Jason
Robertson
L · DAL · Two-way · Elite
- PAL
- 99
- WAR
- 5.6
- Value
- 99
- PTS
- 96
2025-26№ 4 / 615
Jason Robertson (Dallas Stars) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Jason Robertson
#21LPlays: Left wing · 0% of faceoffs
Dallas Stars
HEIGHT : 191 cm · WEIGHT : 93 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : July 21, 1999 · Arcadia, United States
Drafted : 2017 · DAL · round 2, pick #39
Contract : $12,000,000 · 2026-27 → 2026-27 · Standard Contract · UFA
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Dallas Stars | 17 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 4 |
| 2025-26 | Dallas Stars | 82 | 45 | 51 | 96 | 32 |
| 2024-25 | Dallas Stars | 82 | 35 | 45 | 80 | 18 |
| 2023-24 | Dallas Stars | 82 | 29 | 51 | 80 | 22 |
| 2022-23 | Dallas Stars | 82 | 46 | 63 | 109 | 20 |
| 2021-22 | Dallas Stars | 74 | 41 | 38 | 79 | 22 |
| 2020-21 | Dallas Stars | 51 | 17 | 28 | 45 | 16 |
| 2019-20 | Dallas Stars | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| NHL totals | 473 | 222 | 287 | 509 | 134 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Dallas Stars | 6 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| 2024-25 | Dallas Stars | 11 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 2023-24 | Dallas Stars | 19 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 2022-23 | Dallas Stars | 19 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 2 |
| 2021-22 | Dallas Stars | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Playoff totals | 62 | 23 | 29 | 52 | 6 | |
Jason Robertson: our analysis
2025-26 season: 82 GP, 45 G, 51 A, 96 PTS, +22 +/-, 20:15 TOI. WAR 5.6 (4th of 615) · PAL 99, elite.
In 2025-26, Jason Robertson, 27, posts a PAL Rating of 99 out of 100 (elite), and his WAR of 5.6 ranks 4th among 615 regulars, among the league's elite.
His strengths: power play (100, among the best in the league), shooting (99, among the best in the league) and offense (95, among the best in the league).
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: finishing (+8.4).
A season in line with 2024-25 (PAL of 97); his WAR went from 5.1 to 5.6.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 99 (exceptional value) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Jason Robertson's story
Raised in a family of Kings fans, Jason Robertson first laced up skates in Southern California and moved with his family to Northville, Michigan at age ten to chase better hockey opportunities. He developed in Michigan minor programs and had a season in the Greater Toronto Hockey League before being taken into major junior hockey.
Kingston drafted him in 2015 and Robertson made the Frontenacs' roster as a 16-year-old. He stood out early, leading rookies on the club with 18 goals and then following with back-to-back 40-goal campaigns, a feat not seen in Kingston since Mike Zigomanis. Midway through 2018–19 he was traded to the Niagara IceDogs, where he finished the season with 48 goals and 117 points in 62 games to claim the Eddie Powers Trophy and the CHL Top Scorer Award.
After signing a three-year entry-level contract with Dallas, Robertson began pro life in the AHL with Texas but made his NHL debut on February 13, 2020, recording an assist in his first game. He broke into Dallas's lineup in 2020–21 and posted 17 goals and 28 assists in 51 games, earning a spot on the NHL All-Rookie Team and finishing second in Calder Trophy voting.
Robertson's scoring escalated in 2021–22: he tallied 41 goals and 79 points and became the first Stars player to score hat-tricks in consecutive games. He signed a four-year deal with Dallas on October 5, 2022, made the opening-night roster for 2022–23 and was selected to the 2023 NHL All-Star Game after reaching the 100-point mark for the season.
Internationally, Robertson represented the United States at the 2019 World Junior Championship, posting one goal and seven points in seven games as the U.S. took silver. On the ice he is defined by goal-scoring instincts, a quick release and a knack for creating offence by consistently generating shots and chances in the offensive zone.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 19:37
- PP TOI/GP
- 3:26
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:01
- Pts/GP
- 1.12
- EV points
- 13
- Hits
- 12
- Blocks
- 8
- Takeaways
- 8
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 56.2 %
- Off. zone starts
- 38.3 %
- Faceoffs
- 0.0 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
94between 69 and 112 (80% range)
- Goals
- 43
- Assists
- 51
- Games
- 83
So far: 19 pts in 17 games. The team has played 17 of 84 games. Projected pace: 1.14 pts per game (last season: 1.17).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Slightly up
- Points per game: 0.98 in 23-24, 1.17 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 97 → 99
Outlook, age included
↗ Slightly upAge 27: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 85 %
98
NHL elite
- SK
- Skating
- 63
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 76
- Confidence 88 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 91
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 94
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 67
- Confidence 88 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 43
- Confidence 67 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 81
- Confidence 88 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 90
- Confidence 85 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 96
- Confidence 85 %
- DF
- Defense
- 83
- Confidence 83 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 95
- Confidence 69 %
- EX
- Experience
- 83
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating63
- Top speed (35 %)35.7 · 70
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)2.366 · 55
- Distance /60 (20 %)16 · 71
- Speed consistency (15 %)34.9 · 69
ST — Strength76
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)3.698 · 71
- Body mass (50 %)0.281 · 80
EN — Endurance91
- Ice time per game (45 %)17.7 · 89
- Total ice time (20 %)1,578 · 96
- Shift length (15 %)51.6 · 89
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)16.4 · 86
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)3.223 · 86
DU — Durability94
- Share of games played (100 %)0.897 · 94
CK — Checking67
- Hits /60 (70 %)2.705 · 65
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)2.373 · 67
- Season volume (10 %)3.892 · 69
FG — Fighting43
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.651 · 43
DI — Discipline81
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.044 · 82
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.55 · 79
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.807 · 76
PA — Passing90
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.955 · 85
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.955 · 96
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.304 · 89
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)6.803 · 96
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.833 · 87
SC — Scoring96
- Goals /60 (25 %)1.509 · 94
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)1.153 · 89
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)1.362 · 92
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.856 · 87
- xG per shot (10 %)0.08 · 77
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)19.4 · 89
DF — Defense83
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.167 · 92
- Relative xG against (20 %)-0.029 · 77
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.55 · 78
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.035 · 69
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-2.159 · 61
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)57.9 · 77
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)1.923 · 67
PS — Penalty shot95
- Shootouts (60 %)44.9 · 96
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience83
- Career regular-season games (65 %)86
- Career playoff games (25 %)78
- NHL seasons (10 %)71
OV — Overall98
- SC · Scoring (28 %)96
- PA · Passing (22 %)90
- DF · Defense (18 %)83
- SK · Skating (12 %)63
- EN · Endurance (8 %)91
- DI · Discipline (5 %)81
- ST · Strength (4 %)76
- CK · Checking (3 %)67
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 98 | 63 | 96 | 83 |
| 2024-25 | 95 | 61 | 90 | 86 |
| 2023-24 | 96 | 62 | 87 | 92 |
| 2022-23 | 95 | 59 | 93 | 84 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
5.6
wins above replacement
4 of 615
PAL Rating
99/ 100
Performance · Elite
3 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
99/ 100
Exceptional value
7.75 M$ · expected PAL 72
ProfileTwo-wayStrong at both ends
- Offense
- 99
- Defense
- 82
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 95
- Creation
- 95
- Shooting
- 99
- Possession
- 94
- Defense
- 76
- Discipline
- 69
- Power play
- 100
- Penalty kill
- 49
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 5.6 | 99 | 99 | 7.75 M$ |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 5.1 | 97 | 94 | 7.75 M$ |
| 2023-24 | DAL | 4.1 | 96 | 92 | 7.75 M$ |
| 2022-23 | DAL | 5.5 | 99 | 99 | 7.75 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
61/ 100
Average
better than 61% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
72/ 100
Very good
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
41/ 100
Average
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 164 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 58
- Shot selection
- 63
- Penalties drawn
- 69
- Puck management
- 56
Defense
- Takeaways
- 57
- Discipline
- 40
- Safe zone exits
- 36
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 61 | 72 | 41 |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 78 | 63 | 79 |
| 2023-24 | DAL | 79 | 15 | 97 |
| 2022-23 | DAL | 74 | 15 | 97 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
5.6
wins above replacement
3.1 to 8.1 — 90% interval
4 of 615 forwards
+29.4 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +8.0
- EV defense
- +3.8
- Power play
- +3.7
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- +8.4
- Penalties
- +1.4
- Average → replacement
- +4.1
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 82 | 5.6 | 3.1 to 8.1 | 4/615 |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 78 | 5.1 | 3.9 to 7.4 | 4/596 |
| 2023-24 | DAL | 82 | 4.1 | 2.8 to 5.7 | 13/608 |
| 2022-23 | DAL | 82 | 5.5 | 4.0 to 7.9 | 4/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 136.1 km/h64th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 36.2 km/h77th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 927th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 45.8 %87th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 81.3 km88th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 5.88 km88th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 42.7 %79th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 17.6 %31st percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 36.6 %85th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 5597th percentile | 996th percentile | 16.4 %64th percentile |
| High danger | 2296th percentile | 491st percentile | 18.2 %49th percentile |
| Mid range | 972nd percentile | 498th percentile | 44.4 %99th percentile |
| Long range | 898th percentile | 199th percentile | 12.5 %88th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
SJS
CBJ
WSH
MTL
NJD
NYI
WPG
BOS
CHI
COL
PIT
BUF
NSH
STLJason Robertson: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Jason Robertson have in 2026-27?
Jason Robertson has 9 goals and 19 points (10 assists) in 17 games in 2026-27.
How old is Jason Robertson?
Jason Robertson is 27 years old: he was born on July 22, 1999.
How tall is Jason Robertson, and how much does he weigh?
Jason Robertson is 6'3" (191 cm) and weighs 205 lb (93 kg).
Where is Jason Robertson from?
United States: Jason Robertson was born in Arcadia, California, United States.
What team does Jason Robertson play for?
Jason Robertson plays for the Dallas Stars in the NHL, at L, wearing number 21.
Is Jason Robertson injured?
No: Jason Robertson is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Jason Robertson?
Jason Robertson produced 5.6 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 4th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 99 out of 100: elite for his position.
How much does Jason Robertson make?
Jason Robertson earns $7.8M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 99 out of 100 (exceptional value): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Jason Robertson's contract end?
Jason Robertson's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent.
Is Jason Robertson overpaid?
No, he gives more than he costs. His Value rating is 99 out of 100 (exceptional value), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Jason Robertson a top-10 player at his position?
Yes: by WAR, he ranks 4th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Jason Robertson getting better?
He is holding steady: his PAL rating went from 97 in 2024-25 to 99 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Jason Robertson played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Jason Robertson has 14 points (7 goals, 7 assists).
What are Jason Robertson's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Jason Robertson has 473 games, 222 goals, 287 assists and 509 points. His best season: 2022-23, with 109 points in 82 games.
Where was Jason Robertson drafted?
Jason Robertson was drafted 39th overall (round 2) by Dallas Stars in 2017.
Is Jason Robertson better at home or on the road?
No real difference: in 2026-27, he averages 1.10 points per game at home (11 in 10 games) and 1.14 on the road (8 in 7 games).
How does Jason Robertson perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Jason Robertson has 62 games and 52 points in his career. His pace (0.84 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (1.08).
Which player is most similar to Jason Robertson?
Alex DeBrincat: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Alex DeBrincat's page →Is Jason Robertson a good fantasy pick?
Yes, a top-tier pick: our projection has him at 94 points in 2026-27, or 1.13 points per game.
Does Jason Robertson have siblings?
Yes: his brother Nick Robertson (selected by the Toronto Maple Leafs in the second round of the 2019 NHL entry draft).
What is Jason Robertson's nationality?
Jason Robertson is American. Internationally: United States — silver medal at the 2019 World Junior Championships; bronze medal at the 2021 World Championship.
What awards has Jason Robertson won?
Eddie Powers Memorial Trophy (OHL regular-season scoring leader) — 2019 ; CHL Top Scorer Award — 2019 ; OHL All-Star First Team — 2019 ; OHL All-Star Third Team — 2017–18 season ; OHL Player of the Month — November 2018 ; NHL Rookie of the Month — April 2021 ; NHL All-Rookie Team — 2020–21.
How many championships has Jason Robertson won?
1: OHL Central Division title with the Niagara IceDogs — 2018–19 (clinched division in regular season).
What is Jason Robertson's nickname?
He is nicknamed “Robo”.
Where did Jason Robertson play before turning pro?
Minor teams Little Caesars and Detroit Kings (Michigan); Don Mills Flyers (GTHL); Kingston Frontenacs (OHL) 2015–2018; Niagara IceDogs (OHL) 2018–19.
How many points is Jason Robertson projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 94 points in 83 games in 2026-27 (69 to 112 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Dallas Stars teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)