Dylan
Larkin
C · DET · Offensive · Elite
- PAL
- 92
- WAR
- 2.2
- Value
- 85
- PTS
- 67
2025-26№ 56 / 615
Dylan Larkin (Detroit Red Wings) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Dylan Larkin
#71CPlays: Centre · 94% of faceoffs
Detroit Red Wings
HEIGHT : 185 cm · WEIGHT : 90 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : July 29, 1996 · Waterford, United States
Drafted : 2014 · DET · round 1, pick #15
Contract : $8,700,000 · 2023-24 → 2030-31 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFANTC / M-NTC
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Detroit Red Wings | 10 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 2025-26 | Detroit Red Wings | 74 | 34 | 33 | 67 | 48 |
| 2024-25 | Detroit Red Wings | 82 | 30 | 40 | 70 | 40 |
| 2023-24 | Detroit Red Wings | 68 | 33 | 36 | 69 | 39 |
| 2022-23 | Detroit Red Wings | 80 | 32 | 47 | 79 | 45 |
| 2021-22 | Detroit Red Wings | 71 | 31 | 38 | 69 | 47 |
| 2020-21 | Detroit Red Wings | 44 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 34 |
| 2019-20 | Detroit Red Wings | 71 | 19 | 34 | 53 | 39 |
| 2018-19 | Detroit Red Wings | 76 | 32 | 41 | 73 | 75 |
| 2017-18 | Detroit Red Wings | 82 | 16 | 47 | 63 | 61 |
| 2016-17 | Detroit Red Wings | 80 | 17 | 15 | 32 | 37 |
| 2015-16 | Detroit Red Wings | 80 | 23 | 22 | 45 | 34 |
| NHL totals | 818 | 278 | 371 | 649 | 503 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-16 | Detroit Red Wings | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
| Playoff totals | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | |
Dylan Larkin: our analysis
2025-26 season: 74 GP, 34 G, 33 A, 67 PTS, +3 +/-, 20:11 TOI. WAR 2.2 (56th of 615) · PAL 92, elite.
In 2025-26, Dylan Larkin, 30, posts a PAL Rating of 92 out of 100 (elite), and his WAR of 2.2 ranks 56th among 615 regulars, in the top quarter.
His strengths: power play (97, among the best in the league), creation (96, among the best in the league) and shooting (91, among the best in the league). On the other hand, penalty kill (33, below average) holds him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV offense (+5.3); his biggest cost: finishing (-2.1).
A season in line with 2024-25 (PAL of 93); his WAR went from 2.4 to 2.2.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 85 (very good contract) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Dylan Larkin's story
Growing up around Detroit, Dylan Larkin developed his hockey in the local minor system with Detroit Belle Tire and even skated in the 2009 Quebec International Pee-Wee Tournament. He then joined the USA Hockey National Team Development Program in Ann Arbor, spending two seasons with the NTDP’s U17 and U18 squads and gaining the visibility that led into the NHL draft.
Larkin enrolled at the University of Michigan for the 2014–15 season and produced an immediate impact as a freshman: he put together long point streaks, posted a five-point outing at Ohio State and collected several end-of-season honours, including Big Ten Freshman of the Year, a spot on the conference All-Freshman Team and All-Big Ten First Team recognition. Those performances followed his ranking by Central Scouting and his selection 15th overall by the Detroit Red Wings in the 2014 NHL Entry Draft.
Opting to turn professional, Larkin signed a three-year entry-level deal with Detroit on 21 May 2015 and had a brief stint with the AHL’s Grand Rapids Griffins, scoring his first pro goal on 25 May 2015. He made Detroit’s opening-night roster in October 2015 and scored in his NHL debut versus Jonathan Bernier. His rookie campaign yielded 23 goals and 22 assists across 80 games, a trip to the 2016 All-Star Game and the fastest-skater mark at the SuperSkills event (13.172 seconds).
Since then Larkin’s trajectory has included positional versatility, leadership and significant contracts: a five-year extension in August 2018, being named the Red Wings’ captain on 13 January 2021, and an eight-year extension signed 1 March 2023. He continued to appear in All-Star festivities, notably contributing multiple goals and assists during the 2023 All-Star weekend for the Atlantic Division.
Internationally, Larkin has been a regular for Team USA through junior tournaments, World Championships and the Olympics. His résumé lists medals at under-18 and senior world events and culminates with Olympic gold at Milan–Cortina 2026. On the ice he is known for driving play down the middle, taking on defensive-zone and penalty-kill duties as well as producing offence at even strength and on special teams.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 21:41
- PP TOI/GP
- 3:58
- SH TOI/GP
- 1:47
- Pts/GP
- 0.60
- EV points
- 3
- Hits
- 5
- Blocks
- 6
- Takeaways
- 4
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 57.2 %
- Off. zone starts
- 34.8 %
- Faceoffs
- 53.4 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
54between 31 and 77 (80% range)
- Goals
- 25
- Assists
- 30
- Games
- 67
So far: 6 pts in 10 games. The team has played 18 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.84 pts per game (last season: 0.91).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Stable
- Points per game: 1.01 in 23-24, 0.91 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 93 → 92
Outlook, age included
→ StableAge 30: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
Injured reserve· Suspension· expected back November 14
OV · OverallConfidence 85 %
90
Star
- SK
- Skating
- 85
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 61
- Confidence 88 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 88
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 82
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 65
- Confidence 88 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 69
- Confidence 65 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 81
- Confidence 88 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 85
- Confidence 93 %
- PA
- Passing
- 86
- Confidence 85 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 90
- Confidence 85 %
- DF
- Defense
- 72
- Confidence 83 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 43
- Confidence 57 %
- EX
- Experience
- 78
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating85
- Top speed (35 %)36.4 · 79
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)8.146 · 82
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.8 · 85
- Speed consistency (15 %)36 · 85
ST — Strength61
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)2.49 · 56
- Body mass (50 %)-0.205 · 75
EN — Endurance88
- Ice time per game (45 %)18.3 · 88
- Total ice time (20 %)1,421 · 86
- Shift length (15 %)48 · 82
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)17.8 · 91
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)4.204 · 91
DU — Durability82
- Share of games played (100 %)0.859 · 82
CK — Checking65
- Hits /60 (70 %)2.323 · 64
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)2.174 · 68
- Season volume (10 %)3.85 · 70
FG — Fighting69
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.737 · 69
DI — Discipline81
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.045 · 83
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.729 · 69
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.993 · 85
FO — Faceoffs85
- Faceoff % (85 %)53.4 · 84
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)57.1 · 92
PA — Passing86
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.843 · 82
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.622 · 84
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.253 · 89
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)6.042 · 90
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.641 · 82
SC — Scoring90
- Goals /60 (25 %)1.278 · 89
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)1.172 · 91
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)-0.203 · 75
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)2.308 · 93
- xG per shot (10 %)0.086 · 85
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)17.7 · 91
DF — Defense72
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.054 · 79
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.004 · 72
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.717 · 68
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.13 · 63
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.499 · 72
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)58.7 · 71
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)1.81 · 57
PS — Penalty shot43
- Shootouts (60 %)29.8 · 55
- Penalty shots (40 %)24.2 · 46
EX — Experience78
- Career regular-season games (65 %)94
- Career playoff games (25 %)34
- NHL seasons (10 %)84
OV — Overall90
- SC · Scoring (20 %)90
- PA · Passing (20 %)86
- DF · Defense (20 %)72
- SK · Skating (12 %)85
- FO · Faceoffs (10 %)85
- EN · Endurance (8 %)88
- DI · Discipline (5 %)81
- ST · Strength (3 %)61
- CK · Checking (2 %)65
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 90 | 85 | 90 | 72 |
| 2024-25 | 90 | 85 | 88 | 75 |
| 2023-24 | 89 | 84 | 88 | 68 |
| 2022-23 | 89 | 87 | 86 | 70 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
2.2
wins above replacement
56 of 615
PAL Rating
92/ 100
Performance · Elite
36 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
85/ 100
Very good contract
8.70 M$ · expected PAL 73
ProfileOffensiveValue comes mostly from offense
- Offense
- 94
- Defense
- 50
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 82
- Creation
- 96
- Shooting
- 91
- Possession
- 66
- Defense
- 47
- Discipline
- 62
- Power play
- 97
- Penalty kill
- 33
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DET | 2.2 | 92 | 85 | 8.70 M$ |
| 2024-25 | DET | 2.4 | 93 | 86 | 8.70 M$ |
| 2023-24 | DET | 3.3 | 91 | 78 | 8.70 M$ |
| 2022-23 | DET | 2.4 | 83 | 63 | 6.10 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
79/ 100
Very good
better than 79% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
94/ 100
Elite
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
32/ 100
Below average
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 87 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 66
- Shot selection
- 84
- Penalties drawn
- 81
- Puck management
- 81
Defense
- Takeaways
- 10
- Discipline
- 55
- Safe zone exits
- 39
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DET | 79 | 94 | 32 |
| 2024-25 | DET | 81 | 86 | 51 |
| 2023-24 | DET | 93 | 91 | 79 |
| 2022-23 | DET | 73 | 47 | 81 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
2.2
wins above replacement
1.1 to 4.7 — 90% interval
56 of 615 forwards
+11.8 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +5.3
- EV defense
- +1.1
- Power play
- +3.2
- Penalty kill
- -0.3
- Shooting
- -2.1
- Penalties
- +0.9
- Average → replacement
- +3.7
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DET | 74 | 2.2 | 1.1 to 4.7 | 56/615 |
| 2024-25 | DET | 78 | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.4 | 56/596 |
| 2023-24 | DET | 68 | 3.3 | 1.8 to 4.5 | 22/608 |
| 2022-23 | DET | 80 | 2.4 | 1.0 to 4.2 | 44/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 133.0 km/h53rd percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 35.5 km/h59th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 2261st percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 45.4 %84th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 55.5 km44th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 6.44 km97th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 44.2 %93rd percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 16.5 %1st percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 38.1 %68th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 3276th percentile | 254th percentile | 6.3 %14th percentile |
| High danger | 752nd percentile | 274th percentile | 28.6 %75th percentile |
| Mid range | 1283rd percentile | 054th percentile | 0.0 %32nd percentile |
| Long range | 490th percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
EDM
CGY
VAN
SEA
SJS
PHI
NJD
MTL
OTTDylan Larkin: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Dylan Larkin have in 2026-27?
Dylan Larkin has 2 goals and 6 points (4 assists) in 10 games in 2026-27.
How old is Dylan Larkin?
Dylan Larkin is 30 years old: he was born on July 30, 1996.
How tall is Dylan Larkin, and how much does he weigh?
Dylan Larkin is 6'1" (185 cm) and weighs 198 lb (90 kg).
Where is Dylan Larkin from?
United States: Dylan Larkin was born in Waterford, Michigan, United States.
What team does Dylan Larkin play for?
Dylan Larkin plays for the Detroit Red Wings in the NHL, at C, wearing number 71.
Is Dylan Larkin injured?
Yes: Dylan Larkin is on injured reserve (suspension). He is expected back around November 14.
How good is Dylan Larkin?
Dylan Larkin produced 2.2 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 56th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 92 out of 100: elite for his position.
How much does Dylan Larkin make?
Dylan Larkin earns $8.7M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 85 out of 100 (very good contract): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Dylan Larkin's contract end?
Dylan Larkin's contract runs through the 2030-31 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent. It includes a NTC / M-NTC clause.
Is Dylan Larkin overpaid?
No, he gives more than he costs. His Value rating is 85 out of 100 (very good contract), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Dylan Larkin a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 56th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Dylan Larkin getting better?
He is holding steady: his PAL rating went from 93 in 2024-25 to 92 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Dylan Larkin played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Dylan Larkin has 6 points (2 goals, 4 assists).
What are Dylan Larkin's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Dylan Larkin has 818 games, 278 goals, 371 assists and 649 points. His best season: 2022-23, with 79 points in 80 games.
Where was Dylan Larkin drafted?
Dylan Larkin was drafted 15th overall (round 1) by Detroit Red Wings in 2014.
Is Dylan Larkin better at home or on the road?
No real difference: in 2026-27, he averages 0.60 points per game at home (3 in 5 games) and 0.60 on the road (3 in 5 games).
How does Dylan Larkin perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Dylan Larkin has 5 games and 1 point in his career. His pace (0.20 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (0.79).
Which player is most similar to Dylan Larkin?
Kirill Kaprizov: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Kirill Kaprizov's page →Is Dylan Larkin a good fantasy pick?
Yes, a solid pick: our projection has him at 54 points in 2026-27, or 0.81 points per game.
Does Dylan Larkin have siblings?
Yes: his brother Colin Larkin (signed by the Edmonton Oilers to a one-year contract following his collegiate career).
Is Dylan Larkin related to anyone famous?
Yes: Adam (cousin, defence for Yale University; signed with the Reading Royals (ECHL); also played a few games for the Adirondack Thunder); Ryan (cousin, goaltender for Miami University).
What is Dylan Larkin's nationality?
Dylan Larkin is American. Internationally: represented the United States: bronze at the 2013 World U-17 Hockey Challenge; gold at the 2014 IIHF U18 Championship; bronze at the 2015 IIHF World Championship; bronze at the 2018 IIHF World Championship; Olympic gold at the 2026 Milano Cortina Games.
What awards has Dylan Larkin won?
Big Ten Freshman of the Year 2014–15 ; Big Ten All-Freshman Team 2014–15 ; All-Big Ten First Team 2014–15 ; AHCA Second Team All-American 2014–15 ; Hockey Commissioners' Association National Rookie of the Month (January 2015) ; NHL Rookie of the Month (November 2015) ; selected to the 2016 NHL All-Star Game ; set NHL All-Star SuperSkills fastest skater record (13.172 seconds) in 2016; and more.
How many championships has Dylan Larkin won?
5: bronze medal with Team USA at the 2013 World U-17 Hockey Challenge; gold medal with Team USA at the 2014 IIHF U18 Championship; bronze medal with Team USA at the 2015 IIHF World Championship; bronze medal with Team USA at the 2018 IIHF World Championship; Olympic gold medal with Team USA at the 2026 Milano Cortina Games.
Where did Dylan Larkin play before turning pro?
minor hockey with Detroit Belle Tire; USA Hockey National Team Development Program (U17 2012–13, U18 2013–14) in Ann Arbor; University of Michigan (2014–15 season).
How many points is Dylan Larkin projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 54 points in 67 games in 2026-27 (31 to 77 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Detroit Red Wings teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)