Ryan
Nugent-Hopkins
C · EDM · Offensive · Above average
- PAL
- 60
- WAR
- 1.5
- Value
- 46
- PTS
- 56
2025-26№ 101 / 615
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (Edmonton Oilers) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
#93CPlays: Centre and winger · 29% of faceoffs
Edmonton Oilers
HEIGHT : 183 cm · WEIGHT : 86 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : April 11, 1993 · Burnaby, Canada
Drafted : 2011 · EDM · round 1, pick #1
Contract : $5,125,000 · 2021-22 → 2028-29 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFANMC
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Edmonton Oilers | 9 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 8 |
| 2025-26 | Edmonton Oilers | 72 | 20 | 36 | 56 | 21 |
| 2024-25 | Edmonton Oilers | 78 | 20 | 29 | 49 | 24 |
| 2023-24 | Edmonton Oilers | 80 | 18 | 49 | 67 | 36 |
| 2022-23 | Edmonton Oilers | 82 | 37 | 67 | 104 | 35 |
| 2021-22 | Edmonton Oilers | 63 | 11 | 39 | 50 | 16 |
| 2020-21 | Edmonton Oilers | 52 | 16 | 19 | 35 | 22 |
| 2019-20 | Edmonton Oilers | 65 | 22 | 39 | 61 | 33 |
| 2018-19 | Edmonton Oilers | 82 | 28 | 41 | 69 | 26 |
| 2017-18 | Edmonton Oilers | 62 | 24 | 24 | 48 | 20 |
| 2016-17 | Edmonton Oilers | 82 | 18 | 25 | 43 | 29 |
| 2015-16 | Edmonton Oilers | 55 | 12 | 22 | 34 | 18 |
| 2014-15 | Edmonton Oilers | 76 | 24 | 32 | 56 | 25 |
| 2013-14 | Edmonton Oilers | 80 | 19 | 37 | 56 | 26 |
| 2012-13 | Edmonton Oilers | 40 | 4 | 20 | 24 | 8 |
| 2011-12 | Edmonton Oilers | 62 | 18 | 34 | 52 | 16 |
| NHL totals | 1040 | 295 | 520 | 815 | 363 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 2024-25 | Edmonton Oilers | 22 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 6 |
| 2023-24 | Edmonton Oilers | 25 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 8 |
| 2022-23 | Edmonton Oilers | 12 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 4 |
| 2021-22 | Edmonton Oilers | 16 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 14 |
| 2020-21 | Edmonton Oilers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 2019-20 | Edmonton Oilers | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 2016-17 | Edmonton Oilers | 13 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Playoff totals | 102 | 25 | 61 | 86 | 36 | |
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: our analysis
2025-26 season: 72 GP, 20 G, 36 A, 56 PTS, -9 +/-, 19:04 TOI. WAR 1.5 (101st of 615) · PAL 60, above average.
In 2025-26, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, 33, posts a PAL Rating of 60 out of 100 (above average), and his WAR of 1.5 ranks 101st among 615 regulars, in the top quarter.
His strengths: power play (96, among the best in the league), offense (74, above average) and shooting (63, above average). On the other hand, penalty kill (6, among the weakest in the league) and discipline (18, well below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: finishing (+3.4); his biggest cost: EV offense (-1.2).
A marked decline: his PAL was 74 in 2024-25, against 60 now; his WAR, though, went from 0.8 to 1.5.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 46 (fair value) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's story
Long before he reached the NHL, Nugent-Hopkins was turning heads in British Columbia with the Burnaby Winter Club and later with the Vancouver North West Giants, where tournament MVP honours and provincial championships helped shape his early reputation. Red Deer selected him first overall in the WHL Bantam Draft after he committed to the major-junior route rather than the NCAA. In the WHL he translated that promise into production. As a rookie with the Rebels he earned the Jim Piggott Memorial Trophy; by his draft year he led the league in assists, surpassed the 100-point mark and was named the CHL's top draft prospect. Those junior campaigns established him as a playmaker with consistent point totals and solid offensive instincts, which propelled him to the top of North American draft rankings. Edmonton made him the first overall pick in June 2011, and he debuted in the NHL that October at age 18. His rookie season yielded strong numbers and a spot on the NHL All-Rookie Team despite shoulder injuries that cost him significant time. Early on he took on first-line centre duties and power-play minutes; a seven-year contract extension followed in 2013. Career milestones include a 100-point regular season in 2022–23, a 22-point run in the 2024 Stanley Cup playoffs that helped the Oilers reach the Final, and playing his 1,000th NHL game in January 2026 — the first player to reach that mark having worn only an Oilers uniform. Internationally, Nugent-Hopkins has represented Canada at junior and senior levels: gold at the 2010 Ivan Hlinka tournament, junior tournaments through 2013, a senior debut at the 2012 IIHF World Championship, and later appearances with Team North America at the 2016 World Cup of Hockey and with Canada at the 2018 Worlds. As a player he is best described in straightforward terms: a centre who creates offence with his passing and court vision, who worked deliberately to add strength and improve face-offs and physical play, and who has carried those attributes through long stretches of his career with Edmonton.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 18:22
- PP TOI/GP
- 3:58
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:11
- Pts/GP
- 1.22
- EV points
- 4
- Hits
- 3
- Blocks
- 3
- Takeaways
- 3
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 47.2 %
- Off. zone starts
- 30.4 %
- Faceoffs
- 49.4 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
55between 33 and 77 (80% range)
- Goals
- 20
- Assists
- 36
- Games
- 66
So far: 11 pts in 9 games. The team has played 18 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.79 pts per game (last season: 0.78).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Slight decline
- Points per game: 0.84 in 23-24, 0.78 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 74 → 60
Outlook, age included
↓ DecliningAge 33: the age when production usually declines
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
Day-to-day· Head· expected back November 9
OV · OverallConfidence 85 %
80
Very good
- SK
- Skating
- 71
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 50
- Confidence 88 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 86
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 82
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 60
- Confidence 88 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 76
- Confidence 66 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 61
- Confidence 88 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 69
- Confidence 84 %
- PA
- Passing
- 86
- Confidence 85 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 79
- Confidence 85 %
- DF
- Defense
- 77
- Confidence 83 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 87
- Confidence 50 %
- EX
- Experience
- 95
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating71
- Top speed (35 %)36.4 · 79
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)3.847 · 62
- Distance /60 (20 %)15.9 · 61
- Speed consistency (15 %)35.9 · 81
ST — Strength50
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)2.3 · 48
- Body mass (50 %)-0.704 · 69
EN — Endurance86
- Ice time per game (45 %)17.8 · 86
- Total ice time (20 %)1,310 · 82
- Shift length (15 %)50.3 · 88
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)17.3 · 88
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)4.433 · 95
DU — Durability82
- Share of games played (100 %)0.861 · 82
CK — Checking60
- Hits /60 (70 %)1.951 · 58
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)1.672 · 61
- Season volume (10 %)3.258 · 62
FG — Fighting76
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.836 · 76
DI — Discipline61
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)-0.027 · 58
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.508 · 81
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.349 · 42
FO — Faceoffs69
- Faceoff % (85 %)48.4 · 71
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)22.9 · 64
PA — Passing86
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.955 · 86
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.667 · 86
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.006 · 70
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)6.391 · 92
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.856 · 89
SC — Scoring79
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.916 · 79
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.838 · 78
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.125 · 80
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.311 · 77
- xG per shot (10 %)0.085 · 82
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)12.7 · 78
DF — Defense77
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.073 · 81
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.026 · 70
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.527 · 79
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.201 · 59
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-0.697 · 91
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)58.8 · 71
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)1.865 · 60
PS — Penalty shot87
- Shootouts (60 %)34.8 · 89
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience95
- Career regular-season games (65 %)98
- Career playoff games (25 %)87
- NHL seasons (10 %)94
OV — Overall80
- SC · Scoring (20 %)79
- PA · Passing (20 %)86
- DF · Defense (20 %)77
- SK · Skating (12 %)71
- FO · Faceoffs (10 %)69
- EN · Endurance (8 %)86
- DI · Discipline (5 %)61
- ST · Strength (3 %)50
- CK · Checking (2 %)60
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 80 | 71 | 79 | 77 |
| 2024-25 | 83 | 69 | 80 | 81 |
| 2023-24 | 84 | 70 | 81 | 79 |
| 2022-23 | 86 | 69 | 88 | 77 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
1.5
wins above replacement
101 of 615
PAL Rating
60/ 100
Performance · Above average
174 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
46/ 100
Fair value
5.13 M$ · expected PAL 64
ProfileOffensiveValue comes mostly from offense
- Offense
- 75
- Defense
- 40
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 74
- Creation
- 38
- Shooting
- 63
- Possession
- 49
- Defense
- 50
- Discipline
- 18
- Power play
- 96
- Penalty kill
- 6
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | EDM | 1.5 | 60 | 46 | 5.13 M$ |
| 2024-25 | EDM | 0.8 | 74 | 57 | 5.13 M$ |
| 2023-24 | EDM | 0.2 | 80 | 64 | 5.13 M$ |
| 2022-23 | EDM | 3.3 | 93 | 85 | 5.13 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
58/ 100
Average
better than 58% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
38/ 100
Below average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
68/ 100
Average
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 176 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 68
- Shot selection
- 57
- Penalties drawn
- 2
- Puck management
- 78
Defense
- Takeaways
- 29
- Discipline
- 74
- Safe zone exits
- 74
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | EDM | 58 | 38 | 68 |
| 2024-25 | EDM | 82 | 79 | 67 |
| 2023-24 | EDM | 66 | 78 | 43 |
| 2022-23 | EDM | 85 | 77 | 78 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
1.5
wins above replacement
0.7 to 2.3 — 90% interval
101 of 615 forwards
+8.0 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- -1.2
- EV defense
- +1.0
- Power play
- +2.6
- Penalty kill
- -0.5
- Shooting
- +3.4
- Penalties
- -0.7
- Average → replacement
- +3.4
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | EDM | 72 | 1.5 | 0.7 to 2.3 | 101/615 |
| 2024-25 | EDM | 77 | 0.8 | -0.9 to 1.9 | 182/596 |
| 2023-24 | EDM | 80 | 0.2 | -1.4 to 1.6 | 311/608 |
| 2022-23 | EDM | 82 | 3.3 | 1.1 to 5.4 | 27/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 124.9 km/h23rd percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 35.0 km/h46th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 720th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 45.3 %82nd percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 42.6 km34th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 5.63 km84th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 42.1 %69th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 17.0 %8th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 37.7 %73rd percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 1743rd percentile | 474th percentile | 23.5 %92nd percentile |
| High danger | 963rd percentile | 274th percentile | 22.2 %60th percentile |
| Mid range | 762nd percentile | 288th percentile | 28.6 %92nd percentile |
| Long range | 031st percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
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CARRyan Nugent-Hopkins: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Ryan Nugent-Hopkins have in 2026-27?
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has 4 goals and 11 points (7 assists) in 9 games in 2026-27.
How old is Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is 33 years old: he was born on April 12, 1993.
How tall is Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, and how much does he weigh?
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is 6'0" (183 cm) and weighs 190 lb (86 kg).
Where is Ryan Nugent-Hopkins from?
Canada: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins was born in Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada.
What team does Ryan Nugent-Hopkins play for?
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins plays for the Edmonton Oilers in the NHL, at C, wearing number 93.
Is Ryan Nugent-Hopkins injured?
Yes: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is injured, day-to-day (head). He is expected back around November 9.
How good is Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins produced 1.5 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 101st of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 60 out of 100: above average for his position.
How much does Ryan Nugent-Hopkins make?
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins earns $5.1M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 46 out of 100 (fair value): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's contract end?
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's contract runs through the 2028-29 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent. It includes a NMC clause.
Is Ryan Nugent-Hopkins overpaid?
Neither: he delivers about what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 46 out of 100 (fair value), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Ryan Nugent-Hopkins a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 101st of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Ryan Nugent-Hopkins getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 74 in 2024-25 to 60 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Ryan Nugent-Hopkins played lately?
Over his last 9 games, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has 11 points (4 goals, 7 assists).
What are Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has 1,040 games, 295 goals, 520 assists and 815 points. His best season: 2022-23, with 104 points in 82 games.
Where was Ryan Nugent-Hopkins drafted?
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins was drafted 1st overall (round 1) by Edmonton Oilers in 2011.
How does Ryan Nugent-Hopkins perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has 102 games and 86 points in his career. His pace (0.84 points per game) is similar to his regular-season pace (0.78).
Which player is most similar to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
J.T. Miller: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
J.T. Miller's page →Is Ryan Nugent-Hopkins a good fantasy pick?
Yes, a solid pick: our projection has him at 55 points in 2026-27, or 0.83 points per game.
Is Ryan Nugent-Hopkins related to anyone famous?
Yes: Carson Wetsch (cousin, forward / drafted by the San Jose Sharks in 2024).
Is Ryan Nugent-Hopkins married?
Yes, married to Breanne (née Windle) in 2019.
What is Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's nationality?
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is Canadian. Internationally: Represented Canada at junior and senior levels: gold medal at the 2010 Ivan Hlinka; member of Canada's senior team at the 2012 IIHF World Championship (eliminated in quarterfinals) and 2018 IIHF World Championship (lost in semifinals); captain of Canada's junior team at the 2013 World Juniors (tournament scoring leader, named top forward and to the All‑Star team); played for Team North America at the 2016 World Cup of Hockey.
What awards has Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won?
Jim Piggott Memorial Trophy (WHL Rookie of the Year) — 2009–10 ; CHL Top Draft Prospect / Top Prospect of the Year — 2011 ; WHL East First All‑Star Team — 2011 ; CHL Player of the Week (week ending Feb 6, 2011) ; WHL Player of the Month — March 2011 ; Named to the All‑Star team and Top Forward at the 2013 World Junior Championship ; Named to the NHL All‑Rookie Team — 2012 ; NHL Rookie of the Month — October 2011, November 2011; and more.
How many championships has Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won?
3: Western Canadian Bantam championships with Burnaby Winter Club — 2007; BCMML championship with Vancouver North West Giants — 2009; WHL Central Division title with the Red Deer Rebels — 2010–11.
What is Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's nickname?
He is nicknamed Nuge.
Where did Ryan Nugent-Hopkins play before turning pro?
Burnaby Winter Club (2006–2008); Vancouver North West Giants (BCMML) — 2008–09; Red Deer Rebels (WHL) — 2009–2011.
How many points is Ryan Nugent-Hopkins projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 55 points in 66 games in 2026-27 (33 to 77 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Edmonton Oilers teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)