Justin
Sourdif
C · WSH · Defensive · Very good
- PAL
- 70
- WAR
- 1.3
- Value
- 85
- PTS
- 35
2025-26№ 117 / 615
Justin Sourdif (Washington Capitals) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Justin Sourdif
#34CPlays: Centre · 71% of faceoffs
Washington Capitals
HEIGHT : 183 cm · WEIGHT : 91 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : March 23, 2002 · Richmond, Canada
Drafted : 2020 · FLA · round 3, pick #87
Contract : $825,000 · 2025-26 → 2026-27 · Standard Contract (Extension) · RFA (Arb)
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Washington Capitals | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 |
| 2025-26 | Washington Capitals | 78 | 15 | 20 | 35 | 35 |
| 2024-25 | Florida Panthers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2023-24 | Florida Panthers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| NHL totals | 95 | 19 | 21 | 40 | 43 | |
Justin Sourdif: our analysis
2025-26 season: 78 GP, 15 G, 20 A, 35 PTS, +17 +/-, 14:44 TOI. WAR 1.3 (117th of 615) · PAL 70, very good.
In 2025-26, Justin Sourdif, 24, posts a PAL Rating of 70 out of 100 (very good), and his WAR of 1.3 ranks 117th among 615 regulars, in the top quarter.
His strengths: discipline (91, among the best in the league), defense (79, well above average) and possession (74, above average). On the other hand, power play (18, well below average) holds him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: penalties (+2.4); his biggest cost: finishing (-1.1).
His WAR went from 0.2 in 2024-25 to 1.3.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 85 (very good contract) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Justin Sourdif's story
Growing up in the Boundary Park area of Newton, Surrey, Justin Sourdif learned his hockey in local minor programs and at Delta Hockey Academy before moving into major junior. Vancouver selected him third overall in the 2017 WHL bantam draft, and he joined the Giants’ roster during the 2017–18 season.
He spent several seasons developing in the WHL, skating on a Giants team that reached the WHL final in 2018–19 and earning a spot in the Kubota CHL/NHL Top Prospects Game during the pandemic‑shortened 2019–20 campaign, when he tallied 54 points. Ahead of his final junior year he wore the captain’s letter with Vancouver, then was dealt to the Edmonton Oil Kings on January 17, 2022; his 14 points in 19 playoff games helped Edmonton capture the Ed Chynoweth Cup.
Florida picked Sourdif 87th overall in the 2020 NHL Entry Draft and signed him to a three‑year, entry‑level contract on September 25, 2021. He began his pro career with the Panthers’ AHL affiliate, the Charlotte Checkers, posting offensive promise in his rookie season. Sourdif made his NHL debut on October 16, 2023 against the New Jersey Devils and later scored his first NHL goal on February 25, 2025 versus the Nashville Predators.
On June 27, 2025, the Panthers traded him to the Washington Capitals; the following day he agreed to a two‑year contract extension with Washington. His play with the Capitals featured a standout performance on January 5, 2026, when he recorded a hat trick and five points against the Anaheim Ducks, tying the club record for points in a game by a rookie. The Capitals then secured him long term with an eight‑year extension signed September 15, 2026.
Internationally, Sourdif represented Canada at the 2019 Hlinka Gretzky Cup, contributing one goal and five points as the team earned silver. On the ice he is known for his offensive instincts: puck skills, playmaking and the ability to produce scoring chances in crucial moments.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 13:48
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:13
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:49
- Pts/GP
- 0.31
- EV points
- 4
- Hits
- 24
- Blocks
- 6
- Takeaways
- 3
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 52.7 %
- Off. zone starts
- 17.6 %
- Faceoffs
- 51.3 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
32between 14 and 49 (80% range)
- Goals
- 15
- Assists
- 17
- Games
- 77
So far: 4 pts in 13 games. The team has played 15 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.45 pts per game (last season: 0.45).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 54 %
77
Established NHL
- SK
- Skating
- 67
- Confidence 67 %
- ST
- Strength
- 78
- Confidence 59 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 74
- Confidence 50 %
- DU
- Durability
- 55
- Confidence 67 %
- CK
- Checking
- 78
- Confidence 59 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 81
- Confidence 34 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 87
- Confidence 59 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 68
- Confidence 63 %
- PA
- Passing
- 74
- Confidence 54 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 73
- Confidence 54 %
- DF
- Defense
- 81
- Confidence 49 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 76
- Confidence 0 %
- EX
- Experience
- 45
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating67
- Top speed (35 %)35.1 · 59
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)6.846 · 81
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.1 · 75
- Speed consistency (15 %)33.8 · 51
ST — Strength78
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)4.528 · 80
- Body mass (50 %)-0.192 · 74
EN — Endurance74
- Ice time per game (45 %)14.6 · 73
- Total ice time (20 %)1,130 · 77
- Shift length (15 %)46 · 75
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)14.1 · 78
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.528 · 64
DU — Durability55
- Share of games played (100 %)0.643 · 55
CK — Checking78
- Hits /60 (70 %)5.146 · 78
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)4.885 · 80
- Season volume (10 %)4.595 · 79
FG — Fighting81
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.986 · 81
DI — Discipline87
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.066 · 89
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.755 · 71
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)1.147 · 88
FO — Faceoffs68
- Faceoff % (85 %)47.7 · 67
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)36.6 · 73
PA — Passing74
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.641 · 72
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.486 · 76
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.083 · 76
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)3.717 · 63
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.55 · 77
SC — Scoring73
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.875 · 72
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.837 · 72
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.038 · 73
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.442 · 78
- xG per shot (10 %)0.081 · 80
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)12.9 · 69
DF — Defense81
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.056 · 81
- Relative xG against (20 %)-0.216 · 87
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.605 · 75
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.033 · 67
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.72 · 71
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)56.3 · 83
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.524 · 78
PS — Penalty shot76
- Shootouts (60 %)32.7 · 76
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience45
- Career regular-season games (65 %)62
- Career playoff games (25 %)0
- NHL seasons (10 %)47
OV — Overall77
- SC · Scoring (28 %)73
- PA · Passing (22 %)74
- DF · Defense (18 %)81
- SK · Skating (12 %)67
- EN · Endurance (8 %)74
- DI · Discipline (5 %)87
- ST · Strength (4 %)78
- CK · Checking (3 %)78
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
1.3
wins above replacement
117 of 615
PAL Rating
70/ 100
Performance · Very good
128 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
85/ 100
Very good contract
0.83 M$ · expected PAL 33
ProfileDefensiveValue comes mostly from defense
- Offense
- 50
- Defense
- 80
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 45
- Creation
- 50
- Shooting
- 51
- Possession
- 74
- Defense
- 79
- Discipline
- 91
- Power play
- 18
- Penalty kill
- 70
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
75/ 100
Very good
better than 75% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
92/ 100
Elite
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
36/ 100
Below average
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 104 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 46
- Shot selection
- 70
- Penalties drawn
- 92
- Puck management
- 74
Defense
- Takeaways
- 72
- Discipline
- 46
- Safe zone exits
- 14
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
1.3
wins above replacement
-0.0 to 2.7 — 90% interval
117 of 615 forwards
+6.9 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +1.3
- EV defense
- +1.4
- Power play
- +0.0
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- -1.1
- Penalties
- +2.4
- Average → replacement
- +3.0
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | WSH | 78 | 1.3 | -0.0 to 2.7 | 117/615 |
| 2024-25 | FLA | 1 | 0.2 | 0.2 to 0.3 | 318/596 |
| 2023-24 | FLA | 3 | 0.0 | -0.1 to 0.1 | 369/608 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 132.8 km/h53rd percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 36.5 km/h84th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 2568th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 38.5 %14th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 48.2 km38th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 4.35 km43rd percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 39.1 %17th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 19.5 %97th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 42.0 %24th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 1437th percentile | 366th percentile | 21.4 %87th percentile |
| High danger | 752nd percentile | 386th percentile | 42.9 %93rd percentile |
| Mid range | 334th percentile | 054th percentile | 0.0 %32nd percentile |
| Long range | 153rd percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
FLA
DAL
MIN
NSH
PHI
BUF
MTL
CAR
SEA
NYR
PIT
TBLJustin Sourdif: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Justin Sourdif have in 2026-27?
Justin Sourdif has 3 goals and 4 points (1 assist) in 13 games in 2026-27.
How old is Justin Sourdif?
Justin Sourdif is 24 years old: he was born on March 24, 2002.
How tall is Justin Sourdif, and how much does he weigh?
Justin Sourdif is 6'0" (183 cm) and weighs 201 lb (91 kg).
Where is Justin Sourdif from?
Canada: Justin Sourdif was born in Richmond, British Columbia, Canada.
What team does Justin Sourdif play for?
Justin Sourdif plays for the Washington Capitals in the NHL, at C, wearing number 34.
Is Justin Sourdif injured?
No: Justin Sourdif is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Justin Sourdif?
Justin Sourdif produced 1.3 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 117th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 70 out of 100: very good for his position.
How much does Justin Sourdif make?
Justin Sourdif earns $825K for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 85 out of 100 (very good contract): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Justin Sourdif's contract end?
Justin Sourdif's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be a restricted free agent.
Is Justin Sourdif overpaid?
No, he gives more than he costs. His Value rating is 85 out of 100 (very good contract), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Justin Sourdif a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 117th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
How has Justin Sourdif played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Justin Sourdif has 3 points (2 goals, 1 assist).
What are Justin Sourdif's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Justin Sourdif has 95 games, 19 goals, 21 assists and 40 points. His best season: 2025-26, with 35 points in 78 games.
Where was Justin Sourdif drafted?
Justin Sourdif was drafted 87th overall (round 3) by Florida Panthers in 2020.
How does Justin Sourdif perform in the playoffs?
Justin Sourdif has not played in the NHL playoffs yet.
Which player is most similar to Justin Sourdif?
Ben Meyers: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Ben Meyers's page →Is Justin Sourdif a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 32 points in 2026-27, or 0.42 points per game.
What is Justin Sourdif's nationality?
Justin Sourdif is Canadian. Internationally: Canada — silver medal at the 2019 Hlinka Gretzky Cup (1 goal, 5 points in 5 games).
What awards has Justin Sourdif won?
Selected to play in the Kubota CHL/NHL Top Prospects Game (2019–20 season) ; Named captain of the Vancouver Giants for the 2021–22 season ; Recorded first career NHL hat trick (5 points) on January 5, 2026.
How many championships has Justin Sourdif won?
1: Ed Chynoweth Cup — WHL champions with the Edmonton Oil Kings (2021–22).
Where did Justin Sourdif play before turning pro?
Delta Hockey Academy; selected third overall by the Vancouver Giants (WHL) in the 2017 WHL bantam draft; began major junior in 2017–18 with the Giants and was traded to the Edmonton Oil Kings on January 17, 2022.
How many points is Justin Sourdif projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 32 points in 77 games in 2026-27 (14 to 49 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Washington Capitals teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)