Brayden
Point
C · TBL · Offensive · Very good
- PAL
- 75
- WAR
- 0.2
- Value
- 52
- PTS
- 50
2025-26№ 308 / 615
Brayden Point (Tampa Bay Lightning) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Brayden Point
#21CPlays: Centre · 58% of faceoffs
Tampa Bay Lightning
HEIGHT : 180 cm · WEIGHT : 79 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : March 12, 1996 · Calgary, Canada
Drafted : 2014 · TBL · round 3, pick #79
Contract : $9,500,000 · 2022-23 → 2029-30 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFA · Signing bonus $5,500,000NMC / M-NTC
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 17 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 4 |
| 2025-26 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 63 | 18 | 32 | 50 | 14 |
| 2024-25 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 77 | 42 | 40 | 82 | 7 |
| 2023-24 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 81 | 46 | 44 | 90 | 14 |
| 2022-23 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 82 | 51 | 44 | 95 | 7 |
| 2021-22 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 66 | 28 | 30 | 58 | 33 |
| 2020-21 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 56 | 23 | 25 | 48 | 11 |
| 2019-20 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 66 | 25 | 39 | 64 | 11 |
| 2018-19 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 79 | 41 | 51 | 92 | 28 |
| 2017-18 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 82 | 32 | 34 | 66 | 24 |
| 2016-17 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 68 | 18 | 22 | 40 | 14 |
| NHL totals | 736 | 329 | 372 | 701 | 167 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 2024-25 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 2023-24 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 2022-23 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 2021-22 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 9 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 2020-21 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 8 |
| 2019-20 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 23 | 14 | 19 | 33 | 10 |
| 2018-19 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 2017-18 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 17 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 10 |
| Playoff totals | 99 | 45 | 45 | 90 | 47 | |
Honours
- 🏆 Stanley Cup2 times · 2020-21, 2019-20
Brayden Point: our analysis
2025-26 season: 63 GP, 18 G, 32 A, 50 PTS, +12 +/-, 18:15 TOI. WAR 0.2 (308th of 615) · PAL 75, very good.
In 2025-26, Brayden Point, 30, posts a PAL Rating of 75 out of 100 (very good), and his WAR of 0.2 ranks 308th among 615 regulars, in the bottom half.
His strengths: creation (94, among the best in the league), shooting (90, among the best in the league) and power play (87, among the best in the league). On the other hand, defense (15, among the weakest in the league) holds him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: power play (+2.1); his biggest cost: finishing (-4.4).
A marked decline: his PAL was 92 in 2024-25, against 75 now; his WAR went from 3.8 to 0.2.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 52 (fair value) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Brayden Point's story
Raised in Alberta after being born in Calgary, Brayden Point moved quickly from local junior hockey into the Western Hockey League. A season with the Canmore Eagles preceded his selection by Moose Jaw in the WHL draft, and strong production in junior earned him a place at the CHL/NHL Top Prospects Game and attention from pro scouts. Those years laid the foundation for a professional career built on speed and finishing.
Point’s draft year saw him lead Moose Jaw in scoring with 36 goals and 91 points in 72 games, and Tampa Bay picked him 79th overall in the 2014 NHL Entry Draft. He returned to junior for another productive season, then signed an entry-level deal in March 2015 and briefly joined the Syracuse Crunch, recording a couple of goals and assists in nine AHL appearances before shifting focus to the NHL camp roster.
He made the Lightning opening-night roster in October 2016 and recorded his first NHL point and first goal within weeks. Recognition followed: an All-Star nod in 2018 and several high-scoring campaigns, including 41 goals and 92 points in 2018–19 and 51 goals and 95 points in 2022–23. Contract extensions in 2019 and a long-term eight-year deal in 2021 tied him to Tampa Bay through his prime years.
Point has been decisive in the playoffs. He led the league in goals during Tampa Bay’s consecutive Stanley Cup wins in 2020 and 2021, and he scored the Cup-clinching goal in 2020. His postseason output included franchise-record goal totals in single playoff runs and multiple key overtime winners. Injuries have interrupted some runs—missed games from an upper-body issue, a shoulder problem, a torn quad in 2022 and a knee injury in 2026—but he has repeatedly returned to contribute at a high level.
Internationally, Point wore Canada’s colours across age groups: alternate captain at the U17 level, gold and tournament MVP at the Ivan Hlinka in 2013, U18 bronze in 2014, World Junior gold in 2015 and a silver medal at the 2017 IIHF World Championship. He also featured in Canada’s 4 Nations Face-Off victory in 2025 and was named to the 2026 Olympic roster before withdrawing because of injury. His game is straightforward: a centre who finds the net and produces consistently in all situations.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 18:44
- PP TOI/GP
- 4:40
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:01
- Pts/GP
- 0.94
- EV points
- 12
- Hits
- 2
- Blocks
- 7
- Takeaways
- 4
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 56.0 %
- Off. zone starts
- 37.6 %
- Faceoffs
- 51.5 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
63between 43 and 77 (80% range)
- Goals
- 21
- Assists
- 42
- Games
- 75
So far: 16 pts in 17 games. The team has played 17 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.80 pts per game (last season: 0.79).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Declining
- Points per game: 1.11 in 23-24, 0.79 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 92 → 75
Outlook, age included
↓ DecliningAge 30: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
Day-to-day· Undisclosed· expected back November 11
OV · OverallConfidence 85 %
89
High-end
- SK
- Skating
- 95
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 42
- Confidence 87 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 84
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 79
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 45
- Confidence 87 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 68
- Confidence 65 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 85
- Confidence 87 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 69
- Confidence 88 %
- PA
- Passing
- 86
- Confidence 85 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 97
- Confidence 85 %
- DF
- Defense
- 61
- Confidence 82 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 88
- Confidence 54 %
- EX
- Experience
- 90
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating95
- Top speed (35 %)37.8 · 95
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)15.7 · 96
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.7 · 85
- Speed consistency (15 %)37.3 · 96
ST — Strength42
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)2.822 · 62
- Body mass (50 %)-1.613 · 49
EN — Endurance84
- Ice time per game (45 %)17.6 · 84
- Total ice time (20 %)1,106 · 76
- Shift length (15 %)50.7 · 88
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)16.8 · 86
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)3.401 · 84
DU — Durability79
- Share of games played (100 %)0.84 · 79
CK — Checking45
- Hits /60 (70 %)1.469 · 49
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)1.161 · 48
- Season volume (10 %)2.197 · 46
FG — Fighting68
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.727 · 68
DI — Discipline85
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.048 · 84
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.307 · 93
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.59 · 66
FO — Faceoffs69
- Faceoff % (85 %)48 · 69
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)34.4 · 71
PA — Passing86
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.956 · 86
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.69 · 86
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.142 · 82
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.919 · 82
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.811 · 88
SC — Scoring97
- Goals /60 (25 %)1.363 · 90
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)1.198 · 93
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.558 · 85
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)2.763 · 97
- xG per shot (10 %)0.097 · 97
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)14.3 · 82
DF — Defense61
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.081 · 62
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.369 · 51
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.811 · 62
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.025 · 76
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.003 · 83
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)60.2 · 63
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)1.937 · 61
PS — Penalty shot88
- Shootouts (60 %)35.4 · 89
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience90
- Career regular-season games (65 %)93
- Career playoff games (25 %)87
- NHL seasons (10 %)81
OV — Overall89
- SC · Scoring (20 %)97
- PA · Passing (20 %)86
- DF · Defense (20 %)61
- SK · Skating (12 %)95
- FO · Faceoffs (10 %)69
- EN · Endurance (8 %)84
- DI · Discipline (5 %)85
- ST · Strength (3 %)42
- CK · Checking (2 %)45
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 89 | 95 | 97 | 61 |
| 2024-25 | 91 | 97 | 98 | 58 |
| 2023-24 | 89 | 97 | 97 | 61 |
| 2022-23 | 93 | 97 | 98 | 62 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
0.2
wins above replacement
308 of 615
PAL Rating
75/ 100
Performance · Very good
109 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
52/ 100
Fair value
9.50 M$ · expected PAL 75
ProfileOffensiveValue comes mostly from offense
- Offense
- 88
- Defense
- 18
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 79
- Creation
- 94
- Shooting
- 90
- Possession
- 50
- Defense
- 15
- Discipline
- 56
- Power play
- 87
- Penalty kill
- 51
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TBL | 0.2 | 75 | 52 | 9.50 M$ |
| 2024-25 | TBL | 3.8 | 92 | 83 | 9.50 M$ |
| 2023-24 | TBL | 4.0 | 94 | 86 | 9.50 M$ |
| 2022-23 | TBL | 4.7 | 97 | 92 | 9.50 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
100/ 100
Elite
the best of all forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
100/ 100
Elite
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
74/ 100
Very good
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 1 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 98
- Shot selection
- 99
- Penalties drawn
- 41
- Puck management
- 78
Defense
- Takeaways
- 44
- Discipline
- 86
- Safe zone exits
- 48
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TBL | 100 | 100 | 74 |
| 2024-25 | TBL | 100 | 97 | 97 |
| 2023-24 | TBL | 99 | 93 | 95 |
| 2022-23 | TBL | 99 | 98 | 86 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
0.2
wins above replacement
-0.9 to 1.6 — 90% interval
308 of 615 forwards
+0.9 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +1.4
- EV defense
- -1.6
- Power play
- +2.1
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- -4.4
- Penalties
- +0.5
- Average → replacement
- +2.9
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TBL | 63 | 0.2 | -0.9 to 1.6 | 308/615 |
| 2024-25 | TBL | 74 | 3.8 | 2.4 to 5.4 | 12/596 |
| 2023-24 | TBL | 81 | 4.0 | 2.6 to 7.2 | 14/608 |
| 2022-23 | TBL | 82 | 4.7 | 3.2 to 6.7 | 6/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 127.1 km/h32nd percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 37.6 km/h97th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 90100th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 47.1 %94th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 81.3 km88th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 6.02 km91st percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 42.5 %75th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 17.7 %34th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 35.2 %94th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 3480th percentile | 581st percentile | 14.7 %58th percentile |
| High danger | 1589th percentile | 274th percentile | 13.3 %31st percentile |
| Mid range | 1590th percentile | 396th percentile | 20.0 %76th percentile |
| Long range | 383rd percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
WPG
MIN
CHI
DET
NSH
UTA
COL
VGK
VAN
SEA
NYR
NYI
PHI
WSHBrayden Point: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Brayden Point have in 2026-27?
Brayden Point has 5 goals and 16 points (11 assists) in 17 games in 2026-27.
How old is Brayden Point?
Brayden Point is 30 years old: he was born on March 13, 1996.
How tall is Brayden Point, and how much does he weigh?
Brayden Point is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 174 lb (79 kg).
Where is Brayden Point from?
Canada: Brayden Point was born in Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
What team does Brayden Point play for?
Brayden Point plays for the Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL, at C, wearing number 21.
Is Brayden Point injured?
Yes: Brayden Point is injured, day-to-day (undisclosed). He is expected back around November 11.
How good is Brayden Point?
Brayden Point produced 0.2 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 308th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 75 out of 100: very good for his position.
How much does Brayden Point make?
Brayden Point earns $9.5M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 52 out of 100 (fair value): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Brayden Point's contract end?
Brayden Point's contract runs through the 2029-30 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent. It includes a NMC / M-NTC clause.
Is Brayden Point overpaid?
Neither: he delivers about what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 52 out of 100 (fair value), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Brayden Point a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 308th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Brayden Point getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 92 in 2024-25 to 75 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Brayden Point played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Brayden Point has 12 points (4 goals, 8 assists).
What are Brayden Point's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Brayden Point has 736 games, 329 goals, 372 assists and 701 points. His best season: 2022-23, with 95 points in 82 games.
Where was Brayden Point drafted?
Brayden Point was drafted 79th overall (round 3) by Tampa Bay Lightning in 2014.
Is Brayden Point better at home or on the road?
At home: in 2026-27, he averages 1.13 points per game at home (9 in 8 games) and 0.78 on the road (7 in 9 games).
How does Brayden Point perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Brayden Point has 99 games and 90 points in his career. His pace (0.91 points per game) is similar to his regular-season pace (0.95).
Which player is most similar to Brayden Point?
Jason Zucker: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Jason Zucker's page →Is Brayden Point a good fantasy pick?
Yes, a solid pick: our projection has him at 63 points in 2026-27, or 0.84 points per game.
Does Brayden Point have siblings?
Yes: his brother Riley Point (played for the Canmore Eagles; played four games with Brayden while Brayden was a call-up).
What is Brayden Point's nationality?
Brayden Point is Canadian. Internationally: Canada — medals and tournaments: gold at the Ivan Hlinka Tournament (2013, MVP), bronze at the IIHF World U18 Championship (2014), gold at the World Junior Championship (2015), silver at the IIHF World Championship (2017), winner of the 4 Nations Face-Off (2025); named to 2026 Olympic team but withdrew.
What awards has Brayden Point won?
Ivan Hlinka Tournament MVP (2013) ; NHL Third Star of the Week (10 April 2017) ; Selected to the NHL All-Star Game (2018) ; Lady Byng Trophy finalist (2023) ; Lady Byng Trophy finalist (2025).
How many championships has Brayden Point won?
3: Stanley Cup champion with the Tampa Bay Lightning (2020); Stanley Cup champion with the Tampa Bay Lightning (2021); Presidents' Trophy with the Tampa Bay Lightning (2018–19).
Where did Brayden Point play before turning pro?
Moose Jaw Warriors (WHL) — drafted in the 2011 Bantam Draft; played with the Warriors through the 2014–15 season.
How many points is Brayden Point projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 63 points in 75 games in 2026-27 (43 to 77 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Tampa Bay Lightning teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)