Gage
Goncalves
C · TBL · Defensive · Above average
- PAL
- 61
- WAR
- 1.1
- Value
- 72
- PTS
- 33
2025-26№ 158 / 615
Gage Goncalves (Tampa Bay Lightning) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Gage Goncalves
#93CPlays: Winger · 3% of faceoffs
Tampa Bay Lightning
HEIGHT : 188 cm · WEIGHT : 88 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : January 15, 2001 · Mission, Canada
Drafted : 2020 · TBL · round 2, pick #62
Contract : $1,200,000 · 2025-26 → 2026-27 · Standard Contract (Extension) · RFA (Arb)
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 15 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 74 | 11 | 22 | 33 | 41 |
| 2024-25 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 60 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 14 |
| 2023-24 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| NHL totals | 151 | 19 | 37 | 56 | 61 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 2024-25 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Playoff totals | 12 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | |
Gage Goncalves: our analysis
2025-26 season: 74 GP, 11 G, 22 A, 33 PTS, +26 +/-, 13:05 TOI. WAR 1.1 (158th of 615) · PAL 61, above average.
In 2025-26, Gage Goncalves, 25, posts a PAL Rating of 61 out of 100 (above average), and his WAR of 1.1 ranks 158th among 615 regulars, in the top half.
His strengths: defense (89, among the best in the league) and possession (79, well above average). On the other hand, power play (4, among the weakest in the league) and creation (11, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV defense (+2.0); his biggest cost: power play (-0.3).
A clear step forward: his PAL went from 18 in 2024-25 to 61; his WAR went from 0.4 to 1.1.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 72 (good value) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Gage Goncalves's story
Born January 16, 2001, Gage Goncalves developed his early hockey at the Yale Hockey Academy in Abbotsford, where he played bantam and was part of a team that won the Canadian Sport School Bantam Hockey League. He did not hear his name called in the 2016 bantam draft, yet continued his path toward major junior hockey.
Goncalves moved into the WHL with the Everett Silvertips, carving out a role as a dependable offensive player. His play drew NHL attention and on October 7, 2020, the Tampa Bay Lightning selected him with the 62nd overall pick in the second round of the 2020 NHL Entry Draft.
The 2020–21 season proved pivotal: Goncalves helped Everett claim the U.S. Division title and finished as that division’s top scorer, posting 34 points in just 23 games — a total that tied for third overall in the WHL that year. Those numbers highlighted his capacity to generate offence at a high clip against his peers.
By January 11, 2024, his work in the American Hockey League with the Syracuse Crunch had produced 7 goals and 23 assists for 30 points, earning him a selection to the 2024 AHL All-Star Classic. Tampa Bay called him up the same day; he made his NHL debut that night and took part in the Lightning’s 4–3 win over the New Jersey Devils at Amalie Arena.
Goncalves’ game centres on playmaking and consistent point production. His vision and passing have been the backbone of his offensive contributions from junior through the AHL, traits that prompted the Lightning to give him an opportunity at the NHL level.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 15:26
- PP TOI/GP
- 1:16
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:11
- Pts/GP
- 0.20
- EV points
- 2
- Hits
- 20
- Blocks
- 7
- Takeaways
- 3
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 55.4 %
- Off. zone starts
- 37.1 %
- Faceoffs
- 50.0 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
37between 18 and 56 (80% range)
- Goals
- 10
- Assists
- 26
- Games
- 97
So far: 3 pts in 15 games. The team has played 0 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.41 pts per game (last season: 0.45).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Trending up
- Points per game: 0.33 in 24-25, 0.45 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 18 → 61
Outlook, age included
↑ Trending upAge 25: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 63 %
76
Established NHL
- SK
- Skating
- 60
- Confidence 67 %
- ST
- Strength
- 82
- Confidence 68 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 70
- Confidence 67 %
- DU
- Durability
- 64
- Confidence 67 %
- CK
- Checking
- 79
- Confidence 68 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 72
- Confidence 45 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 74
- Confidence 68 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 76
- Confidence 63 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 72
- Confidence 63 %
- DF
- Defense
- 84
- Confidence 58 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 90
- Confidence 37 %
- EX
- Experience
- 62
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating60
- Top speed (35 %)35.7 · 68
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)4.308 · 65
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.2 · 72
- Speed consistency (15 %)32.2 · 42
ST — Strength82
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)5.394 · 86
- Body mass (50 %)-0.372 · 73
EN — Endurance70
- Ice time per game (45 %)13.4 · 67
- Total ice time (20 %)952 · 72
- Shift length (15 %)45.2 · 76
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)12.9 · 71
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.419 · 59
DU — Durability64
- Share of games played (100 %)0.729 · 64
CK — Checking79
- Hits /60 (70 %)5.092 · 78
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)4.927 · 80
- Season volume (10 %)4.454 · 79
FG — Fighting72
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.771 · 72
DI — Discipline74
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.016 · 75
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.746 · 68
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.843 · 80
PA — Passing76
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.626 · 74
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.619 · 83
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.012 · 70
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)3.744 · 62
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.546 · 78
SC — Scoring72
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.715 · 72
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.666 · 65
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.053 · 79
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.181 · 71
- xG per shot (10 %)0.083 · 77
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)10.3 · 62
DF — Defense84
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.077 · 82
- Relative xG against (20 %)-0.212 · 85
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.335 · 93
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.027 · 72
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-2.01 · 61
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)54.6 · 91
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.342 · 70
PS — Penalty shot90
- Shootouts (60 %)36.4 · 93
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience62
- Career regular-season games (65 %)69
- Career playoff games (25 %)48
- NHL seasons (10 %)47
OV — Overall76
- SC · Scoring (20 %)72
- PA · Passing (20 %)76
- DF · Defense (20 %)84
- SK · Skating (12 %)60
- EN · Endurance (8 %)70
- DI · Discipline (5 %)74
- ST · Strength (3 %)82
- CK · Checking (2 %)79
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 76 | 60 | 72 | 84 |
| 2024-25 | 65 | 56 | 69 | 76 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
1.1
wins above replacement
158 of 615
PAL Rating
61/ 100
Performance · Above average
170 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
72/ 100
Good value
1.20 M$ · expected PAL 39
ProfileDefensiveValue comes mostly from defense
- Offense
- 39
- Defense
- 84
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 45
- Creation
- 11
- Shooting
- 45
- Possession
- 79
- Defense
- 89
- Discipline
- 51
- Power play
- 4
- Penalty kill
- 12
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TBL | 1.1 | 61 | 72 | 1.20 M$ |
| 2024-25 | TBL | 0.4 | 18 | 35 | 0.78 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
25/ 100
Below average
better than 25% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
54/ 100
Average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
19/ 100
Low
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 316 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 32
- Shot selection
- 73
- Penalties drawn
- 83
- Puck management
- 6
Defense
- Takeaways
- 75
- Discipline
- 26
- Safe zone exits
- 8
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TBL | 25 | 54 | 19 |
| 2024-25 | TBL | 52 | 26 | 74 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
1.1
wins above replacement
0.2 to 1.9 — 90% interval
158 of 615 forwards
+5.6 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- -0.0
- EV defense
- +2.0
- Power play
- -0.3
- Penalty kill
- -0.0
- Shooting
- +1.1
- Penalties
- +0.3
- Average → replacement
- +2.5
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TBL | 74 | 1.1 | 0.2 to 1.9 | 158/615 |
| 2024-25 | TBL | 57 | 0.4 | -0.1 to 1.0 | 260/596 |
| 2023-24 | TBL | 2 | -0.1 | -0.1 to -0.0 | 445/608 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 140.3 km/h80th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 33.3 km/h8th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 1029th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 43.6 %69th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 58.4 km48th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 4.59 km52nd percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 42.9 %81st percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 18.6 %76th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 37.8 %72nd percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 1335th percentile | 024th percentile | 0.0 %3rd percentile |
| High danger | 433rd percentile | 034th percentile | 0.0 %10th percentile |
| Mid range | 867th percentile | 054th percentile | 0.0 %32nd percentile |
| Long range | 031st percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
MIN
CHI
DET
NSH
WPG
UTA
COL
VGK
VAN
NYR
NYI
PHI
WSHGage Goncalves: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Gage Goncalves have in 2026-27?
Gage Goncalves has 0 goals and 3 points (3 assists) in 15 games in 2026-27.
How old is Gage Goncalves?
Gage Goncalves is 25 years old: he was born on January 16, 2001.
How tall is Gage Goncalves, and how much does he weigh?
Gage Goncalves is 6'2" (188 cm) and weighs 194 lb (88 kg).
Where is Gage Goncalves from?
Canada: Gage Goncalves was born in Mission, British Columbia, Canada.
What team does Gage Goncalves play for?
Gage Goncalves plays for the Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL, at C, wearing number 93.
Is Gage Goncalves injured?
No: Gage Goncalves is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Gage Goncalves?
Gage Goncalves produced 1.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 158th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 61 out of 100: above average for his position.
How much does Gage Goncalves make?
Gage Goncalves earns $1.2M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 72 out of 100 (good value): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Gage Goncalves's contract end?
Gage Goncalves's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be a restricted free agent.
Is Gage Goncalves overpaid?
No, he gives more than he costs. His Value rating is 72 out of 100 (good value), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Gage Goncalves a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 158th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Gage Goncalves getting better?
Yes: his PAL rating went from 18 in 2024-25 to 61 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Gage Goncalves played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Gage Goncalves has 3 points (0 goals, 3 assists).
What are Gage Goncalves's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Gage Goncalves has 151 games, 19 goals, 37 assists and 56 points. His best season: 2025-26, with 33 points in 74 games.
Where was Gage Goncalves drafted?
Gage Goncalves was drafted 62nd overall (round 2) by Tampa Bay Lightning in 2020.
Is Gage Goncalves better at home or on the road?
At home: in 2026-27, he averages 0.29 points per game at home (2 in 7 games) and 0.13 on the road (1 in 8 games).
How does Gage Goncalves perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Gage Goncalves has 12 games and 7 points in his career. His pace (0.58 points per game) is higher than his regular-season pace (0.37).
Which player is most similar to Gage Goncalves?
Parker Kelly: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Parker Kelly's page →Is Gage Goncalves a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 37 points in 2026-27, or 0.38 points per game.
What is Gage Goncalves's nationality?
Gage Goncalves is Canadian.
What awards has Gage Goncalves won?
Top scorer of the WHL U.S. Division (2020–21 season) ; Named to the American Hockey League All-Star Classic (2024).
How many championships has Gage Goncalves won?
2: Won the Canadian Sport School Bantam Hockey League with the Yale Hockey Academy; U.S. Division title with the Everett Silvertips (2020–21 season).
Where did Gage Goncalves play before turning pro?
Yale Hockey Academy (bantam, Abbotsford); Everett Silvertips (WHL) — joined after going undrafted in the 2016 bantam draft.
How many points is Gage Goncalves projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 37 points in 97 games in 2026-27 (18 to 56 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Tampa Bay Lightning teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)