Nils
Lundkvist
D · DAL · Balanced · Below average
- PAL
- 29
- WAR
- 0.4
- Value
- 37
- PTS
- 11
2025-26№ 111 / 325
Nils Lundkvist (Dallas Stars) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Nils Lundkvist
#5D
Dallas Stars
HEIGHT : 185 cm · WEIGHT : 88 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : July 26, 2000 · Pitea, Sweden
Drafted : 2018 · NYR · round 1, pick #28
Contract : $1,750,000 · 2026-27 → 2027-28 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFA
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Dallas Stars | 17 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 2025-26 | Dallas Stars | 52 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 16 |
| 2024-25 | Dallas Stars | 39 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 20 |
| 2023-24 | Dallas Stars | 59 | 2 | 17 | 19 | 16 |
| 2022-23 | Dallas Stars | 60 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 26 |
| 2021-22 | New York Rangers | 25 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| NHL totals | 252 | 12 | 46 | 58 | 88 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Dallas Stars | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 2023-24 | Dallas Stars | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Playoff totals | 16 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | |
Nils Lundkvist: our analysis
2025-26 season: 52 GP, 3 G, 8 A, 11 PTS, +12 +/-, 16:29 TOI. WAR 0.4 (111th of 325) · PAL 29, below average.
In 2025-26, Nils Lundkvist, 26, posts a PAL Rating of 29 out of 100 (below average), and his WAR of 0.4 ranks 111th among 325 regulars, in the top half.
On the other hand, penalty kill (18, well below average) and defense (26, below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: finishing (+0.8); his biggest cost: EV defense (-0.7).
A clear step forward: his PAL went from 15 in 2024-25 to 29; his WAR went from -0.5 to 0.4.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 37 (poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Nils Lundkvist's story
Raised in Piteå, Nils Lundkvist moved from local youth hockey at Piteå IF to the junior ranks of Luleå HF, where he developed into a defender with poise and puck skills. He broke into senior pro hockey as a 17-year-old during the 2017–18 SHL season, taking early steps against seasoned competition.
Lundkvist’s offensive game emerged clearly in 2019–20 with Luleå HF when he scored 11 goals and added 20 assists for 31 points in 45 games, finishing that season as the top junior in both assists and points in the league. The following campaign, 2020–21, saw him establish himself as a top-pairing blueliner: 14 goals and 18 assists for 32 points in 52 contests, leading all defensemen in goals and in power-play goals. His 14 goals were a SHL milestone for a defenceman under 21.
Those SHL achievements translated into NHL opportunities. Drafted 28th overall by the New York Rangers in 2018, Lundkvist signed a three-year entry-level contract on 3 June 2021. He earned the Lars-Erik Sjöberg Award as the best rookie at the Rangers’ training camp on 11 October 2021, made his NHL debut on 14 October 2021 against the Dallas Stars, recorded his first NHL assist on 29 October 2021 versus the Columbus Blue Jackets, and scored his first NHL goal on 8 December 2021 at Madison Square Garden against the Colorado Avalanche.
On 19 September 2022, Lundkvist was traded to the Dallas Stars in exchange for conditional 2023 and 2025 draft picks. Internationally, he has represented Sweden at the junior level.
In plain terms, Lundkvist is a defence-first player with a clear offensive bent: his SHL seasons show a defender who contributes steady scoring, particularly on the power play, while occupying a top-pair role on the back end.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 17:41
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:02
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:27
- Pts/GP
- 0.18
- EV points
- 3
- Hits
- 9
- Blocks
- 21
- Takeaways
- 3
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 51.1 %
- Off. zone starts
- 28.6 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
12between 4 and 19 (80% range)
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 10
- Games
- 62
So far: 3 pts in 17 games. The team has played 17 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.20 pts per game (last season: 0.21).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Slightly up
- Points per game: 0.32 in 23-24, 0.21 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 15 → 29
Outlook, age included
↗ Slightly upAge 26: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 76 %
70
Established NHL
- SK
- Skating
- 84
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 77
- Confidence 80 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 60
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 62
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 70
- Confidence 80 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 70
- Confidence 57 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 67
- Confidence 80 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 77
- Confidence 76 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 74
- Confidence 76 %
- DF
- Defense
- 67
- Confidence 73 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 76
- Confidence 0 %
- EX
- Experience
- 70
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating84
- Top speed (35 %)35.6 · 77
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)2.834 · 85
- Distance /60 (20 %)14.6 · 84
- Speed consistency (15 %)35.3 · 85
ST — Strength77
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)6.558 · 86
- Body mass (50 %)-0.41 · 66
EN — Endurance60
- Ice time per game (45 %)16.6 · 61
- Total ice time (20 %)842 · 65
- Shift length (15 %)46 · 69
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)14.5 · 59
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.075 · 46
DU — Durability62
- Share of games played (100 %)0.702 · 62
CK — Checking70
- Hits /60 (70 %)2.622 · 72
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)2.095 · 70
- Season volume (10 %)3.296 · 64
FG — Fighting70
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.744 · 70
DI — Discipline67
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)-0.064 · 67
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.677 · 72
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.302 · 65
PA — Passing77
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.387 · 77
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.345 · 67
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.066 · 81
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)3.672 · 64
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.28 · 79
SC — Scoring74
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.202 · 73
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.207 · 76
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.145 · 73
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)0.096 · 74
- xG per shot (10 %)0.034 · 70
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)10.9 · 80
DF — Defense67
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.059 · 65
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.078 · 68
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.605 · 76
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.008 · 74
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-2.294 · 66
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)58.1 · 76
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)3.739 · 63
PS — Penalty shot76
- Shootouts (60 %)32.7 · 76
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience70
- Career regular-season games (65 %)77
- Career playoff games (25 %)53
- NHL seasons (10 %)61
OV — Overall70
- DF · Defense (30 %)67
- PA · Passing (22 %)77
- SK · Skating (12 %)84
- SC · Scoring (12 %)74
- EN · Endurance (9 %)60
- ST · Strength (6 %)77
- DI · Discipline (5 %)67
- CK · Checking (4 %)70
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 70 | 84 | 74 | 67 |
| 2024-25 | 66 | 86 | 71 | 63 |
| 2023-24 | 72 | 89 | 76 | 63 |
| 2022-23 | 73 | 88 | 82 | 67 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
0.4
wins above replacement
111 of 325
PAL Rating
29/ 100
Performance · Below average
176 of 250 at the position
Value Rating
37/ 100
Poor return
1.25 M$ · expected PAL 43
ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates
- Offense
- 49
- Defense
- 28
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 44
- Creation
- 46
- Shooting
- 57
- Possession
- 51
- Defense
- 26
- Discipline
- 56
- Power play
- 33
- Penalty kill
- 18
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 0.4 | 29 | 37 | 1.25 M$ |
| 2024-25 | DAL | -0.5 | 15 | 21 | 1.25 M$ |
| 2023-24 | DAL | -0.2 | 22 | 36 | 0.93 M$ |
| 2022-23 | DAL | 0.5 | 44 | 54 | 0.93 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
29/ 100
Below average
better than 29% of defensemen, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
38/ 100
Below average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
25/ 100
Below average
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 159 of 225 defensemen.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 47
- Shot selection
- 38
- Penalties drawn
- 43
- Puck management
- 61
Defense
- Takeaways
- 13
- Discipline
- 51
- Safe zone exits
- 24
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 29 | 38 | 25 |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 25 | 49 | 19 |
| 2023-24 | DAL | 37 | 25 | 54 |
| 2022-23 | DAL | 25 | 46 | 22 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
0.4
wins above replacement
-0.1 to 1.4 — 90% interval
111 of 325 defensemen
+2.1 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +0.7
- EV defense
- -0.7
- Power play
- 0.0
- Penalty kill
- +0.0
- Shooting
- +0.8
- Penalties
- -0.5
- Average → replacement
- +1.8
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 52 | 0.4 | -0.1 to 1.4 | 111/325 |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 39 | -0.5 | -0.9 to -0.2 | 287/314 |
| 2023-24 | DAL | 59 | -0.2 | -0.7 to 0.4 | 249/316 |
| 2022-23 | DAL | 60 | 0.5 | -0.3 to 1.5 | 80/334 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 139.2 km/h44th percentileleague avg. 139.7 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 35.5 km/h84th percentileleague avg. 34.0 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 1887th percentileleague avg. 8
- Offensive zone time
- 43.3 %74th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 71.3 km62nd percentileleague avg. 56.1 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 4.72 km38th percentileleague avg. 4.98 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 43.2 %68th percentileleague avg. 42.8 %
- Neutral zone time
- 17.9 %41st percentileleague avg. 16.9 %
- Defensive zone time
- 38.8 %71st percentileleague avg. 40.8 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 1350th percentile | 049th percentile | 0.0 %27th percentile |
| High danger | 175th percentile | 084th percentile | 0.0 %60th percentile |
| Mid range | 579th percentile | 073rd percentile | 0.0 %50th percentile |
| Long range | 543rd percentile | 077th percentile | 0.0 %67th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
SJS
CBJ
WSH
MTL
NJD
NYI
WPG
BOS
CHI
COL
PIT
BUF
NSH
STLNils Lundkvist: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Nils Lundkvist have in 2026-27?
Nils Lundkvist has 0 goals and 3 points (3 assists) in 17 games in 2026-27.
How old is Nils Lundkvist?
Nils Lundkvist is 26 years old: he was born on July 27, 2000.
How tall is Nils Lundkvist, and how much does he weigh?
Nils Lundkvist is 6'1" (185 cm) and weighs 194 lb (88 kg).
Where is Nils Lundkvist from?
Sweden: Nils Lundkvist was born in Pitea, Sweden.
What team does Nils Lundkvist play for?
Nils Lundkvist plays for the Dallas Stars in the NHL, at D, wearing number 5.
Is Nils Lundkvist injured?
No: Nils Lundkvist is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Nils Lundkvist?
Nils Lundkvist produced 0.4 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 111th of 325 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 29 out of 100: below average for his position.
How much does Nils Lundkvist make?
Nils Lundkvist earns $1.3M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 37 out of 100 (poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Nils Lundkvist's contract end?
Nils Lundkvist's contract runs through the 2027-28 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent.
Is Nils Lundkvist overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 37 out of 100 (poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Nils Lundkvist a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 111th of 325 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Nils Lundkvist getting better?
Yes: his PAL rating went from 15 in 2024-25 to 29 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Nils Lundkvist played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Nils Lundkvist has 2 points (0 goals, 2 assists).
What are Nils Lundkvist's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Nils Lundkvist has 252 games, 12 goals, 46 assists and 58 points. His best season: 2023-24, with 19 points in 59 games.
Where was Nils Lundkvist drafted?
Nils Lundkvist was drafted 28th overall (round 1) by New York Rangers in 2018.
Is Nils Lundkvist better at home or on the road?
On the road: in 2026-27, he averages 0.10 points per game at home (1 in 10 games) and 0.29 on the road (2 in 7 games).
How does Nils Lundkvist perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Nils Lundkvist has 16 games and 3 points in his career. His pace (0.19 points per game) is similar to his regular-season pace (0.23).
Which player is most similar to Nils Lundkvist?
Kyle Capobianco: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Kyle Capobianco's page →Is Nils Lundkvist a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 12 points in 2026-27, or 0.19 points per game.
What is Nils Lundkvist's nationality?
Nils Lundkvist is Swedish.
What awards has Nils Lundkvist won?
Salming Trophy (SHL best defenceman) — 2020–21 ; Lars‑Erik Sjöberg Award (best rookie in Rangers training camp) — 11 October 2021.
Where did Nils Lundkvist play before turning pro?
Youth development with Luleå HF; made professional debut in 2017–18 at age 17.
How many points is Nils Lundkvist projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 12 points in 62 games in 2026-27 (4 to 19 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Dallas Stars teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)