Scott
Sabourin
R · TBL · Limited · Very poor
- PAL
- 12
- WAR
- -0.3
- Value
- 27
- PTS
- 5
2025-26№ 547 / 615
Scott Sabourin (Tampa Bay Lightning) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Scott Sabourin
#49RPlays: Right wing · 2% of faceoffs
Tampa Bay Lightning
HEIGHT : 191 cm · WEIGHT : 95 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : July 29, 1992 · Orleans, Canada
Contract : $850,000 · 2026-27 → 2026-27 · Two-Way Contract · UFA
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 |
| 2025-26 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 26 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 89 |
| 2024-25 | San Jose Sharks | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-24 | San Jose Sharks | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2021-22 | Ottawa Senators | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 2020-21 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2019-20 | Ottawa Senators | 35 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 33 |
| NHL totals | 77 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 159 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Playoff totals | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
Scott Sabourin: our analysis
2025-26 season: 26 GP, 1 G, 4 A, 5 PTS, +1 +/-, 7:57 TOI. WAR -0.3 (547th of 615) · PAL 12, very poor.
In 2025-26, Scott Sabourin, 34, posts a PAL Rating of 12 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of -0.3 ranks 547th among 615 regulars, in the bottom quarter.
On the other hand, discipline (6, among the weakest in the league) and shooting (25, well below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), no component is positive; the costliest: finishing (-1.1).
His WAR went from 0.0 in 2024-25 to -0.3.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 27 (poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Scott Sabourin's story
Growing up in the Ottawa suburb of Orléans, Scott Sabourin developed into a physical winger during his junior years. He spent four seasons with the Oshawa Generals in the OHL, compiling 46 goals and 34 assists while accumulating 330 penalty minutes across 166 contests — the kind of profile that combined some scoring touch with a willingness to play a rougher game.
Undrafted, Sabourin began his professional journey in April 2013 by signing an AHL deal with the Manchester Monarchs, finishing that season with five regular-season appearances and three playoff games. A strong training camp earned him a three-year entry-level contract with the Los Angeles Kings on 7 October 2013, although he continued to log most of his minutes in the AHL with Manchester.
His path after that involved multiple moves between organizations and levels: traded to the Minnesota Wild on 29 January 2016, signing with the San Diego Gulls in September 2016, then securing a one-year two-way contract with the Anaheim Ducks on 2 July 2017. After an invite to Calgary's camp in 2018, he began 2018–19 on a professional tryout with the Stockton Heat, illustrating the journeyman nature of his pro career.
Sabourin returned to the Ottawa area when he signed a one-year two-way contract with the Senators on 27 September 2019; he made his NHL debut on 2 October 2019 and recorded his first NHL goal in that game. He has alternated between the NHL and AHL since, including contracts with the Toronto Marlies and a brief appearance for the Maple Leafs on 13 April 2021. The 2022–23 season saw him remain in Belleville, where he posted a career-high 16 goals and 33 points.
On 1 July 2023 he signed with the San Jose Sharks and split time with their AHL affiliate, before accepting a one-year, two-way deal with the Tampa Bay Lightning on 13 July 2025. His game is straightforward: a hard-nosed, defensive-minded fourth-line forward who brings physicality and energy every night.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 8:54
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:05
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:00
- Pts/GP
- 0.25
- EV points
- 1
- Hits
- 14
- Blocks
- 2
- Takeaways
- 0
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 63.2 %
- Off. zone starts
- 48.6 %
- Faceoffs
- 50.0 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
3between 1 and 11 (80% range)
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 3
- Games
- 20
So far: 1 pts in 4 games. The team has played 17 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.13 pts per game (last season: 0.19).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 20 %
62
Depth
- SK
- Skating
- 60
- Confidence 67 %
- ST
- Strength
- 83
- Confidence 23 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 48
- Confidence 50 %
- DU
- Durability
- 36
- Confidence 73 %
- CK
- Checking
- 85
- Confidence 23 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 89
- Confidence 16 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 48
- Confidence 23 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 77
- Confidence 20 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 70
- Confidence 20 %
- DF
- Defense
- 71
- Confidence 17 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 76
- Confidence 0 %
- EX
- Experience
- 52
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating60
- Top speed (35 %)34.7 · 51
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)5.967 · 78
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.2 · 76
- Speed consistency (15 %)32.8 · 47
ST — Strength83
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)4.52 · 80
- Body mass (50 %)0.588 · 81
EN — Endurance48
- Ice time per game (45 %)12.2 · 58
- Total ice time (20 %)205 · 35
- Shift length (15 %)44.2 · 67
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)10.8 · 56
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.388 · 62
DU — Durability36
- Share of games played (100 %)0.495 · 36
CK — Checking85
- Hits /60 (70 %)8.578 · 85
- Season volume (10 %)4.159 · 73
FG — Fighting89
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)1.863 · 89
DI — Discipline48
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)-0.064 · 50
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)1.41 · 45
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)1.028 · 84
PA — Passing77
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.778 · 78
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.449 · 74
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.075 · 74
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.65 · 80
SC — Scoring70
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.8 · 67
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.821 · 70
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)-0.014 · 72
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.516 · 79
- xG per shot (10 %)0.08 · 75
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)13.5 · 72
DF — Defense71
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.012 · 72
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.069 · 71
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.652 · 73
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.808 · 69
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)57.6 · 78
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.583 · 79
PS — Penalty shot76
- Shootouts (60 %)32.7 · 76
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience52
- Career regular-season games (65 %)61
- Career playoff games (25 %)21
- NHL seasons (10 %)71
OV — Overall62
- SC · Scoring (28 %)70
- PA · Passing (22 %)77
- DF · Defense (18 %)71
- SK · Skating (12 %)60
- EN · Endurance (8 %)48
- DI · Discipline (5 %)48
- ST · Strength (4 %)83
- CK · Checking (3 %)85
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
-0.3
wins above replacement
547 of 615
PAL Rating
12/ 100
Performance · Very poor
415 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
27/ 100
Poor return
0.78 M$ · expected PAL 32
ProfileLimitedBelow average at both ends
- Offense
- 33
- Defense
- 28
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 42
- Creation
- 40
- Shooting
- 25
- Possession
- 34
- Defense
- 32
- Discipline
- 6
- Power play
- 42
- Penalty kill
- 28
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
1/ 100
Low
better than 1% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
77/ 100
Very good
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
0/ 100
Low
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 418 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 83
- Shot selection
- 45
- Penalties drawn
- 96
- Puck management
- 15
Defense
- Takeaways
- 11
- Discipline
- 0
- Safe zone exits
- 87
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
-0.3
wins above replacement
-0.6 to 0.2 — 90% interval
547 of 615 forwards
-1.7 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +0.0
- EV defense
- -0.1
- Power play
- 0.0
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- -1.1
- Penalties
- -1.0
- Average → replacement
- +0.5
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TBL | 26 | -0.3 | -0.6 to 0.2 | 547/615 |
| 2024-25 | SJS | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.0 | 363/596 |
| 2023-24 | SJS | 3 | -0.1 | -0.2 to 0.0 | 466/608 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 108.4 km/h6th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 33.9 km/h18th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 618th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 45.6 %84th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 9.6 km11th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 2.56 km3rd percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 45.2 %97th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 17.8 %38th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 36.6 %84th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 29th percentile | 024th percentile | 0.0 %3rd percentile |
| High danger | 115th percentile | 034th percentile | 0.0 %10th percentile |
| Mid range | 119th percentile | 054th percentile | 0.0 %32nd percentile |
| Long range | 031st percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
MIN
NSH
UTA
NYIScott Sabourin: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Scott Sabourin have in 2026-27?
Scott Sabourin has 0 goals and 1 point (1 assist) in 4 games in 2026-27.
How old is Scott Sabourin?
Scott Sabourin is 34 years old: he was born on July 30, 1992.
How tall is Scott Sabourin, and how much does he weigh?
Scott Sabourin is 6'3" (191 cm) and weighs 209 lb (95 kg).
Where is Scott Sabourin from?
Canada: Scott Sabourin was born in Orleans, Ontario, Canada.
What team does Scott Sabourin play for?
Scott Sabourin plays for the Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL, at R, wearing number 49.
Is Scott Sabourin injured?
No: Scott Sabourin is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Scott Sabourin?
Scott Sabourin produced -0.3 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 547th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 12 out of 100: very poor for his position.
How much does Scott Sabourin make?
Scott Sabourin earns $775K for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 27 out of 100 (poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Scott Sabourin's contract end?
Scott Sabourin's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent.
Is Scott Sabourin overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 27 out of 100 (poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Scott Sabourin a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 547th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
How has Scott Sabourin played lately?
Over his last 4 games, Scott Sabourin has 1 point (0 goals, 1 assist).
What are Scott Sabourin's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Scott Sabourin has 77 games, 3 goals, 11 assists and 14 points. His best season: 2019-20, with 6 points in 35 games.
How does Scott Sabourin perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Scott Sabourin has 2 games and 0 points in his career. His pace (0.00 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (0.18).
Which player is most similar to Scott Sabourin?
Brad Lambert: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Brad Lambert's page →Is Scott Sabourin a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 3 points in 2026-27, or 0.15 points per game.
What is Scott Sabourin's nationality?
Scott Sabourin is Canadian.
Where did Scott Sabourin play before turning pro?
Played four seasons with the Oshawa Generals (OHL), 2009–2013.
How many points is Scott Sabourin projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 3 points in 20 games in 2026-27 (1 to 11 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Tampa Bay Lightning teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)