Matt
Coronato
R · CGY · Offensive · Very poor
- PAL
- 13
- WAR
- -1.0
- Value
- 5
- PTS
- 45
2025-26№ 605 / 615
Matt Coronato (Calgary Flames) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Matt Coronato
#27RPlays: Right wing and centre · 25% of faceoffs
Calgary Flames
HEIGHT : 178 cm · WEIGHT : 83 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : November 13, 2002 · Greenlawn, United States
Drafted : 2021 · CGY · round 1, pick #13
Contract : $6,500,000 · 2025-26 → 2031-32 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFA · Signing bonus $2,000,000M-NTC
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Calgary Flames | 18 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 13 |
| 2025-26 | Calgary Flames | 80 | 18 | 27 | 45 | 32 |
| 2024-25 | Calgary Flames | 77 | 24 | 23 | 47 | 25 |
| 2023-24 | Calgary Flames | 34 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| 2022-23 | Calgary Flames | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| NHL totals | 209 | 48 | 67 | 115 | 76 | |
Matt Coronato: our analysis
2025-26 season: 80 GP, 18 G, 27 A, 45 PTS, -29 +/-, 16:39 TOI. WAR -1.0 (605th of 615) · PAL 13, very poor.
In 2025-26, Matt Coronato, 23, posts a PAL Rating of 13 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of -1.0 ranks 605th among 615 regulars, in the bottom quarter.
His strengths: creation (87, among the best in the league). On the other hand, defense (4, among the weakest in the league) and possession (9, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV offense (+0.6); his biggest cost: finishing (-4.9).
A marked decline: his PAL was 50 in 2024-25, against 13 now; his WAR went from 1.0 to -1.0.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 5 (very poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Matt Coronato's story
A childhood trip to a New York Islanders game helped spark Matt Coronato's interest in hockey; he grew up in Greenlawn after being born in Huntington, New York. He spent his early years on Long Island, moving through local programs—six seasons with the Royals, a standout U14 campaign with the New Jersey Colonials and time with the Long Island Gulls—while also winning a New York Catholic state title with St. Anthony’s High School.
Coronato progressed to prep school at Salisbury and then to the USHL with the Chicago Steel. As a rookie in 2019–20 he finished among the league's top first-year scorers and earned a spot on the USHL All-Rookie Second Team. His 2020–21 season broke several marks: lengthy point streaks, franchise single-season goal records and the Steel's career goal lead, capped by leading the USHL in goals and being named Forward of the Year while helping Chicago capture the Clark Cup. Teammates and observers started calling him “Bison” for the way he drove the puck into the attack zone.
Ranked among the top North American skaters ahead of the 2021 draft, Coronato was selected 13th overall by the Calgary Flames but elected to continue at Harvard for college hockey. At Harvard he produced notable offensive games, including a four-point night early in his freshman season, and gained recognition with weekly conference honours and a spot on the preliminary U.S. World Junior roster.
Turning pro after his sophomore year, Coronato signed a three-year entry-level deal and joined the Flames on March 26, 2023, wearing number 27. He has split time between Calgary and the AHL affiliate, the Calgary Wranglers, and represented the Wranglers at the 2024 AHL All-Star Classic. In 2024–25 he posted 24 goals and 47 points in his first full NHL season, then agreed to a seven-year contract with Calgary on May 3, 2025.
His strengths are straightforward: aggressive puck-carrying into the offensive zone, a nose for scoring developed in the USHL, and the ability to string together multi-point games—traits that have translated from junior and collegiate levels to both the AHL and NHL.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 17:29
- PP TOI/GP
- 2:23
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:02
- Pts/GP
- 0.83
- EV points
- 8
- Hits
- 0
- Blocks
- 6
- Takeaways
- 6
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 46.5 %
- Off. zone starts
- 35.8 %
- Faceoffs
- 54.2 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
69between 47 and 84 (80% range)
- Goals
- 23
- Assists
- 46
- Games
- 100
So far: 15 pts in 18 games. The team has played 0 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.66 pts per game (last season: 0.56).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Stable
- Points per game: 0.26 in 23-24, 0.56 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 50 → 13
Outlook, age included
↗ Slightly upAge 23: usually still improving
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 75 %
68
Depth
- SK
- Skating
- 73
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 61
- Confidence 79 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 78
- Confidence 75 %
- DU
- Durability
- 69
- Confidence 73 %
- CK
- Checking
- 60
- Confidence 79 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 76
- Confidence 54 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 70
- Confidence 79 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 61
- Confidence 46 %
- PA
- Passing
- 75
- Confidence 75 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 74
- Confidence 75 %
- DF
- Defense
- 63
- Confidence 71 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 56
- Confidence 25 %
- EX
- Experience
- 54
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating73
- Top speed (35 %)36.1 · 76
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)5.282 · 74
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.3 · 80
- Speed consistency (15 %)33.9 · 56
ST — Strength61
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)3.694 · 70
- Body mass (50 %)-1.241 · 62
EN — Endurance78
- Ice time per game (45 %)15.8 · 79
- Total ice time (20 %)1,283 · 81
- Shift length (15 %)46.9 · 78
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)12.7 · 70
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)2.501 · 78
DU — Durability69
- Share of games played (100 %)0.774 · 69
CK — Checking60
- Hits /60 (70 %)2.125 · 60
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)1.889 · 62
- Season volume (10 %)3.178 · 61
FG — Fighting76
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.835 · 76
DI — Discipline70
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.004 · 70
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.654 · 75
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.677 · 69
FO — Faceoffs61
- Faceoff % (85 %)46.6 · 62
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)14.4 · 47
PA — Passing75
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.702 · 76
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.495 · 76
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.029 · 68
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.411 · 76
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.556 · 78
SC — Scoring74
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.907 · 74
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.941 · 79
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)-0.367 · 67
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.433 · 77
- xG per shot (10 %)0.077 · 66
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)17.5 · 86
DF — Defense63
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.097 · 61
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.178 · 63
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.813 · 62
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.035 · 74
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.487 · 76
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)62 · 53
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)1.602 · 60
PS — Penalty shot56
- Shootouts (60 %)29.8 · 53
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience54
- Career regular-season games (65 %)74
- Career playoff games (25 %)0
- NHL seasons (10 %)55
OV — Overall68
- SC · Scoring (28 %)74
- PA · Passing (22 %)75
- DF · Defense (18 %)63
- SK · Skating (12 %)73
- EN · Endurance (8 %)78
- DI · Discipline (5 %)70
- ST · Strength (4 %)61
- CK · Checking (3 %)60
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 68 | 73 | 74 | 63 |
| 2024-25 | 73 | 73 | 73 | 74 |
| 2023-24 | 65 | 64 | 71 | 72 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
-1.0
wins above replacement
605 of 615
PAL Rating
13/ 100
Performance · Very poor
410 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
5/ 100
Very poor return
6.50 M$ · expected PAL 69
ProfileOffensiveValue comes mostly from offense
- Offense
- 57
- Defense
- 3
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 57
- Creation
- 87
- Shooting
- 59
- Possession
- 9
- Defense
- 4
- Discipline
- 25
- Power play
- 56
- Penalty kill
- 18
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CGY | -1.0 | 13 | 5 | 6.50 M$ |
| 2024-25 | CGY | 1.0 | 50 | 67 | 0.93 M$ |
| 2023-24 | CGY | -0.6 | 21 | 32 | 0.93 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
64/ 100
Average
better than 64% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
43/ 100
Average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
72/ 100
Very good
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 151 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 18
- Shot selection
- 34
- Penalties drawn
- 41
- Puck management
- 93
Defense
- Takeaways
- 50
- Discipline
- 54
- Safe zone exits
- 83
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CGY | 64 | 43 | 72 |
| 2024-25 | CGY | 65 | 39 | 80 |
| 2023-24 | CGY | 72 | 51 | 77 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
-1.0
wins above replacement
-2.4 to 0.5 — 90% interval
605 of 615 forwards
-5.2 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +0.6
- EV defense
- -3.4
- Power play
- -0.5
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- -4.9
- Penalties
- -0.3
- Average → replacement
- +3.4
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CGY | 80 | -1.0 | -2.4 to 0.5 | 605/615 |
| 2024-25 | CGY | 74 | 1.0 | -0.4 to 2.0 | 149/596 |
| 2023-24 | CGY | 34 | -0.6 | -1.2 to 0.1 | 566/608 |
| 2022-23 | CGY | 1 | -0.1 | -0.3 to -0.1 | 452/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 137.0 km/h67th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 36.0 km/h73rd percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 1029th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 42.2 %51st percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 75.8 km80th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 5.58 km83rd percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 38.9 %14th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 18.3 %63rd percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 39.5 %53rd percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 3682nd percentile | 366th percentile | 8.3 %22nd percentile |
| High danger | 857th percentile | 157th percentile | 12.5 %29th percentile |
| Mid range | 1793rd percentile | 288th percentile | 11.8 %49th percentile |
| Long range | 593rd percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
PHI
ANA
SEA
SJS
COL
EDM
TOR
DET
MIN
CAR
VGK
VANMatt Coronato: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Matt Coronato have in 2026-27?
Matt Coronato has 4 goals and 15 points (11 assists) in 18 games in 2026-27.
How old is Matt Coronato?
Matt Coronato is 23 years old: he was born on November 14, 2002.
How tall is Matt Coronato, and how much does he weigh?
Matt Coronato is 5'10" (178 cm) and weighs 183 lb (83 kg).
Where is Matt Coronato from?
United States: Matt Coronato was born in Greenlawn, New York, United States.
What team does Matt Coronato play for?
Matt Coronato plays for the Calgary Flames in the NHL, at R, wearing number 27.
Is Matt Coronato injured?
No: Matt Coronato is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Matt Coronato?
Matt Coronato produced -1.0 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 605th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 13 out of 100: very poor for his position.
How much does Matt Coronato make?
Matt Coronato earns $6.5M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 5 out of 100 (very poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Matt Coronato's contract end?
Matt Coronato's contract runs through the 2031-32 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent. It includes a M-NTC clause.
Is Matt Coronato overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 5 out of 100 (very poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Matt Coronato a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 605th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Matt Coronato getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 50 in 2024-25 to 13 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Matt Coronato played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Matt Coronato has 10 points (2 goals, 8 assists).
What are Matt Coronato's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Matt Coronato has 209 games, 48 goals, 67 assists and 115 points. His best season: 2024-25, with 47 points in 77 games.
Where was Matt Coronato drafted?
Matt Coronato was drafted 13th overall (round 1) by Calgary Flames in 2021.
Is Matt Coronato better at home or on the road?
At home: in 2026-27, he averages 1.30 points per game at home (13 in 10 games) and 0.25 on the road (2 in 8 games).
How does Matt Coronato perform in the playoffs?
Matt Coronato has not played in the NHL playoffs yet.
Which player is most similar to Matt Coronato?
Christian Dvorak: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Christian Dvorak's page →Is Matt Coronato a good fantasy pick?
A useful depth pick: our projection has him at 69 points in 2026-27, or 0.69 points per game.
Does Matt Coronato have siblings?
Yes: his younger brother Jake (also played hockey).
Is Matt Coronato related to anyone famous?
Yes: Richard (father, played college lacrosse at the College of the Holy Cross).
What is Matt Coronato's nationality?
Matt Coronato is American. Internationally: United States: named to the United States' World Junior preliminary roster (preliminary), 2021–22.
What awards has Matt Coronato won?
USHL All-Rookie Second Team (2019–20 season) ; USHL Forward of the Year (2020–21 season) ; All‑USHL First Team (2020–21 season) ; ECAC Hockey Rookie of the Week (December 2021) ; Calgary Wranglers representative to the AHL All‑Star Classic (January 10, 2024).
How many championships has Matt Coronato won?
2: Clark Cup (USHL) with the Chicago Steel, 2021; New York Catholic State Championship with St. Anthony’s High School, 2018.
What is Matt Coronato's nickname?
He is nicknamed Bison.
Where did Matt Coronato play before turning pro?
Long Island Royals (six seasons, Long Island Amateur Hockey League), New Jersey Colonials U14 (2016–17), Long Island Gulls (2017–18), St. Anthony’s High School (state title 2018), Salisbury School (2018–19), Chicago Steel (USHL, 2019–21); committed to Harvard University.
How many points is Matt Coronato projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 69 points in 100 games in 2026-27 (47 to 84 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Calgary Flames teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)