Matt
Duchene
C · DAL · Offensive · Around average
- PAL
- 51
- WAR
- 0.9
- Value
- 28
- PTS
- 45
2025-26№ 181 / 615
Matt Duchene (Dallas Stars) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Matt Duchene
#95CPlays: Centre · 64% of faceoffs
Dallas Stars
HEIGHT : 180 cm · WEIGHT : 96 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : January 15, 1991 · Haliburton, Canada
Drafted : 2009 · COL · round 1, pick #3
Contract : $4,500,000 · 2025-26 → 2028-29 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFA · Signing bonus $3,000,000NMC / M-NTC
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Dallas Stars | 57 | 16 | 29 | 45 | 8 |
| 2024-25 | Dallas Stars | 82 | 30 | 52 | 82 | 12 |
| 2023-24 | Dallas Stars | 80 | 25 | 40 | 65 | 20 |
| 2022-23 | Nashville Predators | 71 | 22 | 34 | 56 | 32 |
| 2021-22 | Nashville Predators | 78 | 43 | 43 | 86 | 38 |
| 2020-21 | Nashville Predators | 34 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
| 2019-20 | Nashville Predators | 66 | 13 | 29 | 42 | 24 |
| 2018-19 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 23 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 2 |
| 2018-19 | Ottawa Senators | 50 | 27 | 31 | 58 | 6 |
| 2017-18 | Ottawa Senators | 68 | 23 | 26 | 49 | 14 |
| 2017-18 | Colorado Avalanche | 14 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 |
| 2016-17 | Colorado Avalanche | 77 | 18 | 23 | 41 | 12 |
| 2015-16 | Colorado Avalanche | 76 | 30 | 29 | 59 | 24 |
| 2014-15 | Colorado Avalanche | 82 | 21 | 34 | 55 | 16 |
| 2013-14 | Colorado Avalanche | 71 | 23 | 47 | 70 | 19 |
| 2012-13 | Colorado Avalanche | 47 | 17 | 26 | 43 | 12 |
| 2011-12 | Colorado Avalanche | 58 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 8 |
| 2010-11 | Colorado Avalanche | 80 | 27 | 40 | 67 | 33 |
| 2009-10 | Colorado Avalanche | 81 | 24 | 31 | 55 | 16 |
| NHL totals | 1195 | 387 | 549 | 936 | 306 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Dallas Stars | 6 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
| 2024-25 | Dallas Stars | 18 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 2023-24 | Dallas Stars | 19 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 2021-22 | Nashville Predators | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 2020-21 | Nashville Predators | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 2019-20 | Nashville Predators | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 2018-19 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 2013-14 | Colorado Avalanche | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 2009-10 | Colorado Avalanche | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Playoff totals | 75 | 15 | 31 | 46 | 22 | |
Matt Duchene: our analysis
2025-26 season: 57 GP, 16 G, 29 A, 45 PTS, -3 +/-, 16:31 TOI. WAR 0.9 (181st of 615) · PAL 51, around average.
In 2025-26, Matt Duchene, 35, posts a PAL Rating of 51 out of 100 (around average), and his WAR of 0.9 ranks 181st among 615 regulars, in the top half.
His strengths: offense (89, among the best in the league), shooting (87, among the best in the league) and power play (86, among the best in the league). On the other hand, defense (6, among the weakest in the league) and penalty kill (20, well below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV offense (+1.6); his biggest cost: EV defense (-2.5).
A marked decline: his PAL was 72 in 2024-25, against 51 now; his WAR went from 3.1 to 0.9.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 28 (poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Matt Duchene's story
Growing up in Ontario, Matt Duchene moved quickly from minor hockey into major junior thanks to scoring instincts and playmaking ability that showed early. His seasons with Central Ontario’s Wolves and then the Brampton Battalion established him as a high-end junior forward who produced in the regular season and in playoff runs, attracting NHL attention.
Duchene entered the NHL as the third overall pick in the 2009 draft, selected by the Colorado Avalanche. He made an immediate jump to the big league, putting up significant numbers as a rookie, earning NHL Rookie of the Month honours in December 2009 and a spot on the All-Rookie team at season’s end.
His pro career began in Colorado, where he emerged as a primary offensive option and was later named an alternate captain. Mid-career transactions moved him to Ottawa in November 2017, then to Columbus in February 2019. Duchene signed a seven-year, $56-million deal with Nashville on July 1, 2019, and during his time there set the franchise single-season goal record. After the Predators bought out the remainder of that contract in 2023, he signed a one-year, $3-million contract with the Dallas Stars, played his 1,000th NHL game on December 7, 2023, and scored a second-overtime game-winner in the 2024 Western Conference semifinals to send the Stars to the conference final.
Internationally, Duchene has worn Canada’s colours from junior levels to the Olympics. He collected gold at the 2008 U18 and Ivan Hlinka tournaments, excelled at the U17 event, was part of the Spengler Cup-winning Canadian squad in 2012 and made the tournament All-Star team, and he earned Olympic gold with Canada in Sochi in 2014. At the 2015 World Championship he tied for third in scoring.
On the ice, Duchene is a centre who mixes offensive creativity with defensive responsibility. He combines skating and playmaking, can finish scoring chances, and has been deployed in different roles—first‑line minutes, depth centre work and special teams—throughout a long NHL career.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 16:31
- PP TOI/GP
- 2:19
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:01
- Pts/GP
- 0.79
- EV points
- 31
- Hits
- 29
- Blocks
- 23
- Takeaways
- 11
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 45.1 %
- Off. zone starts
- 36.5 %
- Faceoffs
- 52.2 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
35between 15 and 54 (80% range)
- Goals
- 12
- Assists
- 23
- Games
- 49
So far: 0 pts in 0 games. The team has played 17 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.72 pts per game (last season: 0.79).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Slight decline
- Points per game: 0.81 in 23-24, 0.79 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 72 → 51
Outlook, age included
↓ DecliningAge 35: the age when production usually declines
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
Injured reserve· Abdomen· expected back January 12
OV · OverallConfidence 82 %
80
Very good
- SK
- Skating
- 69
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 73
- Confidence 85 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 79
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 77
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 62
- Confidence 85 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 62
- Confidence 64 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 80
- Confidence 85 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 80
- Confidence 85 %
- PA
- Passing
- 89
- Confidence 82 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 85
- Confidence 82 %
- DF
- Defense
- 51
- Confidence 80 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 93
- Confidence 66 %
- EX
- Experience
- 95
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating69
- Top speed (35 %)35.5 · 66
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)6.056 · 76
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.3 · 75
- Speed consistency (15 %)34.8 · 66
ST — Strength73
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)3.342 · 67
- Body mass (50 %)0.283 · 81
EN — Endurance79
- Ice time per game (45 %)16 · 79
- Total ice time (20 %)894 · 70
- Shift length (15 %)48.5 · 84
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)15.3 · 80
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)2.48 · 76
DU — Durability77
- Share of games played (100 %)0.828 · 77
CK — Checking62
- Hits /60 (70 %)2.19 · 63
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)1.826 · 64
- Season volume (10 %)3.401 · 63
FG — Fighting62
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.682 · 62
DI — Discipline80
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.03 · 79
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.387 · 88
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.564 · 64
FO — Faceoffs80
- Faceoff % (85 %)52.5 · 82
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)33 · 70
PA — Passing89
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)1.145 · 89
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.718 · 87
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.117 · 81
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)6.027 · 89
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.792 · 87
SC — Scoring85
- Goals /60 (25 %)1.109 · 85
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.875 · 80
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.647 · 86
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.461 · 81
- xG per shot (10 %)0.085 · 84
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)13.3 · 80
DF — Defense51
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.156 · 54
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.312 · 57
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.837 · 59
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.024 · 77
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-2.262 · 56
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)60 · 64
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)1.848 · 60
PS — Penalty shot93
- Shootouts (60 %)40.5 · 96
- Penalty shots (40 %)25.4 · 57
EX — Experience95
- Career regular-season games (65 %)100
- Career playoff games (25 %)82
- NHL seasons (10 %)98
OV — Overall80
- SC · Scoring (20 %)85
- PA · Passing (20 %)89
- DF · Defense (20 %)51
- SK · Skating (12 %)69
- FO · Faceoffs (10 %)80
- EN · Endurance (8 %)79
- DI · Discipline (5 %)80
- ST · Strength (3 %)73
- CK · Checking (2 %)62
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 80 | 69 | 85 | 51 |
| 2024-25 | 81 | 73 | 84 | 51 |
| 2023-24 | 76 | 76 | 81 | 51 |
| 2022-23 | 72 | 67 | 78 | 57 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
0.9
wins above replacement
181 of 615
PAL Rating
51/ 100
Performance · Around average
218 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
28/ 100
Poor return
8.00 M$ · expected PAL 72
ProfileOffensiveValue comes mostly from offense
- Offense
- 80
- Defense
- 4
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 89
- Creation
- 58
- Shooting
- 87
- Possession
- 20
- Defense
- 6
- Discipline
- 67
- Power play
- 86
- Penalty kill
- 20
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 0.9 | 51 | 28 | 8.00 M$ |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 3.1 | 72 | 45 | 8.00 M$ |
| 2023-24 | DAL | 0.7 | 44 | 17 | 8.00 M$ |
| 2022-23 | NSH | 0.5 | 24 | 6 | 8.00 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
62/ 100
Average
better than 62% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
72/ 100
Very good
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
42/ 100
Average
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 160 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 83
- Shot selection
- 96
- Penalties drawn
- 36
- Puck management
- 2
Defense
- Takeaways
- 23
- Discipline
- 79
- Safe zone exits
- 21
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 62 | 72 | 42 |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 51 | 41 | 63 |
| 2023-24 | DAL | 50 | 34 | 63 |
| 2022-23 | NSH | 24 | 6 | 57 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
0.9
wins above replacement
-0.3 to 2.4 — 90% interval
181 of 615 forwards
+4.7 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +1.6
- EV defense
- -2.5
- Power play
- +1.3
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- +1.2
- Penalties
- +0.7
- Average → replacement
- +2.3
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 57 | 0.9 | -0.3 to 2.4 | 181/615 |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 78 | 3.1 | 1.3 to 4.7 | 28/596 |
| 2023-24 | DAL | 80 | 0.7 | -0.3 to 1.6 | 186/608 |
| 2022-23 | NSH | 71 | 0.5 | -0.4 to 2.0 | 217/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 135.5 km/h45th percentileleague avg. 134.6 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 34.7 km/h22nd percentileleague avg. 35.7 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 6753rd percentileleague avg. 75
- Offensive zone time
- 42.9 %60th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 239.8 km56th percentileleague avg. 198.8 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 5.62 km76th percentileleague avg. 4.70 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 40.7 %42nd percentileleague avg. 42.0 %
- Neutral zone time
- 18.5 %89th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 38.6 %69th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 8957th percentile | 1671st percentile | 18.0 %90th percentile |
| High danger | 3862nd percentile | 759th percentile | 18.4 %42nd percentile |
| Mid range | 2049th percentile | 244th percentile | 10.0 %33rd percentile |
| Long range | 117th percentile | 00th percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2025-2026 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2025-26
BUF
TOR
NYR
MIN
CGY
COL
WPG
BOS
PHI
PIT
NYI
NJD
VGK
UTA
DET
EDM
CHI
VAN
NSH
SEA
STL
CBJ
TBL
ANA
LAK
SJS
WSH
CAR
MTL
FLAMatt Duchene: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Matt Duchene have in 2025-26?
Matt Duchene has 16 goals and 45 points (29 assists) in 57 games in 2025-26.
How old is Matt Duchene?
Matt Duchene is 35 years old: he was born on January 16, 1991.
How tall is Matt Duchene, and how much does he weigh?
Matt Duchene is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 212 lb (96 kg).
Where is Matt Duchene from?
Canada: Matt Duchene was born in Haliburton, Ontario, Canada.
What team does Matt Duchene play for?
Matt Duchene plays for the Dallas Stars in the NHL, at C, wearing number 95.
Is Matt Duchene injured?
Yes: Matt Duchene is on injured reserve (abdomen). He is expected back around January 12.
How good is Matt Duchene?
Matt Duchene produced 0.9 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 181st of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 51 out of 100: around average for his position.
How much does Matt Duchene make?
Matt Duchene earns $8.0M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 28 out of 100 (poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Matt Duchene's contract end?
Matt Duchene's contract runs through the 2028-29 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent. It includes a NMC / M-NTC clause.
Is Matt Duchene overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 28 out of 100 (poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Matt Duchene a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 181st of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Matt Duchene getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 72 in 2024-25 to 51 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Matt Duchene played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Matt Duchene has 9 points (2 goals, 7 assists).
What are Matt Duchene's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Matt Duchene has 1,195 games, 387 goals, 549 assists and 936 points. His best season: 2021-22, with 86 points in 78 games.
Where was Matt Duchene drafted?
Matt Duchene was drafted 3rd overall (round 1) by Colorado Avalanche in 2009.
Is Matt Duchene better at home or on the road?
No real difference: in 2025-26, he averages 0.75 points per game at home (21 in 28 games) and 0.83 on the road (24 in 29 games).
How does Matt Duchene perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Matt Duchene has 75 games and 46 points in his career. His pace (0.61 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (0.78).
Which player is most similar to Matt Duchene?
Mikko Rantanen: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Mikko Rantanen's page →Is Matt Duchene a good fantasy pick?
A useful depth pick: our projection has him at 35 points in 2026-27, or 0.71 points per game.
Is Matt Duchene related to anyone famous?
Yes: Newell Brown (uncle, Anaheim Ducks assistant coach).
Is Matt Duchene married?
Yes, married to Ashley Grossaint (July 8, 2017).
What is Matt Duchene's nationality?
Matt Duchene is Canadian. Internationally: Canada: Olympic gold medalist (2014, Sochi); World Championship gold medalist (2015); Spengler Cup winner with Canada (2012); gold at the 2008 IIHF World U18 Championship and gold at the 2008 Ivan Hlinka Tournament.
What awards has Matt Duchene won?
NHL Rookie of the Month — December 2009 ; Selected to the NHL All-Rookie Team — 2009–10 ; Selected to the NHL All-Star Game — January 2011 ; Selected to the Spengler Cup All-Star Team (centre) — 2012.
How many championships has Matt Duchene won?
7: Olympic gold medal with Canada — 2014 Winter Olympics (Sochi); World Championship gold with Canada — 2015; Spengler Cup winner with Canada — 2012; Gold at the IIHF World U18 Championship with Canada — 2008; Ivan Hlinka Tournament winner with Canada — 2008; Central Division title with the Colorado Avalanche — 2013–14 season; Gold at the World U-17 Hockey Challenge with Team Ontario — 2008.
Where did Matt Duchene play before turning pro?
Minor hockey: Haliburton Huskies (hometown) then Central Ontario Wolves (OMHA, Eastern AAA); major junior: Brampton Battalion (OHL) in 2007–08 and 2008–09..
How many points is Matt Duchene projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 35 points in 49 games in 2026-27 (15 to 54 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Dallas Stars teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)