Pontus
Holmberg
R · TBL · Defensive · Excellent
- PAL
- 85
- WAR
- 0.9
- Value
- 91
- PTS
- 22
2025-26№ 178 / 615
Pontus Holmberg (Tampa Bay Lightning) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Pontus Holmberg
#29RPlays: Right wing · 6% of faceoffs
Tampa Bay Lightning
HEIGHT : 183 cm · WEIGHT : 90 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : March 8, 1999 · Vasteras, Sweden
Drafted : 2018 · TOR · round 6, pick #156
Contract : $1,550,000 · 2025-26 → 2026-27 · Standard Contract · UFA · Signing bonus $550,000
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 17 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 16 |
| 2025-26 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 70 | 11 | 11 | 22 | 31 |
| 2024-25 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 68 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 27 |
| 2023-24 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 54 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 18 |
| 2022-23 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 37 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 18 |
| NHL totals | 245 | 34 | 48 | 82 | 106 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 2023-24 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Playoff totals | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
Pontus Holmberg: our analysis
2025-26 season: 70 GP, 11 G, 11 A, 22 PTS, +1 +/-, 13:21 TOI. WAR 0.9 (178th of 615) · PAL 85, excellent.
In 2025-26, Pontus Holmberg, 27, posts a PAL Rating of 85 out of 100 (excellent), and his WAR of 0.9 ranks 178th among 615 regulars, in the top half.
His strengths: defense (98, among the best in the league), discipline (98, among the best in the league) and possession (87, among the best in the league). On the other hand, penalty kill (10, among the weakest in the league) and power play (13, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV defense (+4.1); his biggest cost: finishing (-2.9).
A clear step forward: his PAL went from 62 in 2024-25 to 85; his WAR went from 0.2 to 0.9.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 91 (exceptional value) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Pontus Holmberg's story
Growing up in Västerås, Pontus Holmberg moved from local youth ranks at VIK Västerås HK into Sweden’s top division with the Växjö Lakers, developing the puck skills and offensive instincts that caught NHL attention. He debuted in the SHL in 2018 and became a steady contributor as he climbed into Växjö’s senior group.
Toronto selected him 156th overall in the 2018 draft, and Holmberg continued to refine his game in Sweden. The 2020–21 season proved pivotal: Växjö finished first in the regular season and went on to win the Le Mat Trophy, while Holmberg earned the Stefan Liv Memorial Trophy as playoff MVP after tallying seven goals and 14 points in 14 postseason contests.
On 4 June 2021 the Maple Leafs signed him to a two-year entry-level contract but kept him on loan with Växjö for the following season. After that SHL campaign ended he joined the Toronto Marlies for the final six games, producing two goals and four points. Holmberg split time between the AHL and NHL over the next seasons; he made his NHL debut on 2 November 2022 versus the Philadelphia Flyers and scored his first NHL goal on 23 November 2022 against the New Jersey Devils.
He established himself as a roster option with Toronto through the 2023–24 and 2024–25 cycles, but was not extended a qualifying offer after the 2024–25 season. Entering unrestricted free agency on 1 July 2025, Holmberg signed a two-year contract with the Tampa Bay Lightning carrying an average annual value of $1.55 million.
Internationally, Holmberg represented Sweden at the 2019 World Juniors and at the 2022 Winter Olympics. At the 2024 IIHF World Championship he helped Sweden capture bronze, appearing in ten games and recording six assists while centring a line alongside Lucas Raymond and André Burakovsky. Plainly put, his game is defined by playmaking ability, hockey sense and the knack for producing chances for teammates.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 14:24
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:51
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:00
- Pts/GP
- 0.76
- EV points
- 12
- Hits
- 10
- Blocks
- 7
- Takeaways
- 3
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 54.1 %
- Off. zone starts
- 28.3 %
- Faceoffs
- 45.0 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
35between 20 and 50 (80% range)
- Goals
- 16
- Assists
- 19
- Games
- 73
So far: 13 pts in 17 games. The team has played 17 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.39 pts per game (last season: 0.31).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Slightly up
- Points per game: 0.31 in 23-24, 0.31 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 62 → 85
Outlook, age included
↗ Slightly upAge 27: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 73 %
76
Established NHL
- SK
- Skating
- 86
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 84
- Confidence 77 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 64
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 70
- Confidence 73 %
- CK
- Checking
- 74
- Confidence 77 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 80
- Confidence 58 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 97
- Confidence 77 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 67
- Confidence 65 %
- PA
- Passing
- 62
- Confidence 73 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 61
- Confidence 73 %
- DF
- Defense
- 92
- Confidence 69 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 76
- Confidence 0 %
- EX
- Experience
- 69
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating86
- Top speed (35 %)36.5 · 81
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)7.409 · 83
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.6 · 86
- Speed consistency (15 %)36 · 85
ST — Strength84
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)5.527 · 89
- Body mass (50 %)-0.294 · 73
EN — Endurance64
- Ice time per game (45 %)13.2 · 65
- Total ice time (20 %)921 · 71
- Shift length (15 %)44 · 66
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)11 · 57
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.017 · 55
DU — Durability70
- Share of games played (100 %)0.782 · 70
CK — Checking74
- Hits /60 (70 %)4.323 · 75
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)3.421 · 74
- Season volume (10 %)4.205 · 75
FG — Fighting80
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.955 · 80
DI — Discipline97
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.108 · 97
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.812 · 68
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)1.445 · 95
FO — Faceoffs67
- Faceoff % (85 %)48.3 · 70
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)18.4 · 59
PA — Passing62
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.526 · 63
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.419 · 71
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)-0.052 · 57
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.324 · 74
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.402 · 70
SC — Scoring61
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.743 · 63
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.737 · 64
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)-0.37 · 66
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.103 · 65
- xG per shot (10 %)0.079 · 74
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)12.6 · 67
DF — Defense92
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.173 · 93
- Relative xG against (20 %)-0.317 · 94
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.259 · 96
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.04 · 59
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.587 · 74
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)55.1 · 89
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)3.086 · 86
PS — Penalty shot76
- Shootouts (60 %)32.7 · 76
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience69
- Career regular-season games (65 %)77
- Career playoff games (25 %)56
- NHL seasons (10 %)55
OV — Overall76
- SC · Scoring (28 %)61
- PA · Passing (22 %)62
- DF · Defense (18 %)92
- SK · Skating (12 %)86
- EN · Endurance (8 %)64
- DI · Discipline (5 %)97
- ST · Strength (4 %)84
- CK · Checking (3 %)74
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 76 | 86 | 61 | 92 |
| 2024-25 | 69 | 86 | 52 | 88 |
| 2023-24 | 77 | 83 | 67 | 85 |
| 2022-23 | 77 | 80 | 71 | 78 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
0.9
wins above replacement
178 of 615
PAL Rating
85/ 100
Performance · Excellent
66 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
91/ 100
Exceptional value
1.55 M$ · expected PAL 44
ProfileDefensiveValue comes mostly from defense
- Offense
- 40
- Defense
- 95
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 27
- Creation
- 37
- Shooting
- 34
- Possession
- 87
- Defense
- 98
- Discipline
- 98
- Power play
- 13
- Penalty kill
- 10
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TBL | 0.9 | 85 | 91 | 1.55 M$ |
| 2024-25 | TOR | 0.2 | 62 | 80 | 0.80 M$ |
| 2023-24 | TOR | 0.5 | 61 | 76 | 0.80 M$ |
| 2022-23 | TOR | 0.4 | 44 | 59 | 0.83 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
69/ 100
Average
better than 69% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
85/ 100
Very good
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
35/ 100
Below average
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 130 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 29
- Shot selection
- 49
- Penalties drawn
- 99
- Puck management
- 31
Defense
- Takeaways
- 37
- Discipline
- 21
- Safe zone exits
- 87
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TBL | 69 | 85 | 35 |
| 2024-25 | TOR | 82 | 88 | 50 |
| 2023-24 | TOR | 34 | 55 | 27 |
| 2022-23 | TOR | 40 | 88 | 11 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
0.9
wins above replacement
-0.1 to 2.0 — 90% interval
178 of 615 forwards
+4.8 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- -0.9
- EV defense
- +4.1
- Power play
- -0.0
- Penalty kill
- -0.0
- Shooting
- -2.9
- Penalties
- +2.2
- Average → replacement
- +2.4
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TBL | 70 | 0.9 | -0.1 to 2.0 | 178/615 |
| 2024-25 | TOR | 64 | 0.2 | -0.2 to 1.1 | 295/596 |
| 2023-24 | TOR | 54 | 0.5 | -0.3 to 1.5 | 226/608 |
| 2022-23 | TOR | 37 | 0.4 | -0.1 to 0.9 | 225/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 127.5 km/h34th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 35.4 km/h57th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 2261st percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 42.0 %48th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 60.9 km54th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 4.84 km61st percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 41.6 %62nd percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 19.1 %88th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 39.0 %58th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 2766th percentile | 474th percentile | 14.8 %58th percentile |
| High danger | 1278th percentile | 157th percentile | 8.3 %17th percentile |
| Mid range | 442nd percentile | 288th percentile | 50.0 %100th percentile |
| Long range | 031st percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
WPG
MIN
CHI
DET
NSH
UTA
COL
VGK
VAN
SEA
NYR
NYI
PHI
WSHPontus Holmberg: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Pontus Holmberg have in 2026-27?
Pontus Holmberg has 6 goals and 13 points (7 assists) in 17 games in 2026-27.
How old is Pontus Holmberg?
Pontus Holmberg is 27 years old: he was born on March 9, 1999.
How tall is Pontus Holmberg, and how much does he weigh?
Pontus Holmberg is 6'0" (183 cm) and weighs 198 lb (90 kg).
Where is Pontus Holmberg from?
Sweden: Pontus Holmberg was born in Vasteras, Sweden.
What team does Pontus Holmberg play for?
Pontus Holmberg plays for the Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL, at R, wearing number 29.
Is Pontus Holmberg injured?
No: Pontus Holmberg is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Pontus Holmberg?
Pontus Holmberg produced 0.9 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 178th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 85 out of 100: excellent for his position.
How much does Pontus Holmberg make?
Pontus Holmberg earns $1.6M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 91 out of 100 (exceptional value): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Pontus Holmberg's contract end?
Pontus Holmberg's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent.
Is Pontus Holmberg overpaid?
No, he gives more than he costs. His Value rating is 91 out of 100 (exceptional value), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Pontus Holmberg a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 178th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Pontus Holmberg getting better?
Yes: his PAL rating went from 62 in 2024-25 to 85 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Pontus Holmberg played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Pontus Holmberg has 9 points (5 goals, 4 assists).
What are Pontus Holmberg's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Pontus Holmberg has 245 games, 34 goals, 48 assists and 82 points. His best season: 2025-26, with 22 points in 70 games.
Where was Pontus Holmberg drafted?
Pontus Holmberg was drafted 156th overall (round 6) by Toronto Maple Leafs in 2018.
Is Pontus Holmberg better at home or on the road?
At home: in 2026-27, he averages 1.13 points per game at home (9 in 8 games) and 0.44 on the road (4 in 9 games).
How does Pontus Holmberg perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Pontus Holmberg has 19 games and 1 point in his career. His pace (0.05 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (0.33).
Which player is most similar to Pontus Holmberg?
William Carrier: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
William Carrier's page →Is Pontus Holmberg a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 35 points in 2026-27, or 0.48 points per game.
What is Pontus Holmberg's nationality?
Pontus Holmberg is Swedish. Internationally: Sweden — 2019 World Juniors (upset in quarterfinals), 2022 Winter Olympics (lost bronze-medal game to Slovakia), 2024 IIHF World Championship (bronze medal; 10 games, 6 assists).
What awards has Pontus Holmberg won?
Stefan Liv Memorial Trophy (playoff MVP) — 2021.
How many championships has Pontus Holmberg won?
2: Le Mat Trophy with the Växjö Lakers (SHL playoff champions) — 2020–21 season; Bronze medal at the IIHF World Championship with Sweden — 2024.
Where did Pontus Holmberg play before turning pro?
Växjö Lakers (SHL) — made debut in 2018; remained with Växjö on loan for the 2021–22 season.
How many points is Pontus Holmberg projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 35 points in 73 games in 2026-27 (20 to 50 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Tampa Bay Lightning teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)