Morgan
Frost
C · CGY · Balanced · Around average
- PAL
- 47
- WAR
- 1.6
- Value
- 34
- PTS
- 43
2025-26№ 85 / 615
Morgan Frost (Calgary Flames) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Morgan Frost
#16CPlays: Centre · 71% of faceoffs
Calgary Flames
HEIGHT : 183 cm · WEIGHT : 88 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : May 13, 1999 · Aurora, Canada
Drafted : 2017 · PHI · round 1, pick #27
Contract : $4,375,000 · 2025-26 → 2026-27 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFA · Signing bonus $500,000M-NTC
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Calgary Flames | 18 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 6 |
| 2025-26 | Calgary Flames | 82 | 22 | 21 | 43 | 28 |
| 2024-25 | Calgary Flames | 32 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 6 |
| 2024-25 | Philadelphia Flyers | 49 | 11 | 14 | 25 | 16 |
| 2023-24 | Philadelphia Flyers | 71 | 13 | 28 | 41 | 22 |
| 2022-23 | Philadelphia Flyers | 81 | 19 | 27 | 46 | 24 |
| 2021-22 | Philadelphia Flyers | 55 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 14 |
| 2020-21 | Philadelphia Flyers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-20 | Philadelphia Flyers | 20 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| NHL totals | 409 | 79 | 123 | 202 | 118 | |
Morgan Frost: our analysis
2025-26 season: 82 GP, 22 G, 21 A, 43 PTS, -16 +/-, 15:30 TOI. WAR 1.6 (85th of 615) · PAL 47, around average.
In 2025-26, Morgan Frost, 27, posts a PAL Rating of 47 out of 100 (around average), and his WAR of 1.6 ranks 85th among 615 regulars, in the top quarter.
His strengths: shooting (71, above average) and defense (66, above average). On the other hand, power play (9, among the weakest in the league) and discipline (33, below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: finishing (+4.1); his biggest cost: power play (-1.3).
A marked decline: his PAL was 66 in 2024-25, against 47 now; his WAR, though, went from 0.6 to 1.6.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 34 (poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Morgan Frost's story
Growing up in Aurora, Ontario, Frost spent his childhood close to NHL atmosphere—his father served as the Maple Leafs’ in-house announcer—and the boy learned the game by attending matches and studying play from an early age. A setback at 13 when he was cut from a local AAA squad sent him back to AA, but a coach in Barrie gave him a second chance that relaunched his path to junior hockey.
Selected 81st overall in the OHL Priority Selection by the Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds, Frost unexpectedly joined the club as a 16-year-old when a roster vacancy opened. Early on he focused on scoring, but coaches guided him into a more complete centre role; the shift paid off in back-to-back 100-point seasons and a junior résumé that ended at 106 goals and 204 assists across 257 games.
At the 2017 NHL Entry Draft the Philadelphia Flyers picked him 27th overall, and Frost signed a three-year entry-level deal on 3 August 2017. His pro debut included time with the Lehigh Valley Phantoms in the AHL—where he posted 13 goals and 29 points in 41 games in 2019–20—and call-ups to the Flyers. He scored in his NHL debut but also faced inconsistencies and suffered a shoulder injury that required season-ending surgery in the 2020–21 campaign.
Across six seasons with Philadelphia Frost totaled 50 goals and 85 assists in 278 games before being moved in late January 2025 to the Calgary Flames in a deal that also involved Joel Farabee and brought wingers and draft picks the other way. Internationally, Frost played for Canada at the 2019 World Junior Championship, logging a hat-trick and two assists in a 14–0 preliminary win over Denmark and finishing the event with four goals and four assists in five games.
On the ice Frost is best described as a smart two-way centre who can create for teammates and shoulder defensive duties; he has experience on both the power play and penalty kill and has shown the versatility to slide to the wing when needed.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 15:10
- PP TOI/GP
- 2:25
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:04
- Pts/GP
- 0.67
- EV points
- 6
- Hits
- 12
- Blocks
- 10
- Takeaways
- 5
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 48.9 %
- Off. zone starts
- 44.8 %
- Faceoffs
- 49.8 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
48between 28 and 67 (80% range)
- Goals
- 20
- Assists
- 28
- Games
- 82
So far: 12 pts in 18 games. The team has played 18 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.56 pts per game (last season: 0.52).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Slight decline
- Points per game: 0.58 in 23-24, 0.52 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 66 → 47
Outlook, age included
↘ Slight declineAge 27: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 83 %
82
Very good
- SK
- Skating
- 82
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 57
- Confidence 86 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 77
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 86
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 73
- Confidence 86 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 53
- Confidence 66 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 72
- Confidence 86 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 83
- Confidence 91 %
- PA
- Passing
- 75
- Confidence 83 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 79
- Confidence 83 %
- DF
- Defense
- 80
- Confidence 80 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 97
- Confidence 60 %
- EX
- Experience
- 62
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating82
- Top speed (35 %)36.6 · 82
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)7.404 · 80
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.6 · 81
- Speed consistency (15 %)35.9 · 81
ST — Strength57
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)2.552 · 58
- Body mass (50 %)-0.55 · 71
EN — Endurance77
- Ice time per game (45 %)15.2 · 76
- Total ice time (20 %)1,226 · 79
- Shift length (15 %)44.8 · 74
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)14.7 · 78
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)2.577 · 77
DU — Durability86
- Share of games played (100 %)0.876 · 86
CK — Checking73
- Hits /60 (70 %)3.377 · 72
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)3.124 · 75
- Season volume (10 %)4.094 · 75
FG — Fighting53
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.658 · 53
DI — Discipline72
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.01 · 71
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.63 · 75
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.689 · 71
FO — Faceoffs83
- Faceoff % (85 %)53 · 83
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)47.3 · 83
PA — Passing75
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.65 · 75
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.507 · 76
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.032 · 74
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.287 · 72
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.42 · 71
SC — Scoring79
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.907 · 79
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.824 · 78
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.162 · 80
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.355 · 78
- xG per shot (10 %)0.083 · 74
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)13.2 · 79
DF — Defense80
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.099 · 86
- Relative xG against (20 %)-0 · 72
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.647 · 72
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.023 · 77
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.11 · 81
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)57.8 · 76
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.74 · 76
PS — Penalty shot97
- Shootouts (60 %)35.3 · 89
- Penalty shots (40 %)30.2 · 93
EX — Experience62
- Career regular-season games (65 %)84
- Career playoff games (25 %)0
- NHL seasons (10 %)71
OV — Overall82
- SC · Scoring (20 %)79
- PA · Passing (20 %)75
- DF · Defense (20 %)80
- SK · Skating (12 %)82
- FO · Faceoffs (10 %)83
- EN · Endurance (8 %)77
- DI · Discipline (5 %)72
- ST · Strength (3 %)57
- CK · Checking (2 %)73
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 82 | 79 | 80 |
| 2024-25 | 81 | 83 | 75 | 82 |
| 2023-24 | 83 | 88 | 77 | 78 |
| 2022-23 | 76 | 86 | 78 | 74 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
1.6
wins above replacement
85 of 615
PAL Rating
47/ 100
Performance · Around average
235 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
34/ 100
Poor return
4.38 M$ · expected PAL 61
ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates
- Offense
- 52
- Defense
- 56
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 60
- Creation
- 48
- Shooting
- 71
- Possession
- 40
- Defense
- 66
- Discipline
- 33
- Power play
- 9
- Penalty kill
- 38
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CGY | 1.6 | 47 | 34 | 4.38 M$ |
| 2024-25 | CGY | 0.6 | 66 | 66 | 2.10 M$ |
| 2023-24 | PHI | 0.4 | 74 | 72 | 2.10 M$ |
| 2022-23 | PHI | 0.0 | 32 | 46 | 0.80 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
57/ 100
Average
better than 57% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
39/ 100
Below average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
66/ 100
Average
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 181 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 38
- Shot selection
- 53
- Penalties drawn
- 32
- Puck management
- 54
Defense
- Takeaways
- 58
- Discipline
- 51
- Safe zone exits
- 70
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CGY | 57 | 39 | 66 |
| 2024-25 | CGY | 65 | 21 | 89 |
| 2023-24 | PHI | 85 | 87 | 64 |
| 2022-23 | PHI | 74 | 69 | 68 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
1.6
wins above replacement
0.5 to 3.4 — 90% interval
85 of 615 forwards
+8.6 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +1.0
- EV defense
- +1.7
- Power play
- -1.3
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- +4.1
- Penalties
- 0.0
- Average → replacement
- +3.2
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CGY | 82 | 1.6 | 0.5 to 3.4 | 85/615 |
| 2024-25 | CGY | 78 | 0.6 | -0.3 to 1.7 | 218/596 |
| 2023-24 | PHI | 71 | 0.4 | -0.7 to 1.6 | 248/608 |
| 2022-23 | PHI | 81 | 0.0 | -0.9 to 1.3 | 343/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 120.6 km/h14th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 36.0 km/h73rd percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 3075th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 44.0 %72nd percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 67.2 km65th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 4.70 km57th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 40.4 %37th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 18.1 %51st percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 37.9 %70th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 3072nd percentile | 474th percentile | 13.3 %52nd percentile |
| High danger | 1278th percentile | 386th percentile | 25.0 %68th percentile |
| Mid range | 867th percentile | 177th percentile | 12.5 %53rd percentile |
| Long range | 383rd percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
PHI
ANA
SEA
SJS
COL
EDM
TOR
DET
MIN
CAR
VGK
VANMorgan Frost: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Morgan Frost have in 2026-27?
Morgan Frost has 4 goals and 12 points (8 assists) in 18 games in 2026-27.
How old is Morgan Frost?
Morgan Frost is 27 years old: he was born on May 14, 1999.
How tall is Morgan Frost, and how much does he weigh?
Morgan Frost is 6'0" (183 cm) and weighs 194 lb (88 kg).
Where is Morgan Frost from?
Canada: Morgan Frost was born in Aurora, Ontario, Canada.
What team does Morgan Frost play for?
Morgan Frost plays for the Calgary Flames in the NHL, at C, wearing number 16.
Is Morgan Frost injured?
No: Morgan Frost is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Morgan Frost?
Morgan Frost produced 1.6 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 85th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 47 out of 100: around average for his position.
How much does Morgan Frost make?
Morgan Frost earns $4.4M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 34 out of 100 (poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Morgan Frost's contract end?
Morgan Frost's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent. It includes a M-NTC clause.
Is Morgan Frost overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 34 out of 100 (poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Morgan Frost a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 85th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Morgan Frost getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 66 in 2024-25 to 47 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Morgan Frost played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Morgan Frost has 7 points (1 goal, 6 assists).
What are Morgan Frost's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Morgan Frost has 409 games, 79 goals, 123 assists and 202 points. His best season: 2022-23, with 46 points in 81 games.
Where was Morgan Frost drafted?
Morgan Frost was drafted 27th overall (round 1) by Philadelphia Flyers in 2017.
Is Morgan Frost better at home or on the road?
At home: in 2026-27, he averages 0.90 points per game at home (9 in 10 games) and 0.38 on the road (3 in 8 games).
How does Morgan Frost perform in the playoffs?
Morgan Frost has not played in the NHL playoffs yet.
Which player is most similar to Morgan Frost?
Fraser Minten: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Fraser Minten's page →Is Morgan Frost a good fantasy pick?
A useful depth pick: our projection has him at 48 points in 2026-27, or 0.59 points per game.
Is Morgan Frost related to anyone famous?
Yes: Andy Frost (father, public address announcer for the Toronto Maple Leafs from 1999 to 2016).
What is Morgan Frost's nationality?
Morgan Frost is Canadian. Internationally: Canada — 2019 World Junior Ice Hockey Championships: 4 goals and 4 assists in 5 games; hat-trick vs Denmark; named Player of the Game (preliminary).
What awards has Morgan Frost won?
Rock 101 Trophy (Greyhounds' regular season MVP) — 2017–18 season ; Greyhounds' Top Scorer Award — 2017–18 season.
Where did Morgan Frost play before turning pro?
Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds (OHL) — 2015 to 2019; 257 games, 106 goals and 204 assists in his Greyhounds career.
How many points is Morgan Frost projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 48 points in 82 games in 2026-27 (28 to 67 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Calgary Flames teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)