Justin
Hryckowian
C · DAL · Defensive · Very good
- PAL
- 71
- WAR
- 1.2
- Value
- 85
- PTS
- 30
2025-26№ 127 / 615
Justin Hryckowian (Dallas Stars) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Justin Hryckowian
#49CPlays: Centre and winger · 42% of faceoffs
Dallas Stars
HEIGHT : 180 cm · WEIGHT : 90 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : February 22, 2001 · L'Ile-Bizard, Canada
Contract : $950,000 · 2026-27 → 2027-28 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFA
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Dallas Stars | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 2025-26 | Dallas Stars | 81 | 14 | 16 | 30 | 43 |
| 2024-25 | Dallas Stars | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| NHL totals | 103 | 16 | 17 | 33 | 47 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Dallas Stars | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Playoff totals | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
Justin Hryckowian: our analysis
2025-26 season: 81 GP, 14 G, 16 A, 30 PTS, +1 +/-, 13:18 TOI. WAR 1.2 (127th of 615) · PAL 71, very good.
In 2025-26, Justin Hryckowian, 25, posts a PAL Rating of 71 out of 100 (very good), and his WAR of 1.2 ranks 127th among 615 regulars, in the top quarter.
His strengths: defense (91, among the best in the league), penalty kill (77, well above average) and possession (67, above average). On the other hand, creation (33, below average) holds him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: finishing (+2.2); his biggest cost: EV offense (-0.1).
His WAR went from -0.0 in 2024-25 to 1.2.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 85 (very good contract) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Justin Hryckowian's story
Growing up on L'Île-Bizard, Justin Hryckowian skated from a very young age alongside his brother on outdoor rinks. His final midget season stood out: with the Lac St-Louis Lions he scored 34 goals and amassed 75 points in 40 games in 2017–18, and earned the league’s top scorer and outstanding player honours.
Rather than taking the Quebec major junior route, Hryckowian moved to the United States system, spending a year at Salisbury School before joining the USHL. He started with the Cedar Rapids RoughRiders and, after the damage to Cedar Rapids' arena in August 2020, was dispersed to the Sioux City Musketeers for 2020–21. After a solid stint in Cedar Rapids, he broke out in Sioux City as captain, finishing with 17 goals and 38 points in 44 games.
He began his college career with Northeastern in 2021–22, leading the team's freshmen with six goals and 20 points and earning a spot on the Hockey East All-Rookie Team. The following season included a hat-trick, a Hockey East Player of the Month award for November, and Hockey East Best Defensive Forward and All-Hockey East Second Team recognition. Named captain for 2023–24, he reached 100 career points in college and closed his Northeastern tenure with 35 goals and 101 points in 94 games.
Dallas signed him to a two-year entry-level contract on 20 March 2024, and he finished 2023–24 on an amateur tryout with the Texas Stars. He opened 2024–25 leading AHL rookies in scoring early on, made his NHL debut for Dallas on 30 December 2024, and recorded his first NHL point on 20 January 2025. Spending most of that season in the AHL, he led rookies with 60 points in 67 games, won the Dudley “Red” Garrett Memorial Award and earned a place on the AHL All-Rookie Team. Named to Dallas’s opening-night roster for 2025–26, he scored his first NHL goal on 2 November.
Hryckowian’s résumé shows a player trusted for defensive responsibility while producing offensively: repeated conference defensive honours, captaincy and regular deployment in different roles point to a two-way forward comfortable in varied assignments. His younger brother Dylan also played at Northeastern and later signed with Dallas.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 14:44
- PP TOI/GP
- 1:05
- SH TOI/GP
- 1:31
- Pts/GP
- 0.12
- EV points
- 1
- Hits
- 34
- Blocks
- 11
- Takeaways
- 4
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 42.8 %
- Off. zone starts
- 32.0 %
- Faceoffs
- 66.3 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
24between 9 and 39 (80% range)
- Goals
- 12
- Assists
- 12
- Games
- 82
So far: 2 pts in 17 games. The team has played 17 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.33 pts per game (last season: 0.37).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 52 %
82
Very good
- SK
- Skating
- 63
- Confidence 57 %
- ST
- Strength
- 83
- Confidence 58 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 71
- Confidence 50 %
- DU
- Durability
- 65
- Confidence 57 %
- CK
- Checking
- 81
- Confidence 58 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 86
- Confidence 35 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 74
- Confidence 58 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 80
- Confidence 47 %
- PA
- Passing
- 75
- Confidence 52 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 76
- Confidence 52 %
- DF
- Defense
- 88
- Confidence 48 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 76
- Confidence 0 %
- EX
- Experience
- 54
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating63
- Top speed (35 %)35.5 · 63
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)5.182 · 71
- Distance /60 (20 %)15.9 · 62
- Speed consistency (15 %)34.7 · 64
ST — Strength83
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)5.489 · 86
- Body mass (50 %)-0.383 · 73
EN — Endurance71
- Ice time per game (45 %)13.6 · 68
- Total ice time (20 %)1,051 · 74
- Shift length (15 %)44.5 · 73
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)13.4 · 73
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)2.09 · 70
DU — Durability65
- Share of games played (100 %)0.733 · 65
CK — Checking81
- Hits /60 (70 %)6.005 · 80
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)5.432 · 83
- Season volume (10 %)4.788 · 83
FG — Fighting86
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)1.279 · 86
DI — Discipline74
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.016 · 75
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.732 · 69
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.828 · 79
FO — Faceoffs80
- Faceoff % (85 %)52.8 · 83
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)25.9 · 65
PA — Passing75
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.609 · 73
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.439 · 72
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.02 · 72
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)5.137 · 84
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.509 · 77
SC — Scoring76
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.818 · 76
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.728 · 71
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.184 · 81
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.441 · 80
- xG per shot (10 %)0.085 · 82
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)9.886 · 58
DF — Defense88
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.062 · 80
- Relative xG against (20 %)-0.227 · 86
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.394 · 88
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.002 · 80
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-0.515 · 96
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)51.6 · 98
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.914 · 79
PS — Penalty shot76
- Shootouts (60 %)32.7 · 76
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience54
- Career regular-season games (65 %)63
- Career playoff games (25 %)37
- NHL seasons (10 %)37
OV — Overall82
- SC · Scoring (20 %)76
- PA · Passing (20 %)75
- DF · Defense (20 %)88
- SK · Skating (12 %)63
- FO · Faceoffs (10 %)80
- EN · Endurance (8 %)71
- DI · Discipline (5 %)74
- ST · Strength (3 %)83
- CK · Checking (2 %)81
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
1.2
wins above replacement
127 of 615
PAL Rating
71/ 100
Performance · Very good
125 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
85/ 100
Very good contract
0.87 M$ · expected PAL 35
ProfileDefensiveValue comes mostly from defense
- Offense
- 47
- Defense
- 89
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 39
- Creation
- 33
- Shooting
- 57
- Possession
- 67
- Defense
- 91
- Discipline
- 41
- Power play
- 60
- Penalty kill
- 77
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
95/ 100
Elite
better than 95% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
88/ 100
Very good
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
92/ 100
Elite
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Why 95, higher than both scores? Overall IQ isn't an average, it's a rank: 20 of 424 forwards. Few players are good at both ends at once; being so puts Justin Hryckowian ahead of almost everyone else.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 51
- Shot selection
- 86
- Penalties drawn
- 58
- Puck management
- 83
Defense
- Takeaways
- 95
- Discipline
- 37
- Safe zone exits
- 90
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
1.2
wins above replacement
0.1 to 2.6 — 90% interval
127 of 615 forwards
+6.6 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- -0.1
- EV defense
- +1.4
- Power play
- -0.0
- Penalty kill
- +0.1
- Shooting
- +2.2
- Penalties
- +0.3
- Average → replacement
- +2.8
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 81 | 1.2 | 0.1 to 2.6 | 127/615 |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 5 | -0.0 | -0.1 to 0.1 | 377/596 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 138.0 km/h73rd percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 34.4 km/h30th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 822nd percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 41.1 %41st percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 62.4 km57th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 4.97 km65th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 40.7 %43rd percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 17.6 %29th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 41.3 %33rd percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 1641st percentile | 254th percentile | 12.5 %46th percentile |
| High danger | 963rd percentile | 274th percentile | 22.2 %59th percentile |
| Mid range | 334th percentile | 054th percentile | 0.0 %32nd percentile |
| Long range | 383rd percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
SJS
CBJ
WSH
MTL
NJD
NYI
WPG
BOS
CHI
COL
PIT
BUF
NSH
STLJustin Hryckowian: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Justin Hryckowian have in 2026-27?
Justin Hryckowian has 2 goals and 2 points (0 assists) in 17 games in 2026-27.
How old is Justin Hryckowian?
Justin Hryckowian is 25 years old: he was born on February 23, 2001.
How tall is Justin Hryckowian, and how much does he weigh?
Justin Hryckowian is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 198 lb (90 kg).
Where is Justin Hryckowian from?
Canada: Justin Hryckowian was born in L'Ile-Bizard, Quebec, Canada.
What team does Justin Hryckowian play for?
Justin Hryckowian plays for the Dallas Stars in the NHL, at C, wearing number 49.
Is Justin Hryckowian injured?
No: Justin Hryckowian is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Justin Hryckowian?
Justin Hryckowian produced 1.2 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 127th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 71 out of 100: very good for his position.
How much does Justin Hryckowian make?
Justin Hryckowian earns $870K for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 85 out of 100 (very good contract): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Justin Hryckowian's contract end?
Justin Hryckowian's contract runs through the 2027-28 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent.
Is Justin Hryckowian overpaid?
No, he gives more than he costs. His Value rating is 85 out of 100 (very good contract), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Justin Hryckowian a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 127th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
How has Justin Hryckowian played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Justin Hryckowian has 2 points (2 goals, 0 assists).
What are Justin Hryckowian's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Justin Hryckowian has 103 games, 16 goals, 17 assists and 33 points. His best season: 2025-26, with 30 points in 81 games.
Is Justin Hryckowian better at home or on the road?
At home: in 2026-27, he averages 0.20 points per game at home (2 in 10 games) and 0.00 on the road (0 in 7 games).
How does Justin Hryckowian perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Justin Hryckowian has 6 games and 1 point in his career. His pace (0.17 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (0.32).
Which player is most similar to Justin Hryckowian?
Mathieu Olivier: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Mathieu Olivier's page →Is Justin Hryckowian a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 24 points in 2026-27, or 0.29 points per game.
Does Justin Hryckowian have siblings?
Yes: his brother Dylan Hryckowian (signed with the Dallas Stars in 2026 after playing three seasons at Northeastern).
What is Justin Hryckowian's nationality?
Justin Hryckowian is Canadian.
What awards has Justin Hryckowian won?
Outstanding Player Award (Lac St-Louis Midget AAA), 2017–18 ; Sylvain Turgeon/CCM Award as leading scorer (Lac St-Louis Midget AAA), 2017–18 ; Patrice Bergeron Trophy for most gentlemanly player (Lac St-Louis Midget AAA), 2017–18 ; Hockey East All-Rookie Team, 2021–22 ; Hockey East Player of the Month (November), 2022 ; Hobey Baker Award nominee, 2023 ; Hockey East Best Defensive Forward, 2022–23 ; All-Hockey East Second Team, 2022–23; and more.
Where did Justin Hryckowian play before turning pro?
Lac St-Louis Lions (Quebec Midget AAA) — 2017–18 season; one year at Salisbury School (one year, not specified); Cedar Rapids RoughRiders (USHL) — year not specified; Sioux City Musketeers (USHL) — 2020–21 season; Northeastern Huskies (NCAA) — 2021–22 to 2023–24.
How many points is Justin Hryckowian projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 24 points in 82 games in 2026-27 (9 to 39 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Dallas Stars teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)