Sam
Carrick
C · BUF · Limited · Very poor
- PAL
- 9
- WAR
- 0.1
- Value
- 20
- PTS
- 6
2025-26№ 321 / 615
Sam Carrick (Buffalo Sabres) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Sam Carrick
#10CPlays: Centre · 82% of faceoffs
Buffalo Sabres
HEIGHT : 183 cm · WEIGHT : 95 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : February 3, 1992 · Stouffville, Canada
Drafted : 2010 · TOR · round 5, pick #144
Contract : $1,000,000 · 2024-25 → 2026-27 · Standard Contract · UFA · Signing bonus $100,000
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Buffalo Sabres | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 2025-26 | Buffalo Sabres | 13 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 12 |
| 2025-26 | New York Rangers | 60 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 53 |
| 2024-25 | New York Rangers | 80 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 58 |
| 2023-24 | Edmonton Oilers | 16 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2023-24 | Anaheim Ducks | 61 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 90 |
| 2022-23 | Anaheim Ducks | 52 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 86 |
| 2021-22 | Anaheim Ducks | 64 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 85 |
| 2020-21 | Anaheim Ducks | 13 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 28 |
| 2019-20 | Anaheim Ducks | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 2018-19 | Anaheim Ducks | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 2015-16 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2014-15 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 |
| NHL totals | 401 | 43 | 47 | 90 | 443 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Buffalo Sabres | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2023-24 | Edmonton Oilers | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 |
| Playoff totals | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | |
Sam Carrick: our analysis
2025-26 season: 13 GP, 5 G, 1 A, 6 PTS, +4 +/-, 10:45 TOI. WAR 0.1 (321st of 615) · PAL 9, very poor.
In 2025-26, Sam Carrick, 34, posts a PAL Rating of 9 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of 0.1 ranks 321st among 615 regulars, in the bottom half.
On the other hand, penalty kill (3, among the weakest in the league) and shooting (19, well below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: finishing (+0.8); his biggest cost: EV offense (-0.9).
An improvement on 2024-25, when his PAL was 2; his WAR went from -1.2 to 0.1.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 20 (very poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Sam Carrick's story
A teenager playing in the 2005 Quebec International Pee-Wee Tournament with the Markham Waxers, Carrick developed his game around Markham before being taken in the first round of the OHL Priority Selection by the Brampton Battalion in 2008. He grew into leadership roles in junior, serving as an alternate captain and later captain of Brampton, and finished his final OHL season with career highs of 37 goals and 67 points in 68 games. That junior climb led to his selection at the 2010 NHL Entry Draft, 5th round, 144th overall, by the Toronto Maple Leafs.
Carrick turned pro after signing a three-year entry-level deal with Toronto on April 1, 2012. He began in the ECHL with the Idaho Steelheads, moved up to the Toronto Marlies in the AHL, and earned his NHL debut on November 1, 2014. He recorded his first NHL goal on March 26, 2015. Over the next seasons he split time between the AHL and NHL, adding responsibility with the Marlies while logging occasional stints with the Maple Leafs.
A free agent after his time in Toronto, Carrick signed with Chicago on July 1, 2016, and was traded to Anaheim on March 1, 2017. Anaheim signed him to multi-year deals and he spent substantial time with the San Diego Gulls, serving as their captain and producing significant seasons there. He reached a career-high 64 NHL games in 2021–22 with the Ducks but missed roughly six months after suffering a hip injury during the 2022–23 training camp. He began 2023–24 with Anaheim before being traded to Edmonton on March 6, 2024.
With the Oilers he contributed late in the regular season and made his NHL playoff debut on April 22, 2024; he skated in ten playoff games and recorded one assist as the club advanced to the 2024 Stanley Cup Final, where Edmonton fell in seven games to Florida. Following that campaign he signed a three-year, $3 million contract with the New York Rangers on July 1, 2024 and scored in his first game as a Ranger on October 9. On March 6, 2026, he was traded to the Buffalo Sabres in exchange for draft picks.
Carrick's game is defined by versatility and steadiness. He has been a reliable two-way forward who adapts to different line assignments, provides secondary scoring at the AHL level, and accepts checking and leadership duties when called upon.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 8:23
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:01
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:11
- Pts/GP
- 0.11
- EV points
- 1
- Hits
- 18
- Blocks
- 2
- Takeaways
- 1
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 44.5 %
- Off. zone starts
- 4.5 %
- Faceoffs
- 54.3 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
12between 1 and 23 (80% range)
- Goals
- 5
- Assists
- 7
- Games
- 67
So far: 1 pts in 9 games. The team has played 17 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.19 pts per game (last season: 0.22).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Stable
- Points per game: 0.21 in 23-24, 0.22 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 2 → 9
Outlook, age included
↘ Slight declineAge 34: the age when production usually declines
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 76 %
49
Replacement or prospect
- SK
- Skating
- 66
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 86
- Confidence 79 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 56
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 79
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 86
- Confidence 79 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 96
- Confidence 64 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 58
- Confidence 79 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 83
- Confidence 86 %
- PA
- Passing
- 56
- Confidence 76 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 63
- Confidence 76 %
- DF
- Defense
- 68
- Confidence 72 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 76
- Confidence 0 %
- EX
- Experience
- 75
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating66
- Top speed (35 %)35.4 · 63
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)3.949 · 63
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.5 · 80
- Speed consistency (15 %)34.9 · 66
ST — Strength86
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)5.186 · 84
- Body mass (50 %)0.27 · 81
EN — Endurance56
- Ice time per game (45 %)11.9 · 52
- Total ice time (20 %)754 · 66
- Shift length (15 %)41.4 · 57
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)11 · 59
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.586 · 62
DU — Durability79
- Share of games played (100 %)0.845 · 79
CK — Checking86
- Hits /60 (70 %)7.919 · 85
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)7.564 · 88
- Season volume (10 %)4.673 · 81
FG — Fighting96
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)3.276 · 96
DI — Discipline58
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)-0.026 · 59
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.916 · 60
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.769 · 76
FO — Faceoffs83
- Faceoff % (85 %)53.2 · 84
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)42.9 · 79
PA — Passing56
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.497 · 62
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.281 · 49
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)-0.076 · 61
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.415 · 74
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.278 · 62
SC — Scoring63
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.671 · 69
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.638 · 63
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)-0.157 · 76
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)0.991 · 62
- xG per shot (10 %)0.078 · 59
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)11.4 · 70
DF — Defense68
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.067 · 63
- Relative xG against (20 %)-0.099 · 78
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.608 · 76
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.275 · 55
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.154 · 80
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)58.7 · 71
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.837 · 78
PS — Penalty shot76
- Shootouts (60 %)32.7 · 76
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience75
- Career regular-season games (65 %)84
- Career playoff games (25 %)47
- NHL seasons (10 %)87
OV — Overall49
- SC · Scoring (20 %)63
- PA · Passing (20 %)56
- DF · Defense (20 %)68
- SK · Skating (12 %)66
- FO · Faceoffs (10 %)83
- EN · Endurance (8 %)56
- DI · Discipline (5 %)58
- ST · Strength (3 %)86
- CK · Checking (2 %)86
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 49 | 66 | 63 | 68 |
| 2024-25 | 50 | 63 | 62 | 67 |
| 2023-24 | 53 | 68 | 65 | 64 |
| 2022-23 | 42 | 63 | 60 | 61 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
0.1
wins above replacement
321 of 615
PAL Rating
9/ 100
Performance · Very poor
431 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
20/ 100
Very poor return
1.00 M$ · expected PAL 37
ProfileLimitedBelow average at both ends
- Offense
- 18
- Defense
- 25
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 26
- Creation
- 27
- Shooting
- 19
- Possession
- 25
- Defense
- 45
- Discipline
- 28
- Power play
- 38
- Penalty kill
- 3
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | BUF | 0.1 | 9 | 20 | 1.00 M$ |
| 2024-25 | NYR | -1.2 | 2 | 4 | 1.00 M$ |
| 2023-24 | EDM | -0.5 | 3 | 8 | 0.85 M$ |
| 2022-23 | ANA | -0.8 | 1 | 1 | 0.85 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
13/ 100
Low
better than 13% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
19/ 100
Low
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
22/ 100
Below average
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 367 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 13
- Shot selection
- 4
- Penalties drawn
- 63
- Puck management
- 93
Defense
- Takeaways
- 44
- Discipline
- 32
- Safe zone exits
- 19
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | BUF | 13 | 19 | 22 |
| 2024-25 | NYR | 3 | 15 | 3 |
| 2023-24 | EDM | 13 | 71 | 7 |
| 2022-23 | ANA | 7 | 32 | 8 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
0.1
wins above replacement
-0.7 to 0.8 — 90% interval
321 of 615 forwards
+0.7 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- -0.9
- EV defense
- -0.5
- Power play
- 0.0
- Penalty kill
- -0.5
- Shooting
- +0.8
- Penalties
- -0.2
- Average → replacement
- +2.0
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | BUF | 73 | 0.1 | -0.7 to 0.8 | 321/615 |
| 2024-25 | NYR | 77 | -1.2 | -2.0 to -0.4 | 591/596 |
| 2023-24 | EDM | 77 | -0.5 | -1.1 to 0.4 | 559/608 |
| 2022-23 | ANA | 52 | -0.8 | -1.5 to -0.1 | 591/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 133.8 km/h56th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 33.8 km/h16th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 26th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 36.3 %5th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 18.0 km18th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 3.07 km10th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 36.6 %3rd percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 18.4 %65th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 45.4 %6th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 925th percentile | 024th percentile | 0.0 %3rd percentile |
| High danger | 221st percentile | 034th percentile | 0.0 %10th percentile |
| Mid range | 334th percentile | 054th percentile | 0.0 %32nd percentile |
| Long range | 031st percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
VGK
CBJ
OTT
LAK
ANA
TOR
UTA
CHISam Carrick: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Sam Carrick have in 2026-27?
Sam Carrick has 0 goals and 1 point (1 assist) in 9 games in 2026-27.
How old is Sam Carrick?
Sam Carrick is 34 years old: he was born on February 4, 1992.
How tall is Sam Carrick, and how much does he weigh?
Sam Carrick is 6'0" (183 cm) and weighs 209 lb (95 kg).
Where is Sam Carrick from?
Canada: Sam Carrick was born in Stouffville, Ontario, Canada.
What team does Sam Carrick play for?
Sam Carrick plays for the Buffalo Sabres in the NHL, at C, wearing number 10.
Is Sam Carrick injured?
No: Sam Carrick is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Sam Carrick?
Sam Carrick produced 0.1 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 321st of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 9 out of 100: very poor for his position.
How much does Sam Carrick make?
Sam Carrick earns $1.0M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 20 out of 100 (very poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Sam Carrick's contract end?
Sam Carrick's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent.
Is Sam Carrick overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 20 out of 100 (very poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Sam Carrick a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 321st of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Sam Carrick getting better?
Yes: his PAL rating went from 2 in 2024-25 to 9 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Sam Carrick played lately?
Over his last 9 games, Sam Carrick has 1 point (0 goals, 1 assist).
What are Sam Carrick's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Sam Carrick has 401 games, 43 goals, 47 assists and 90 points. His best season: 2024-25, with 20 points in 80 games.
Where was Sam Carrick drafted?
Sam Carrick was drafted 144th overall (round 5) by Toronto Maple Leafs in 2010.
How does Sam Carrick perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Sam Carrick has 11 games and 1 point in his career. His pace (0.09 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (0.22).
Which player is most similar to Sam Carrick?
Kent Johnson: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Kent Johnson's page →Is Sam Carrick a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 12 points in 2026-27, or 0.18 points per game.
Does Sam Carrick have siblings?
Yes: his brother Jake Carrick (played major junior ice hockey in the OHL), his brother Trevor Carrick (drafted by the Carolina Hurricanes in 2012; is playing with the Charlotte Checkers of the AHL), his brother Josh Carrick (played major junior ice hockey in the OHL).
Is Sam Carrick related to anyone famous?
Yes: John F. Carrick (father, played junior C hockey with the Stouffville 70s); Bobby Hughes (cousin, minor league journeyman).
What is Sam Carrick's nationality?
Sam Carrick is Canadian.
Where did Sam Carrick play before turning pro?
youth Markham Waxers (2005 Quebec International Pee-Wee Tournament); Toronto Red Wings (Minor Midget season); Brampton Battalion (OHL), a first-round choice in the 2008 OHL Priority Selection; alternate captain in 2010–11; captain in 2011–12.
How many points is Sam Carrick projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 12 points in 67 games in 2026-27 (1 to 23 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Buffalo Sabres teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)