Josh
Doan
R · BUF · Two-way · Elite
- PAL
- 93
- WAR
- 1.9
- Value
- 99
- PTS
- 52
2025-26№ 71 / 615
Josh Doan (Buffalo Sabres) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Josh Doan
#91RPlays: Right wing · 0% of faceoffs
Buffalo Sabres
HEIGHT : 188 cm · WEIGHT : 90 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : January 31, 2002 · Scottsdale, United States
Drafted : 2021 · ARI · round 2, pick #37
Contract : $6,950,000 · 2026-27 → 2032-33 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFA · Signing bonus $3,500,000M-NTC
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Buffalo Sabres | 17 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 2025-26 | Buffalo Sabres | 82 | 25 | 27 | 52 | 25 |
| 2024-25 | Utah Hockey Club | 51 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
| 2023-24 | Arizona Coyotes | 11 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
| NHL totals | 161 | 40 | 44 | 84 | 37 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Buffalo Sabres | 13 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| Playoff totals | 13 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 8 | |
Josh Doan: our analysis
2025-26 season: 82 GP, 25 G, 27 A, 52 PTS, -4 +/-, 15:52 TOI. WAR 1.9 (71st of 615) · PAL 93, elite.
In 2025-26, Josh Doan, 24, posts a PAL Rating of 93 out of 100 (elite), and his WAR of 1.9 ranks 71st among 615 regulars, in the top quarter.
His strengths: creation (97, among the best in the league), discipline (91, among the best in the league) and shooting (89, among the best in the league).
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV offense (+5.0); his biggest cost: finishing (-1.3).
A clear step forward: his PAL went from 67 in 2024-25 to 93; his WAR went from -0.3 to 1.9.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 99 (exceptional value) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Josh Doan's story
Growing up in Arizona, Josh Doan moved through the Phoenix Jr. Coyotes system before testing himself in the USHL and at the college level. The son of longtime franchise leader Shane Doan, he kept his development close to home while pursuing the higher tiers of North American hockey. Chicago selected him in the 2018 USHL Futures Draft, the first formal step beyond youth hockey.
Doan spent one more year with the Jr. Coyotes and then joined the Chicago Steel for 2019–20, recording 14 points in 45 games. Passed over in the 2020 NHL draft, he had already committed to Arizona State University on June 21, 2019, and began his collegiate career in 2021–22. Returning to the USHL in his second year of draft eligibility, he became a key offensive piece on a Clark Cup championship side.
During that USHL season he posted 70 points in 53 games (31 goals, 39 assists), finishing third in scoring for both the Steel and the league. The NHL Central Scouting Bureau ranked him 87th among North American skaters ahead of the 2021 draft, and Arizona selected him 37th overall. After two seasons at ASU, including serving as captain in his sophomore year, Doan signed a three‑year entry‑level contract with Arizona on March 16, 2023 and joined the Tucson Roadrunners to finish the AHL season.
Doan led Tucson in 2023–24 with 26 goals and 46 points before an NHL recall on March 25, 2024. He made his NHL debut the next day and scored two goals, the second being the game winner in a 6–2 win over Columbus, becoming the first player in franchise history to net multiple goals in his debut. On June 25, 2025 he was traded to the Buffalo Sabres in a deal that also involved Michael Kesselring and JJ Peterka, and on January 21, 2026 the Sabres signed him to a seven‑year, $48.65 million extension.
Internationally, Doan represented the United States at the 2025 World Championship, contributing one goal in nine games and helping the team capture its first gold medal since 1933. On the ice he is defined by goal scoring and playmaking tendencies that surfaced in junior and AHL play and that have translated into offensive production at the NHL level.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 15:17
- PP TOI/GP
- 1:29
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:03
- Pts/GP
- 0.24
- EV points
- 4
- Hits
- 18
- Blocks
- 10
- Takeaways
- 5
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 50.9 %
- Off. zone starts
- 42.1 %
- Faceoffs
- 40.0 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
39between 19 and 58 (80% range)
- Goals
- 20
- Assists
- 20
- Games
- 77
So far: 4 pts in 17 games. The team has played 17 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.60 pts per game (last season: 0.63).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Trending up
- Points per game: 0.37 in 24-25, 0.63 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 67 → 93
Outlook, age included
↑ Trending upAge 24: usually still improving
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 67 %
87
High-end
- SK
- Skating
- 79
- Confidence 67 %
- ST
- Strength
- 80
- Confidence 72 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 75
- Confidence 67 %
- DU
- Durability
- 66
- Confidence 67 %
- CK
- Checking
- 75
- Confidence 72 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 79
- Confidence 47 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 87
- Confidence 72 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 81
- Confidence 67 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 84
- Confidence 67 %
- DF
- Defense
- 79
- Confidence 63 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 67
- Confidence 8 %
- EX
- Experience
- 63
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating79
- Top speed (35 %)35.8 · 71
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)6.709 · 80
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.6 · 85
- Speed consistency (15 %)35.3 · 76
ST — Strength80
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)4.717 · 82
- Body mass (50 %)-0.116 · 75
EN — Endurance75
- Ice time per game (45 %)14.8 · 75
- Total ice time (20 %)1,251 · 80
- Shift length (15 %)43.8 · 65
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)13.5 · 74
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)2.373 · 77
DU — Durability66
- Share of games played (100 %)0.747 · 66
CK — Checking75
- Hits /60 (70 %)4.138 · 74
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)4.017 · 77
- Season volume (10 %)4.369 · 77
FG — Fighting79
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.905 · 79
DI — Discipline87
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.061 · 86
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.515 · 81
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.874 · 79
PA — Passing81
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.863 · 81
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.401 · 69
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.214 · 85
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.339 · 75
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.618 · 80
SC — Scoring84
- Goals /60 (25 %)1.059 · 80
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)1.101 · 87
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)-0.257 · 68
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)2.337 · 93
- xG per shot (10 %)0.086 · 88
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)15.1 · 78
DF — Defense79
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.043 · 80
- Relative xG against (20 %)-0.085 · 80
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.589 · 76
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.035 · 73
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.068 · 85
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)58.1 · 76
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.014 · 69
PS — Penalty shot67
- Shootouts (60 %)32 · 65
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience63
- Career regular-season games (65 %)70
- Career playoff games (25 %)50
- NHL seasons (10 %)47
OV — Overall87
- SC · Scoring (28 %)84
- PA · Passing (22 %)81
- DF · Defense (18 %)79
- SK · Skating (12 %)79
- EN · Endurance (8 %)75
- DI · Discipline (5 %)87
- ST · Strength (4 %)80
- CK · Checking (3 %)75
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 87 | 79 | 84 | 79 |
| 2024-25 | 80 | 78 | 76 | 82 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
1.9
wins above replacement
71 of 615
PAL Rating
93/ 100
Performance · Elite
32 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
99/ 100
Exceptional value
0.93 M$ · expected PAL 36
ProfileTwo-wayStrong at both ends
- Offense
- 90
- Defense
- 76
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 80
- Creation
- 97
- Shooting
- 89
- Possession
- 87
- Defense
- 71
- Discipline
- 91
- Power play
- 77
- Penalty kill
- 52
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | BUF | 1.9 | 93 | 99 | 0.93 M$ |
| 2024-25 | UTA | -0.3 | 67 | 83 | 0.93 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
100/ 100
Elite
the best of all forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
99/ 100
Elite
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
100/ 100
Elite
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 1 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 76
- Shot selection
- 94
- Penalties drawn
- 88
- Puck management
- 84
Defense
- Takeaways
- 100
- Discipline
- 61
- Safe zone exits
- 35
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | BUF | 100 | 99 | 100 |
| 2024-25 | UTA | 93 | 73 | 93 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
1.9
wins above replacement
0.2 to 3.1 — 90% interval
71 of 615 forwards
+10.0 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +5.0
- EV defense
- +0.8
- Power play
- +0.3
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- -1.3
- Penalties
- +1.9
- Average → replacement
- +3.3
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | BUF | 82 | 1.9 | 0.2 to 3.1 | 71/615 |
| 2024-25 | UTA | 47 | -0.3 | -0.8 to 0.4 | 519/596 |
| 2023-24 | ARI | 11 | 0.5 | -0.0 to 1.0 | 228/608 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 130.0 km/h44th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 37.0 km/h91st percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 5395th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 41.3 %42nd percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 65.4 km62nd percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 4.81 km60th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 40.2 %34th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 17.8 %38th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 40.9 %36th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 3072nd percentile | 366th percentile | 10.0 %32nd percentile |
| High danger | 1485th percentile | 157th percentile | 7.1 %13th percentile |
| Mid range | 867th percentile | 288th percentile | 25.0 %88th percentile |
| Long range | 153rd percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
VGK
CBJ
OTT
LAK
ANA
SJS
WSH
PHI
MTL
TOR
FLA
UTA
DAL
MIN
CHIJosh Doan: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Josh Doan have in 2026-27?
Josh Doan has 3 goals and 4 points (1 assist) in 17 games in 2026-27.
How old is Josh Doan?
Josh Doan is 24 years old: he was born on February 1, 2002.
How tall is Josh Doan, and how much does he weigh?
Josh Doan is 6'2" (188 cm) and weighs 198 lb (90 kg).
Where is Josh Doan from?
United States: Josh Doan was born in Scottsdale, Arizona, United States.
What team does Josh Doan play for?
Josh Doan plays for the Buffalo Sabres in the NHL, at R, wearing number 91.
Is Josh Doan injured?
No: Josh Doan is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Josh Doan?
Josh Doan produced 1.9 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 71st of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 93 out of 100: elite for his position.
How much does Josh Doan make?
Josh Doan earns $925K for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 99 out of 100 (exceptional value): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Josh Doan's contract end?
Josh Doan's contract runs through the 2032-33 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent. It includes a M-NTC clause.
Is Josh Doan overpaid?
No, he gives more than he costs. His Value rating is 99 out of 100 (exceptional value), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Josh Doan a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 71st of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Josh Doan getting better?
Yes: his PAL rating went from 67 in 2024-25 to 93 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Josh Doan played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Josh Doan has 3 points (2 goals, 1 assist).
What are Josh Doan's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Josh Doan has 161 games, 40 goals, 44 assists and 84 points. His best season: 2025-26, with 52 points in 82 games.
Where was Josh Doan drafted?
Josh Doan was drafted 37th overall (round 2) by ARI in 2021.
Is Josh Doan better at home or on the road?
No real difference: in 2026-27, he averages 0.22 points per game at home (2 in 9 games) and 0.25 on the road (2 in 8 games).
How does Josh Doan perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Josh Doan has 13 games and 10 points in his career. His pace (0.77 points per game) is higher than his regular-season pace (0.52).
Which player is most similar to Josh Doan?
Jason Robertson: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Jason Robertson's page →Is Josh Doan a good fantasy pick?
A useful depth pick: our projection has him at 39 points in 2026-27, or 0.51 points per game.
Is Josh Doan related to anyone famous?
Yes: Shane Doan (father, Coyotes franchise scoring leader; played 21-year NHL career for the franchise; served as the team's chief hockey development officer).
What is Josh Doan's nationality?
Josh Doan is American. Internationally: United States — 2025 World Championship (gold medal), 1 goal in 9 games.
How many championships has Josh Doan won?
1: Clark Cup with the Chicago Steel (season not specified in the article).
Where did Josh Doan play before turning pro?
Phoenix Jr. Coyotes program; Chicago Steel (USHL) — 2019–20 season; Arizona State University — began collegiate career in 2021–22; captain of the Sun Devils in 2022–23.
How many points is Josh Doan projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 39 points in 77 games in 2026-27 (19 to 58 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Buffalo Sabres teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)