Alex
DeBrincat
R · DET · Offensive · Elite
- PAL
- 99
- WAR
- 3.5
- Value
- 98
- PTS
- 85
2025-26№ 21 / 615
Alex DeBrincat (Detroit Red Wings) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Alex DeBrincat
#93RPlays: Right wing · 3% of faceoffs
Detroit Red Wings
HEIGHT : 173 cm · WEIGHT : 80 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : December 17, 1997 · Farmington Hills, United States
Drafted : 2016 · CHI · round 2, pick #39
Contract : $7,875,000 · 2023-24 → 2026-27 · Standard Contract · UFAM-NTC
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Detroit Red Wings | 18 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 10 |
| 2025-26 | Detroit Red Wings | 82 | 41 | 44 | 85 | 19 |
| 2024-25 | Detroit Red Wings | 82 | 39 | 31 | 70 | 29 |
| 2023-24 | Detroit Red Wings | 82 | 27 | 40 | 67 | 34 |
| 2022-23 | Ottawa Senators | 82 | 27 | 39 | 66 | 45 |
| 2021-22 | Chicago Blackhawks | 82 | 41 | 37 | 78 | 19 |
| 2020-21 | Chicago Blackhawks | 52 | 32 | 24 | 56 | 12 |
| 2019-20 | Chicago Blackhawks | 70 | 18 | 27 | 45 | 15 |
| 2018-19 | Chicago Blackhawks | 82 | 41 | 35 | 76 | 15 |
| 2017-18 | Chicago Blackhawks | 82 | 28 | 24 | 52 | 6 |
| NHL totals | 714 | 301 | 310 | 611 | 204 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-20 | Chicago Blackhawks | 9 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| Playoff totals | 9 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | |
Alex DeBrincat: our analysis
2025-26 season: 82 GP, 41 G, 44 A, 85 PTS, +8 +/-, 18:30 TOI. WAR 3.5 (21st of 615) · PAL 99, elite.
In 2025-26, Alex DeBrincat, 28, posts a PAL Rating of 99 out of 100 (elite), and his WAR of 3.5 ranks 21st among 615 regulars, among the league's elite.
His strengths: creation (98, among the best in the league), shooting (97, among the best in the league) and power play (97, among the best in the league).
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV offense (+7.5).
An improvement on 2024-25, when his PAL was 94; his WAR, though, went from 3.5 to 3.5.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 98 (exceptional value) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Alex DeBrincat's story
As a 17-year-old in the OHL, Alex DeBrincat burst onto the scene with 51 goals and 104 points in his first Erie Otters season, immediately establishing a reputation for finishing plays. Born in Farmington Hills, Michigan, he left Lake Forest Academy and an earlier college commitment to UMass to join the Otters and quickly became the franchise's offensive leader.
Over three junior seasons DeBrincat compiled prodigious numbers and a stack of awards: OHL and CHL rookie honours after 2014–15, back-to-back 50-goal campaigns, and a final junior year that produced 65 goals and 127 points along with the Eddie Powers, Jim Mahon and Red Tilson trophies; he also helped Erie win the J. Ross Robertson Cup. By the end of his OHL tenure he ranked among the league's most prolific American-born scorers.
Chicago selected him 39th overall in the 2016 draft and he signed an entry-level contract on 7 November 2016. DeBrincat made the Blackhawks' opening roster in 2017–18, recorded three rookie hat-tricks and finished with 28 goals and 52 points despite streaky production. He took another step in 2018–19, playing all 82 games and scoring 41 goals for 76 points.
The Blackhawks signed him to a three-year, $19.2 million extension on 3 October 2019. He faced a dip in 2019–20 but reached career milestones thereafter, including his 100th NHL goal in March 2021, and served as an alternate captain at the start of 2021–22. DeBrincat was traded to the Ottawa Senators on 7 July 2022, then moved to the Detroit Red Wings in July 2023 and immediately agreed to a four-year deal averaging $7.875 million per season.
DeBrincat's game is straightforward: he is a natural goal-scorer with an instinct for locating scoring chances. Over time he has added more puck-retrieval work to his repertoire, a deliberate effort to remain impactful when goals are less frequent.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 19:46
- PP TOI/GP
- 3:43
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:02
- Pts/GP
- 0.89
- EV points
- 11
- Hits
- 18
- Blocks
- 10
- Takeaways
- 5
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 53.0 %
- Off. zone starts
- 34.6 %
- Faceoffs
- 28.6 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
80between 57 and 96 (80% range)
- Goals
- 36
- Assists
- 44
- Games
- 83
So far: 16 pts in 18 games. The team has played 18 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.99 pts per game (last season: 1.04).
Three straight seasons of growth. Since 2018, of 97 players in that spot, 23 kept improving the next season; on average, their pace fell back to 90% of their best season.
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Slightly up
- Points per game: 0.82 in 23-24, 1.04 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 94 → 99
Outlook, age included
↗ Slightly upAge 28: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 85 %
90
Star
- SK
- Skating
- 76
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 54
- Confidence 88 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 86
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 97
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 63
- Confidence 88 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 82
- Confidence 67 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 85
- Confidence 88 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 67
- Confidence 29 %
- PA
- Passing
- 88
- Confidence 85 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 93
- Confidence 85 %
- DF
- Defense
- 69
- Confidence 83 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 84
- Confidence 40 %
- EX
- Experience
- 79
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating76
- Top speed (35 %)36 · 75
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)4.575 · 71
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.8 · 90
- Speed consistency (15 %)35 · 70
ST — Strength54
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)3.163 · 64
- Body mass (50 %)-1.727 · 49
EN — Endurance86
- Ice time per game (45 %)17 · 84
- Total ice time (20 %)1,443 · 89
- Shift length (15 %)48.8 · 85
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)16.4 · 86
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)3.042 · 83
DU — Durability97
- Share of games played (100 %)0.9 · 97
CK — Checking63
- Hits /60 (70 %)2.545 · 63
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)2.068 · 64
- Season volume (10 %)3.664 · 67
FG — Fighting82
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)1.06 · 82
DI — Discipline85
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.054 · 84
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.437 · 86
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.754 · 74
FO — Faceoffs67
- Faceoff % (85 %)48.9 · 72
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)8.16 · 35
PA — Passing88
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.983 · 86
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.618 · 83
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.243 · 87
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)5.5 · 86
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.897 · 90
SC — Scoring93
- Goals /60 (25 %)1.449 · 90
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)1.257 · 93
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.414 · 80
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.933 · 87
- xG per shot (10 %)0.08 · 76
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)20.7 · 92
DF — Defense69
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.028 · 70
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.067 · 71
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.766 · 65
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.034 · 68
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.331 · 78
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)58.4 · 75
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)1.883 · 65
PS — Penalty shot84
- Shootouts (60 %)33.5 · 85
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience79
- Career regular-season games (65 %)92
- Career playoff games (25 %)43
- NHL seasons (10 %)78
OV — Overall90
- SC · Scoring (28 %)93
- PA · Passing (22 %)88
- DF · Defense (18 %)69
- SK · Skating (12 %)76
- EN · Endurance (8 %)86
- DI · Discipline (5 %)85
- ST · Strength (4 %)54
- CK · Checking (3 %)63
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 90 | 76 | 93 | 69 |
| 2024-25 | 86 | 75 | 89 | 65 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 75 | 80 | 63 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 80 | 80 | 65 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
3.5
wins above replacement
21 of 615
PAL Rating
99/ 100
Performance · Elite
4 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
98/ 100
Exceptional value
7.88 M$ · expected PAL 72
ProfileOffensiveValue comes mostly from offense
- Offense
- 98
- Defense
- 68
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 95
- Creation
- 98
- Shooting
- 97
- Possession
- 94
- Defense
- 53
- Discipline
- 60
- Power play
- 97
- Penalty kill
- 48
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DET | 3.5 | 99 | 98 | 7.88 M$ |
| 2024-25 | DET | 3.5 | 94 | 90 | 7.88 M$ |
| 2023-24 | DET | 1.5 | 67 | 37 | 7.88 M$ |
| 2022-23 | OTT | 0.9 | 71 | 46 | 6.40 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
96/ 100
Elite
better than 96% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
49/ 100
Average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
100/ 100
Elite
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 15 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 78
- Shot selection
- 48
- Penalties drawn
- 12
- Puck management
- 81
Defense
- Takeaways
- 99
- Discipline
- 83
- Safe zone exits
- 72
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DET | 96 | 49 | 100 |
| 2024-25 | DET | 95 | 87 | 87 |
| 2023-24 | DET | 91 | 75 | 89 |
| 2022-23 | OTT | 88 | 82 | 76 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
3.5
wins above replacement
1.8 to 5.5 — 90% interval
21 of 615 forwards
+18.4 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +7.5
- EV defense
- +0.3
- Power play
- +4.0
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- +2.0
- Penalties
- +0.9
- Average → replacement
- +3.8
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DET | 82 | 3.5 | 1.8 to 5.5 | 21/615 |
| 2024-25 | DET | 78 | 3.5 | 2.1 to 5.3 | 16/596 |
| 2023-24 | DET | 82 | 1.5 | -0.6 to 3.2 | 97/608 |
| 2022-23 | OTT | 82 | 0.9 | -0.8 to 2.7 | 147/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 142.0 km/h85th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 35.2 km/h50th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 2466th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 44.7 %78th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 93.7 km96th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 6.36 km96th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 41.2 %52nd percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 17.4 %21st percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 37.8 %71st percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 6699th percentile | 791st percentile | 10.6 %36th percentile |
| High danger | 1174th percentile | 386th percentile | 27.3 %70th percentile |
| Mid range | 2899th percentile | 177th percentile | 3.6 %32nd percentile |
| Long range | 797th percentile | 199th percentile | 14.3 %91st percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
COL
VGK
TBL
FLA
STL
CHI
EDM
CGY
VAN
SEA
SJS
PHI
NJD
MTL
OTT
WPG
NYRAlex DeBrincat: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Alex DeBrincat have in 2026-27?
Alex DeBrincat has 7 goals and 16 points (9 assists) in 18 games in 2026-27.
How old is Alex DeBrincat?
Alex DeBrincat is 28 years old: he was born on December 18, 1997.
How tall is Alex DeBrincat, and how much does he weigh?
Alex DeBrincat is 5'8" (173 cm) and weighs 176 lb (80 kg).
Where is Alex DeBrincat from?
United States: Alex DeBrincat was born in Farmington Hills, Michigan, United States.
What team does Alex DeBrincat play for?
Alex DeBrincat plays for the Detroit Red Wings in the NHL, at R, wearing number 93.
Is Alex DeBrincat injured?
No: Alex DeBrincat is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Alex DeBrincat?
Alex DeBrincat produced 3.5 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 21st of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 99 out of 100: elite for his position.
How much does Alex DeBrincat make?
Alex DeBrincat earns $7.9M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 98 out of 100 (exceptional value): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Alex DeBrincat's contract end?
Alex DeBrincat's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent. It includes a M-NTC clause.
Is Alex DeBrincat overpaid?
No, he gives more than he costs. His Value rating is 98 out of 100 (exceptional value), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Alex DeBrincat a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 21st of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Alex DeBrincat getting better?
Yes: his PAL rating went from 94 in 2024-25 to 99 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Alex DeBrincat played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Alex DeBrincat has 7 points (2 goals, 5 assists).
What are Alex DeBrincat's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Alex DeBrincat has 714 games, 301 goals, 310 assists and 611 points. His best season: 2025-26, with 85 points in 82 games.
Where was Alex DeBrincat drafted?
Alex DeBrincat was drafted 39th overall (round 2) by Chicago Blackhawks in 2016.
Is Alex DeBrincat better at home or on the road?
At home: in 2026-27, he averages 1.10 points per game at home (11 in 10 games) and 0.63 on the road (5 in 8 games).
How does Alex DeBrincat perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Alex DeBrincat has 9 games and 6 points in his career. His pace (0.67 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (0.86).
Which player is most similar to Alex DeBrincat?
Kirill Kaprizov: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Kirill Kaprizov's page →Is Alex DeBrincat a good fantasy pick?
Yes, a solid pick: our projection has him at 80 points in 2026-27, or 0.96 points per game.
Does Alex DeBrincat have siblings?
Yes: his brother Andrew DeBrincat (started his professional career in 2019; has played in the ECHL for the Cincinnati Cyclones and Kalamazoo Wings).
Is Alex DeBrincat married?
Yes, married to Lyndsey Bice (July 2021).
What is Alex DeBrincat's nationality?
Alex DeBrincat is American. Internationally: United States — bronze at the 2016 World Junior Championship; bronze at the 2018 IIHF World Championship; played at the 2019 IIHF World Championship (7th place).
What awards has Alex DeBrincat won?
Emms Family Award (OHL Rookie of the Year) — 2014–15 season ; CHL Rookie of the Year — 2015 ; Eddie Powers Memorial Trophy (OHL leading scorer) — 2017 ; Jim Mahon Memorial Trophy (top-scoring right winger in the OHL) — 2017 ; Red Tilson Trophy (OHL most outstanding player) — 2016–17 ; CHL Player of the Year — 2016–17 ; Memorial Cup All-Star Team — 2017 ; Chicago Blackhawks Player of the Year — rookie season 2017–18; and more.
How many championships has Alex DeBrincat won?
1: J. Ross Robertson Cup with the Erie Otters — 2017.
Where did Alex DeBrincat play before turning pro?
Lake Forest Academy (one season, before 2014) ; Erie Otters (OHL), 2014–15 to 2016–17.
How many points is Alex DeBrincat projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 80 points in 83 games in 2026-27 (57 to 96 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Detroit Red Wings teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)