Justin
Holl
D · WSH · Balanced · Below average
- PAL
- 26
- WAR
- 0.2
- Value
- 15
- PTS
- 8
2024-25№ 141 / 314
Justin Holl (Washington Capitals) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Justin Holl
HEIGHT : 193 cm · WEIGHT : 91 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : January 29, 1992 · Tonka Bay, United States
Drafted : 2010 · CHI · round 2, pick #54
Contract : $900,000 · 2026-27 → 2026-27 · Standard Contract · UFA
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Washington Capitals | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | St. Louis Blues | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2024-25 | Detroit Red Wings | 73 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 |
| 2023-24 | Detroit Red Wings | 38 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 22 |
| 2022-23 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 80 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 39 |
| 2021-22 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 69 | 3 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
| 2020-21 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 55 | 2 | 18 | 20 | 25 |
| 2019-20 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 68 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 43 |
| 2018-19 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 2017-18 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| NHL totals | 408 | 16 | 83 | 99 | 194 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 |
| 2021-22 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 2020-21 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 2019-20 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Playoff totals | 25 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 23 | |
Justin Holl: our analysis
2024-25 season: 73 GP, 2 G, 6 A, 8 PTS, -7 +/-, 14:48 TOI. WAR 0.2 (141st of 314) · PAL 26, below average.
In 2024-25, Justin Holl, 34, posts a PAL Rating of 26 out of 100 (below average), and his WAR of 0.2 ranks 141st among 314 regulars, in the top half.
His strengths: possession (63, above average) and power play (63, above average). On the other hand, creation (5, among the weakest in the league) and shooting (12, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV defense (+0.6); his biggest cost: penalties (-0.9).
A clear step forward: his PAL went from 3 in 2023-24 to 26; his WAR went from -0.4 to 0.2.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 15 (very poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Justin Holl's story
Growing up in Tonka Bay, Minnesota, Justin Holl moved through the local hockey ladder and made a name for himself at Minnetonka High School, where consistent play and leadership drew collegiate attention. His development there set the stage for a university career rather than an immediate jump to the pros.
Selected 54th overall by Chicago in the 2010 draft, Holl honoured his commitment to the University of Minnesota. While enrolled at the Carlson School of Management, he split duties between defensive reliability and occasional offensive duty for the Golden Gophers; one of his collegiate highlights was a last-second goal that decided a Frozen Four game.
Unsigned by Chicago after college, Holl began his professional path with the Toronto Marlies in the AHL in 2015. He established himself quickly, serving as an alternate captain and earning a spot in the 2018 AHL All-Star Game. Called up to the Toronto Maple Leafs on an emergency basis in January 2018, he scored in each of his first two NHL appearances and helped the Marlies capture their first Calder Cup later that season. Toronto rewarded him with multi-year deals as he oscillated between a supporting defensive role and larger minutes when injuries opened spots on the back end.
In July 2023 he signed a three-year contract with the Detroit Red Wings. At the March 6, 2026 trade deadline he was dealt to the St. Louis Blues as part of a package, and then in July 2026 he signed a one-year contract with the Washington Capitals for the 2026–27 season.
Holl’s game is grounded in smart positioning and dependable defensive reads. He can launch controlled, opportunistic rushes and contributes when the play calls for it, a balance that helped him seize the unexpected NHL chances early in his career and play an important part in a Calder Cup-winning playoff run.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 12:59
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:00
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:20
- Pts/GP
- 0.67
- EV points
- 2
- Hits
- 0
- Blocks
- 3
- Takeaways
- 0
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 42.1 %
- Off. zone starts
- 27.6 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
6between 2 and 14 (80% range)
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 2
- Games
- 30
So far: 2 pts in 3 games. The team has played 15 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.16 pts per game (last season: 0.22).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Slightly up
- Points per game: 0.13 in 23-24, 0.11 in 24-25
- PAL Rating: 3 → 26
Outlook, age included
→ StableAge 34: the age when production usually declines
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2024-25
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 76 %
61
Depth
- SK
- Skating
- 69
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 87
- Confidence 80 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 63
- Confidence 75 %
- DU
- Durability
- 72
- Confidence 73 %
- CK
- Checking
- 74
- Confidence 80 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 75
- Confidence 54 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 67
- Confidence 80 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 60
- Confidence 76 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 55
- Confidence 76 %
- DF
- Defense
- 77
- Confidence 72 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 76
- Confidence 0 %
- EX
- Experience
- 78
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating69
- Top speed (35 %)34.5 · 63
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)1.498 · 70
- Distance /60 (20 %)14.6 · 80
- Speed consistency (15 %)34.1 · 69
ST — Strength87
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)7.772 · 92
- Body mass (50 %)-0.169 · 69
EN — Endurance63
- Ice time per game (45 %)16.6 · 62
- Total ice time (20 %)999 · 69
- Shift length (15 %)45.3 · 68
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)15.3 · 62
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.796 · 67
DU — Durability72
- Share of games played (100 %)0.797 · 72
CK — Checking74
- Hits /60 (70 %)3.742 · 76
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)2.4 · 69
- Season volume (10 %)3.555 · 67
FG — Fighting75
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.797 · 75
DI — Discipline67
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)-0.059 · 67
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.633 · 73
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.287 · 65
PA — Passing60
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.247 · 61
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.288 · 59
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)-0.057 · 69
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.346 · 78
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.128 · 60
SC — Scoring55
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.127 · 60
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.133 · 52
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.005 · 73
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)0.037 · 52
- xG per shot (10 %)0.033 · 69
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)6.718 · 46
DF — Defense77
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.045 · 77
- Relative xG against (20 %)-0.124 · 81
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.609 · 75
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.053 · 68
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-2.239 · 58
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)56.6 · 86
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)4.722 · 76
PS — Penalty shot76
- Shootouts (60 %)32.7 · 76
- Penalty shots (40 %)29.3 · 76
EX — Experience78
- Career regular-season games (65 %)84
- Career playoff games (25 %)61
- NHL seasons (10 %)75
OV — Overall61
- DF · Defense (30 %)77
- PA · Passing (22 %)60
- SK · Skating (12 %)69
- SC · Scoring (12 %)55
- EN · Endurance (9 %)63
- ST · Strength (6 %)87
- DI · Discipline (5 %)67
- CK · Checking (4 %)74
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 61 | 69 | 55 | 77 |
| 2023-24 | 62 | 75 | 48 | 77 |
| 2022-23 | 74 | 77 | 52 | 85 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2024-25
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
PAL Rating
26/ 100
Performance · Below average
184 of 253 at the position
Value Rating
15/ 100
Very poor return
3.40 M$ · expected PAL 61
ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates
- Offense
- 14
- Defense
- 49
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 13
- Creation
- 5
- Shooting
- 12
- Possession
- 63
- Defense
- 47
- Discipline
- 31
- Power play
- 63
- Penalty kill
- 56
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | DET | 0.2 | 26 | 15 | 3.40 M$ |
| 2023-24 | DET | -0.4 | 3 | 2 | 3.40 M$ |
| 2022-23 | TOR | 0.2 | 47 | 43 | 2.00 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2024-25
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
5/ 100
Low
better than 5% of defensemen, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
21/ 100
Below average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
4/ 100
Low
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 219 of 231 defensemen.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 56
- Shot selection
- 21
- Penalties drawn
- 13
- Puck management
- 66
Defense
- Takeaways
- 5
- Discipline
- 60
- Safe zone exits
- 0
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | DET | 5 | 21 | 4 |
| 2023-24 | DET | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2022-23 | TOR | 13 | 36 | 9 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
0.2
wins above replacement
-0.1 to 0.5 — 90% interval
149 of 325 defensemen
+0.9 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- -0.0
- EV defense
- +0.1
- Power play
- 0.0
- Penalty kill
- -0.0
- Shooting
- +0.7
- Penalties
- -0.2
- Average → replacement
- +0.3
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | STL | 9 | 0.2 | -0.1 to 0.5 | 149/325 |
| 2024-25 | DET | 69 | 0.2 | -0.3 to 0.9 | 141/314 |
| 2023-24 | DET | 38 | -0.4 | -0.7 to -0.1 | 271/316 |
| 2022-23 | TOR | 80 | 0.2 | -0.8 to 1.3 | 125/334 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 99.6 km/h0th percentileleague avg. 139.7 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 32.9 km/h20th percentileleague avg. 34.0 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 110th percentileleague avg. 8
- Offensive zone time
- 37.3 %5th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 9.0 km7th percentileleague avg. 56.1 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 3.34 km7th percentileleague avg. 4.98 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 37.4 %0th percentileleague avg. 42.8 %
- Neutral zone time
- 19.9 %100th percentileleague avg. 16.9 %
- Defensive zone time
- 42.8 %19th percentileleague avg. 40.8 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 211th percentile | 287th percentile | 100.0 %100th percentile |
| High danger | 051st percentile | 084th percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
| Mid range | 136th percentile | 190th percentile | 100.0 %100th percentile |
| Long range | 115th percentile | 195th percentile | 100.0 %100th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
NJD
MTL
CARJustin Holl: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Justin Holl have in 2026-27?
Justin Holl has 2 goals and 2 points (0 assists) in 3 games in 2026-27.
How old is Justin Holl?
Justin Holl is 34 years old: he was born on January 30, 1992.
How tall is Justin Holl, and how much does he weigh?
Justin Holl is 6'4" (193 cm) and weighs 201 lb (91 kg).
Where is Justin Holl from?
United States: Justin Holl was born in Tonka Bay, Minnesota, United States.
What team does Justin Holl play for?
Justin Holl plays for the Washington Capitals in the NHL, at D, wearing number 4.
Is Justin Holl injured?
No: Justin Holl is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Justin Holl?
Justin Holl produced 0.2 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 149th of 325 players at his position in the NHL.
How much does Justin Holl make?
Justin Holl carries a cap hit of $900K per season, on a contract worth $900K in total over 1 years.
When does Justin Holl's contract end?
Justin Holl's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent.
Is Justin Holl a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 149th of 325 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Justin Holl getting better?
Yes: his PAL rating went from 3 in 2023-24 to 26 in 2024-25 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Justin Holl played lately?
Over his last 3 games, Justin Holl has 2 points (2 goals, 0 assists).
What are Justin Holl's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Justin Holl has 408 games, 16 goals, 83 assists and 99 points. His best season: 2021-22, with 23 points in 69 games.
Where was Justin Holl drafted?
Justin Holl was drafted 54th overall (round 2) by Chicago Blackhawks in 2010.
How does Justin Holl perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Justin Holl has 25 games and 3 points in his career. His pace (0.12 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (0.24).
Is Justin Holl a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 6 points in 2026-27, or 0.20 points per game.
Is Justin Holl related to anyone famous?
Yes: Jerry Holl (father, author, notably of a book detailing his bike ride from Alaska to Mexico); Mike Erickson (cousin, played hockey for the University of Minnesota; drafted 72nd overall by the Minnesota Wild in 2002).
Is Justin Holl married?
Yes, married to Audrey Erickson in 2019.
What is Justin Holl's nationality?
Justin Holl is American.
What awards has Justin Holl won?
selected to the AHL All-Star Game in 2018 ; Gophers Dr. V. George Nagobads Unsung Hero (awarded after his sophomore season) ; finalist for Minnesota Mr. Hockey (in his senior high school season).
How many championships has Justin Holl won?
1: Calder Cup with the Toronto Marlies in 2018 (franchise’s first Calder Cup).
Where did Justin Holl play before turning pro?
Minnetonka High School (2007–2010); University of Minnesota (collegiate career, through the 2014–15 season).
How many points is Justin Holl projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 6 points in 30 games in 2026-27 (2 to 14 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Washington Capitals teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)