Nick
Robertson
L · PIT · Balanced · Below average
- PAL
- 26
- WAR
- 0.9
- Value
- 28
- PTS
- 32
2025-26№ 176 / 615
Nick Robertson (Pittsburgh Penguins) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Nick Robertson
#14LPlays: Left wing · 2% of faceoffs
Pittsburgh Penguins
HEIGHT : 175 cm · WEIGHT : 82 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : September 10, 2001 · Pasadena, United States
Drafted : 2019 · TOR · round 2, pick #53
Contract : $3,250,000 · 2026-27 → 2027-28 · Standard Contract · RFA (Arb)
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 18 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 6 |
| 2025-26 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 78 | 16 | 16 | 32 | 10 |
| 2024-25 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 69 | 15 | 7 | 22 | 16 |
| 2023-24 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 56 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 4 |
| 2022-23 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 15 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 2021-22 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 2020-21 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| NHL totals | 252 | 55 | 40 | 95 | 40 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2023-24 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-20 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Playoff totals | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |
Nick Robertson: our analysis
2025-26 season: 78 GP, 16 G, 16 A, 32 PTS, -13 +/-, 12:40 TOI. WAR 0.9 (176th of 615) · PAL 26, below average.
In 2025-26, Nick Robertson, 25, posts a PAL Rating of 26 out of 100 (below average), and his WAR of 0.9 ranks 176th among 615 regulars, in the top half.
His strengths: discipline (65, above average). On the other hand, power play (10, among the weakest in the league) and possession (18, well below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: finishing (+2.4); his biggest cost: EV defense (-0.9).
A marked decline: his PAL was 46 in 2024-25, against 26 now; his WAR went from 1.3 to 0.9.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 28 (poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Nick Robertson's story
Growing up between Southern California and Michigan after an early move at age eight, Robertson spent his youth hockey years in Toronto with the AAA Toronto Red Wings and had a brief stint with the North York Rangers before being picked 17th overall by the Peterborough Petes in the 2017 OHL draft. His final campaign in junior hockey, cut short by the season cancellation, produced eye-catching totals—55 goals and 31 assists for 86 points—and made him the first Pete to reach the 50-goal mark since the early 1990s.
Those junior achievements led to an NHL opportunity: Toronto chose him 53rd overall in the 2019 entry draft, and he signed an entry-level contract on 19 September 2019. With the OHL season canceled, he joined the Maple Leafs’ Return to Play activities, attended their training camp and made his NHL debut during the 2020 playoff qualifiers. He scored his first NHL goal in that qualifying round on 6 August.
Robertson’s early professional trajectory has been interrupted several times by injuries. He suffered a knee injury in a season opener, endured a broken leg in 2021–22 and sustained a season-ending shoulder injury in December 2022 that required surgery. During this period he split time between the Maple Leafs and their AHL affiliate, the Toronto Marlies. After being recalled on 6 November 2023 he appeared in 56 games for Toronto in 2023–24 and registered 14 goals and 27 points.
He has also represented the United States at the junior level. Based on his junior scoring totals and the 50-goal season, Robertson’s profile is that of a natural finisher: a player who finds the net with consistency and whose offensive output can change a lineup’s balance when he is healthy.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 13:01
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:04
- SH TOI/GP
- 1:15
- Pts/GP
- 0.39
- EV points
- 6
- Hits
- 3
- Blocks
- 14
- Takeaways
- 4
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 55.1 %
- Off. zone starts
- 16.7 %
- Faceoffs
- 100.0 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
31between 15 and 47 (80% range)
- Goals
- 20
- Assists
- 11
- Games
- 77
So far: 7 pts in 18 games. The team has played 18 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.41 pts per game (last season: 0.41).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Slight decline
- Points per game: 0.48 in 23-24, 0.41 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 46 → 26
Outlook, age included
↘ Slight declineAge 25: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 72 %
72
Established NHL
- SK
- Skating
- 81
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 62
- Confidence 76 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 65
- Confidence 75 %
- DU
- Durability
- 69
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 76
- Confidence 76 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 67
- Confidence 57 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 81
- Confidence 76 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 68
- Confidence 72 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 77
- Confidence 72 %
- DF
- Defense
- 71
- Confidence 68 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 62
- Confidence 14 %
- EX
- Experience
- 69
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating81
- Top speed (35 %)36.3 · 79
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)7.368 · 83
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.3 · 79
- Speed consistency (15 %)35.4 · 76
ST — Strength62
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)3.964 · 75
- Body mass (50 %)-1.484 · 58
EN — Endurance65
- Ice time per game (45 %)12.8 · 63
- Total ice time (20 %)970 · 73
- Shift length (15 %)44.4 · 68
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)11.7 · 64
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.4 · 62
DU — Durability69
- Share of games played (100 %)0.776 · 69
CK — Checking76
- Hits /60 (70 %)4.785 · 77
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)3.614 · 75
- Season volume (10 %)4.331 · 77
FG — Fighting67
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.712 · 67
DI — Discipline81
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.039 · 80
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.456 · 85
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.688 · 71
PA — Passing68
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.586 · 68
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.429 · 72
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.045 · 70
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)3.575 · 61
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.421 · 72
SC — Scoring77
- Goals /60 (25 %)1.049 · 79
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.851 · 74
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.808 · 85
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.126 · 67
- xG per shot (10 %)0.076 · 62
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)15.1 · 78
DF — Defense71
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.033 · 69
- Relative xG against (20 %)-0.028 · 76
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.68 · 70
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.038 · 80
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.664 · 72
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)60 · 65
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.588 · 79
PS — Penalty shot62
- Shootouts (60 %)31.2 · 61
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience69
- Career regular-season games (65 %)77
- Career playoff games (25 %)50
- NHL seasons (10 %)66
OV — Overall72
- SC · Scoring (28 %)77
- PA · Passing (22 %)68
- DF · Defense (18 %)71
- SK · Skating (12 %)81
- EN · Endurance (8 %)65
- DI · Discipline (5 %)81
- ST · Strength (4 %)62
- CK · Checking (3 %)76
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 72 | 81 | 77 | 71 |
| 2024-25 | 75 | 79 | 79 | 78 |
| 2023-24 | 78 | 74 | 78 | 77 |
| 2022-23 | 74 | 76 | 76 | 75 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
0.9
wins above replacement
176 of 615
PAL Rating
26/ 100
Performance · Below average
337 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
28/ 100
Poor return
1.83 M$ · expected PAL 46
ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates
- Offense
- 45
- Defense
- 22
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 54
- Creation
- 57
- Shooting
- 58
- Possession
- 18
- Defense
- 29
- Discipline
- 65
- Power play
- 10
- Penalty kill
- 37
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TOR | 0.9 | 26 | 28 | 1.83 M$ |
| 2024-25 | TOR | 1.3 | 46 | 63 | 0.88 M$ |
| 2023-24 | TOR | 1.5 | 65 | 79 | 0.80 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
46/ 100
Average
better than 46% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
14/ 100
Low
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
83/ 100
Very good
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 227 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 39
- Shot selection
- 26
- Penalties drawn
- 35
- Puck management
- 24
Defense
- Takeaways
- 83
- Discipline
- 77
- Safe zone exits
- 32
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TOR | 46 | 14 | 83 |
| 2024-25 | TOR | 46 | 19 | 72 |
| 2023-24 | TOR | 73 | 18 | 93 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
0.9
wins above replacement
0.1 to 1.8 — 90% interval
176 of 615 forwards
+4.8 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +0.5
- EV defense
- -0.9
- Power play
- -0.3
- Penalty kill
- +0.0
- Shooting
- +2.4
- Penalties
- +0.7
- Average → replacement
- +2.5
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TOR | 78 | 0.9 | 0.1 to 1.8 | 176/615 |
| 2024-25 | TOR | 65 | 1.3 | 0.1 to 2.7 | 117/596 |
| 2023-24 | TOR | 56 | 1.5 | 0.5 to 2.3 | 101/608 |
| 2022-23 | TOR | 15 | 0.1 | -0.3 to 0.6 | 309/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 141.8 km/h84th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 35.7 km/h66th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 3582nd percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 38.9 %17th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 57.2 km46th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 4.53 km49th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 40.4 %36th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 18.9 %85th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 42.2 %23rd percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 3480th percentile | 791st percentile | 20.6 %82nd percentile |
| High danger | 1278th percentile | 386th percentile | 25.0 %68th percentile |
| Mid range | 972nd percentile | 288th percentile | 22.2 %81st percentile |
| Long range | 490th percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
ANA
LAK
BOS
VGK
MTL
UTA
NSH
FLA
COL
CHI
DAL
CBJ
WSH
WPG
PHINick Robertson: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Nick Robertson have in 2026-27?
Nick Robertson has 7 goals and 7 points (0 assists) in 18 games in 2026-27.
How old is Nick Robertson?
Nick Robertson is 25 years old: he was born on September 11, 2001.
How tall is Nick Robertson, and how much does he weigh?
Nick Robertson is 5'9" (175 cm) and weighs 181 lb (82 kg).
Where is Nick Robertson from?
United States: Nick Robertson was born in Pasadena, California, United States.
What team does Nick Robertson play for?
Nick Robertson plays for the Pittsburgh Penguins in the NHL, at L, wearing number 14.
Is Nick Robertson injured?
No: Nick Robertson is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Nick Robertson?
Nick Robertson produced 0.9 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 176th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 26 out of 100: below average for his position.
How much does Nick Robertson make?
Nick Robertson earns $1.8M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 28 out of 100 (poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Nick Robertson's contract end?
Nick Robertson's contract runs through the 2027-28 season; he will then be a restricted free agent.
Is Nick Robertson overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 28 out of 100 (poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Nick Robertson a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 176th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Nick Robertson getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 46 in 2024-25 to 26 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Nick Robertson played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Nick Robertson has 3 points (3 goals, 0 assists).
What are Nick Robertson's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Nick Robertson has 252 games, 55 goals, 40 assists and 95 points. His best season: 2025-26, with 32 points in 78 games.
Where was Nick Robertson drafted?
Nick Robertson was drafted 53rd overall (round 2) by Toronto Maple Leafs in 2019.
Is Nick Robertson better at home or on the road?
No real difference: in 2026-27, he averages 0.38 points per game at home (3 in 8 games) and 0.40 on the road (4 in 10 games).
How does Nick Robertson perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Nick Robertson has 13 games and 3 points in his career. His pace (0.23 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (0.38).
Which player is most similar to Nick Robertson?
Ryan Donato: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Ryan Donato's page →Is Nick Robertson a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 31 points in 2026-27, or 0.40 points per game.
Does Nick Robertson have siblings?
Yes: his older brother Jason Robertson (player for the Dallas Stars), his older sister Brianne Robertson (professional martial artist, specializing in jujitsu).
What is Nick Robertson's nationality?
Nick Robertson is American.
What awards has Nick Robertson won?
CHL Sportsman of the Year Award (2019–20) ; Named to the 2019–20 OHL All-Star Team ; Peterborough Petes' nominee for the Red Tilson Trophy (OHL MVP) — 2019–20 season.
Where did Nick Robertson play before turning pro?
Toronto Red Wings (GTHL) — 2016–17; 4 games with the North York Rangers (OJHL) in 2016–17; drafted 17th overall by the Peterborough Petes (OHL) in 2017 and played three seasons with the Petes, final season 2019–20.
How many points is Nick Robertson projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 31 points in 77 games in 2026-27 (15 to 47 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Pittsburgh Penguins teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)