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NFL Team Pulse: where every team is heading

First the trajectory of the last five seasons (2022 to 2026): is the team rising or falling? Then 2026 against the season before. The 2026 rating, separately, says how good it is (0 to 100). Each dimension — results, offense, defense, special teams, turnovers — is compared with the league of the same season.

2026 season in progress: 4 games at most per team. The rating and the season pulse will move a lot before the end.

#Team5 yrs2026RatingRecord
1Chicago Bears↑ +36+2862-1
2Seattle Seahawks↑ +21-14882-1
3Los Angeles Rams→ +19-50621-2
4Las Vegas Raiders→ +18+100913-0
5Jacksonville Jaguars→ +17-2922-1
6Denver Broncos→ +16-46502-1
7Minnesota Vikings→ +15+44833-0
8Carolina Panthers→ +15+30591-2
9Houston Texans→ +12-82180-3
10Arizona Cardinals→ +10+28281-2
11New England Patriots→ +5-78211-2
12Indianapolis Colts→ +4-50171-2
13Atlanta Falcons→ +2-22231-2
14Washington Commanders→ +1+23291-2
15Detroit Lions→ 0-13562-1
16New York Giants→ 0+28302-1
17Pittsburgh Steelers→ -2-24422-2
18New York Jets→ -3+71401-2
19Kansas City Chiefs→ -4+58953-0
20Cleveland Browns→ -6+38423-1
21Green Bay Packers→ -6-43201-2
22Cincinnati Bengals→ -8+64842-1
23Baltimore Ravens→ -10+26782-1
24Los Angeles Chargers→ -10-6680-3
25Buffalo Bills→ -10-1913-0
26New Orleans Saints→ -11+3321-2
27Tampa Bay Buccaneers→ -11-32130-3
28San Francisco 49ers→ -12+41973-0
29Tennessee Titans→ -13+2190-3
30Philadelphia Eagles↓ -20-45362-1
31Miami Dolphins↓ -28-4030-3
32Dallas Cowboys↓ -34+9431-2
How it's calculated

For each season, nflverse play-by-play gives five measures per team, each turned into an index against the league of the same season (100 + 10 standard deviations): results (win %), offense (EPA per play), defense (EPA per play allowed, lower is better), special teams (EPA per game) and turnovers (takeaways minus giveaways, per game). The season rating weights them — results 20%, offense 25%, defense 25%, special teams 7%, turnovers 8%, roster (players' OV weighted by snaps) 15% — re-standardizes the total across the 32 teams and converts it to 0–100. The 5-year pulse is the slope of the overall index over five seasons (5 points per season = +40); the season pulse, the gap with the season before; roster, the observed trend of regular players weighted by snaps. Arrows show each dimension's slope over five seasons.

Data: nflverse. PickALeague calculations.