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Zachary

Davies

P · Very poor

PAL
7
WAR
0.8
ERA
7.00

2023№ 116 / 168

Zach Davies

P

Biography

Height
6' 0"
Weight
82 kg
Bats
R
Throws
R
MLB debut
September 2, 2015
Born
February 7, 1993 (33)
Birthplace
Puyallup, WA, USA
Nickname
Bat Boy
Draft
2011

Career history

  • Arizona Diamondbacks · 2022 – 2023 (2 seasons)
  • Chicago Cubs · 2021 (1 season)
  • San Diego Padres · 2020 (1 season)
  • Milwaukee Brewers · 2015 – 2019 (5 seasons)

MLB record

YearTeamPJVDMPMMJRBWHIP
2023Arizona Diamondbacks18257.0082.1721.66
2022Arizona Diamondbacks27254.09134.11021.30
2021Chicago Cubs326125.78148.01141.60
2020San Diego Padres12742.7369.1631.07
2019Milwaukee Brewers311073.55159.21021.29
2018Milwaukee Brewers13274.7766.0491.33
2017Milwaukee Brewers331793.90191.11241.35
2016Milwaukee Brewers281173.97163.11351.25
2015Milwaukee Brewers6323.7134.0241.21
Career totals20060584.361048.17851.35

Zach Davies: our analysis

2023 season: 18 G, 82.3 IP, 2 W, 5 L, 72 SO, 1.66 WHIP. WAR 0.8 (116th of 168) · PAL 7, very poor.

In 2023, Zach Davies, 33, posts a PAL Rating of 7 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of 0.8 ranks 116th among 168 regulars, in the bottom half.

On the other hand, workload (1, among the weakest in the league) and velocity (4, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.

A marked decline: his PAL was 18 in 2022, against 7 now; his WAR, though, went from 0.4 to 0.8.

Advanced stats, 2023 Starting pitcher

MLB stats →

ERA

7.00

FIP

4.58

xFIP

4.79

ERA-

159

WHIP

1.66

K%

19.1 %

BB%

10.3 %

Strikeouts

72

Innings

82.3

Wins

2

Stats: MLB (statsapi) and Baseball Savant.

2024 projection

MLB trends →

Projected WAR

1.0

80% of cases: -0.6 to 3.0

Strikeouts

92

2023 WAR

0.8

This season's pace, over the average of the last two workloads, adjusted for next year's age.

Trend

→ Stable (+7)

  • 20210.0 WAR · 0.0 per full season
  • 20220.4 WAR · 0.5 per full season
  • 20230.8 WAR · 1.7 per full season

Outlook, age included

+7 · 30 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes.

Player ratings, 2023

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from Statcast, never by hand: 75 = established regular, 95+ = elite.

OV · Overall

44

Replacement or prospect

VEL
Velocity
49
STF
Stuff
59
CTL
Control
59
CNT
Contact allowed
67
STA
Stamina
51
DUR
Durability
76
EX
Experience
78
Why these ratings?
  • VEL — Velocity : Fastball velocity
  • STF — Stuff : Strikeouts, K − BB
  • CTL — Control : Walks avoided
  • CNT — Contact allowed : xwOBA, barrels and hard-hit balls allowed
  • STA — Stamina : Innings per start and innings pitched
  • DUR — Durability : Games played over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : Seasons in the majors

WAR and PAL Rating, 2023

How we rate →

WAR is fWAR (FanGraphs' version, distributed through MLB's API): wins added above a replacement player. PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same role (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Run prevention15
Stuff23
Command15
Contact allowed29
Velocity4
Workload1

A pitcher's WAR

Computed by MLB from FIP (strikeouts, walks, home runs). FIP: 4.58 · RA9-WAR: -1.0

MLB's tracking of every ball, 2023 season. The percentile ranks the player among regulars in the role: 90th means better than 90% of them.

Fastball

89.4 mi/h

3th percentile

K%

19.1 %

26th percentile

BB%

10.3 %

12th percentile

xERA

5.48

15th percentile

xwOBA allowed

.355

15th percentile

Barrels allowed

8.0 %

57th percentile

Season by season
SeasonTeamWARPALOVFastballK%BB%xERAxwOBA allowed
2023AZ0.874489.419.110.35.48.355
2022AZ0.4185289.717.99.14.58.333
2021CHC0.013888.217.111.26.19.373

Game log, 2023

DateOpponentIPHERBBSOERA
Sep 26@ CWS3.084137.00
Sep 16vs CHC4.053256.81
Sep 11@ NYM4.043356.81
Sep 6vs COL3.065326.81
Sep 1vs BAL6.041166.45
Aug 26vs CIN5.051256.93
Jul 18@ ATL3.289317.38
Jul 9vs PIT5.143266.37
Jul 4vs NYM5.254266.52
Jun 28vs TB7.020236.54

Zach Davies: frequently asked questions

What is Zach Davies's record in 2023?

Zach Davies is 2-5 in 2023, with a 7.00 ERA and 72 strikeouts in 82.3 innings.

How old is Zach Davies?

Zach Davies is 33 years old: he was born on February 7, 1993.

How tall is Zach Davies, and how much does he weigh?

Zach Davies is 6'0" (183 cm) and weighs 181 lb (82 kg).

Where is Zach Davies from?

United States: Zach Davies was born in Puyallup, WA, United States.

How good is Zach Davies?

Zach Davies produced 0.8 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2023, 117th of 168 players at his position in the MLB. His PAL rating is 7 out of 100: very poor for his position.

Is Zach Davies a top-10 player at his position?

No: by WAR, he ranks 117th of 168 players at his position in the MLB in 2023. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

Is Zach Davies getting better?

No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 18 in 2022 to 7 in 2023 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

Where was Zach Davies drafted?

Zach Davies: 2011.

What is Zach Davies's projection for 2024?

Our projection has him at 1.0 WAR in 2024, based on his weighted recent seasons and age.