Adam
Fantilli
C · CBJ · Offensive · Below average
- PAL
- 24
- WAR
- -0.9
- Value
- 37
- PTS
- 59
2025-26№ 598 / 615
Adam Fantilli (Columbus Blue Jackets) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Adam Fantilli
#19CPlays: Centre · 90% of faceoffs
Columbus Blue Jackets
HEIGHT : 188 cm · WEIGHT : 93 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : October 11, 2004 · Nobleton, Canada
Drafted : 2023 · CBJ · round 1, pick #3
Contract : $13,750,000 · 2026-27 → 2031-32 · Standard Contract · UFA · Signing bonus $10,000,000M-NTC
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 15 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 2025-26 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 82 | 24 | 35 | 59 | 38 |
| 2024-25 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 82 | 31 | 23 | 54 | 18 |
| 2023-24 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 49 | 12 | 15 | 27 | 16 |
| NHL totals | 228 | 71 | 75 | 146 | 76 | |
Adam Fantilli: our analysis
2025-26 season: 82 GP, 24 G, 35 A, 59 PTS, -13 +/-, 18:54 TOI. WAR -0.9 (598th of 615) · PAL 24, below average.
In 2025-26, Adam Fantilli, 22, posts a PAL Rating of 24 out of 100 (below average), and his WAR of -0.9 ranks 598th among 615 regulars, in the bottom quarter.
His strengths: creation (76, well above average), shooting (73, above average) and discipline (66, above average). On the other hand, defense (6, among the weakest in the league) and possession (21, well below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: penalties (+1.2); his biggest cost: EV defense (-4.0).
A clear step forward: his PAL went from 16 in 2024-25 to 24; his WAR, though, went from 0.8 to -0.9.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 37 (poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Adam Fantilli's story
Born in Nobleton and groomed through prep and junior ranks, Fantilli first drew attention after a strong season at Kimball Union Academy and a USHL tender with the Chicago Steel. He played a key role in Chicago’s run to the Clark Cup in 2021 and was named playoff MVP, then increased his offensive output the following USHL season to become one of the league’s top under‑draft‑age scorers.
Despite being selected in the OHL priority draft and having his rights moved, he had already committed to NCAA hockey and joined the University of Michigan for 2022–23. His collegiate debut featured immediate impact—strong faceoff showings, multi‑point nights and a hat‑trick early in the campaign. Over his first handful of games he posted one of the best season starts in program history.
That freshman year proved historic: 30 goals and 35 assists in 36 games, leading the nation in goals and points per game, and a string of conference and national honours. He was recognized with Big Ten awards, the Tim Taylor Trophy and the Hobey Baker Award, becoming one of the very few freshmen to claim the latter.
Selected third overall by the Columbus Blue Jackets in the 2023 draft, he signed an entry‑level contract that July and made his NHL debut on his 19th birthday, October 12, 2023. As a rookie he recorded 12 goals and 15 assists in 49 games before a season‑ending calf laceration in late January 2024. Afterwards he reached further milestones—including his first NHL hat‑trick in January 2025—and secured a six‑year extension with Columbus in September 2026.
Internationally, Fantilli has worn Canada’s colours at multiple age levels and at senior worlds. He earned bronze at the 2020 Winter Youth Olympics, gold at the 2023 World Juniors, and gold with the senior team at the 2023 IIHF World Championship, where he scored the semi‑final winner. His game is marked by playmaking instincts, a natural finishing touch and the ability to produce in pivotal moments.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 20:49
- PP TOI/GP
- 3:17
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:25
- Pts/GP
- 0.40
- EV points
- 5
- Hits
- 33
- Blocks
- 13
- Takeaways
- 7
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 49.8 %
- Off. zone starts
- 45.5 %
- Faceoffs
- 59.8 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
54between 31 and 76 (80% range)
- Goals
- 24
- Assists
- 30
- Games
- 80
So far: 6 pts in 15 games. The team has played 15 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.73 pts per game (last season: 0.72).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Slightly up
- Points per game: 0.55 in 23-24, 0.72 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 16 → 24
Outlook, age included
↑ Trending upAge 21: usually still improving
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 78 %
79
Established NHL
- SK
- Skating
- 89
- Confidence 67 %
- ST
- Strength
- 76
- Confidence 82 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 84
- Confidence 75 %
- DU
- Durability
- 80
- Confidence 67 %
- CK
- Checking
- 79
- Confidence 82 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 80
- Confidence 57 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 85
- Confidence 82 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 71
- Confidence 86 %
- PA
- Passing
- 76
- Confidence 78 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 81
- Confidence 78 %
- DF
- Defense
- 55
- Confidence 75 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 49
- Confidence 57 %
- EX
- Experience
- 54
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating89
- Top speed (35 %)37.1 · 88
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)9.331 · 86
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.9 · 87
- Speed consistency (15 %)36.2 · 88
ST — Strength76
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)3.669 · 71
- Body mass (50 %)0.243 · 80
EN — Endurance84
- Ice time per game (45 %)17.1 · 83
- Total ice time (20 %)1,499 · 88
- Shift length (15 %)52 · 89
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)14.9 · 79
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)2.48 · 76
DU — Durability80
- Share of games played (100 %)0.848 · 80
CK — Checking79
- Hits /60 (70 %)5.145 · 78
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)4.675 · 79
- Season volume (10 %)4.942 · 85
FG — Fighting80
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.965 · 80
DI — Discipline85
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.049 · 85
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.538 · 80
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.823 · 79
FO — Faceoffs71
- Faceoff % (85 %)47.8 · 68
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)41.9 · 78
PA — Passing76
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.692 · 77
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.587 · 81
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)-0.047 · 63
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)3.6 · 59
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.6 · 81
SC — Scoring81
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.992 · 81
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.957 · 84
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)-0.204 · 75
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.391 · 79
- xG per shot (10 %)0.081 · 69
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)16.7 · 89
DF — Defense55
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.133 · 56
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.256 · 60
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.901 · 55
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.015 · 78
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-2.299 · 55
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)60.9 · 60
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.506 · 74
PS — Penalty shot49
- Shootouts (60 %)28.7 · 46
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience54
- Career regular-season games (65 %)76
- Career playoff games (25 %)0
- NHL seasons (10 %)47
OV — Overall79
- SC · Scoring (20 %)81
- PA · Passing (20 %)76
- DF · Defense (20 %)55
- SK · Skating (12 %)89
- FO · Faceoffs (10 %)71
- EN · Endurance (8 %)84
- DI · Discipline (5 %)85
- ST · Strength (3 %)76
- CK · Checking (2 %)79
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 79 | 89 | 81 | 55 |
| 2024-25 | 74 | 90 | 80 | 58 |
| 2023-24 | 76 | 88 | 78 | 65 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
-0.9
wins above replacement
598 of 615
PAL Rating
24/ 100
Performance · Below average
351 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
37/ 100
Poor return
0.95 M$ · expected PAL 36
ProfileOffensiveValue comes mostly from offense
- Offense
- 61
- Defense
- 6
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 64
- Creation
- 76
- Shooting
- 73
- Possession
- 21
- Defense
- 6
- Discipline
- 66
- Power play
- 24
- Penalty kill
- 35
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CBJ | -0.9 | 24 | 37 | 0.95 M$ |
| 2024-25 | CBJ | 0.8 | 16 | 29 | 0.95 M$ |
| 2023-24 | CBJ | 0.1 | 30 | 46 | 0.95 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
73/ 100
Very good
better than 73% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
63/ 100
Average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
67/ 100
Average
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Why 73, higher than both scores? Overall IQ isn't an average, it's a rank: 113 of 424 forwards. Few players are good at both ends at once; being so puts Adam Fantilli ahead of almost everyone else.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 37
- Shot selection
- 62
- Penalties drawn
- 68
- Puck management
- 49
Defense
- Takeaways
- 66
- Discipline
- 69
- Safe zone exits
- 41
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CBJ | 73 | 63 | 67 |
| 2024-25 | CBJ | 46 | 40 | 55 |
| 2023-24 | CBJ | 67 | 72 | 51 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
-0.9
wins above replacement
-2.6 to 0.4 — 90% interval
598 of 615 forwards
-4.5 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- -1.2
- EV defense
- -4.0
- Power play
- -0.8
- Penalty kill
- +0.0
- Shooting
- -3.7
- Penalties
- +1.2
- Average → replacement
- +3.9
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CBJ | 82 | -0.9 | -2.6 to 0.4 | 598/615 |
| 2024-25 | CBJ | 78 | 0.8 | -0.4 to 2.1 | 176/596 |
| 2023-24 | CBJ | 49 | 0.1 | -1.1 to 1.2 | 350/608 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 137.4 km/h69th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 35.9 km/h70th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 3684th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 43.5 %66th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 83.2 km90th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 6.71 km98th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 40.4 %37th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 18.7 %78th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 37.9 %71st percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 4592nd percentile | 474th percentile | 8.9 %24th percentile |
| High danger | 963rd percentile | 157th percentile | 11.1 %25th percentile |
| Mid range | 2397th percentile | 288th percentile | 8.7 %39th percentile |
| Long range | 490th percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
BUF
DAL
COL
CAR
PHI
VGK
TOR
MIN
NYR
FLA
STL
PIT
UTAAdam Fantilli: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Adam Fantilli have in 2026-27?
Adam Fantilli has 4 goals and 6 points (2 assists) in 15 games in 2026-27.
How old is Adam Fantilli?
Adam Fantilli is 22 years old: he was born on October 12, 2004.
How tall is Adam Fantilli, and how much does he weigh?
Adam Fantilli is 6'2" (188 cm) and weighs 205 lb (93 kg).
Where is Adam Fantilli from?
Canada: Adam Fantilli was born in Nobleton, Ontario, Canada.
What team does Adam Fantilli play for?
Adam Fantilli plays for the Columbus Blue Jackets in the NHL, at C, wearing number 19.
Is Adam Fantilli injured?
No: Adam Fantilli is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Adam Fantilli?
Adam Fantilli produced -0.9 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 598th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 24 out of 100: below average for his position.
How much does Adam Fantilli make?
Adam Fantilli earns $950K for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 37 out of 100 (poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Adam Fantilli's contract end?
Adam Fantilli's contract runs through the 2031-32 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent. It includes a M-NTC clause.
Is Adam Fantilli overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 37 out of 100 (poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Adam Fantilli a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 598th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Adam Fantilli getting better?
Yes: his PAL rating went from 16 in 2024-25 to 24 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Adam Fantilli played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Adam Fantilli has 4 points (3 goals, 1 assist).
What are Adam Fantilli's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Adam Fantilli has 228 games, 71 goals, 75 assists and 146 points. His best season: 2025-26, with 59 points in 82 games.
Where was Adam Fantilli drafted?
Adam Fantilli was drafted 3rd overall (round 1) by Columbus Blue Jackets in 2023.
Is Adam Fantilli better at home or on the road?
On the road: in 2026-27, he averages 0.22 points per game at home (2 in 9 games) and 0.67 on the road (4 in 6 games).
How does Adam Fantilli perform in the playoffs?
Adam Fantilli has not played in the NHL playoffs yet.
Which player is most similar to Adam Fantilli?
Nick Robertson: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Nick Robertson's page →Is Adam Fantilli a good fantasy pick?
A useful depth pick: our projection has him at 54 points in 2026-27, or 0.68 points per game.
Does Adam Fantilli have siblings?
Yes: his brother Luca Fantilli (plays college ice hockey at Michigan).
What is Adam Fantilli's nationality?
Adam Fantilli is Canadian. Internationally: Canada — bronze medal at the 2020 Winter Youth Olympics (boys' team, alternate captain), member of Canada's U18 team at the 2022 IIHF World U18 Championships (alternate captain), gold medal at the 2023 World Junior Championship, gold medal at the 2023 IIHF World Championship (scored the semi-final game-winning goal).
What awards has Adam Fantilli won?
Hobey Baker Award (2023) ; Tim Taylor Award (2023) ; AHCA West First Team All-American (2023) ; Big Ten Tournament MVP (2023) ; Big Ten Freshman of the Year (2023) ; All-Big Ten First Team (2023) ; All-Big Ten Freshman Team (2023) ; Hockey Commissioners Association Men's Player of the Month (October 2022); and more.
How many championships has Adam Fantilli won?
5: Anderson Cup with the Chicago Steel (2020–21 season); Clark Cup with the Chicago Steel (2020–21 season); Gold medal at the 2023 World Junior Championship with Team Canada; Gold medal at the 2023 IIHF World Championship with Team Canada; Bronze medal at the 2020 Winter Youth Olympics with Canada's boys' team.
Where did Adam Fantilli play before turning pro?
Kimball Union Academy; Chicago Steel (USHL) — 2020–21 and 2021–22 seasons; University of Michigan (college season 2022–23).
How many points is Adam Fantilli projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 54 points in 80 games in 2026-27 (31 to 76 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Columbus Blue Jackets teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)