Alex
Tuch
R · WSH · Two-way · Very good
- PAL
- 77
- WAR
- 3.0
- Value
- 68
- PTS
- 66
2025-26№ 32 / 615
Alex Tuch (Washington Capitals) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Alex Tuch
#89RPlays: Right wing · 9% of faceoffs
Washington Capitals
HEIGHT : 193 cm · WEIGHT : 102 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : May 9, 1996 · Syracuse, United States
Drafted : 2014 · MIN · round 1, pick #18
Contract : $10,500,000 · 2026-27 → 2033-34 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFA · Signing bonus $10,000,000NMC / M-NTC
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Washington Capitals | 15 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 4 |
| 2025-26 | Buffalo Sabres | 79 | 33 | 33 | 66 | 57 |
| 2024-25 | Buffalo Sabres | 82 | 36 | 31 | 67 | 47 |
| 2023-24 | Buffalo Sabres | 75 | 22 | 37 | 59 | 54 |
| 2022-23 | Buffalo Sabres | 74 | 36 | 43 | 79 | 20 |
| 2021-22 | Buffalo Sabres | 50 | 12 | 26 | 38 | 14 |
| 2020-21 | Vegas Golden Knights | 55 | 18 | 15 | 33 | 28 |
| 2019-20 | Vegas Golden Knights | 42 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
| 2018-19 | Vegas Golden Knights | 74 | 20 | 32 | 52 | 8 |
| 2017-18 | Vegas Golden Knights | 78 | 15 | 22 | 37 | 27 |
| 2016-17 | Minnesota Wild | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| NHL totals | 630 | 211 | 250 | 461 | 267 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Buffalo Sabres | 13 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 |
| 2020-21 | Vegas Golden Knights | 19 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 2019-20 | Vegas Golden Knights | 20 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 8 |
| 2018-19 | Vegas Golden Knights | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| 2017-18 | Vegas Golden Knights | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 12 |
| Playoff totals | 79 | 23 | 17 | 40 | 42 | |
Alex Tuch: our analysis
2025-26 season: 79 GP, 33 G, 33 A, 66 PTS, +24 +/-, 19:00 TOI. WAR 3.0 (32nd of 615) · PAL 77, very good.
In 2025-26, Alex Tuch, 30, posts a PAL Rating of 77 out of 100 (very good), and his WAR of 3.0 ranks 32nd among 615 regulars, in the top quarter.
His strengths: shooting (83, well above average), offense (82, well above average) and possession (80, well above average). On the other hand, discipline (17, well below average) holds him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: finishing (+8.9); his biggest cost: penalties (-0.9).
A marked decline: his PAL was 85 in 2024-25, against 77 now; his WAR, though, went from 2.7 to 3.0.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 68 (good value) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Alex Tuch's story
Growing up around Syracuse and Baldwinsville, Alex Tuch was competing beyond his region early on — he played in the 2008 Quebec International Pee-Wee Tournament with the Lemieux Academy from Phoenix and later joined the USA Hockey National Team Development Program from 2012 to 2014. Those years brought international medals: bronze at the 2013 World U-17 Challenge and gold at the 2014 IIHF World U18 Championship, milestones that raised his profile ahead of the draft.
Projected as a first-round talent, Tuch was selected 18th overall by the Minnesota Wild in the 2014 NHL Entry Draft. He opted for collegiate development at Boston College from 2014 to 2016, earning a spot on the Hockey East All-Rookie Team after a 14-goal, 14-assist freshman campaign and following up with 18 goals and 16 assists in 40 games as a sophomore while helping the Eagles reach the NCAA Frozen Four. Those seasons led to a three-year entry-level deal with Minnesota signed on April 13, 2016.
Tuch began his professional career in the AHL with the Iowa Wild in 2016–17, producing 18 goals and 37 points in 57 games before making his NHL debut on February 4, 2017 against the Vancouver Canucks. As part of the 2017 expansion arrangements, he was traded to the Vegas Golden Knights on June 21, 2017. After a short assignment to the Chicago Wolves he was recalled and scored his first NHL goal on October 15, 2017 versus Tuukka Rask and went on to play for Vegas in the 2018 Stanley Cup Final. The Golden Knights locked him into a seven-year extension on October 19, 2018.
A shoulder operation in July 2021 curtailed much of his following season, and on November 4, 2021 he was included in the multi-piece trade that sent him to the Buffalo Sabres. Tuch debuted for Buffalo on December 29, 2021, recording an assist, and netted his first Sabres goal on January 1, 2022 in an overtime loss to Boston. He produced several standout moments in Buffalo, including an empty-net sequence against his former club in March 2022 and two hat-tricks during the 2022–23 season, which also marked career highs in goals, assists and points while playing alongside Tage Thompson and Jeff Skinner.
Internationally his junior medals remain notable achievements. On the ice he is best described as a power-forward type: a player who blends physical play with consistent offensive output. Born in Syracuse, he grew up a Buffalo Sabres fan.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 19:14
- PP TOI/GP
- 2:02
- SH TOI/GP
- 2:39
- Pts/GP
- 0.87
- EV points
- 12
- Hits
- 18
- Blocks
- 13
- Takeaways
- 14
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 51.7 %
- Off. zone starts
- 30.4 %
- Faceoffs
- 50.0 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
66between 45 and 81 (80% range)
- Goals
- 39
- Assists
- 27
- Games
- 81
So far: 13 pts in 15 games. The team has played 15 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.80 pts per game (last season: 0.84).
Three straight seasons of growth. Since 2018, of 97 players in that spot, 23 kept improving the next season; on average, their pace fell back to 90% of their best season.
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Stable
- Points per game: 0.79 in 23-24, 0.84 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 85 → 77
Outlook, age included
→ StableAge 30: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 85 %
86
High-end
- SK
- Skating
- 82
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 74
- Confidence 88 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 87
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 84
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 72
- Confidence 88 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 84
- Confidence 66 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 63
- Confidence 88 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 65
- Confidence 53 %
- PA
- Passing
- 81
- Confidence 85 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 85
- Confidence 85 %
- DF
- Defense
- 77
- Confidence 82 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 86
- Confidence 59 %
- EX
- Experience
- 88
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating82
- Top speed (35 %)36.6 · 83
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)6.026 · 78
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.3 · 80
- Speed consistency (15 %)36.1 · 86
ST — Strength74
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)2.307 · 51
- Body mass (50 %)1.446 · 88
EN — Endurance87
- Ice time per game (45 %)17.6 · 88
- Total ice time (20 %)1,430 · 88
- Shift length (15 %)44.3 · 67
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)17.2 · 90
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)3.807 · 91
DU — Durability84
- Share of games played (100 %)0.869 · 84
CK — Checking72
- Hits /60 (70 %)3.469 · 70
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)2.803 · 70
- Season volume (10 %)4.419 · 78
FG — Fighting84
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)1.128 · 84
DI — Discipline63
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)-0.022 · 62
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.752 · 71
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.623 · 66
FO — Faceoffs65
- Faceoff % (85 %)48.2 · 70
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)10.6 · 40
PA — Passing81
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.785 · 79
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.621 · 84
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.16 · 82
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.012 · 68
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.611 · 80
SC — Scoring85
- Goals /60 (25 %)1.289 · 87
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.972 · 81
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)1.261 · 91
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.554 · 80
- xG per shot (10 %)0.078 · 69
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)15.6 · 80
DF — Defense77
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.04 · 79
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.073 · 70
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.76 · 66
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.045 · 58
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-0.484 · 96
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)59.1 · 71
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)3.951 · 93
PS — Penalty shot86
- Shootouts (60 %)35.9 · 91
- Penalty shots (40 %)25.4 · 57
EX — Experience88
- Career regular-season games (65 %)91
- Career playoff games (25 %)83
- NHL seasons (10 %)81
OV — Overall86
- SC · Scoring (28 %)85
- PA · Passing (22 %)81
- DF · Defense (18 %)77
- SK · Skating (12 %)82
- EN · Endurance (8 %)87
- DI · Discipline (5 %)63
- ST · Strength (4 %)74
- CK · Checking (3 %)72
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 86 | 82 | 85 | 77 |
| 2024-25 | 89 | 84 | 87 | 77 |
| 2023-24 | 86 | 88 | 80 | 72 |
| 2022-23 | 93 | 93 | 87 | 71 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
3.0
wins above replacement
32 of 615
PAL Rating
77/ 100
Performance · Very good
96 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
68/ 100
Good value
4.75 M$ · expected PAL 62
ProfileTwo-wayStrong at both ends
- Offense
- 76
- Defense
- 81
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 82
- Creation
- 59
- Shooting
- 83
- Possession
- 80
- Defense
- 74
- Discipline
- 17
- Power play
- 56
- Penalty kill
- 78
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | BUF | 3.0 | 77 | 68 | 4.75 M$ |
| 2024-25 | BUF | 2.7 | 85 | 77 | 4.75 M$ |
| 2023-24 | BUF | 0.9 | 60 | 38 | 4.75 M$ |
| 2022-23 | BUF | 2.7 | 85 | 71 | 4.75 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
58/ 100
Average
better than 58% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
34/ 100
Below average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
75/ 100
Very good
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 176 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 76
- Shot selection
- 23
- Penalties drawn
- 15
- Puck management
- 84
Defense
- Takeaways
- 90
- Discipline
- 25
- Safe zone exits
- 79
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | BUF | 58 | 34 | 75 |
| 2024-25 | BUF | 77 | 30 | 92 |
| 2023-24 | BUF | 84 | 43 | 93 |
| 2022-23 | BUF | 88 | 45 | 96 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
3.0
wins above replacement
1.4 to 4.1 — 90% interval
32 of 615 forwards
+15.8 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +3.5
- EV defense
- +0.9
- Power play
- -0.1
- Penalty kill
- -0.4
- Shooting
- +8.9
- Penalties
- -0.9
- Average → replacement
- +3.7
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | BUF | 79 | 3.0 | 1.4 to 4.1 | 32/615 |
| 2024-25 | BUF | 78 | 2.7 | 1.1 to 4.7 | 42/596 |
| 2023-24 | BUF | 75 | 0.9 | -0.3 to 2.3 | 166/608 |
| 2022-23 | BUF | 74 | 2.7 | 1.4 to 4.8 | 36/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 140.0 km/h78th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 35.4 km/h57th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 2568th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 38.3 %13th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 73.6 km76th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 6.11 km92nd percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 39.5 %22nd percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 17.9 %40th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 43.8 %12th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 4289th percentile | 1199th percentile | 26.2 %96th percentile |
| High danger | 1993rd percentile | 386th percentile | 15.8 %38th percentile |
| Mid range | 1894th percentile | 7100th percentile | 38.9 %97th percentile |
| Long range | 153rd percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
FLA
DAL
MIN
NSH
PHI
BUF
LAK
NJD
MTL
CAR
SEA
NYR
PIT
TBLAlex Tuch: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Alex Tuch have in 2026-27?
Alex Tuch has 11 goals and 13 points (2 assists) in 15 games in 2026-27.
How old is Alex Tuch?
Alex Tuch is 30 years old: he was born on May 10, 1996.
How tall is Alex Tuch, and how much does he weigh?
Alex Tuch is 6'4" (193 cm) and weighs 225 lb (102 kg).
Where is Alex Tuch from?
United States: Alex Tuch was born in Syracuse, New York, United States.
What team does Alex Tuch play for?
Alex Tuch plays for the Washington Capitals in the NHL, at R, wearing number 89.
Is Alex Tuch injured?
No: Alex Tuch is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Alex Tuch?
Alex Tuch produced 3.0 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 32nd of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 77 out of 100: very good for his position.
How much does Alex Tuch make?
Alex Tuch earns $4.8M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 68 out of 100 (good value): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Alex Tuch's contract end?
Alex Tuch's contract runs through the 2033-34 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent. It includes a NMC / M-NTC clause.
Is Alex Tuch overpaid?
No, he gives more than he costs. His Value rating is 68 out of 100 (good value), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Alex Tuch a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 32nd of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Alex Tuch getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 85 in 2024-25 to 77 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Alex Tuch played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Alex Tuch has 10 points (8 goals, 2 assists).
What are Alex Tuch's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Alex Tuch has 630 games, 211 goals, 250 assists and 461 points. His best season: 2022-23, with 79 points in 74 games.
Where was Alex Tuch drafted?
Alex Tuch was drafted 18th overall (round 1) by Minnesota Wild in 2014.
How does Alex Tuch perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Alex Tuch has 79 games and 40 points in his career. His pace (0.51 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (0.73).
Which player is most similar to Alex Tuch?
Ryan O'Reilly: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Ryan O'Reilly's page →Is Alex Tuch a good fantasy pick?
Yes, a solid pick: our projection has him at 66 points in 2026-27, or 0.81 points per game.
Does Alex Tuch have siblings?
Yes: his brother Luke Tuch (selected in the second round of the 2020 NHL entry draft by the Montreal Canadiens; currently plays professionally for the Cleveland Monsters (AHL)), his sister Leah Tuch (a field hockey player).
What is Alex Tuch's nationality?
Alex Tuch is American. Internationally: United States: bronze medal at the 2013 World U-17 Hockey Challenge; gold medal at the 2014 IIHF World U18 Championships.
What awards has Alex Tuch won?
Named to the Hockey East Pro Ambitions All-Rookie Team 2014–15.
How many championships has Alex Tuch won?
2: Gold medal with Team USA at the 2014 IIHF World U18 Championships; Bronze medal with Team USA at the 2013 World U-17 Hockey Challenge.
Where did Alex Tuch play before turning pro?
Youth/college: Lemieux Academy (played in the 2008 Quebec International Pee-Wee Hockey Tournament); USA Hockey National Team Development Program (2012–2014); college: Boston College (Hockey East) 2014–2016.
How many points is Alex Tuch projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 66 points in 81 games in 2026-27 (45 to 81 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Washington Capitals teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)