Thomas
Harley
D · DAL · Offensive · Above average
- PAL
- 62
- WAR
- 1.0
- Value
- 51
- PTS
- 36
2025-26№ 75 / 325
Thomas Harley (Dallas Stars) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Thomas Harley
#55D
Dallas Stars
HEIGHT : 191 cm · WEIGHT : 97 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : August 18, 2001 · Syracuse, United States
Drafted : 2019 · DAL · round 1, pick #18
Contract : $10,587,000 · 2026-27 → 2033-34 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFA · Signing bonus $4,000,000NMC
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Dallas Stars | 17 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 10 |
| 2025-26 | Dallas Stars | 70 | 6 | 30 | 36 | 26 |
| 2024-25 | Dallas Stars | 78 | 16 | 34 | 50 | 16 |
| 2023-24 | Dallas Stars | 79 | 15 | 32 | 47 | 18 |
| 2022-23 | Dallas Stars | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 2021-22 | Dallas Stars | 34 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| NHL totals | 284 | 40 | 110 | 150 | 78 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Dallas Stars | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2024-25 | Dallas Stars | 18 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 10 |
| 2023-24 | Dallas Stars | 19 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 2022-23 | Dallas Stars | 19 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 14 |
| 2019-20 | Dallas Stars | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Playoff totals | 63 | 5 | 22 | 27 | 26 | |
Thomas Harley: our analysis
2025-26 season: 70 GP, 6 G, 30 A, 36 PTS, +3 +/-, 23:03 TOI. WAR 1.0 (75th of 325) · PAL 62, above average.
In 2025-26, Thomas Harley, 25, posts a PAL Rating of 62 out of 100 (above average), and his WAR of 1.0 ranks 75th among 325 regulars, in the top quarter.
His strengths: power play (94, among the best in the league), offense (79, well above average) and penalty kill (78, well above average). On the other hand, defense (24, well below average) and discipline (34, below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV offense (+3.6); his biggest cost: penalties (-1.4).
A marked decline: his PAL was 96 in 2024-25, against 62 now; his WAR went from 3.4 to 1.0.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 51 (fair value) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Thomas Harley's story
Born in Syracuse to parents from Edmonton, Harley learned hockey in a family that lived and breathed the sport. He spent his youth playing in Syracuse, coached often by his father; originally a forward, he was moved to defence to meet a team need and stayed there as his game developed. Though American by birth, Harley grew up with a Canadian identity and holds dual citizenship.
Mississauga selected him 14th overall in the 2017 OHL Priority Draft, and he used junior hockey to raise his profile. After a quiet rookie year he emerged in 2018–19 with 11 goals and 58 points across 68 games, earning the Bobby Smith Trophy as the OHL’s scholastic player of the year and a spot on the Third All‑Star Team. He followed with another productive season in 2019–20 before shifting focus to the pro ranks.
Dallas picked Harley 18th overall at the 2019 NHL Entry Draft and signed him to a three‑year entry‑level contract on 23 September 2019. He made his NHL debut during the club’s 2020 bubble run, on 5 August, and subsequently split time between the Stars and the AHL’s Texas Stars. In the AHL he made an immediate impact—scoring an overtime winner on 8 February 2021 and finishing the rookie AHL campaign with the most goals among defencemen. His first NHL assist came on 28 February and his first NHL goal on 28 April, and by 2023–24 he had secured a regular spot, finishing that season with 15 goals and 32 assists for 47 points in 79 games.
Internationally, Harley opted to represent Canada. He wore Canada Black at the 2017 U‑17 Challenge, played at the 2019 U18 Worlds (1G, 3A), was part of the 2021 World Junior program, and joined the senior team during the 4 Nations Face‑Off where Canada won the tournament; he was later named to Canada’s roster for the 2026 Winter Olympics.
On ice, Harley is known for his transition game and offensive instincts from the back end. Scouts have highlighted his creativity and ability to jump into plays, while coaching staff have also focused his development on stronger defensive positioning, allowing him to contribute on both the power play and penalty kill.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 24:57
- PP TOI/GP
- 1:19
- SH TOI/GP
- 2:09
- Pts/GP
- 0.65
- EV points
- 6
- Hits
- 17
- Blocks
- 39
- Takeaways
- 8
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 52.4 %
- Off. zone starts
- 40.6 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
44between 28 and 58 (80% range)
- Goals
- 8
- Assists
- 36
- Games
- 78
So far: 11 pts in 17 games. The team has played 17 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.54 pts per game (last season: 0.51).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Slight decline
- Points per game: 0.59 in 23-24, 0.51 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 96 → 62
Outlook, age included
↘ Slight declineAge 25: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 83 %
84
Very good
- SK
- Skating
- 80
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 81
- Confidence 86 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 85
- Confidence 75 %
- DU
- Durability
- 72
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 65
- Confidence 86 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 65
- Confidence 59 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 76
- Confidence 86 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 86
- Confidence 83 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 86
- Confidence 83 %
- DF
- Defense
- 68
- Confidence 81 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 67
- Confidence 8 %
- EX
- Experience
- 77
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating80
- Top speed (35 %)35.6 · 77
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)2.372 · 80
- Distance /60 (20 %)14.7 · 87
- Speed consistency (15 %)34.2 · 69
ST — Strength81
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)5.712 · 79
- Body mass (50 %)0.793 · 80
EN — Endurance85
- Ice time per game (45 %)21.4 · 85
- Total ice time (20 %)1,568 · 79
- Shift length (15 %)52.7 · 88
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)19.7 · 83
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)2.96 · 82
DU — Durability72
- Share of games played (100 %)0.8 · 72
CK — Checking65
- Hits /60 (70 %)1.867 · 64
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)1.627 · 65
- Season volume (10 %)3.689 · 72
FG — Fighting65
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.7 · 65
DI — Discipline76
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)-0.037 · 76
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.447 · 85
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.228 · 53
PA — Passing86
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.536 · 85
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.573 · 85
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.129 · 86
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.321 · 81
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.431 · 88
SC — Scoring86
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.357 · 86
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.276 · 83
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.629 · 87
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)0.155 · 83
- xG per shot (10 %)0.036 · 85
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)11.7 · 83
DF — Defense68
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.006 · 73
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.299 · 48
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.743 · 66
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.156 · 86
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-2.014 · 74
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)58.4 · 74
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)4.959 · 80
PS — Penalty shot67
- Shootouts (60 %)32 · 65
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience77
- Career regular-season games (65 %)79
- Career playoff games (25 %)78
- NHL seasons (10 %)61
OV — Overall84
- DF · Defense (30 %)68
- PA · Passing (22 %)86
- SK · Skating (12 %)80
- SC · Scoring (12 %)86
- EN · Endurance (9 %)85
- ST · Strength (6 %)81
- DI · Discipline (5 %)76
- CK · Checking (4 %)65
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 84 | 80 | 86 | 68 |
| 2024-25 | 89 | 83 | 93 | 73 |
| 2023-24 | 90 | 84 | 90 | 78 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
1.0
wins above replacement
75 of 325
PAL Rating
62/ 100
Performance · Above average
87 of 250 at the position
Value Rating
51/ 100
Fair value
4.00 M$ · expected PAL 62
ProfileOffensiveValue comes mostly from offense
- Offense
- 79
- Defense
- 34
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 79
- Creation
- 64
- Shooting
- 71
- Possession
- 44
- Defense
- 24
- Discipline
- 34
- Power play
- 94
- Penalty kill
- 78
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 1.0 | 62 | 51 | 4.00 M$ |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 3.4 | 96 | 97 | 4.00 M$ |
| 2023-24 | DAL | 2.5 | 94 | 99 | 0.86 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
86/ 100
Very good
better than 86% of defensemen, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
63/ 100
Average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
91/ 100
Elite
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 31 of 225 defensemen.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 80
- Shot selection
- 78
- Penalties drawn
- 4
- Puck management
- 66
Defense
- Takeaways
- 95
- Discipline
- 71
- Safe zone exits
- 60
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 86 | 63 | 91 |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 71 | 66 | 68 |
| 2023-24 | DAL | 88 | 46 | 95 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
1.0
wins above replacement
0.3 to 2.0 — 90% interval
75 of 325 defensemen
+5.0 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +3.6
- EV defense
- -1.1
- Power play
- +0.8
- Penalty kill
- +0.4
- Shooting
- -0.6
- Penalties
- -1.4
- Average → replacement
- +3.3
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 70 | 1.0 | 0.3 to 2.0 | 75/325 |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 76 | 3.4 | 2.4 to 5.2 | 3/314 |
| 2023-24 | DAL | 79 | 2.5 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 10/316 |
| 2022-23 | DAL | 6 | 0.0 | -0.1 to 0.1 | 185/334 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 145.0 km/h64th percentileleague avg. 139.7 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 34.1 km/h52nd percentileleague avg. 34.0 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 1887th percentileleague avg. 8
- Offensive zone time
- 43.6 %79th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 98.6 km95th percentileleague avg. 56.1 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 6.74 km92nd percentileleague avg. 4.98 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 43.4 %70th percentileleague avg. 42.8 %
- Neutral zone time
- 17.6 %25th percentileleague avg. 16.9 %
- Defensive zone time
- 38.8 %70th percentileleague avg. 40.8 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 3492nd percentile | 287th percentile | 5.9 %55th percentile |
| High danger | 498th percentile | 084th percentile | 0.0 %60th percentile |
| Mid range | 1093rd percentile | 073rd percentile | 0.0 %50th percentile |
| Long range | 1485th percentile | 195th percentile | 7.1 %81st percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
SJS
CBJ
WSH
MTL
NJD
NYI
WPG
BOS
CHI
COL
PIT
BUF
NSH
STLThomas Harley: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Thomas Harley have in 2026-27?
Thomas Harley has 2 goals and 11 points (9 assists) in 17 games in 2026-27.
How old is Thomas Harley?
Thomas Harley is 25 years old: he was born on August 19, 2001.
How tall is Thomas Harley, and how much does he weigh?
Thomas Harley is 6'3" (191 cm) and weighs 214 lb (97 kg).
Where is Thomas Harley from?
United States: Thomas Harley was born in Syracuse, New York, United States.
What team does Thomas Harley play for?
Thomas Harley plays for the Dallas Stars in the NHL, at D, wearing number 55.
Is Thomas Harley injured?
No: Thomas Harley is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Thomas Harley?
Thomas Harley produced 1.0 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 75th of 325 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 62 out of 100: above average for his position.
How much does Thomas Harley make?
Thomas Harley earns $4.0M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 51 out of 100 (fair value): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Thomas Harley's contract end?
Thomas Harley's contract runs through the 2033-34 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent. It includes a NMC clause.
Is Thomas Harley overpaid?
Neither: he delivers about what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 51 out of 100 (fair value), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Thomas Harley a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 75th of 325 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Thomas Harley getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 96 in 2024-25 to 62 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Thomas Harley played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Thomas Harley has 9 points (2 goals, 7 assists).
What are Thomas Harley's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Thomas Harley has 284 games, 40 goals, 110 assists and 150 points. His best season: 2024-25, with 50 points in 78 games.
Where was Thomas Harley drafted?
Thomas Harley was drafted 18th overall (round 1) by Dallas Stars in 2019.
Is Thomas Harley better at home or on the road?
On the road: in 2026-27, he averages 0.60 points per game at home (6 in 10 games) and 0.71 on the road (5 in 7 games).
How does Thomas Harley perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Thomas Harley has 63 games and 27 points in his career. His pace (0.43 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (0.53).
Which player is most similar to Thomas Harley?
Mikhail Sergachev: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Mikhail Sergachev's page →Is Thomas Harley a good fantasy pick?
A useful depth pick: our projection has him at 44 points in 2026-27, or 0.56 points per game.
Does Thomas Harley have siblings?
Yes: his older brother Stuart Harley (played for the Milwaukee School of Engineering), his younger brother Greg Harley (played Junior 'A' for the Hearst Lumberjacks before attending Iowa State University, where he plays now), his older sister Emilie Harley (played college hockey for Robert Morris University before being drafted into the Premier Hockey Federation).
Is Thomas Harley related to anyone famous?
Yes: Brian Harley (father, played for the University of Alberta).
What is Thomas Harley's nationality?
Thomas Harley is Canadian. Internationally: Canada — represented Canada at the 2017 World U‑17 Hockey Challenge (Team Canada Black, 7th place); 2019 U18 World Championships (4th place; 1 goal and 3 assists); named to the final roster for the 2021 World Junior Championships; played in the 4 Nations Face‑Off (one assist; Canada won the tournament); named to Canada's roster for the 2026 Winter Olympics.
What awards has Thomas Harley won?
Bobby Smith Trophy — OHL Scholastic Player of the Year (2018–19 season) ; OHL Third All‑Star Team (2018–19) ; Selected for the AHL All‑Star Game (2023).
How many championships has Thomas Harley won?
1: 4 Nations Face‑Off — Winner with Canada's senior team (Canada won the tournament; year not specified in the article).
Where did Thomas Harley play before turning pro?
Mississauga Steelheads (OHL), 2017–2020 (seasons 2017–18, 2018–19, 2019–20).
How many points is Thomas Harley projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 44 points in 78 games in 2026-27 (28 to 58 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Dallas Stars teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)