Mario
Ferraro
D · WPG · Balanced · Below average
- PAL
- 27
- WAR
- 0.4
- Value
- 21
- PTS
- 23
2025-26№ 105 / 325
Mario Ferraro (Winnipeg Jets) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Mario Ferraro
#38D
Winnipeg Jets
HEIGHT : 180 cm · WEIGHT : 91 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : September 16, 1998 · Toronto, Canada
Drafted : 2017 · SJS · round 2, pick #49
Contract : $4,000,000 · 2026-27 → 2028-29 · Standard Contract · UFAM-NTC
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Winnipeg Jets | 18 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2025-26 | San Jose Sharks | 82 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 35 |
| 2024-25 | San Jose Sharks | 78 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 53 |
| 2023-24 | San Jose Sharks | 78 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 36 |
| 2022-23 | San Jose Sharks | 72 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 24 |
| 2021-22 | San Jose Sharks | 63 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 16 |
| 2020-21 | San Jose Sharks | 56 | 1 | 16 | 17 | 22 |
| 2019-20 | San Jose Sharks | 61 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 30 |
| NHL totals | 507 | 26 | 90 | 116 | 220 | |
Mario Ferraro: our analysis
2025-26 season: 82 GP, 7 G, 16 A, 23 PTS, -1 +/-, 21:02 TOI. WAR 0.4 (105th of 325) · PAL 27, below average.
In 2025-26, Mario Ferraro, 28, posts a PAL Rating of 27 out of 100 (below average), and his WAR of 0.4 ranks 105th among 325 regulars, in the top half.
His strengths: defense (63, above average). On the other hand, penalty kill (1, among the weakest in the league) and power play (26, below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: finishing (+2.6); his biggest cost: penalty kill (-3.1).
A clear step forward: his PAL went from 7 in 2024-25 to 27; his WAR went from -0.2 to 0.4.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 21 (very poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Mario Ferraro's story
Born in Toronto and raised in King City, Mario Ferraro moved through local youth ranks before taking his game to junior hockey in the United States. He spent 2016–17 with the Des Moines Buccaneers of the USHL, where his production from the back end quickly made him noticeable to scouts.
That season Ferraro scored 41 points in 60 games, finishing among the top-scoring defencemen and earning places on the USHL First All-Star Team and the All-Rookie Team. Selected 49th overall by the San Jose Sharks in the 2017 NHL Entry Draft, he opted to continue his development at the University of Massachusetts Amherst.
At UMass he set a program mark for points by a freshman defenceman with 23 in 39 games, then added a 14-point campaign in 41 contests in his sophomore year. After the 2018–19 college season he signed with the Sharks and turned professional.
Ferraro made his NHL debut with San Jose to open the 2019–20 season on October 2, 2019 against the Vegas Golden Knights; his first NHL point, an assist, came in his second game on October 5, also versus Vegas. He scored his first NHL goal on December 28, 2019 in a 6–1 win over the Philadelphia Flyers. San Jose kept him under contract with a four-year extension on August 4, 2022.
On July 1, 2026 Ferraro agreed to a three-year, $12 million deal with the Winnipeg Jets. He registered his first goal wearing a Jets sweater in his debut for the club on October 2, 2026, a game that ended in a 4–3 overtime loss to the Boston Bruins. On the ice he is known for skating ability that aids in exits from the defensive zone and for contributing offensively from the blue line.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 19:25
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:03
- SH TOI/GP
- 2:15
- Pts/GP
- 0.11
- EV points
- 2
- Hits
- 35
- Blocks
- 38
- Takeaways
- 6
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 44.0 %
- Off. zone starts
- 28.1 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
18between 7 and 28 (80% range)
- Goals
- 7
- Assists
- 11
- Games
- 82
So far: 2 pts in 18 games. The team has played 18 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.25 pts per game (last season: 0.28).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Slightly up
- Points per game: 0.27 in 23-24, 0.28 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 7 → 27
Outlook, age included
↗ Slightly upAge 28: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 87 %
66
Depth
- SK
- Skating
- 70
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 67
- Confidence 89 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 84
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 86
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 83
- Confidence 89 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 83
- Confidence 66 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 73
- Confidence 89 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 64
- Confidence 87 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 71
- Confidence 87 %
- DF
- Defense
- 69
- Confidence 85 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 76
- Confidence 0 %
- EX
- Experience
- 64
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating70
- Top speed (35 %)35.4 · 75
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)1.82 · 74
- Distance /60 (20 %)13.5 · 52
- Speed consistency (15 %)34.4 · 73
ST — Strength67
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)4.735 · 72
- Body mass (50 %)-0.281 · 68
EN — Endurance84
- Ice time per game (45 %)20.5 · 80
- Total ice time (20 %)1,680 · 84
- Shift length (15 %)53 · 89
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)19.7 · 83
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)3.088 · 83
DU — Durability86
- Share of games played (100 %)0.877 · 86
CK — Checking83
- Hits /60 (70 %)4.716 · 82
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)4.027 · 82
- Season volume (10 %)4.927 · 88
FG — Fighting83
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)1.087 · 83
DI — Discipline73
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)-0.046 · 73
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.593 · 77
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.325 · 68
PA — Passing64
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.3 · 67
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.276 · 56
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.026 · 78
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)3.704 · 64
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.084 · 55
SC — Scoring71
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.21 · 74
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.15 · 61
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.378 · 80
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)0.094 · 73
- xG per shot (10 %)0.033 · 63
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)7.944 · 61
DF — Defense69
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.053 · 66
- Relative xG against (20 %)-0.091 · 80
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.729 · 67
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.504 · 45
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.387 · 89
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)60.2 · 62
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)5.276 · 83
PS — Penalty shot76
- Shootouts (60 %)32.7 · 76
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience64
- Career regular-season games (65 %)87
- Career playoff games (25 %)0
- NHL seasons (10 %)71
OV — Overall66
- DF · Defense (30 %)69
- PA · Passing (22 %)64
- SK · Skating (12 %)70
- SC · Scoring (12 %)71
- EN · Endurance (9 %)84
- ST · Strength (6 %)67
- DI · Discipline (5 %)73
- CK · Checking (4 %)83
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 66 | 70 | 71 | 69 |
| 2024-25 | 60 | 79 | 69 | 59 |
| 2023-24 | 61 | 79 | 64 | 66 |
| 2022-23 | 61 | 79 | 64 | 68 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
0.4
wins above replacement
105 of 325
PAL Rating
27/ 100
Performance · Below average
180 of 250 at the position
Value Rating
21/ 100
Very poor return
3.25 M$ · expected PAL 57
ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates
- Offense
- 36
- Defense
- 36
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 50
- Creation
- 29
- Shooting
- 30
- Possession
- 33
- Defense
- 63
- Discipline
- 52
- Power play
- 26
- Penalty kill
- 1
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | SJS | 0.4 | 27 | 21 | 3.25 M$ |
| 2024-25 | SJS | -0.2 | 7 | 4 | 3.25 M$ |
| 2023-24 | SJS | -1.2 | 11 | 7 | 3.25 M$ |
| 2022-23 | SJS | -0.9 | 14 | 6 | 3.25 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
44/ 100
Average
better than 44% of defensemen, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
14/ 100
Low
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
74/ 100
Very good
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 125 of 225 defensemen.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 71
- Shot selection
- 14
- Penalties drawn
- 45
- Puck management
- 16
Defense
- Takeaways
- 92
- Discipline
- 44
- Safe zone exits
- 49
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | SJS | 44 | 14 | 74 |
| 2024-25 | SJS | 54 | 23 | 79 |
| 2023-24 | SJS | 53 | 26 | 73 |
| 2022-23 | SJS | 68 | 41 | 82 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
0.4
wins above replacement
-0.6 to 1.2 — 90% interval
105 of 325 defensemen
+2.3 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +0.6
- EV defense
- -0.3
- Power play
- -0.0
- Penalty kill
- -3.1
- Shooting
- +2.6
- Penalties
- -1.0
- Average → replacement
- +3.5
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | SJS | 83 | 0.4 | -0.6 to 1.2 | 105/325 |
| 2024-25 | SJS | 77 | -0.2 | -1.1 to 1.0 | 253/314 |
| 2023-24 | SJS | 78 | -1.2 | -2.1 to -0.2 | 311/316 |
| 2022-23 | SJS | 72 | -0.9 | -1.7 to -0.1 | 318/334 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 157.2 km/h97th percentileleague avg. 139.7 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 33.0 km/h23rd percentileleague avg. 34.0 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 541st percentileleague avg. 8
- Offensive zone time
- 40.2 %37th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 73.7 km67th percentileleague avg. 56.1 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 5.52 km71st percentileleague avg. 4.98 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 41.7 %45th percentileleague avg. 42.8 %
- Neutral zone time
- 17.7 %27th percentileleague avg. 16.9 %
- Defensive zone time
- 42.1 %29th percentileleague avg. 40.8 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 2174th percentile | 287th percentile | 9.5 %75th percentile |
| High danger | 051st percentile | 084th percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
| Mid range | 682nd percentile | 073rd percentile | 0.0 %50th percentile |
| Long range | 1280th percentile | 195th percentile | 8.3 %86th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
TBL
VAN
MTL
CAR
FLA
DAL
STL
CHI
MIN
ANA
COL
PIT
DET
BOSMario Ferraro: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Mario Ferraro have in 2026-27?
Mario Ferraro has 2 goals and 2 points (0 assists) in 18 games in 2026-27.
How old is Mario Ferraro?
Mario Ferraro is 28 years old: he was born on September 17, 1998.
How tall is Mario Ferraro, and how much does he weigh?
Mario Ferraro is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 201 lb (91 kg).
Where is Mario Ferraro from?
Canada: Mario Ferraro was born in Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
What team does Mario Ferraro play for?
Mario Ferraro plays for the Winnipeg Jets in the NHL, at D, wearing number 38.
Is Mario Ferraro injured?
No: Mario Ferraro is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Mario Ferraro?
Mario Ferraro produced 0.4 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 105th of 325 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 27 out of 100: below average for his position.
How much does Mario Ferraro make?
Mario Ferraro earns $3.3M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 21 out of 100 (very poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Mario Ferraro's contract end?
Mario Ferraro's contract runs through the 2028-29 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent. It includes a M-NTC clause.
Is Mario Ferraro overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 21 out of 100 (very poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Mario Ferraro a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 105th of 325 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Mario Ferraro getting better?
Yes: his PAL rating went from 7 in 2024-25 to 27 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Mario Ferraro played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Mario Ferraro has 1 point (1 goal, 0 assists).
What are Mario Ferraro's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Mario Ferraro has 507 games, 26 goals, 90 assists and 116 points. His best season: 2025-26, with 23 points in 82 games.
Where was Mario Ferraro drafted?
Mario Ferraro was drafted 49th overall (round 2) by San Jose Sharks in 2017.
Is Mario Ferraro better at home or on the road?
At home: in 2026-27, he averages 0.22 points per game at home (2 in 9 games) and 0.00 on the road (0 in 9 games).
How does Mario Ferraro perform in the playoffs?
Mario Ferraro has not played in the NHL playoffs yet.
Which player is most similar to Mario Ferraro?
Jake Middleton: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Jake Middleton's page →Is Mario Ferraro a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 18 points in 2026-27, or 0.22 points per game.
What is Mario Ferraro's nationality?
Mario Ferraro is Canadian.
What awards has Mario Ferraro won?
Named to the USHL First-All Star Team (2016–17) ; Named to the USHL All-Rookie Team (2016–17) ; Set the University of Massachusetts team record for points by a freshman defenceman (23 points in 39 games).
Where did Mario Ferraro play before turning pro?
Des Moines Buccaneers (USHL), 2016–17 season; University of Massachusetts Amherst, two seasons after the draft.
How many points is Mario Ferraro projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 18 points in 82 games in 2026-27 (7 to 28 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Winnipeg Jets teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)