Dylan
Duke
L · TBL
- WAR
- 0.0
- PTS
- 0
2025-26№ 388 / 615
Dylan Duke (Tampa Bay Lightning) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Dylan Duke
HEIGHT : 178 cm · WEIGHT : 83 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : March 3, 2003 · Strongsville, United States
Drafted : 2021 · TBL · round 4, pick #126
Contract : $867,500 · 2024-25 → 2026-27 · Entry-Level Contract · RFA · Signing bonus $92,500
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-25 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| NHL totals | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
Dylan Duke: our analysis
2025-26 season: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PTS, -1 +/-, 9:22 TOI. WAR 0.0 (388th of 615).
In 2025-26, Dylan Duke, 23, his WAR of 0.0 ranks 388th among 615 regulars, in the bottom half.
His WAR went from 0.2 in 2024-25 to 0.0.
Dylan Duke's story
He first drew notice through the U.S. development system, spending two seasons with the USA Hockey National Team Development Program and delivering steady secondary scoring: 12 goals and 11 assists in 32 games in 2019–20, then 10 goals and seven assists in 26 games the following year.
Duke took the next step at the University of Michigan, debuting for the Wolverines in 2021–22. His freshman line read 10 goals and nine assists in 41 games; in 2022–23 he increased his output to 18 goals and 14 assists in 41 contests. He produced in critical moments, including an assist on the overtime winner in the 2023 NCAA regional final that sent Michigan to the Frozen Four.
Selected in the fourth round, 126th overall, by Tampa Bay in the 2021 NHL Entry Draft, Duke completed a productive junior year in 2023–24 with 26 goals and 23 assists in 41 games. He signed a three-year entry-level contract with the Lightning on 15 April 2024 and joined their AHL affiliate, the Syracuse Crunch, first on an amateur tryout and then as a regular pro. In 2024–25 he recorded 13 goals and nine assists in 36 AHL games, his 13 goals tied for sixth among AHL rookies.
Tampa Bay recalled him on 7 February 2025; Duke made his NHL debut the next day versus the Detroit Red Wings and scored his first NHL goal in the third period, beating Cam Talbot. Internationally, he has worn the USA sweater at the 2021 IIHF World U18 Championships (three goals, one assist in five games) and was part of the U.S. squad that took bronze at the 2023 World Junior Championship, contributing one goal and three assists in seven games.
On the ice Duke is a goal-oriented forward who finds the net and steps up in tournament moments. His collegiate scoring totals and repeated pivotal contributions in NCAA regionals illustrate a player who combines finishing instincts with an ability to perform when the stakes are highest.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 9:22
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:41
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:00
- Pts/GP
- 0.00
- EV points
- 0
- Hits
- 0
- Blocks
- 0
- Takeaways
- 1
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 35.7 %
- Off. zone starts
- 83.3 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
Prospect value
Scout Report Center →Rank
493
among all 32 teams' prospects
Rating
47/ 100
percentile among prospects at his position
Potential
25/ 80
Limited NHL upside
Ceiling: 0.1 WAR from age 21 to 26
NHL probability
9 %
of playing 200 NHL games from age 21 to 26
Expected WAR, age 21-26
0.2
the most likely outcome
NHLe
31
NHL points over 82 games, from 2025-26 (AHL, 72 games)
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
0.0
wins above replacement
-0.0 to 0.0 — 90% interval
388 of 615 forwards
-0.0 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- 0.0
- EV defense
- 0.0
- Power play
- 0.0
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- -0.0
- Penalties
- 0.0
- Average → replacement
- +0.0
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TBL | 1 | 0.0 | -0.0 to 0.0 | 388/615 |
| 2024-25 | TBL | 2 | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 311/596 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 124.9 km/h14th percentileleague avg. 134.6 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 31.6 km/h1st percentileleague avg. 35.7 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 00th percentileleague avg. 75
- Offensive zone time
- 39.6 %16th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 2.5 km1st percentileleague avg. 198.8 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 2.50 km3rd percentileleague avg. 4.70 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 39.3 %12th percentileleague avg. 42.0 %
- Neutral zone time
- 17.4 %20th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 43.0 %15th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 12nd percentile | 00th percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
| High danger | 00th percentile | 00th percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
| Mid range | 17th percentile | 00th percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
| Long range | 00th percentile | 00th percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2025-2026 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2025-26
OTTDylan Duke: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Dylan Duke have in 2025-26?
Dylan Duke has 0 goals and 0 points (0 assists) in 1 game in 2025-26.
How old is Dylan Duke?
Dylan Duke is 23 years old: he was born on March 4, 2003.
How tall is Dylan Duke, and how much does he weigh?
Dylan Duke is 5'10" (178 cm) and weighs 183 lb (83 kg).
Where is Dylan Duke from?
United States: Dylan Duke was born in Strongsville, Ohio, United States.
What team does Dylan Duke play for?
Dylan Duke plays for the Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL, at L, wearing number 53.
Is Dylan Duke injured?
No: Dylan Duke is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Dylan Duke?
Dylan Duke produced 0.0 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 388th of 615 players at his position in the NHL.
How much does Dylan Duke make?
Dylan Duke carries a cap hit of $868K per season, on a contract worth $2.9M in total over 3 years.
When does Dylan Duke's contract end?
Dylan Duke's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be a restricted free agent.
Is Dylan Duke a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 388th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
What are Dylan Duke's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Dylan Duke has 3 games, 1 goal, 0 assists and 1 point. His best season: 2024-25, with 1 point in 2 games.
Where was Dylan Duke drafted?
Dylan Duke was drafted 126th overall (round 4) by Tampa Bay Lightning in 2021.
How does Dylan Duke perform in the playoffs?
Dylan Duke has not played in the NHL playoffs yet.
Does Dylan Duke have siblings?
Yes: his brother Tyler Duke (began his college ice hockey career at Ohio State before transferring to Michigan after his freshman year).
Is Dylan Duke related to anyone famous?
Yes: Steve Duke (father, played hockey at Western Michigan and in the ECHL and AHL).
What is Dylan Duke's nationality?
Dylan Duke is American. Internationally: United States — 2021 IIHF World U18 Championships (3 goals, 1 assist); 2023 World Junior Ice Hockey Championships (bronze medal).
What awards has Dylan Duke won?
MVP of the NCAA Regional in Maryland Heights (2024) ; All-Big Ten Second Team (2024).
How many championships has Dylan Duke won?
2: Big Ten Tournament championship with Michigan (2022); Big Ten Tournament championship with Michigan (2023).
Where did Dylan Duke play before turning pro?
USA Hockey National Team Development Program (2019–20, 2020–21); University of Michigan — Michigan Wolverines (2021–2024).
See also: his Tampa Bay Lightning teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)