Kyle
Connor
L · WPG · Offensive · Above average
- PAL
- 65
- WAR
- 2.9
- Value
- 45
- PTS
- 92
2025-26№ 35 / 615
Kyle Connor (Winnipeg Jets) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Kyle Connor
#81LPlays: Left wing · 0% of faceoffs
Winnipeg Jets
HEIGHT : 185 cm · WEIGHT : 83 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : December 8, 1996 · Shelby Township, United States
Drafted : 2015 · WPG · round 1, pick #17
Contract : $12,000,000 · 2026-27 → 2033-34 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFA · Signing bonus $7,500,000NMC
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Winnipeg Jets | 18 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 2 |
| 2025-26 | Winnipeg Jets | 82 | 39 | 53 | 92 | 16 |
| 2024-25 | Winnipeg Jets | 82 | 41 | 56 | 97 | 25 |
| 2023-24 | Winnipeg Jets | 65 | 34 | 27 | 61 | 6 |
| 2022-23 | Winnipeg Jets | 82 | 31 | 49 | 80 | 20 |
| 2021-22 | Winnipeg Jets | 79 | 47 | 46 | 93 | 4 |
| 2020-21 | Winnipeg Jets | 56 | 26 | 24 | 50 | 12 |
| 2019-20 | Winnipeg Jets | 71 | 38 | 35 | 73 | 34 |
| 2018-19 | Winnipeg Jets | 82 | 34 | 32 | 66 | 18 |
| 2017-18 | Winnipeg Jets | 76 | 31 | 26 | 57 | 16 |
| 2016-17 | Winnipeg Jets | 20 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| NHL totals | 712 | 336 | 357 | 693 | 157 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Winnipeg Jets | 13 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
| 2023-24 | Winnipeg Jets | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 2022-23 | Winnipeg Jets | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 2020-21 | Winnipeg Jets | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| 2019-20 | Winnipeg Jets | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2018-19 | Winnipeg Jets | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 2017-18 | Winnipeg Jets | 17 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 2 |
| Playoff totals | 58 | 20 | 29 | 49 | 6 | |
Honours
- 🏆 Lady Byng Memorial Trophyonce · 2021-22
Kyle Connor: our analysis
2025-26 season: 82 GP, 39 G, 53 A, 92 PTS, -2 +/-, 21:30 TOI. WAR 2.9 (35th of 615) · PAL 65, above average.
In 2025-26, Kyle Connor, 29, posts a PAL Rating of 65 out of 100 (above average), and his WAR of 2.9 ranks 35th among 615 regulars, in the top quarter.
His strengths: offense (93, among the best in the league), shooting (84, well above average) and power play (83, well above average). On the other hand, defense (10, among the weakest in the league) and possession (31, below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: finishing (+7.3); his biggest cost: EV defense (-2.0).
A marked decline: his PAL was 83 in 2024-25, against 65 now; his WAR went from 3.0 to 2.9.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 45 (fair value) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Kyle Connor's story
Growing up in suburban Detroit, Kyle Connor learned the game in the Belle Tire system and balanced hockey with basketball, baseball and football through junior high and high school. As a youth he also took part in the Quebec International Pee-Wee Tournament with Detroit Belle Tire, an early sign of exposure beyond Michigan.
Connor moved into junior hockey with the Youngstown Phantoms of the USHL in 2012 and quickly became a dominant scorer. He set and then surpassed a franchise single-season points mark, putting up 74 and then 80 points in consecutive campaigns, and finished his USHL stint as the league's top forward and overall player in 2014–15. That body of work led to his selection by the Winnipeg Jets at 17th overall in the 2015 NHL Entry Draft.
Opting for college hockey, Connor joined the Michigan Wolverines for 2015–16 and produced an exceptional freshman season filled with weekly conference honours, national rookie of the month awards, and end-of-year distinctions including Big Ten Player of the Year and All-American recognition. He scored 30 goals and added 31 assists in 34 games, reached long point streaks and became one of the few freshmen in recent Michigan history to hit the 50- and 60-point marks before leaving school.
Connor signed a three-year deal with Winnipeg in April 2016 and made his NHL debut on October 13, 2016, recording his first point that night and his first goal on October 27. After time with the AHL’s Manitoba Moose to sharpen his game, he became a full-time contributor for the Jets. In 2017–18 he led NHL rookies with 31 goals and finished the season with 57 points in 76 games, played a major role in Winnipeg's playoff run and received significant Calder Trophy consideration.
On the international front, Connor won gold with the United States at the U18 World Championship in 2014. His game is straightforward: a natural offensive scorer with a nose for goal and the consistency to string together multi-game point streaks, the attributes that have defined his transition from junior standout to NHL goal producer.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 21:27
- PP TOI/GP
- 3:40
- SH TOI/GP
- 1:14
- Pts/GP
- 1.06
- EV points
- 12
- Hits
- 3
- Blocks
- 9
- Takeaways
- 4
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 52.3 %
- Off. zone starts
- 43.5 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
88between 64 and 105 (80% range)
- Goals
- 45
- Assists
- 44
- Games
- 82
So far: 19 pts in 18 games. The team has played 18 of 84 games. Projected pace: 1.09 pts per game (last season: 1.12).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Stable
- Points per game: 0.94 in 23-24, 1.12 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 83 → 65
Outlook, age included
→ StableAge 29: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 86 %
84
Very good
- SK
- Skating
- 80
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 48
- Confidence 88 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 97
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 87
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 56
- Confidence 88 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 71
- Confidence 66 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 80
- Confidence 88 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 87
- Confidence 86 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 85
- Confidence 86 %
- DF
- Defense
- 61
- Confidence 84 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 85
- Confidence 48 %
- EX
- Experience
- 87
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating80
- Top speed (35 %)36.2 · 77
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)6.134 · 78
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.7 · 89
- Speed consistency (15 %)35.6 · 79
ST — Strength48
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)2.13 · 50
- Body mass (50 %)-0.974 · 66
EN — Endurance97
- Ice time per game (45 %)19.1 · 97
- Total ice time (20 %)1,696 · 98
- Shift length (15 %)53.9 · 95
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)18 · 94
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)3.573 · 88
DU — Durability87
- Share of games played (100 %)0.878 · 87
CK — Checking56
- Hits /60 (70 %)1.739 · 48
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)1.455 · 53
- Season volume (10 %)3.611 · 67
FG — Fighting71
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.763 · 71
DI — Discipline80
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.034 · 78
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.363 · 93
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.56 · 62
PA — Passing87
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)1.054 · 88
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.715 · 88
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.115 · 78
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)5.444 · 86
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.606 · 80
SC — Scoring85
- Goals /60 (25 %)1.341 · 88
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)1.011 · 83
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)1.141 · 89
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.199 · 69
- xG per shot (10 %)0.078 · 67
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)17.5 · 85
DF — Defense61
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.072 · 63
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.409 · 45
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.837 · 61
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.086 · 86
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.318 · 79
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)59.3 · 70
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)1.265 · 47
PS — Penalty shot85
- Shootouts (60 %)30.2 · 56
- Penalty shots (40 %)30.2 · 93
EX — Experience87
- Career regular-season games (65 %)92
- Career playoff games (25 %)77
- NHL seasons (10 %)81
OV — Overall84
- SC · Scoring (28 %)85
- PA · Passing (22 %)87
- DF · Defense (18 %)61
- SK · Skating (12 %)80
- EN · Endurance (8 %)97
- DI · Discipline (5 %)80
- ST · Strength (4 %)48
- CK · Checking (3 %)56
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 84 | 80 | 85 | 61 |
| 2024-25 | 87 | 85 | 88 | 60 |
| 2023-24 | 83 | 86 | 86 | 56 |
| 2022-23 | 84 | 85 | 81 | 65 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
2.9
wins above replacement
35 of 615
PAL Rating
65/ 100
Performance · Above average
150 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
45/ 100
Fair value
7.14 M$ · expected PAL 70
ProfileOffensiveValue comes mostly from offense
- Offense
- 83
- Defense
- 14
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 93
- Creation
- 54
- Shooting
- 84
- Possession
- 31
- Defense
- 10
- Discipline
- 75
- Power play
- 83
- Penalty kill
- 76
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | WPG | 2.9 | 65 | 45 | 7.14 M$ |
| 2024-25 | WPG | 3.0 | 83 | 66 | 7.14 M$ |
| 2023-24 | WPG | 2.4 | 40 | 17 | 7.14 M$ |
| 2022-23 | WPG | 1.0 | 69 | 41 | 7.14 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
86/ 100
Very good
better than 86% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
57/ 100
Average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
90/ 100
Elite
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 58 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 89
- Shot selection
- 26
- Penalties drawn
- 37
- Puck management
- 88
Defense
- Takeaways
- 28
- Discipline
- 84
- Safe zone exits
- 97
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | WPG | 86 | 57 | 90 |
| 2024-25 | WPG | 66 | 41 | 80 |
| 2023-24 | WPG | 67 | 10 | 94 |
| 2022-23 | WPG | 70 | 34 | 84 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
2.9
wins above replacement
1.2 to 4.6 — 90% interval
35 of 615 forwards
+15.2 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +2.8
- EV defense
- -2.0
- Power play
- +1.1
- Penalty kill
- +0.2
- Shooting
- +7.3
- Penalties
- +1.5
- Average → replacement
- +4.4
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | WPG | 82 | 2.9 | 1.2 to 4.6 | 35/615 |
| 2024-25 | WPG | 79 | 3.0 | 1.3 to 5.1 | 32/596 |
| 2023-24 | WPG | 65 | 2.4 | 0.8 to 4.0 | 52/608 |
| 2022-23 | WPG | 82 | 1.0 | -0.6 to 3.0 | 137/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 133.7 km/h55th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 35.8 km/h67th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 5495th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 45.8 %87th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 97.3 km98th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 7.04 km99th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 43.3 %86th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 17.3 %17th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 36.9 %82nd percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 70100th percentile | 13100th percentile | 18.6 %75th percentile |
| High danger | 2599th percentile | 699th percentile | 24.0 %62nd percentile |
| Mid range | 2598th percentile | 599th percentile | 20.0 %76th percentile |
| Long range | 383rd percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
TBL
VAN
MTL
CAR
FLA
DAL
STL
CHI
MIN
ANA
COL
PIT
DET
BOSKyle Connor: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Kyle Connor have in 2026-27?
Kyle Connor has 13 goals and 19 points (6 assists) in 18 games in 2026-27.
How old is Kyle Connor?
Kyle Connor is 29 years old: he was born on December 9, 1996.
How tall is Kyle Connor, and how much does he weigh?
Kyle Connor is 6'1" (185 cm) and weighs 183 lb (83 kg).
Where is Kyle Connor from?
United States: Kyle Connor was born in Shelby Township, Michigan, United States.
What team does Kyle Connor play for?
Kyle Connor plays for the Winnipeg Jets in the NHL, at L, wearing number 81.
Is Kyle Connor injured?
No: Kyle Connor is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Kyle Connor?
Kyle Connor produced 2.9 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 35th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 65 out of 100: above average for his position.
How much does Kyle Connor make?
Kyle Connor earns $7.1M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 45 out of 100 (fair value): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Kyle Connor's contract end?
Kyle Connor's contract runs through the 2033-34 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent. It includes a NMC clause.
Is Kyle Connor overpaid?
Neither: he delivers about what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 45 out of 100 (fair value), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Kyle Connor a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 35th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Kyle Connor getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 83 in 2024-25 to 65 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Kyle Connor played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Kyle Connor has 8 points (5 goals, 3 assists).
What are Kyle Connor's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Kyle Connor has 712 games, 336 goals, 357 assists and 693 points. His best season: 2024-25, with 97 points in 82 games.
Where was Kyle Connor drafted?
Kyle Connor was drafted 17th overall (round 1) by Winnipeg Jets in 2015.
Is Kyle Connor better at home or on the road?
On the road: in 2026-27, he averages 1.00 points per game at home (9 in 9 games) and 1.11 on the road (10 in 9 games).
How does Kyle Connor perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Kyle Connor has 58 games and 49 points in his career. His pace (0.84 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (0.97).
Which player is most similar to Kyle Connor?
Vladimir Tarasenko: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Vladimir Tarasenko's page →Is Kyle Connor a good fantasy pick?
Yes, a top-tier pick: our projection has him at 88 points in 2026-27, or 1.07 points per game.
Is Kyle Connor married?
Yes, married to Ally Petack in 2024.
What is Kyle Connor's nationality?
Kyle Connor is American. Internationally: United States — gold at the Under-17 Five Nations Tournament (2012); silver at the Ivan Hlinka (2013); gold at the World Junior A Challenge (2013) — scored the championship game-winning goal; gold at the IIHF U18 World Championship (2014); gold at the World Junior A Challenge (2014); named to the IIHF World Championship roster (2016); named to Team USA for the 2026 Winter Olympics (played first two games, then was a healthy scratch for four games including the gold medal game).
What awards has Kyle Connor won?
USHL First All-Star Team (2013–14) ; USHL First All-Star Team (2014–15) ; USHL Forward of the Year (2014–15) ; USHL Player of the Year (2014–15) ; Hockey Commissioners' Association (HCA) National Rookie of the Month — December 2015 ; HCA National Rookie of the Month — January 2016 ; Big Ten Player of the Year (2015–16) ; Big Ten Freshman of the Year (2015–16); and more.
How many championships has Kyle Connor won?
5: Under-17 Five Nations Tournament — gold (2012) with Team USA; World Junior A Challenge — gold (2013) with Team USA (scored the championship game-winning goal); Ivan Hlinka — silver (2013) with Team USA; IIHF U18 World Championship — gold (2014) with Team USA; World Junior A Challenge — gold (2014) with Team USA.
Where did Kyle Connor play before turning pro?
Minor hockey with Detroit Belle Tire (including the 2009 Quebec International Pee-Wee Hockey Tournament); Youngstown Phantoms (USHL) — joined during the 2012–13 season; Michigan Wolverines — 2015–16 season..
How many points is Kyle Connor projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 88 points in 82 games in 2026-27 (64 to 105 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Winnipeg Jets teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)