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Nelson

Palacio

M

NP

#8

Nelson Palacio

#8MToronto FC

Height : 5' 11" · Weight : 172 lbs · Age : 25

MLS record

YearTeam
2026 guaranteed comp.
473 k$
Base salary
430 k$
Rank on the club
#13 of 32

Guaranteed compensation: base salary plus signing bonuses and other guaranteed money, annualized; performance bonuses are not included. Contract length is not made public.

Advanced stats, 2025 Central midfielders

MLS stats →

2025 season. The percentile ranks the player among regular central midfielders (1,000+ minutes over a full season): 90th means better than 90% of them.

Goals

0

20th percentile

Assists

0

18th percentile

Expected goals (xG)

0.2

8th percentile

Expected assists (xA)

0.1

1th percentile

Goals − xG

−0.2

53th percentile

Key passes

4

4th percentile

Pass completion

87.5 %

58th percentile

Passes over expected

+0.7 /100

30th percentile

g+ per 90

−0.07

15th percentile

Minutes

689

Regular season. xG: expected goals from chance quality; xA: expected assists. Passes over expected: completed passes above expectation, per 100 passes, given their difficulty. g+: goals added, above the position average. Data: American Soccer Analysis.

2026 projection

MLS trends →

Projected WAR

0.0

Confidence: medium · based on the backtest and minutes played

Projected minutes

770

WAR 2025

-0.1

Minutes played

689

The pace of the last three seasons (WAR per minute, 60/25/15), pulled toward the group average as if 1,000 more minutes, over the minutes expected from the last two seasons, adjusted for age. Method chosen by backtest (2023 to 2026): mean error of 0.24 wins.

Trend

→ Stable (-2)

  • 2023-0.1 WAR · -0.31 per 3,000 min
  • 20240.0 WAR · 0.00 per 3,000 min
  • 2025-0.1 WAR · -0.44 per 3,000 min

The trend compares this season's WAR per 3,000 minutes with last season's (at least 500 minutes each), weighted by playing time.

Outlook, age included

+8 · 24 y.o. · prime years

It is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, transfers or role changes.

Player ratings, 2025

All ratings →

Ratings from 0 to 100, computed over four seasons from data, never by hand, against regulars in the same position group. 75 = established regular, 87 = 90th percentile, 95+ = elite. EX counts his MLS seasons since 2021, from our data: his career elsewhere is not included.

OV · Overall

66

Depth player

PAS
Passing
77
DEF
Defending
72
VIS
Vision
63
DRI
Dribbling
77
DIS
Discipline
45
DUR
Durability
48
EX
Experience
54
Why these ratings?
  • PAS — Passing : Goals added by passing, passes completed over expected
  • DEF — Defending : Goals added by interrupting (tackles, interceptions, clearances)
  • VIS — Vision : Expected assists and key passes per 90
  • DRI — Dribbling : Goals added by carrying the ball
  • DIS — Discipline : Goals added by fouls drawn and avoided
  • DUR — Durability : Share of his club's minutes played, over several seasons
  • EX — Experience : MLS seasons since 2021 (our data)

WAR and PAL Rating, 2025

How we rate →

WAR: the goals added (g+) of each of his actions, above replacement level (the per-minute output of his group's fringe players), converted to standings points (0.64 points per goal), then to wins (3 points = one win). PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against regulars in the same group (50 = median).

PAL: dimensions

Passing50
Defending21
Chance creation27
Receiving33
Dribbling58
Discipline2

Where WAR comes from (in wins)

Shooting+0.01

The value of his shots: the quality of the chance and what he makes of it.

Dribbling0.00

Carrying the ball and beating defenders, minus the balls lost.

Passing0.00

How his passes change his team's chances of scoring and conceding.

Interrupting−0.02

Breaking up the opponent's play: tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocked shots.

Receiving−0.04

Getting open and receiving the ball in dangerous areas.

Fouling−0.06

Fouls drawn (free kicks, penalties won) minus fouls committed.

Replacement adjustment+0.04

The parts above are measured against the position average. This adjustment moves the baseline to a fringe player in his group, prorated by minutes: positive when fringe players do worse than average, negative when they do better.

Season by season
SeasonTeamMinWARPALOVGAxGxAg+/90
2025RSL689-0.11066000.20.1−0.07
2024RSL8910.05674110.20.5−0.04
2023RSL960-0.12465010.30.1−0.06

Nelson Palacio in five questions

How many goals does Nelson Palacio have in 2025?

Nelson Palacio has 0 goals and 0 assists in 689 minutes in 2025 (expected goals: 0.2).

How old and how tall is Nelson Palacio?

Nelson Palacio is 25 years old. He is 5'11" (180 cm) and weighs 172 lb (78 kg).

How good is Nelson Palacio?

Nelson Palacio produced -0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025. His PAL rating is 10 out of 100: very poor for his position.

How much does Nelson Palacio make?

Nelson Palacio earns $423K for the 2025 season.

What number does Nelson Palacio wear, and what team does he play for?

Nelson Palacio plays for Toronto FC in the MLS, at M, and wears number 8.

See also: his Toronto FC teammates

Full roster →