Seth
Jarvis
R · CAR · Two-way · Elite
- PAL
- 98
- WAR
- 1.6
- Value
- 96
- PTS
- 66
2025-26№ 88 / 615
Seth Jarvis (Carolina Hurricanes) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Seth Jarvis
#24RPlays: Winger · 6% of faceoffs
Carolina Hurricanes
HEIGHT : 178 cm · WEIGHT : 82 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : January 31, 2002 · Winnipeg, Canada
Drafted : 2020 · CAR · round 1, pick #13
Contract : $7,420,087 · 2024-25 → 2031-32 · Standard Contract · UFA · Signing bonus $8,950,000M-NTC
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Carolina Hurricanes | 8 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | Carolina Hurricanes | 71 | 32 | 34 | 66 | 23 |
| 2024-25 | Carolina Hurricanes | 73 | 32 | 35 | 67 | 16 |
| 2023-24 | Carolina Hurricanes | 81 | 33 | 34 | 67 | 14 |
| 2022-23 | Carolina Hurricanes | 82 | 14 | 25 | 39 | 12 |
| 2021-22 | Carolina Hurricanes | 68 | 17 | 23 | 40 | 18 |
| NHL totals | 383 | 130 | 157 | 287 | 83 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Carolina Hurricanes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
| 2024-25 | Carolina Hurricanes | 15 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 6 |
| 2023-24 | Carolina Hurricanes | 11 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
| 2022-23 | Carolina Hurricanes | 15 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 2021-22 | Carolina Hurricanes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| Playoff totals | 74 | 23 | 31 | 54 | 14 | |
Honours
- 🏆 Stanley Cuponce · 2025-26
Seth Jarvis: our analysis
2025-26 season: 71 GP, 32 G, 34 A, 66 PTS, +6 +/-, 18:53 TOI. WAR 1.6 (88th of 615) · PAL 98, elite.
In 2025-26, Seth Jarvis, 24, posts a PAL Rating of 98 out of 100 (elite), and his WAR of 1.6 ranks 88th among 615 regulars, in the top quarter.
His strengths: creation (92, among the best in the league), possession (92, among the best in the league) and discipline (90, among the best in the league).
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV defense (+2.7); his biggest cost: finishing (-2.2).
A season in line with 2024-25 (PAL of 99); his WAR went from 2.0 to 1.6.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 96 (exceptional value) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Seth Jarvis's story
Growing up in Winnipeg, Jarvis learned the game playing for local clubs such as the Tuxedo Lightning, the Assiniboine Park Rangers and the Winnipeg Monarchs while attending Shaftesbury High School. Those early years in Manitoba provided the foundation that carried him into major-junior competition and ultimately to NHL consideration.
Carolina selected him 13th overall in the 2020 NHL Entry Draft, and the club signed him to a three-year entry-level deal on December 28, 2020. He broke into the NHL in 2021, recording his first point in his debut and scoring his first goal in his second game against Marc-André Fleury. The quick transition from prospect to NHL contributor was evident from the start.
Jarvis established himself as a consistent offensive presence for the Hurricanes. He closed out his rookie season with 17 goals and 23 assists for 40 points in 68 games. Notable milestones include his first career hat trick on February 16, 2023, and a second on November 28, 2025. In March 2026 he notched his third straight 30-goal season, joining a short list of franchise players to do so, and in August 2024 he agreed to an eight-year, $63.2 million extension with Carolina. The 2025–26 campaign culminated with a Stanley Cup victory on June 14, 2026.
Internationally, Jarvis has represented Canada at multiple events. He played for Canada Red at the 2018 World U-17 Hockey Challenge and earned silver at the 2019 Hlinka Gretzky Cup. He was part of Canada's roster that won the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off and was added to the Olympic squad for the 2026 Winter Games, where Canada took silver.
On the ice Jarvis is defined by his offensive instincts and willingness to drive to the net. He combines playmaking with finishing ability, a blend that has allowed him to contribute goals and assists consistently within Carolina's forward group.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 16:18
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:52
- SH TOI/GP
- 1:52
- Pts/GP
- 1.00
- EV points
- 7
- Hits
- 11
- Blocks
- 5
- Takeaways
- 2
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 57.5 %
- Off. zone starts
- 37.9 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
59between 35 and 82 (80% range)
- Goals
- 25
- Assists
- 35
- Games
- 62
So far: 8 pts in 8 games. The team has played 19 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.96 pts per game (last season: 0.93).
Three straight seasons of growth. Since 2018, of 97 players in that spot, 23 kept improving the next season; on average, their pace fell back to 90% of their best season.
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Stable
- Points per game: 0.83 in 23-24, 0.93 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 99 → 98
Outlook, age included
↗ Slightly upAge 24: usually still improving
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 84 %
92
Star
- SK
- Skating
- 88
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 77
- Confidence 87 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 83
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 80
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 76
- Confidence 87 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 73
- Confidence 65 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 89
- Confidence 87 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 60
- Confidence 60 %
- PA
- Passing
- 82
- Confidence 84 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 89
- Confidence 84 %
- DF
- Defense
- 87
- Confidence 82 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 52
- Confidence 50 %
- EX
- Experience
- 81
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating88
- Top speed (35 %)37.4 · 91
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)8.193 · 82
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.5 · 78
- Speed consistency (15 %)36.1 · 85
ST — Strength77
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)5.861 · 89
- Body mass (50 %)-1.395 · 56
EN — Endurance83
- Ice time per game (45 %)17.4 · 84
- Total ice time (20 %)1,287 · 81
- Shift length (15 %)49.2 · 86
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)15.4 · 81
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)4.101 · 89
DU — Durability80
- Share of games played (100 %)0.854 · 80
CK — Checking76
- Hits /60 (70 %)4.083 · 75
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)3.515 · 77
- Season volume (10 %)4.407 · 78
FG — Fighting73
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.793 · 73
DI — Discipline89
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.075 · 88
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.376 · 89
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.815 · 78
FO — Faceoffs60
- Faceoff % (85 %)46.6 · 62
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)11.8 · 42
PA — Passing82
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.841 · 82
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.6 · 82
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.091 · 80
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)5.021 · 83
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.693 · 84
SC — Scoring89
- Goals /60 (25 %)1.275 · 89
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)1.196 · 92
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)-0.473 · 69
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)2.052 · 90
- xG per shot (10 %)0.089 · 89
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)15.7 · 86
DF — Defense87
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.151 · 90
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.02 · 70
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.453 · 84
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.032 · 83
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-0.775 · 89
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)55.3 · 88
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.274 · 69
PS — Penalty shot52
- Shootouts (60 %)29 · 48
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience81
- Career regular-season games (65 %)84
- Career playoff games (25 %)81
- NHL seasons (10 %)61
OV — Overall92
- SC · Scoring (20 %)89
- PA · Passing (20 %)82
- DF · Defense (20 %)87
- SK · Skating (12 %)88
- FO · Faceoffs (10 %)60
- EN · Endurance (8 %)83
- DI · Discipline (5 %)89
- ST · Strength (3 %)77
- CK · Checking (2 %)76
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 92 | 88 | 89 | 87 |
| 2024-25 | 89 | 88 | 88 | 89 |
| 2023-24 | 87 | 83 | 86 | 86 |
| 2022-23 | 85 | 83 | 78 | 80 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
1.6
wins above replacement
88 of 615
PAL Rating
98/ 100
Performance · Elite
11 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
96/ 100
Exceptional value
7.42 M$ · expected PAL 71
ProfileTwo-wayStrong at both ends
- Offense
- 93
- Defense
- 90
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 89
- Creation
- 92
- Shooting
- 85
- Possession
- 92
- Defense
- 82
- Discipline
- 90
- Power play
- 88
- Penalty kill
- 86
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CAR | 1.6 | 98 | 96 | 7.42 M$ |
| 2024-25 | CAR | 2.0 | 99 | 99 | 7.42 M$ |
| 2023-24 | CAR | 2.6 | 97 | 100 | 0.89 M$ |
| 2022-23 | CAR | 0.1 | 78 | 88 | 0.89 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
98/ 100
Elite
better than 98% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
82/ 100
Very good
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
99/ 100
Elite
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 7 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 16
- Shot selection
- 82
- Penalties drawn
- 60
- Puck management
- 96
Defense
- Takeaways
- 97
- Discipline
- 96
- Safe zone exits
- 45
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CAR | 98 | 82 | 99 |
| 2024-25 | CAR | 98 | 96 | 91 |
| 2023-24 | CAR | 98 | 92 | 90 |
| 2022-23 | CAR | 91 | 63 | 93 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
1.6
wins above replacement
-0.0 to 2.8 — 90% interval
88 of 615 forwards
+8.6 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +1.7
- EV defense
- +2.7
- Power play
- +1.4
- Penalty kill
- +0.2
- Shooting
- -2.2
- Penalties
- +1.5
- Average → replacement
- +3.4
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CAR | 71 | 1.6 | -0.0 to 2.8 | 88/615 |
| 2024-25 | CAR | 69 | 2.0 | 1.3 to 3.6 | 70/596 |
| 2023-24 | CAR | 81 | 2.6 | 1.3 to 4.6 | 45/608 |
| 2022-23 | CAR | 82 | 0.1 | -0.8 to 1.2 | 331/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 137.1 km/h67th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 34.1 km/h22nd percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 1646th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 43.7 %70th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 35.0 km30th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 5.05 km68th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 44.4 %95th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 19.1 %92nd percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 37.1 %79th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 1539th percentile | 254th percentile | 13.3 %51st percentile |
| High danger | 539th percentile | 157th percentile | 20.0 %56th percentile |
| Mid range | 550th percentile | 177th percentile | 20.0 %76th percentile |
| Long range | 031st percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
CHI
NYI
NSH
WPG
CBJ
BOS
STL
EDMSeth Jarvis: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Seth Jarvis have in 2026-27?
Seth Jarvis has 2 goals and 8 points (6 assists) in 8 games in 2026-27.
How old is Seth Jarvis?
Seth Jarvis is 24 years old: he was born on February 1, 2002.
How tall is Seth Jarvis, and how much does he weigh?
Seth Jarvis is 5'10" (178 cm) and weighs 181 lb (82 kg).
Where is Seth Jarvis from?
Canada: Seth Jarvis was born in Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.
What team does Seth Jarvis play for?
Seth Jarvis plays for the Carolina Hurricanes in the NHL, at R, wearing number 24.
Is Seth Jarvis injured?
No: Seth Jarvis is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Seth Jarvis?
Seth Jarvis produced 1.6 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 88th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 98 out of 100: elite for his position.
How much does Seth Jarvis make?
Seth Jarvis earns $7.4M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 96 out of 100 (exceptional value): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Seth Jarvis's contract end?
Seth Jarvis's contract runs through the 2031-32 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent. It includes a M-NTC clause.
Is Seth Jarvis overpaid?
No, he gives more than he costs. His Value rating is 96 out of 100 (exceptional value), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Seth Jarvis a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 88th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Seth Jarvis getting better?
He is holding steady: his PAL rating went from 99 in 2024-25 to 98 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Seth Jarvis played lately?
Over his last 8 games, Seth Jarvis has 8 points (2 goals, 6 assists).
What are Seth Jarvis's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Seth Jarvis has 383 games, 130 goals, 157 assists and 287 points. His best season: 2024-25, with 67 points in 73 games.
Where was Seth Jarvis drafted?
Seth Jarvis was drafted 13th overall (round 1) by Carolina Hurricanes in 2020.
How does Seth Jarvis perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Seth Jarvis has 74 games and 54 points in his career. His pace (0.73 points per game) is similar to his regular-season pace (0.75).
Which player is most similar to Seth Jarvis?
Matt Boldy: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Matt Boldy's page →Is Seth Jarvis a good fantasy pick?
Yes, a solid pick: our projection has him at 59 points in 2026-27, or 0.95 points per game.
What is Seth Jarvis's nationality?
Seth Jarvis is Canadian. Internationally: Canada — winner of the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off; silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics.
How many championships has Seth Jarvis won?
2: 2026 Stanley Cup with the Carolina Hurricanes; Winner of the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off with Team Canada.
Where did Seth Jarvis play before turning pro?
Youth teams: Tuxedo Lightning, Assiniboine Park Rangers and Winnipeg Monarchs; attended Shaftesbury High School.
How many points is Seth Jarvis projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 59 points in 62 games in 2026-27 (35 to 82 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Carolina Hurricanes teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)