Parker
Kelly
C · COL · Defensive · Excellent
- PAL
- 81
- WAR
- 2.1
- Value
- 93
- PTS
- 35
2025-26№ 65 / 615
Parker Kelly (Colorado Avalanche) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Parker Kelly
#17CPlays: Winger · 20% of faceoffs
Colorado Avalanche
HEIGHT : 185 cm · WEIGHT : 84 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : May 13, 1999 · Camrose, Canada
Contract : $1,700,000 · 2026-27 → 2029-30 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFA
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Colorado Avalanche | 18 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| 2025-26 | Colorado Avalanche | 82 | 21 | 14 | 35 | 30 |
| 2024-25 | Colorado Avalanche | 80 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 29 |
| 2023-24 | Ottawa Senators | 80 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 30 |
| 2022-23 | Ottawa Senators | 55 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 37 |
| 2021-22 | Ottawa Senators | 41 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 60 |
| 2020-21 | Ottawa Senators | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| NHL totals | 357 | 49 | 47 | 96 | 195 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Colorado Avalanche | 13 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 2024-25 | Colorado Avalanche | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 |
| Playoff totals | 20 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 26 | |
Parker Kelly: our analysis
2025-26 season: 82 GP, 21 G, 14 A, 35 PTS, +18 +/-, 12:42 TOI. WAR 2.1 (65th of 615) · PAL 81, excellent.
In 2025-26, Parker Kelly, 27, posts a PAL Rating of 81 out of 100 (excellent), and his WAR of 2.1 ranks 65th among 615 regulars, in the top quarter.
His strengths: defense (96, among the best in the league), possession (81, well above average) and shooting (78, well above average). On the other hand, penalty kill (9, among the weakest in the league) and power play (25, well below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: finishing (+8.4); his biggest cost: EV offense (-2.5).
A clear step forward: his PAL went from 67 in 2024-25 to 81; his WAR went from -0.2 to 2.1.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 93 (exceptional value) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Parker Kelly's story
Growing up in Camrose, Alberta, Parker Kelly learned his trade in local bantam and junior ranks, compiling eye-catching numbers with the Camrose Vikings before the Prince Albert Raiders selected him in the seventh round of the 2014 WHL Bantam Draft. Known early on for a pesky, physical approach that annoyed opponents, he left junior with team rookie and scholastic awards and steadily increased his offensive output during successive WHL seasons.
Kelly signed a three-year entry-level deal with the Ottawa Senators on 19 September 2017 and completed his junior development before turning professional. He split time between the Raiders and the Senators’ AHL affiliate in Belleville, where a full 2019–20 season saw him tally 16 points in 57 games. His junior totals (including a 67-point campaign in 64 games) helped justify the organization’s investment and paved the way to NHL opportunities.
Ottawa called Kelly up at the end of the 2020–21 season; he made his NHL debut on 12 May 2021 against Toronto and scored on his only shot while logging 7:32 of ice time. Over the next seasons he became a fourth-line fixture and moved frequently between Belleville and Ottawa, signing a two-year extension in October 2021. A broken kneecap on 23 March 2023 ended that season prematurely, but he returned the following year to set new personal highs in games and offensive production.
In 2023–24 Kelly registered career-best totals with Ottawa—8 goals and 18 points in 80 games—including his first shorthanded goal on 11 October 2023 and two shorthanded goals overall, tying for the team lead. When Ottawa did not extend a qualifying offer on 30 June 2024 he became a free agent and signed a two-year, $1.65-million contract with the Colorado Avalanche on 1 July 2024.
With Colorado he debuted on 9 October 2024 and scored his first Avalanche goal on 15 November 2024. Kelly showed versatility by centering the fourth line and later sliding to wing after roster changes, finishing the 2024–25 regular season with career highs in assists (11) and points (19) and appearing in the playoffs, where he posted one assist in seven games. His first season in Colorado led to a four-year extension on 1 July 2025, and he continued to raise his scoring marks in 2025–26, including a playoff game-winning goal on 11 May 2026 against Minnesota.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 13:01
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:02
- SH TOI/GP
- 2:21
- Pts/GP
- 0.39
- EV points
- 7
- Hits
- 22
- Blocks
- 13
- Takeaways
- 2
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 53.7 %
- Off. zone starts
- 27.5 %
- Faceoffs
- 28.9 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
33between 16 and 50 (80% range)
- Goals
- 17
- Assists
- 17
- Games
- 83
So far: 7 pts in 18 games. The team has played 18 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.40 pts per game (last season: 0.43).
Three straight seasons of growth. Since 2018, of 97 players in that spot, 23 kept improving the next season; on average, their pace fell back to 90% of their best season.
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Trending up
- Points per game: 0.23 in 23-24, 0.43 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 67 → 81
Outlook, age included
↑ Trending upAge 27: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 78 %
73
Established NHL
- SK
- Skating
- 75
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 87
- Confidence 81 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 63
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 83
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 89
- Confidence 81 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 79
- Confidence 65 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 78
- Confidence 81 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 51
- Confidence 70 %
- PA
- Passing
- 55
- Confidence 78 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 75
- Confidence 78 %
- DF
- Defense
- 93
- Confidence 74 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 76
- Confidence 0 %
- EX
- Experience
- 74
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating75
- Top speed (35 %)36 · 73
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)6.806 · 78
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.3 · 74
- Speed consistency (15 %)35.1 · 70
ST — Strength87
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)6.712 · 97
- Body mass (50 %)-0.871 · 67
EN — Endurance63
- Ice time per game (45 %)12.8 · 62
- Total ice time (20 %)1,025 · 73
- Shift length (15 %)40.8 · 52
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)11.1 · 60
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)2.212 · 73
DU — Durability83
- Share of games played (100 %)0.865 · 83
CK — Checking89
- Hits /60 (70 %)9.238 · 89
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)8.517 · 90
- Season volume (10 %)5.182 · 89
FG — Fighting79
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.926 · 79
DI — Discipline78
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.031 · 79
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.824 · 64
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)1.004 · 86
FO — Faceoffs51
- Faceoff % (85 %)44.5 · 52
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)22.4 · 63
PA — Passing55
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.463 · 60
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.402 · 69
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)-0.152 · 51
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.55 · 76
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.184 · 50
SC — Scoring75
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.879 · 78
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.675 · 66
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.59 · 86
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.083 · 66
- xG per shot (10 %)0.079 · 62
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)12.2 · 75
DF — Defense93
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.122 · 88
- Relative xG against (20 %)-0.4 · 96
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.205 · 97
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.053 · 69
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.279 · 77
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)56.4 · 82
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)4.072 · 91
PS — Penalty shot76
- Shootouts (60 %)32.7 · 76
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience74
- Career regular-season games (65 %)82
- Career playoff games (25 %)57
- NHL seasons (10 %)66
OV — Overall73
- SC · Scoring (20 %)75
- PA · Passing (20 %)55
- DF · Defense (20 %)93
- SK · Skating (12 %)75
- FO · Faceoffs (10 %)51
- EN · Endurance (8 %)63
- DI · Discipline (5 %)78
- ST · Strength (3 %)87
- CK · Checking (2 %)89
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 73 | 75 | 75 | 93 |
| 2024-25 | 61 | 75 | 58 | 92 |
| 2023-24 | 53 | 74 | 48 | 90 |
| 2022-23 | 56 | 79 | 49 | 83 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
2.1
wins above replacement
65 of 615
PAL Rating
81/ 100
Performance · Excellent
81 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
93/ 100
Exceptional value
0.83 M$ · expected PAL 33
ProfileDefensiveValue comes mostly from defense
- Offense
- 58
- Defense
- 91
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 56
- Creation
- 30
- Shooting
- 78
- Possession
- 81
- Defense
- 96
- Discipline
- 58
- Power play
- 25
- Penalty kill
- 9
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | COL | 2.1 | 81 | 93 | 0.83 M$ |
| 2024-25 | COL | -0.2 | 67 | 84 | 0.83 M$ |
| 2023-24 | OTT | -0.0 | 66 | 81 | 0.76 M$ |
| 2022-23 | OTT | -0.7 | 26 | 41 | 0.76 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
28/ 100
Below average
better than 28% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
66/ 100
Average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
18/ 100
Low
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 304 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 33
- Shot selection
- 35
- Penalties drawn
- 84
- Puck management
- 77
Defense
- Takeaways
- 35
- Discipline
- 18
- Safe zone exits
- 42
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | COL | 28 | 66 | 18 |
| 2024-25 | COL | 27 | 24 | 38 |
| 2023-24 | OTT | 43 | 59 | 34 |
| 2022-23 | OTT | 44 | 44 | 50 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
2.1
wins above replacement
0.6 to 3.1 — 90% interval
65 of 615 forwards
+11.0 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- -2.5
- EV defense
- +2.4
- Power play
- -0.0
- Penalty kill
- -0.5
- Shooting
- +8.4
- Penalties
- +0.5
- Average → replacement
- +2.7
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | COL | 82 | 2.1 | 0.6 to 3.1 | 65/615 |
| 2024-25 | COL | 76 | -0.2 | -1.1 to 0.4 | 490/596 |
| 2023-24 | OTT | 80 | -0.0 | -0.6 to 0.6 | 408/608 |
| 2022-23 | OTT | 55 | -0.7 | -1.1 to -0.4 | 587/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 142.7 km/h86th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 35.3 km/h55th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 2364th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 41.4 %43rd percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 59.9 km52nd percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 4.05 km34th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 43.8 %89th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 17.8 %37th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 40.8 %37th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 2050th percentile | 366th percentile | 15.0 %60th percentile |
| High danger | 327th percentile | 034th percentile | 0.0 %10th percentile |
| Mid range | 1179th percentile | 396th percentile | 27.3 %89th percentile |
| Long range | 272nd percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
DET
NSH
CBJ
CHI
CGY
NJD
TBL
PHI
PIT
DAL
TOR
WPG
STL
LAKParker Kelly: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Parker Kelly have in 2026-27?
Parker Kelly has 3 goals and 7 points (4 assists) in 18 games in 2026-27.
How old is Parker Kelly?
Parker Kelly is 27 years old: he was born on May 14, 1999.
How tall is Parker Kelly, and how much does he weigh?
Parker Kelly is 6'1" (185 cm) and weighs 185 lb (84 kg).
Where is Parker Kelly from?
Canada: Parker Kelly was born in Camrose, Alberta, Canada.
What team does Parker Kelly play for?
Parker Kelly plays for the Colorado Avalanche in the NHL, at C, wearing number 17.
Is Parker Kelly injured?
No: Parker Kelly is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Parker Kelly?
Parker Kelly produced 2.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 65th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 81 out of 100: excellent for his position.
How much does Parker Kelly make?
Parker Kelly earns $825K for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 93 out of 100 (exceptional value): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Parker Kelly's contract end?
Parker Kelly's contract runs through the 2029-30 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent.
Is Parker Kelly overpaid?
No, he gives more than he costs. His Value rating is 93 out of 100 (exceptional value), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Parker Kelly a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 65th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Parker Kelly getting better?
Yes: his PAL rating went from 67 in 2024-25 to 81 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Parker Kelly played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Parker Kelly has 2 points (2 goals, 0 assists).
What are Parker Kelly's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Parker Kelly has 357 games, 49 goals, 47 assists and 96 points. His best season: 2025-26, with 35 points in 82 games.
Is Parker Kelly better at home or on the road?
At home: in 2026-27, he averages 0.60 points per game at home (6 in 10 games) and 0.13 on the road (1 in 8 games).
How does Parker Kelly perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Parker Kelly has 20 games and 5 points in his career. His pace (0.25 points per game) is similar to his regular-season pace (0.27).
Which player is most similar to Parker Kelly?
Kailer Yamamoto: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Kailer Yamamoto's page →Is Parker Kelly a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 33 points in 2026-27, or 0.40 points per game.
What is Parker Kelly's nationality?
Parker Kelly is Canadian.
What awards has Parker Kelly won?
Team award: Rookie of the Year (Prince Albert Raiders) ; Team award: Scholastic Player of the Year (Prince Albert Raiders).
What is Parker Kelly's nickname?
He is nicknamed "Pesky Parker Kelly".
Where did Parker Kelly play before turning pro?
Camrose Vikings (Bantam AAA); Sherwood Park Kings and Camrose Kodiaks (remainder of the 2014–15 season); Prince Albert Raiders (WHL), through the 2018–19 season.
How many points is Parker Kelly projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 33 points in 83 games in 2026-27 (16 to 50 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Colorado Avalanche teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)