Matthew
Tkachuk
L · FLA · Offensive · Elite
- PAL
- 95
- WAR
- 1.1
- Value
- 90
- PTS
- 34
2025-26№ 156 / 615
Matthew Tkachuk (Florida Panthers) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Matthew Tkachuk
#19LPlays: Left wing · 1% of faceoffs
Florida Panthers
HEIGHT : 188 cm · WEIGHT : 92 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : December 10, 1997 · Scottsdale, United States
Drafted : 2016 · CGY · round 1, pick #6
Contract : $9,500,000 · 2022-23 → 2029-30 · Standard Contract · UFA · Signing bonus $8,000,000NMC / M-NTC
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Florida Panthers | 18 | 4 | 22 | 26 | 32 |
| 2025-26 | Florida Panthers | 31 | 13 | 21 | 34 | 48 |
| 2024-25 | Florida Panthers | 52 | 22 | 35 | 57 | 54 |
| 2023-24 | Florida Panthers | 80 | 26 | 62 | 88 | 88 |
| 2022-23 | Florida Panthers | 79 | 40 | 69 | 109 | 123 |
| 2021-22 | Calgary Flames | 82 | 42 | 62 | 104 | 68 |
| 2020-21 | Calgary Flames | 56 | 16 | 27 | 43 | 55 |
| 2019-20 | Calgary Flames | 69 | 23 | 38 | 61 | 74 |
| 2018-19 | Calgary Flames | 80 | 34 | 43 | 77 | 62 |
| 2017-18 | Calgary Flames | 68 | 24 | 25 | 49 | 61 |
| 2016-17 | Calgary Flames | 76 | 13 | 35 | 48 | 105 |
| NHL totals | 690 | 257 | 438 | 695 | 754 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Florida Panthers | 23 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 33 |
| 2023-24 | Florida Panthers | 24 | 6 | 16 | 22 | 31 |
| 2022-23 | Florida Panthers | 20 | 11 | 13 | 24 | 74 |
| 2021-22 | Calgary Flames | 12 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 20 |
| 2019-20 | Calgary Flames | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 2018-19 | Calgary Flames | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 |
| 2016-17 | Calgary Flames | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Playoff totals | 94 | 32 | 52 | 84 | 190 | |
Honours
- 🏆 Stanley Cup2 times · 2024-25, 2023-24
Matthew Tkachuk: our analysis
2025-26 season: 31 GP, 13 G, 21 A, 34 PTS, -6 +/-, 18:18 TOI. WAR 1.1 (156th of 615) · PAL 95, elite.
In 2025-26, Matthew Tkachuk, 28, posts a PAL Rating of 95 out of 100 (elite), and his WAR of 1.1 ranks 156th among 615 regulars, in the top half.
His strengths: creation (98, among the best in the league), offense (94, among the best in the league) and power play (93, among the best in the league). On the other hand, defense (19, well below average) and penalty kill (35, below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV offense (+4.9); his biggest cost: finishing (-2.5).
A season in line with 2024-25 (PAL of 96); his WAR went from 3.0 to 1.1.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 90 (exceptional value) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Matthew Tkachuk's story
Born in Scottsdale and raised in Creve Coeur, Missouri, Matthew Tkachuk spent his childhood inside rinks, following a father who played in the NHL and moving into the USA Hockey National Team Development Program as a teenager. At the USNTDP in Ann Arbor he developed into a high-end scorer and shared ice with future NHL talents while accelerating his path to the draft.
Opting for major junior hockey, he joined the London Knights for 2015–16 and posted 107 points while skating on a top line that helped the club win the Memorial Cup; he scored the overtime winner in the final. That season elevated his status ahead of the 2016 draft, where Calgary selected him sixth overall and signed him to a three-year entry-level deal.
In Calgary Tkachuk established himself as a top-six winger noted for both production and edge. He became an alternate captain, set career highs in goals and assists, and enjoyed a standout 2021–22 campaign with 104 points. Contract uncertainty late in his Flames tenure led to a July 2022 trade to the Florida Panthers; he joined Florida on an eight-year agreement.
With the Panthers he reached new offensive peaks, earning All-Star recognition — including MVP honours in the 2023 All-Star Game — and finishing among the NHL’s top point-scorers with seasons over 100 points. He was a Hart Trophy finalist in 2023. Tkachuk played key roles as Florida captured back-to-back Stanley Cups in 2024 and 2025, including scoring the Cup-clinching goal in game six of the 2025 Final.
On the ice his profile is straightforward: a power winger who mixes physicality and provocation with high-end playmaking and goal scoring. He draws penalties and scrapes in the corners, yet also produces at an elite offensive level. Even after sustaining a torn adductor and sports hernia in 2024–25, he returned for the playoffs and remained a driving force for his team. He later won Olympic gold in 2026 alongside his brother Brady.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 18:57
- PP TOI/GP
- 5:23
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:05
- Pts/GP
- 1.44
- EV points
- 12
- Hits
- 34
- Blocks
- 2
- Takeaways
- 6
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 58.8 %
- Off. zone starts
- 34.1 %
- Faceoffs
- 0.0 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
71between 51 and 85 (80% range)
- Goals
- 18
- Assists
- 53
- Games
- 59
So far: 26 pts in 18 games. The team has played 18 of 84 games. Projected pace: 1.10 pts per game (last season: 1.10).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Stable
- Points per game: 1.10 in 23-24, 1.10 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 96 → 95
Outlook, age included
→ StableAge 28: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 81 %
85
High-end
- SK
- Skating
- 37
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 67
- Confidence 85 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 81
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 64
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 73
- Confidence 85 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 86
- Confidence 60 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 80
- Confidence 85 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 97
- Confidence 81 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 91
- Confidence 81 %
- DF
- Defense
- 65
- Confidence 78 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 48
- Confidence 33 %
- EX
- Experience
- 89
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating37
- Top speed (35 %)34.1 · 45
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)1.754 · 42
- Distance /60 (20 %)15.2 · 53
- Speed consistency (15 %)33.2 · 48
ST — Strength67
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)2.761 · 60
- Body mass (50 %)0.089 · 77
EN — Endurance81
- Ice time per game (45 %)17 · 84
- Total ice time (20 %)543 · 59
- Shift length (15 %)48.4 · 83
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)16.6 · 87
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)3.46 · 87
DU — Durability64
- Share of games played (100 %)0.725 · 64
CK — Checking73
- Hits /60 (70 %)4.657 · 76
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)3.043 · 71
- Season volume (10 %)3.401 · 64
FG — Fighting86
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)1.325 · 86
DI — Discipline80
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.048 · 83
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)1.202 · 55
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)1.484 · 96
PA — Passing97
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)1.342 · 94
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.824 · 94
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.581 · 97
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)6.306 · 92
- Assist consistency (10 %)1.164 · 96
SC — Scoring91
- Goals /60 (25 %)1.287 · 87
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)1.272 · 95
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)-0.4 · 64
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)2.397 · 94
- xG per shot (10 %)0.083 · 83
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)19.6 · 89
DF — Defense65
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.022 · 71
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.262 · 56
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.748 · 68
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.034 · 67
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.964 · 65
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)60.3 · 65
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)1.601 · 60
PS — Penalty shot48
- Shootouts (60 %)28.5 · 45
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience89
- Career regular-season games (65 %)92
- Career playoff games (25 %)86
- NHL seasons (10 %)81
OV — Overall85
- SC · Scoring (28 %)91
- PA · Passing (22 %)97
- DF · Defense (18 %)65
- SK · Skating (12 %)37
- EN · Endurance (8 %)81
- DI · Discipline (5 %)80
- ST · Strength (4 %)67
- CK · Checking (3 %)73
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 85 | 37 | 91 | 65 |
| 2024-25 | 86 | 43 | 90 | 63 |
| 2023-24 | 88 | 52 | 90 | 60 |
| 2022-23 | 94 | 47 | 96 | 66 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
1.1
wins above replacement
156 of 615
PAL Rating
95/ 100
Performance · Elite
23 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
90/ 100
Exceptional value
9.50 M$ · expected PAL 75
ProfileOffensiveValue comes mostly from offense
- Offense
- 97
- Defense
- 31
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 94
- Creation
- 98
- Shooting
- 89
- Possession
- 86
- Defense
- 19
- Discipline
- 74
- Power play
- 93
- Penalty kill
- 35
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | FLA | 1.1 | 95 | 90 | 9.50 M$ |
| 2024-25 | FLA | 3.0 | 96 | 93 | 9.50 M$ |
| 2023-24 | FLA | 2.5 | 97 | 93 | 9.50 M$ |
| 2022-23 | FLA | 4.5 | 100 | 99 | 9.50 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
71/ 100
Very good
better than 71% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
99/ 100
Elite
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
10/ 100
Low
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 121 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 85
- Shot selection
- 83
- Penalties drawn
- 99
- Puck management
- 49
Defense
- Takeaways
- 29
- Discipline
- 7
- Safe zone exits
- 43
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | FLA | 71 | 99 | 10 |
| 2024-25 | FLA | 21 | 91 | 3 |
| 2023-24 | FLA | 74 | 100 | 5 |
| 2022-23 | FLA | 95 | 99 | 52 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
1.1
wins above replacement
0.1 to 2.4 — 90% interval
156 of 615 forwards
+5.7 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +4.9
- EV defense
- -0.4
- Power play
- +1.7
- Penalty kill
- +0.0
- Shooting
- -2.5
- Penalties
- +0.5
- Average → replacement
- +1.4
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | FLA | 31 | 1.1 | 0.1 to 2.4 | 156/615 |
| 2024-25 | FLA | 52 | 3.0 | 1.1 to 4.3 | 34/596 |
| 2023-24 | FLA | 80 | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 46/608 |
| 2022-23 | FLA | 79 | 4.5 | 2.8 to 6.0 | 8/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 137.9 km/h72nd percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 34.1 km/h22nd percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 1132nd percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 48.7 %99th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 75.0 km78th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 5.38 km79th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 43.6 %88th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 17.6 %30th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 33.7 %99th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 3682nd percentile | 474th percentile | 11.1 %41st percentile |
| High danger | 1278th percentile | 274th percentile | 16.7 %43rd percentile |
| Mid range | 972nd percentile | 288th percentile | 22.2 %81st percentile |
| Long range | 695th percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
🔥 4-game point streak
BOS
WSH
CHI
DET
WPG
PIT
OTT
SEA
VAN
CBJ
BUF
MIN
LAK
ANA
SJS
CARMatthew Tkachuk: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Matthew Tkachuk have in 2026-27?
Matthew Tkachuk has 4 goals and 26 points (22 assists) in 18 games in 2026-27.
How old is Matthew Tkachuk?
Matthew Tkachuk is 28 years old: he was born on December 11, 1997.
How tall is Matthew Tkachuk, and how much does he weigh?
Matthew Tkachuk is 6'2" (188 cm) and weighs 203 lb (92 kg).
Where is Matthew Tkachuk from?
United States: Matthew Tkachuk was born in Scottsdale, Arizona, United States.
What team does Matthew Tkachuk play for?
Matthew Tkachuk plays for the Florida Panthers in the NHL, at L, wearing number 19.
Is Matthew Tkachuk injured?
No: Matthew Tkachuk is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Matthew Tkachuk?
Matthew Tkachuk produced 1.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 156th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 95 out of 100: elite for his position.
How much does Matthew Tkachuk make?
Matthew Tkachuk earns $9.5M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 90 out of 100 (exceptional value): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Matthew Tkachuk's contract end?
Matthew Tkachuk's contract runs through the 2029-30 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent. It includes a NMC / M-NTC clause.
Is Matthew Tkachuk overpaid?
No, he gives more than he costs. His Value rating is 90 out of 100 (exceptional value), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Matthew Tkachuk a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 156th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Matthew Tkachuk getting better?
He is holding steady: his PAL rating went from 96 in 2024-25 to 95 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Matthew Tkachuk played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Matthew Tkachuk has 15 points (1 goal, 14 assists).
What are Matthew Tkachuk's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Matthew Tkachuk has 690 games, 257 goals, 438 assists and 695 points. His best season: 2022-23, with 109 points in 79 games.
Where was Matthew Tkachuk drafted?
Matthew Tkachuk was drafted 6th overall (round 1) by Calgary Flames in 2016.
Is Matthew Tkachuk better at home or on the road?
On the road: in 2026-27, he averages 1.17 points per game at home (7 in 6 games) and 1.58 on the road (19 in 12 games).
How does Matthew Tkachuk perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Matthew Tkachuk has 94 games and 84 points in his career. His pace (0.89 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (1.01).
Which player is most similar to Matthew Tkachuk?
Nathan MacKinnon: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Nathan MacKinnon's page →Is Matthew Tkachuk a good fantasy pick?
Yes, a top-tier pick: our projection has him at 71 points in 2026-27, or 1.20 points per game.
Does Matthew Tkachuk have siblings?
Yes: his brother Brady Tkachuk (teammate on the Florida Panthers), his sister Taryn Tkachuk (former NCAA Division I field hockey player with the University of Virginia).
Is Matthew Tkachuk related to anyone famous?
Yes: Keith Tkachuk (father, former NHL player with the original Winnipeg Jets, Phoenix Coyotes, St. Louis Blues and Atlanta Thrashers (18‑year career)); Tom Fitzgerald (first cousin once removed, former NHL player and general manager); Casey Fitzgerald (second cousin); Ryan (second cousin, plays in the American Hockey League (AHL)); Kevin Hayes (cousin, NHL player); Jimmy Hayes (cousin, former NHL player, deceased); Craig Oster (maternal uncle, NHL player agent who represents numerous players, including Erik Karlsson, Mark Stone and Evgeny Kuznetsov).
Is Matthew Tkachuk married?
Yes, married to Ellie Connell in 2025.
What is Matthew Tkachuk's nationality?
Matthew Tkachuk is American. Internationally: Represented the United States: gold at the World U‑17 Hockey Challenge (2014), gold at the IIHF U18 World Championship (2015), bronze at the World Junior Championships (2016), played at the 4 Nations Face‑Off (2025), gold at the Winter Olympics (2026).
What awards has Matthew Tkachuk won?
NHL All‑Star Game MVP, 2023 ; OHL First Team All‑Star, 2015–16.
How many championships has Matthew Tkachuk won?
3: Memorial Cup with the London Knights, 2016; Stanley Cup with the Florida Panthers, 2024; Stanley Cup with the Florida Panthers, 2025.
Where did Matthew Tkachuk play before turning pro?
USA Hockey National Team Development Program (USDP), two seasons; London Knights (OHL) 2015–16.
How many points is Matthew Tkachuk projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 71 points in 59 games in 2026-27 (51 to 85 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Florida Panthers teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)