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Keegan

Kolesar

R · DET · Balanced · Very poor

PAL
11
WAR
0.1
Value
11
PTS
17

2025-26№ 352 / 615

Keegan Kolesar (Detroit Red Wings) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.

Keegan Kolesar

#55RPlays: Right wing · 3% of faceoffsDetroit Red Wings logoDetroit Red Wings

HEIGHT : 188 cm · WEIGHT : 99 kg · SHOOTS : R

Born : April 7, 1997 · Brandon, Canada

Drafted : 2015 · CBJ · round 3, pick #69

Contract : $2,500,000 · 2025-26 → 2027-28 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFA · Signing bonus $2,000,000

NHL record

Year Team GPGAPTSPIM
2026-27Detroit Red Wings1810122
2025-26Vegas Golden Knights826111755
2024-25Vegas Golden Knights8212183053
2023-24Vegas Golden Knights798101849
2022-23Vegas Golden Knights748101868
2021-22Vegas Golden Knights777172468
2020-21Vegas Golden Knights443101330
2019-20Vegas Golden Knights10000
NHL totals4574576121345

Playoffs

Year Team GPGAPTSPIM
2025-26Vegas Golden Knights211016
2024-25Vegas Golden Knights110116
2023-24Vegas Golden Knights60002
2022-23Vegas Golden Knights2223550
2020-21Vegas Golden Knights171344
Playoff totals77471168

Honours

  • 🏆 Stanley Cuponce · 2022-23

Keegan Kolesar: our analysis

2025-26 season: 82 GP, 6 G, 11 A, 17 PTS, -14 +/-, 11:32 TOI. WAR 0.1 (352nd of 615) · PAL 11, very poor.

In 2025-26, Keegan Kolesar, 29, posts a PAL Rating of 11 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of 0.1 ranks 352nd among 615 regulars, in the bottom half.

On the other hand, creation (4, among the weakest in the league) and shooting (5, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV defense (+0.3); his biggest cost: EV offense (-1.1).

A marked decline: his PAL was 28 in 2024-25, against 11 now; his WAR went from 0.9 to 0.1.

Contract-wise, his Value score of 11 (very poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.

Keegan Kolesar's story

Brandon, Manitoba, is where Keegan Kolesar’s hockey story begins; born on April 8, 1997, he rose through the usual Canadian development path before reaching professional ranks. Early signs of potential led to his selection in the NHL entry drafts and set the course for his pro career.

Columbus chose him 69th overall in the 2015 draft, and he signed a three‑year entry‑level contract with the Blue Jackets on December 20, 2015. That deal marked his transition from junior prospects to a player under NHL contract and paved the way for subsequent moves between organizations.

On June 24, 2017, during the NHL draft, Kolesar was traded to the Vegas Golden Knights. After time in the club’s development system, Vegas recalled him on January 10, 2020; he made his NHL debut the following night against Columbus. He scored his first NHL goal on March 22, 2021, in the third period versus the St. Louis Blues. The crowning team achievement of his career to date came in 2023 when he won the Stanley Cup with Vegas.

Kolesar remained in Vegas through a three‑year contract extension signed on December 13, 2024, which would have kept him with the Golden Knights through 2027‑28. On July 1, 2026, he was traded to the Detroit Red Wings in exchange for a seventh‑round pick in 2027 and a third‑round pick in 2029, opening the next chapter of his NHL career.

Listed as a right winger, Kolesar’s résumé reflects a player who progressed from draft pick to NHL contributor: recalls, a first goal, a Stanley Cup, and multi‑year NHL contracts. Those concrete milestones outline the role he has filled so far in the league.

Keegan Kolesar warming up in Vegas Golden Knights uniform
Keegan Kolesar warms up before the Vegas Golden Knights faced the Washington Capitals on October 15, 2024.Photo: The Kip · CC BY-SA 4.0
Keegan Kolesar and Andre Burakovsky at the 2024 Winter Classic
At the 2024 Winter Classic in Seattle on January 1, 2024, Kolesar took part in the outdoor game against the Kraken.Photo: Jenn G from Seattle, WA · CC BY-SA 2.0
Portrait of Keegan Kolesar dated 2019
Keegan Kolesar photographed on June 6, 2019.Photo: TheAHL · CC BY 2.0
Cropped close-up of Keegan Kolesar, 2019
Cropped image of Keegan Kolesar taken on June 6, 2019.Photo: TheAHL · CC BY 2.0
Keegan Kolesar on the ice in Game 1 of the 2019 Calder Cup Finals
On June 1, 2019, Kolesar played in Game 1 of the Calder Cup Finals between the Chicago Wolves and Charlotte Checkers.Photo: TheAHL · CC BY 2.0

Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.

Advanced stats

TOI/GP
10:17
PP TOI/GP
0:05
SH TOI/GP
1:04
Pts/GP
0.06
EV points
1
Hits
46
Blocks
13
Takeaways
3
Corsi % (SAT)
45.0 %
Off. zone starts
25.9 %
Faceoffs
100.0 %

Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)

2026-27 projection

Projected points

13between 2 and 24 (80% range)

Goals
5
Assists
8
Games
83

So far: 1 pts in 18 games. The team has played 18 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.18 pts per game (last season: 0.21).

The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.

Trend

Slight decline

  • Points per game: 0.23 in 23-24, 0.21 in 25-26
  • PAL Rating: 28 → 11

Outlook, age included

↘ Slight declineAge 29: prime years

This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.

Player ratings, 2025-26

All ratings →

Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.

OV · OverallConfidence 79 %

61

Depth

SK
Skating
80
Confidence 73 %
ST
Strength
95
Confidence 82 %
EN
Endurance
61
Confidence 80 %
DU
Durability
90
Confidence 77 %
CK
Checking
95
Confidence 82 %
FG
Fighting
93
Confidence 66 %
DI
Discipline
63
Confidence 82 %
FO
Faceoffs
—
PA
Passing
65
Confidence 79 %
SC
Scoring
55
Confidence 79 %
DF
Defense
79
Confidence 75 %
PS
Penalty shot
64
Confidence 8 %
EX
Experience
83
Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?

SK — Skating80

  • Top speed (35 %)36.2 · 77
  • Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)7.41 · 83
  • Distance /60 (20 %)16.1 · 75
  • Speed consistency (15 %)35.9 · 82

ST — Strength95

  • Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)6.647 · 96
  • Body mass (50 %)0.909 · 85

EN — Endurance61

  • Ice time per game (45 %)12.3 · 59
  • Total ice time (20 %)934 · 71
  • Shift length (15 %)42.2 · 57
  • Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)11.3 · 60
  • Special-teams time per game (5 %)0.884 · 48

DU — Durability90

  • Share of games played (100 %)0.89 · 90

CK — Checking95

  • Hits /60 (70 %)14 · 95
  • Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)11.8 · 91
  • Season volume (10 %)5.602 · 94

FG — Fighting93

  • Fights per 82 games (100 %)2.519 · 93

DI — Discipline63

  • Net penalty value /60 (50 %)-0.021 · 63
  • Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.676 · 74
  • Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.554 · 61

PA — Passing65

  • Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.6 · 69
  • Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.304 · 56
  • Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)-0.014 · 61
  • Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.375 · 75
  • Assist consistency (10 %)0.477 · 75

SC — Scoring55

  • Goals /60 (25 %)0.629 · 57
  • Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.604 · 42
  • Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.152 · 76
  • High-danger chances /60 (15 %)0.927 · 53
  • xG per shot (10 %)0.078 · 68
  • Shot attempts /60 (10 %)10.5 · 47

DF — Defense79

  • RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.026 · 78
  • Relative xG against (20 %)0.029 · 73
  • On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.466 · 82
  • Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.034 · 68
  • Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.42 · 77
  • Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)56.2 · 83
  • Blocked shots /60 (5 %)3.053 · 85

PS — Penalty shot64

  • Shootouts (60 %)32.7 · 76
  • Penalty shots (40 %)25.4 · 57

EX — Experience83

  • Career regular-season games (65 %)86
  • Career playoff games (25 %)82
  • NHL seasons (10 %)71

OV — Overall61

  • SC · Scoring (28 %)55
  • PA · Passing (22 %)65
  • DF · Defense (18 %)79
  • SK · Skating (12 %)80
  • EN · Endurance (8 %)61
  • DI · Discipline (5 %)63
  • ST · Strength (4 %)95
  • CK · Checking (3 %)95
Season by season
SeasonOVSKSCDF
2025-2661805579
2024-2570816278
2023-2465816080
2022-2372816580

The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.

WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26

How we rate →

PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.

ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates

Offense
8
Defense
42
See full details
Offense
15
Creation
4
Shooting
5
Possession
37
Defense
49
Discipline
19
Power play
20
Penalty kill
51

From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.

Season by season
SeasonTeamWARPALValue
2025-26VGK0.11111
2024-25VGK0.92836
2023-24VGK0.31922
2022-23VGK0.63335

Hockey IQ, 2025-26

Rankings and method →

The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.

Overall IQ

7/ 100

Low
better than 7% of forwards, offense and defense combined

Offensive IQ

2/ 100

Low
passing, shots, puck

Defensive IQ

30/ 100

Below average
takeaways, discipline, own zone

Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 393 of 424 forwards.

See full details

Offense

Playmaking passes
52
Shot selection
7
Penalties drawn
12
Puck management
17

Defense

Takeaways
0
Discipline
41
Safe zone exits
87

Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.

Season by season
SeasonTeamIQOff.Def.
2025-26VGK7230
2024-25VGK422067
2023-24VGK4217
2022-23VGK17744

Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.

0.1

wins above replacement

-0.5 to 0.8 — 90% interval

352 of 615 forwards

+0.3 goals above replacement

Full leaderboard →
See full details
EV offense
-1.1
EV defense
+0.3
Power play
-0.0
Penalty kill
+0.1
Shooting
-0.9
Penalties
-0.5
Average → replacement
+2.4

In goals.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGPWARRank
2025-26VGK830.1352/615
2024-25VGK790.9167/596
2023-24VGK790.3284/608
2022-23VGK740.6190/617

Player tracking (NHL EDGE)

League EDGE leaderboards →

Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.

Season
Hardest shot
124.1 km/h21st percentileleague avg. 129.5 km/h
Top skating speed
35.0 km/h47th percentileleague avg. 35.1 km/h
Bursts over 20 mph, season
1955th percentileleague avg. 20
Offensive zone time
37.6 %10th percentileleague avg. 41.9 %
See full details
Total distance, season
45.3 km38th percentileleague avg. 50.0 km
Distance, single-game high
3.77 km26th percentileleague avg. 4.51 km
Offensive zone at 5v5
38.0 %9th percentileleague avg. 40.4 %
Neutral zone time
19.6 %98th percentileleague avg. 19.0 %
Defensive zone time
42.8 %18th percentileleague avg. 39.1 %

Shooting

Shots on goalGoalsShooting %
All621st percentile141st percentile16.7 %68th percentile
High danger116th percentile159th percentile100.0 %100th percentile
Mid range227th percentile055th percentile0.0 %33rd percentile
Long range033rd percentile092nd percentile0.0 %0th percentile

Shots on goal by zone

Neutral zone : 1 · 88th percentileOutside left : 0 · 43th percentileOutside right : 0 · 44th percentileLeft point : 0 · 63th percentileRight point : 0 · 62th percentileCenter point : 0 · 63th percentileLeft circle : 1 · 47th percentileRight circle : 0 · 27th percentileHigh slot : 1 · 47th percentileLeft of the net : 0 · 59th percentileRight of the net : 0 · 60th percentileLow slot : 0 · 9th percentileCrease : 1 · 72th percentileLeft corner : 0 · 96th percentileBehind the net : 0 · 79th percentileRight corner : 0 · 97th percentile1000001010001000
Beyond the red line : 2

2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.

Game log, 2026-27

DateOpponentGAPTS+/-
Nov 7@Colorado Avalanche logoCOL0000
Nov 5vsVegas Golden Knights logoVGK0000
Nov 3@Tampa Bay Lightning logoTBL0000
Nov 2@Florida Panthers logoFLA000+1
Oct 31vsSt. Louis Blues logoSTL1010
Oct 29vsChicago Blackhawks logoCHI0000
Oct 26@Edmonton Oilers logoEDM0000
Oct 24@Calgary Flames logoCGY0000
Oct 22@Vancouver Canucks logoVAN0000
Oct 20@Seattle Kraken logoSEA0000

Keegan Kolesar: frequently asked questions

How many goals does Keegan Kolesar have in 2026-27?

Keegan Kolesar has 1 goal and 1 point (0 assists) in 18 games in 2026-27.

How old is Keegan Kolesar?

Keegan Kolesar is 29 years old: he was born on April 8, 1997.

How tall is Keegan Kolesar, and how much does he weigh?

Keegan Kolesar is 6'2" (188 cm) and weighs 218 lb (99 kg).

Where is Keegan Kolesar from?

Canada: Keegan Kolesar was born in Brandon, Manitoba, Canada.

What team does Keegan Kolesar play for?

Keegan Kolesar plays for the Detroit Red Wings in the NHL, at R, wearing number 55.

Is Keegan Kolesar injured?

No: Keegan Kolesar is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.

How good is Keegan Kolesar?

Keegan Kolesar produced 0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 352nd of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 11 out of 100: very poor for his position.

How much does Keegan Kolesar make?

Keegan Kolesar earns $2.5M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 11 out of 100 (very poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.

When does Keegan Kolesar's contract end?

Keegan Kolesar's contract runs through the 2027-28 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent.

Is Keegan Kolesar overpaid?

Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 11 out of 100 (very poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.

Is Keegan Kolesar a top-10 player at his position?

No: by WAR, he ranks 352nd of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

Is Keegan Kolesar getting better?

No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 28 in 2024-25 to 11 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

How has Keegan Kolesar played lately?

Over his last 10 games, Keegan Kolesar has 1 point (1 goal, 0 assists).

What are Keegan Kolesar's career stats?

Over his NHL career, Keegan Kolesar has 457 games, 45 goals, 76 assists and 121 points. His best season: 2024-25, with 30 points in 82 games.

Where was Keegan Kolesar drafted?

Keegan Kolesar was drafted 69th overall (round 3) by Columbus Blue Jackets in 2015.

Is Keegan Kolesar better at home or on the road?

At home: in 2026-27, he averages 0.10 points per game at home (1 in 10 games) and 0.00 on the road (0 in 8 games).

How does Keegan Kolesar perform in the playoffs?

In the playoffs, Keegan Kolesar has 77 games and 11 points in his career. His pace (0.14 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (0.26).

Which player is most similar to Keegan Kolesar?

Nathan Walker: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.

Nathan Walker's page →

Is Keegan Kolesar a good fantasy pick?

Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 13 points in 2026-27, or 0.16 points per game.

Is Keegan Kolesar related to anyone famous?

Yes: K. D. Williams (father, former NFL and CFL linebacker); Charles Peterson (stepfather, played baseball for the Kansas City T‑Bones of the Northern League).

What is Keegan Kolesar's nationality?

Keegan Kolesar is Canadian.

How many championships has Keegan Kolesar won?

1: Stanley Cup 2023 with the Vegas Golden Knights.

How many points is Keegan Kolesar projected to score in 2026-27?

Our projection has him at 13 points in 83 games in 2026-27 (2 to 24 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.

See also: his Detroit Red Wings teammates

Full roster →

NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)