Sebastian
Aho
C · CAR · Two-way · Elite
- PAL
- 93
- WAR
- 2.5
- Value
- 85
- PTS
- 80
2025-26№ 48 / 615
Sebastian Aho (Carolina Hurricanes) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Sebastian Aho
#20CPlays: Centre · 86% of faceoffs
Carolina Hurricanes
HEIGHT : 183 cm · WEIGHT : 86 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : July 25, 1997 · Rauma, Finland
Drafted : 2015 · CAR · round 2, pick #35
Contract : $9,750,000 · 2024-25 → 2031-32 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFA · Signing bonus $2,000,000NMC / M-NTC
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Carolina Hurricanes | 19 | 10 | 16 | 26 | 16 |
| 2025-26 | Carolina Hurricanes | 79 | 27 | 53 | 80 | 46 |
| 2024-25 | Carolina Hurricanes | 79 | 29 | 45 | 74 | 46 |
| 2023-24 | Carolina Hurricanes | 78 | 36 | 53 | 89 | 36 |
| 2022-23 | Carolina Hurricanes | 75 | 36 | 31 | 67 | 42 |
| 2021-22 | Carolina Hurricanes | 79 | 37 | 44 | 81 | 38 |
| 2020-21 | Carolina Hurricanes | 56 | 24 | 33 | 57 | 32 |
| 2019-20 | Carolina Hurricanes | 68 | 38 | 28 | 66 | 26 |
| 2018-19 | Carolina Hurricanes | 82 | 30 | 53 | 83 | 26 |
| 2017-18 | Carolina Hurricanes | 78 | 29 | 36 | 65 | 24 |
| 2016-17 | Carolina Hurricanes | 82 | 24 | 25 | 49 | 26 |
| NHL totals | 775 | 320 | 417 | 737 | 358 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Carolina Hurricanes | 19 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 10 |
| 2024-25 | Carolina Hurricanes | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
| 2023-24 | Carolina Hurricanes | 11 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 2 |
| 2022-23 | Carolina Hurricanes | 15 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 12 |
| 2021-22 | Carolina Hurricanes | 14 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 12 |
| 2020-21 | Carolina Hurricanes | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 12 |
| 2019-20 | Carolina Hurricanes | 8 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
| 2018-19 | Carolina Hurricanes | 15 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 2 |
| Playoff totals | 108 | 39 | 58 | 97 | 62 | |
Honours
- 🏆 Stanley Cuponce · 2025-26
Sebastian Aho: our analysis
2025-26 season: 79 GP, 27 G, 53 A, 80 PTS, +11 +/-, 19:37 TOI. WAR 2.5 (48th of 615) · PAL 93, elite.
In 2025-26, Sebastian Aho, 29, posts a PAL Rating of 93 out of 100 (elite), and his WAR of 2.5 ranks 48th among 615 regulars, in the top quarter.
His strengths: penalty kill (98, among the best in the league), possession (96, among the best in the league) and offense (91, among the best in the league). On the other hand, defense (21, well below average) holds him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV offense (+6.9); his biggest cost: EV defense (-0.6).
A season in line with 2024-25 (PAL of 93); his WAR went from 2.8 to 2.5.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 85 (very good contract) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Sebastian Aho's story
A hospital room in Pori is where Sebastian Aho first entered the world, though official records list Rauma as his birthplace. He came up through Finland’s system with Oulun Kärpät, breaking into the Liiga in 2013–14 and delivering a dramatic playoff moment in 2015 when he scored the overtime winner in Game 7 of the finals to secure the Finnish championship for Kärpät.
Viewed among the top European forwards for the 2015 NHL Entry Draft, Carolina selected him 35th overall. Aho signed a three-year entry-level deal with the Hurricanes on 13 June 2016 and made his NHL debut on 13 October 2016, earning an assist in the season opener. He recorded his first goal on 12 November 2016 and not long after, on 31 January 2017, netted his first NHL hat-trick, becoming the youngest player in franchise history to do so.
Aho’s role in Carolina grew quickly and included both individual streaks and contract drama. In 2018–19 he opened the season with a 12-game point streak, tying an assist-opening streak mark in NHL history; he was also named to the 2019 NHL All-Star Game. On 1 July 2019 he signed an offer sheet with Montreal that Carolina matched a week later. The club later locked him into a long-term deal on 26 July 2023: an eight-year extension beginning in 2024–25. He posted a career-high 89 points in 2023–24, followed by 74 points in 2024–25 and 80 points in 2025–26, adding 12 points in 19 playoff games as Carolina captured the Stanley Cup in 2026.
Internationally, Aho has been a regular presence for Finland at various levels. At the 2026 Winter Olympics he served as one of Finland’s alternate captains and finished the tournament with four goals as Finland took bronze. Across club and country his game is defined by offensive instincts: a nose for scoring, playmaking ability and a track record of stepping up in decisive moments.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 19:49
- PP TOI/GP
- 3:46
- SH TOI/GP
- 1:39
- Pts/GP
- 1.37
- EV points
- 16
- Hits
- 14
- Blocks
- 6
- Takeaways
- 5
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 59.7 %
- Off. zone starts
- 29.6 %
- Faceoffs
- 56.0 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
92between 68 and 109 (80% range)
- Goals
- 33
- Assists
- 59
- Games
- 81
So far: 26 pts in 19 games. The team has played 19 of 84 games. Projected pace: 1.06 pts per game (last season: 1.01).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Stable
- Points per game: 1.14 in 23-24, 1.01 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 93 → 93
Outlook, age included
→ StableAge 29: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 85 %
89
High-end
- SK
- Skating
- 77
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 60
- Confidence 88 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 89
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 86
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 69
- Confidence 88 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 56
- Confidence 66 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 72
- Confidence 88 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 81
- Confidence 92 %
- PA
- Passing
- 91
- Confidence 85 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 86
- Confidence 85 %
- DF
- Defense
- 71
- Confidence 83 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 65
- Confidence 48 %
- EX
- Experience
- 91
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating77
- Top speed (35 %)36 · 73
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)5.89 · 75
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.7 · 82
- Speed consistency (15 %)35.6 · 78
ST — Strength60
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)3.172 · 66
- Body mass (50 %)-0.755 · 68
EN — Endurance89
- Ice time per game (45 %)18.1 · 87
- Total ice time (20 %)1,479 · 87
- Shift length (15 %)49.8 · 88
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)17.7 · 89
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)4.386 · 94
DU — Durability86
- Share of games played (100 %)0.878 · 86
CK — Checking69
- Hits /60 (70 %)2.735 · 68
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)2.4 · 70
- Season volume (10 %)4.159 · 76
FG — Fighting56
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.662 · 56
DI — Discipline72
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.013 · 73
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.757 · 67
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.835 · 79
FO — Faceoffs81
- Faceoff % (85 %)52.1 · 80
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)45.3 · 81
PA — Passing91
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)1.193 · 90
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.662 · 85
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.293 · 91
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)5.785 · 88
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.917 · 91
SC — Scoring86
- Goals /60 (25 %)1.156 · 86
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)1.019 · 86
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.274 · 83
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.52 · 82
- xG per shot (10 %)0.083 · 75
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)16.1 · 87
DF — Defense71
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.001 · 73
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.196 · 62
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.6 · 76
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.349 · 96
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-2.181 · 58
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)56.5 · 82
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)1.464 · 47
PS — Penalty shot65
- Shootouts (60 %)31.6 · 63
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience91
- Career regular-season games (65 %)93
- Career playoff games (25 %)88
- NHL seasons (10 %)81
OV — Overall89
- SC · Scoring (20 %)86
- PA · Passing (20 %)91
- DF · Defense (20 %)71
- SK · Skating (12 %)77
- FO · Faceoffs (10 %)81
- EN · Endurance (8 %)89
- DI · Discipline (5 %)72
- ST · Strength (3 %)60
- CK · Checking (2 %)69
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 89 | 77 | 86 | 71 |
| 2024-25 | 89 | 80 | 86 | 76 |
| 2023-24 | 90 | 85 | 89 | 76 |
| 2022-23 | 90 | 84 | 91 | 75 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
2.5
wins above replacement
48 of 615
PAL Rating
93/ 100
Performance · Elite
31 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
85/ 100
Very good contract
9.75 M$ · expected PAL 75
ProfileTwo-wayStrong at both ends
- Offense
- 91
- Defense
- 76
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 91
- Creation
- 81
- Shooting
- 77
- Possession
- 96
- Defense
- 21
- Discipline
- 44
- Power play
- 90
- Penalty kill
- 98
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CAR | 2.5 | 93 | 85 | 9.75 M$ |
| 2024-25 | CAR | 2.8 | 93 | 85 | 9.75 M$ |
| 2023-24 | CAR | 3.4 | 93 | 84 | 8.46 M$ |
| 2022-23 | CAR | 3.2 | 96 | 90 | 8.46 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
40/ 100
Average
better than 40% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
67/ 100
Average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
26/ 100
Below average
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 253 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 87
- Shot selection
- 60
- Penalties drawn
- 45
- Puck management
- 44
Defense
- Takeaways
- 61
- Discipline
- 25
- Safe zone exits
- 24
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CAR | 40 | 67 | 26 |
| 2024-25 | CAR | 44 | 56 | 35 |
| 2023-24 | CAR | 70 | 61 | 67 |
| 2022-23 | CAR | 90 | 93 | 56 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
2.5
wins above replacement
0.8 to 4.9 — 90% interval
48 of 615 forwards
+13.0 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +6.9
- EV defense
- -0.6
- Power play
- +1.4
- Penalty kill
- +1.2
- Shooting
- -0.1
- Penalties
- +0.3
- Average → replacement
- +3.9
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CAR | 79 | 2.5 | 0.8 to 4.9 | 48/615 |
| 2024-25 | CAR | 75 | 2.8 | 1.7 to 4.5 | 38/596 |
| 2023-24 | CAR | 78 | 3.4 | 2.1 to 4.6 | 20/608 |
| 2022-23 | CAR | 75 | 3.2 | 2.3 to 4.8 | 28/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 140.3 km/h80th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 35.1 km/h49th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 4490th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 47.1 %94th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 97.7 km98th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 5.94 km89th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 44.2 %93rd percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 17.7 %32nd percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 35.2 %94th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 5496th percentile | 1098th percentile | 18.5 %75th percentile |
| High danger | 1589th percentile | 386th percentile | 20.0 %56th percentile |
| Mid range | 2899th percentile | 6100th percentile | 21.4 %79th percentile |
| Long range | 272nd percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
🔥 2-game point streak
CHI
NYI
NSH
WPG
CBJ
BOS
STL
EDM
VAN
CGY
WSH
PHI
MTL
FLASebastian Aho: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Sebastian Aho have in 2026-27?
Sebastian Aho has 10 goals and 26 points (16 assists) in 19 games in 2026-27.
How old is Sebastian Aho?
Sebastian Aho is 29 years old: he was born on July 26, 1997.
How tall is Sebastian Aho, and how much does he weigh?
Sebastian Aho is 6'0" (183 cm) and weighs 190 lb (86 kg).
Where is Sebastian Aho from?
Finland: Sebastian Aho was born in Rauma, Finland.
What team does Sebastian Aho play for?
Sebastian Aho plays for the Carolina Hurricanes in the NHL, at C, wearing number 20.
Is Sebastian Aho injured?
No: Sebastian Aho is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Sebastian Aho?
Sebastian Aho produced 2.5 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 48th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 93 out of 100: elite for his position.
How much does Sebastian Aho make?
Sebastian Aho earns $9.8M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 85 out of 100 (very good contract): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Sebastian Aho's contract end?
Sebastian Aho's contract runs through the 2031-32 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent. It includes a NMC / M-NTC clause.
Is Sebastian Aho overpaid?
No, he gives more than he costs. His Value rating is 85 out of 100 (very good contract), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Sebastian Aho a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 48th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Sebastian Aho getting better?
He is holding steady: his PAL rating went from 93 in 2024-25 to 93 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Sebastian Aho played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Sebastian Aho has 13 points (4 goals, 9 assists).
What are Sebastian Aho's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Sebastian Aho has 775 games, 320 goals, 417 assists and 737 points. His best season: 2023-24, with 89 points in 78 games.
Where was Sebastian Aho drafted?
Sebastian Aho was drafted 35th overall (round 2) by Carolina Hurricanes in 2015.
Is Sebastian Aho better at home or on the road?
On the road: in 2026-27, he averages 1.25 points per game at home (10 in 8 games) and 1.45 on the road (16 in 11 games).
How does Sebastian Aho perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Sebastian Aho has 108 games and 97 points in his career. His pace (0.90 points per game) is similar to his regular-season pace (0.95).
Which player is most similar to Sebastian Aho?
Auston Matthews: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Auston Matthews's page →Is Sebastian Aho a good fantasy pick?
Yes, a top-tier pick: our projection has him at 92 points in 2026-27, or 1.14 points per game.
What is Sebastian Aho's nationality?
Sebastian Aho is Finnish. Internationally: Finland — medals at the World Junior Championships and World Championships; bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics (served as an alternate captain at the 2026 Olympics); represented Finland at the 2018 IIHF World Championship.
What awards has Sebastian Aho won?
Selected to the NHL All-Star Game, 2019 ; Selected to the NHL All-Star Game, 2024 ; Youngest player in Hurricanes/Whalers franchise history to record a hat-trick (31 January 2017) ; Named one of Finland's alternate captains at the 2026 Winter Olympics.
How many championships has Sebastian Aho won?
2: Finnish champion with Oulun Kärpät, 2014–15 Liiga (scored overtime Game 7 winning goal in the finals); Won the Stanley Cup with the Carolina Hurricanes, 2026.
Where did Sebastian Aho play before turning pro?
Played in Finland's Liiga for Oulun Kärpät (Liiga debut 2013–14; scored overtime Game 7 winning goal in the 2014–15 finals) and for Ässät.
How many points is Sebastian Aho projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 92 points in 81 games in 2026-27 (68 to 109 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Carolina Hurricanes teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)