers).

What is Reid Schaefer's nationality?

Reid Schaefer is Canadian. Internationally: Team Canada: named to roster for the 2023 World Junior Championship; 1 assist in 7 games; gold medal (2023, final vs. Czechia).

How many championships has Reid Schaefer won?

2: Ed Chynoweth Cup (WHL champions) with the Seattle Thunderbirds — 2023; Gold medal at the 2023 World Junior Championship with Team Canada.

Where did Reid Schaefer play before turning pro?

Junior clubs: Edmonton Okanagan Hockey Academy (OHA) Bantam Prep (2017–18), OHA Edmonton Elite; signed a WHL Standard Player Agreement with the Seattle Thunderbirds (2 Sept 2018); Spruce Grove Saints (AJHL, 2019–20); Seattle Thunderbirds (first full season 2021–22).

How many points is Reid Schaefer projected to score in 2026-27?

Our projection has him at 9 points in 51 games in 2026-27 (2 to 18 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.

See also: his Nashville Predators teammates

Full roster →

NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)