2026 NFL PAL Rating and Value Rating: performance and contract value
Two scores from 0 to 100. PAL Rating measures the season's performance against regulars at the same position (quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, offensive line, interior defensive line, edge rushers, linebackers, cornerbacks, safeties, kickers, punters): 50 is the median regular. Salary never enters it. Value Rating answers a different question: for what the player costs, does the return come in more or less than expected?
Value Rating is only computed for the most recent season.
The scale — PAL Rating
- 90–100 Elite
- 80–89 Excellent
- 70–79 Very good
- 60–69 Above average
- 40–59 Around average
- 20–39 Below average
- 0–19 Very poor
The scale — Value Rating
- 90–100 Exceptional value
- 75–89 Very good contract
- 55–74 Good value
- 45–54 Fair value
- 25–44 Poor return
- 0–24 Very poor return
| # | Player | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brock PurdySF · QB · 26 | 98 | 1.1 | 98 | 80 | 98 | 59 | 91 |
| 2 | Lamar JacksonBAL · QB · 29 | 95 | 0.6 | 95 | 84 | 59 | 80 | 84 |
| 3 | Dak PrescottDAL · QB · 33 | 91 | 0.7 | 91 | 88 | 95 | 52 | 38 |
| 4 | Josh AllenBUF · QB · 30 | 88 | 0.7 | 84 | 66 | 23 | 98 | 98 |
| 5 | Trevor LawrenceJAX · QB · 26 | 84 | 0.5 | 77 | 95 | 52 | 84 | 41 |
| 6 | Geno SmithNYJ · QB · 35 | 80 | 0.4 | 70 | 98 | 70 | 95 | 2 |
| 7 | Caleb WilliamsCHI · QB · 24 | 77 | 0.4 | 73 | 70 | 41 | 55 | 88 |
| 8 | Jared GoffDET · QB · 31 | 73 | 0.6 | 88 | 48 | 84 | 70 | 9 |
| 9 | Patrick MahomesKC · QB · 30 | 70 | 0.6 | 80 | 52 | 80 | 9 | 59 |
| 10 | Bryce YoungCAR · QB · 25 | 66 | 0.4 | 48 | 73 | 63 | 91 | 52 |
| 11 | Joe BurrowCIN · QB · 29 | 63 | 0.3 | 52 | 55 | 66 | 88 | 63 |
| 12 | Jacoby BrissettARI · QB · 33 | 59 | 0.4 | 59 | 59 | 88 | 5 | 66 |
| 13 | Jayden DanielsWAS · QB · 25 | 55 | 0.2 | 55 | 27 | 91 | 48 | 70 |
| 14 | Kirk CousinsLV · QB · 38 | 52 | 0.3 | 63 | 63 | 48 | 73 | 16 |
| 15 | Tyler ShoughNO · QB · 26 | 48 | 0.2 | 45 | 77 | 30 | 63 | 45 |
| 16 | Deshaun WatsonCLE · QB · 30 | 45 | 0.4 | 66 | 38 | 27 | 30 | 23 |
| 17 | Jalen HurtsPHI · QB · 28 | 41 | 0.1 | 30 | 91 | 13 | 77 | 80 |
| 18 | Cam WardTEN · QB · 24 | 38 | 0.0 | 23 | 41 | 77 | 2 | 77 |
| 19 | C.J. StroudHOU · QB · 24 | 34 | 0.1 | 38 | 16 | 73 | 66 | 73 |
| 20 | Matthew StaffordLAR · QB · 38 | 30 | 0.2 | 41 | 34 | 38 | 45 | 20 |
| 21 | Bo NixDEN · QB · 26 | 27 | 0.0 | 27 | 20 | 45 | 23 | 34 |
| 22 | Drake MayeNE · QB · 24 | 23 | -0.1 | 34 | 45 | 2 | 41 | 95 |
| 23 | Daniel JonesIND · QB · 29 | 20 | -0.2 | 13 | 23 | 34 | 16 | 55 |
| 24 | Malik WillisMIA · QB · 27 | 16 | 0.0 | 16 | 5 | 20 | 38 | 30 |
| 25 | Aaron RodgersPIT · QB · 42 | 13 | -0.3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 20 | 27 |
| 26 | Baker MayfieldTB · QB · 31 | 9 | -0.5 | 2 | 30 | 5 | 27 | 48 |
| 27 | Jordan LoveGB · QB · 27 | 5 | 0.0 | 20 | 2 | 55 | 34 | 5 |
| 28 | Justin HerbertLAC · QB · 28 | 2 | -0.2 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
How it's calculatedHide the method
Like the NHL and the NBA: at each position, the line linking latent PAL (the standard score, before the percentile) to the log of the contract's average per year gives the level expected for that salary; the gap to the expected level becomes the Value Rating, 0 to 100. Average per year rather than the season's cap number: the cap number swings too much with contract structure (prorated bonuses, restructures). The line is fitted on veterans only: rookie contracts, set by draft slot, would skew the market price, so rookies come out on top. Each position has its own market: an average quarterback costs more than an excellent running back. Early in the season, Value Rating judges the last complete season against today's contract.
Data: nflverse, Pro Football Reference and NFL Next Gen Stats; salaries updated daily.






