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21BaseConor Timmins headshot

Conor

Timmins

D · BUF · Defensive · Below average

PAL
32
WAR
0.3
Value
29
PTS
8

2025-26№ 132 / 325

Conor Timmins (Buffalo Sabres) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.

Conor Timmins

#21DBuffalo Sabres logoBuffalo Sabres

HEIGHT : 191 cm · WEIGHT : 97 kg · SHOOTS : R

Born : September 17, 1998 · St. Catharines, Canada

Drafted : 2017 · COL · round 2, pick #32

Contract : $2,200,000 · 2025-26 → 2026-27 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFA

NHL record

Year Team GPGAPTSPIM
2026-27Buffalo Sabres20112
2025-26Buffalo Sabres3908818
2024-25Pittsburgh Penguins171676
2024-25Toronto Maple Leafs5126824
2023-24Toronto Maple Leafs25191018
2022-23Toronto Maple Leafs25212148
2022-23Arizona Coyotes20000
2021-22Arizona Coyotes60000
2020-21Colorado Avalanche310778
2019-20Colorado Avalanche20000
NHL totals2006495584

Playoffs

Year Team GPGAPTSPIM
2025-26Buffalo Sabres130228
2020-21Colorado Avalanche100000
2019-20Colorado Avalanche20004
Playoff totals2502212

Conor Timmins: our analysis

2025-26 season: 39 GP, 0 G, 8 A, 8 PTS, -8 +/-, 18:46 TOI. WAR 0.3 (132nd of 325) · PAL 32, below average.

In 2025-26, Conor Timmins, 28, posts a PAL Rating of 32 out of 100 (below average), and his WAR of 0.3 ranks 132nd among 325 regulars, in the top half.

His strengths: penalty kill (87, among the best in the league) and power play (66, above average). On the other hand, shooting (2, among the weakest in the league) and offense (6, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV offense (+1.1); his biggest cost: finishing (-1.3).

A marked decline: his PAL was 60 in 2024-25, against 32 now; his WAR went from 1.2 to 0.3.

Contract-wise, his Value score of 29 (poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.

Conor Timmins's story

Growing up in Saint Catharines, Conor Timmins progressed through local minor hockey before moving into Ontario’s junior ranks. After being taken in the fourth round (79th overall) of the 2014 OHL Priority Selection, he spent time in the Greater Ontario Junior Hockey League and then established himself with the Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds. A breakout 2016–17 campaign—61 points and an appearance in the CHL/NHL Top Prospects Game—put him squarely on NHL scouts’ lists ahead of the 2017 draft.

Selected 32nd overall by the Colorado Avalanche in 2017, Timmins returned to junior for the 2017–18 season and signed a three-year entry-level deal with Colorado on 2 March 2018. A concussion late in his final junior year kept him out of action for the entire 2018–19 season with the Avalanche and their AHL affiliate, the Colorado Eagles, as he recovered from persistent symptoms.

Timmins made Colorado’s opening-night roster for 2019–20 and debuted in the NHL on 3 October 2019. After stints between the NHL and AHL, he became part of a significant trade on 28 July 2021 when the Avalanche sent him to the Arizona Coyotes as part of the package for goaltender Darcy Kuemper; he signed a two-year extension with Arizona shortly after. A knee injury that required surgery ended his 2021–22 season. In November 2022 Arizona traded him to the Toronto Maple Leafs; he scored his first NHL goal on 8 January 2023 and earned a two-year contract with Toronto in February.

Internationally, Timmins represented Canada at the 2018 World Junior Championship in Buffalo, helping the team to gold. He recorded five points in the tournament, registered the primary assist on the gold-medal game winner and finished with a plus/minus of +15.

On the ice, Timmins projects as a puck-moving defenceman who contributes in transition and sets up teammates with his passing. His game leans toward creating chances from the blue line and facilitating offensive play rather than purely physical defence, a role that has at times been interrupted by injuries.

Conor Timmins warming up on 28 September 2024
Conor Timmins during warmup on 28 September 2024.Photo: Maniacduhockey · CC0

Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.

Advanced stats

TOI/GP
16:32
PP TOI/GP
0:04
SH TOI/GP
2:48
Pts/GP
0.50
EV points
1
Hits
1
Blocks
4
Takeaways
0
Corsi % (SAT)
47.5 %
Off. zone starts
22.2 %

Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)

2026-27 projection

Projected points

9between 1 and 16 (80% range)

Goals
1
Assists
8
Games
37

So far: 1 pts in 2 games. The team has played 17 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.23 pts per game (last season: 0.21).

The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.

Trend

Declining

  • Points per game: 0.40 in 23-24, 0.21 in 25-26
  • PAL Rating: 60 → 32

Outlook, age included

↓ DecliningAge 28: prime years

This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.

Player ratings, 2025-26

All ratings →

Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.

OV · OverallConfidence 72 %

68

Depth

SK
Skating
54
Confidence 73 %
ST
Strength
80
Confidence 76 %
EN
Endurance
64
Confidence 80 %
DU
Durability
55
Confidence 77 %
CK
Checking
74
Confidence 76 %
FG
Fighting
72
Confidence 49 %
DI
Discipline
70
Confidence 76 %
FO
Faceoffs
—
PA
Passing
77
Confidence 72 %
SC
Scoring
61
Confidence 72 %
DF
Defense
77
Confidence 68 %
PS
Penalty shot
76
Confidence 0 %
EX
Experience
71
Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?

SK — Skating54

  • Top speed (35 %)33.8 · 52
  • Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)1.203 · 63
  • Distance /60 (20 %)14.2 · 76
  • Speed consistency (15 %)32.9 · 56

ST — Strength80

  • Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)5.577 · 78
  • Body mass (50 %)0.742 · 80

EN — Endurance64

  • Ice time per game (45 %)17.9 · 70
  • Total ice time (20 %)717 · 62
  • Shift length (15 %)43.6 · 59
  • Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)15.4 · 65
  • Special-teams time per game (5 %)2.389 · 75

DU — Durability55

  • Share of games played (100 %)0.647 · 55

CK — Checking74

  • Hits /60 (70 %)3.058 · 74
  • Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)2.555 · 74
  • Season volume (10 %)3.401 · 67

FG — Fighting72

  • Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.776 · 72

DI — Discipline70

  • Net penalty value /60 (50 %)-0.055 · 69
  • Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.76 · 68
  • Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.437 · 78

PA — Passing77

  • Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.325 · 70
  • Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.479 · 80
  • Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.091 · 84
  • Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.138 · 76
  • Assist consistency (10 %)0.119 · 60

SC — Scoring61

  • Goals /60 (25 %)0.138 · 61
  • Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.162 · 65
  • Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.059 · 68
  • High-danger chances /60 (15 %)0.051 · 61
  • xG per shot (10 %)0.033 · 62
  • Shot attempts /60 (10 %)9.67 · 76

DF — Defense77

  • RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.08 · 81
  • Relative xG against (20 %)0.008 · 73
  • On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.586 · 77
  • Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.019 · 71
  • Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-2.463 · 61
  • Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)58.5 · 73
  • Blocked shots /60 (5 %)5.333 · 83

PS — Penalty shot76

  • Shootouts (60 %)32.7 · 76
  • Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76

EX — Experience71

  • Career regular-season games (65 %)75
  • Career playoff games (25 %)61
  • NHL seasons (10 %)71

OV — Overall68

  • DF · Defense (30 %)77
  • PA · Passing (22 %)77
  • SK · Skating (12 %)54
  • SC · Scoring (12 %)61
  • EN · Endurance (9 %)64
  • ST · Strength (6 %)80
  • DI · Discipline (5 %)70
  • CK · Checking (4 %)74
Season by season
SeasonOVSKSCDF
2025-2668546177
2024-2577577382
2023-2480597583
2022-2380627682

The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.

WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26

How we rate →

PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.

ProfileDefensiveValue comes mostly from defense

Offense
6
Defense
58
See full details
Offense
6
Creation
10
Shooting
2
Possession
46
Defense
47
Discipline
57
Power play
66
Penalty kill
87

From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.

Season by season
SeasonTeamWARPALValue
2025-26BUF0.33229
2024-25PIT1.26075
2023-24TOR0.27482
2022-23TOR0.47683

Hockey IQ, 2025-26

Rankings and method →

The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.

Overall IQ

11/ 100

Low
better than 11% of defensemen, offense and defense combined

Offensive IQ

17/ 100

Low
passing, shots, puck

Defensive IQ

20/ 100

Below average
takeaways, discipline, own zone

Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 200 of 225 defensemen.

See full details

Offense

Playmaking passes
10
Shot selection
1
Penalties drawn
81
Puck management
53

Defense

Takeaways
12
Discipline
36
Safe zone exits
28

Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.

Season by season
SeasonTeamIQOff.Def.
2025-26BUF111720
2024-25PIT253923
2023-24TOR24766
2022-23TOR283237

Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.

0.3

wins above replacement

-0.0 to 0.5 — 90% interval

132 of 325 defensemen

+1.4 goals above replacement

Full leaderboard →
See full details
EV offense
+1.1
EV defense
+0.7
Power play
0.0
Penalty kill
-0.1
Shooting
-1.3
Penalties
-0.5
Average → replacement
+1.5

In goals.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGPWARRank
2025-26BUF390.3132/325
2024-25PIT651.241/314
2023-24TOR250.2136/316
2022-23TOR270.498/334

Player tracking (NHL EDGE)

League EDGE leaderboards →

Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.

Season
Hardest shot
110.7 km/h2nd percentileleague avg. 139.6 km/h
Top skating speed
31.2 km/h3rd percentileleague avg. 34.1 km/h
Bursts over 20 mph, season
00th percentileleague avg. 8
Offensive zone time
37.3 %6th percentileleague avg. 40.6 %
See full details
Total distance, season
3.4 km2nd percentileleague avg. 54.3 km
Distance, single-game high
3.38 km7th percentileleague avg. 4.99 km
Offensive zone at 5v5
36.7 %0th percentileleague avg. 41.0 %
Neutral zone time
16.0 %0th percentileleague avg. 19.2 %
Defensive zone time
46.7 %2nd percentileleague avg. 40.2 %

Shooting

Shots on goalGoalsShooting %
All17th percentile049th percentile0.0 %24th percentile
High danger052nd percentile084th percentile0.0 %0th percentile
Mid range020th percentile073rd percentile0.0 %0th percentile
Long range114th percentile078th percentile0.0 %67th percentile

Shots on goal by zone

Neutral zone : 0 · 82th percentileOutside left : 0 · 51th percentileOutside right : 0 · 57th percentileLeft point : 0 · 33th percentileRight point : 1 · 54th percentileCenter point : 0 · 22th percentileLeft circle : 0 · 45th percentileRight circle : 0 · 53th percentileHigh slot : 0 · 50th percentileLeft of the net : 0 · 83th percentileRight of the net : 0 · 84th percentileLow slot : 0 · 55th percentileCrease : 0 · 92th percentileLeft corner : 0 · 98th percentileBehind the net : 0 · 95th percentileRight corner : 0 · 98th percentile0000100000000000
Beyond the red line : 0

2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.

Game log, 2026-27

DateOpponentGAPTS+/-
Nov 8vsVegas Golden Knights logoVGK000+1
Nov 6vsColumbus Blue Jackets logoCBJ011+1

Conor Timmins: frequently asked questions

How many goals does Conor Timmins have in 2026-27?

Conor Timmins has 0 goals and 1 point (1 assist) in 2 games in 2026-27.

How old is Conor Timmins?

Conor Timmins is 28 years old: he was born on September 18, 1998.

How tall is Conor Timmins, and how much does he weigh?

Conor Timmins is 6'3" (191 cm) and weighs 214 lb (97 kg).

Where is Conor Timmins from?

Canada: Conor Timmins was born in St. Catharines, Ontario, Canada.

What team does Conor Timmins play for?

Conor Timmins plays for the Buffalo Sabres in the NHL, at D, wearing number 21.

Is Conor Timmins injured?

No: Conor Timmins is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.

How good is Conor Timmins?

Conor Timmins produced 0.3 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 132nd of 325 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 32 out of 100: below average for his position.

How much does Conor Timmins make?

Conor Timmins earns $2.2M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 29 out of 100 (poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.

When does Conor Timmins's contract end?

Conor Timmins's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent.

Is Conor Timmins overpaid?

Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 29 out of 100 (poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.

Is Conor Timmins a top-10 player at his position?

No: by WAR, he ranks 132nd of 325 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

Is Conor Timmins getting better?

No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 60 in 2024-25 to 32 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

What are Conor Timmins's career stats?

Over his NHL career, Conor Timmins has 200 games, 6 goals, 49 assists and 55 points. His best season: 2022-23, with 14 points in 25 games.

Where was Conor Timmins drafted?

Conor Timmins was drafted 32nd overall (round 2) by Colorado Avalanche in 2017.

How does Conor Timmins perform in the playoffs?

In the playoffs, Conor Timmins has 25 games and 2 points in his career. His pace (0.08 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (0.28).

Which player is most similar to Conor Timmins?

Nikolas Matinpalo: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.

Nikolas Matinpalo's page →

Is Conor Timmins a good fantasy pick?

Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 9 points in 2026-27, or 0.24 points per game.

What is Conor Timmins's nationality?

Conor Timmins is Canadian. Internationally: Canada U20 — 2018 World Junior Champion (Buffalo); 5 points in the tournament; assisted on the gold-medal game winner; led the tournament in plus/minus (+15).

What awards has Conor Timmins won?

Selected to the CHL/NHL Top Prospects Game (2017). ; Led the World Junior Championship in plus/minus (2018): +15..

How many championships has Conor Timmins won?

1: Gold medal with Team Canada at the 2018 World Junior Championship (Buffalo)..

Where did Conor Timmins play before turning pro?

Minor midget with the Southern Tier Admirals (South‑Central Triple A); selected in the 4th round (79th) of the 2014 OHL Priority Selection by the Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds; started junior with the Thorold Blackhawks (GOJHL) then traded to the St. Catharines Falcons; played for the Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds (debut 2015–16; seasons 2016–17 and 2017–18)..

How many points is Conor Timmins projected to score in 2026-27?

Our projection has him at 9 points in 37 games in 2026-27 (1 to 16 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.

See also: his Buffalo Sabres teammates

Full roster →

NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)