Nikita

Grebenkin

RAge : 23Shoots : L

#17

17Base

Nikita

Grebenkin

R · PHI · Balanced · Very poor

PAL: 17
WAR: 0.3
Value: 30
PTS: 14

2025-26№ 271 / 615

Nikita Grebenkin (Philadelphia Flyers) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.

Nikita Grebenkin

#17RPlays: Right wing · 1% of faceoffsPhiladelphia Flyers

HEIGHT : 188 cm · WEIGHT : 95 kg · SHOOTS : L

Born : May 1, 2003 · Serov, Russia

Drafted : 2022 · TOR · round 5, pick #135

Contract : $1,100,000 · 2026-27 → 2027-28 · Standard Contract · RFA

NHL record

Year	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	PIM
2025-26	Philadelphia Flyers	55	4	10	14	46
2024-25	Toronto Maple Leafs	7	0	0	0	2
NHL totals		62	4	10	14	48

Nikita Grebenkin: our analysis

2025-26 season: 55 GP, 4 G, 10 A, 14 PTS, -7 +/-, 11:17 TOI. WAR 0.3 (271st of 615) · PAL 17, very poor.

In 2025-26, Nikita Grebenkin, 23, posts a PAL Rating of 17 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of 0.3 ranks 271st among 615 regulars, in the top half.

His strengths: discipline (85, among the best in the league). On the other hand, creation (0, among the weakest in the league) and power play (15, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: penalties (+0.9); his biggest cost: finishing (-0.4).

His WAR went from -0.1 in 2024-25 to 0.3.

Contract-wise, his Value score of 30 (poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.

Nikita Grebenkin's story

Growing up in Serov, Grebenkin came through Metallurg Magnitogorsk’s system and made his first real impact with the club’s junior team, Stalnye Lisy. There he honed a scoring touch and positional sense that opened the door to occasional KHL exposure while he completed his junior development.

The 2021–22 campaign was decisive: he appeared once for Metallurg in the KHL on 8 December 2021, but spent most of the year in the MHL where he scored 17 goals and amassed 64 points in 58 games. That season’s production led to him being selected in the fifth round, 135th overall, by the Toronto Maple Leafs in the 2022 NHL Entry Draft after going unselected the year before.

Grebenkin then stepped up to regular KHL duty. Loaned to Amur Khabarovsk for the 2022–23 season, he recorded his first professional points and was awarded the Alexei Cherepanov Award as the league’s rookie of the year. He later returned to Metallurg and was part of the organization when the team captured the 2024 Gagarin Cup. Following that season he signed an entry-level contract with Toronto.

He moved to North America for 2024–25, joining the Toronto Marlies in the AHL. After 13 games with four goals and ten points he earned a call-up and made his NHL debut on 20 November 2024 in a 3–0 win over the Vegas Golden Knights. On 7 March 2025 he was traded to the Philadelphia Flyers along with a conditional 2026 first-round pick in the deal for Scott Laughton and two draft selections.

At the international level Grebenkin has represented Russia in youth selections and played his first match with the senior-sided national selection on 14 December 2023 in a Perviy Kanal Cup game against a VHL selection. On the ice he is best described as a compact winger with an instinct for finding space around the net and contributing in offence through finishing and possession play.

Nikita Grebenkin and Jamie Oleksiak during a game in Seattle — Philadelphia Flyers at Seattle Kraken, December 28, 2025.Photo: Jenn G from Seattle, WA · CC BY-SA 4.0

Nikita Grebenkin and Jamie Oleksiak (cropped) on ice in Seattle — Philadelphia Flyers at Seattle Kraken, December 28, 2025.Photo: Jenn G from Seattle, WA · CC BY-SA 4.0

Nikita Grebenkin during warmup, September 28, 2024 — Nikita Grebenkin during warmup on September 28, 2024.Photo: Maniacduhockey · CC0

Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.

Advanced stats

TOI/GP: 11:17
PP TOI/GP: 0:12
SH TOI/GP: 0:00
Pts/GP: 0.25
EV points: 14
Hits: 86
Blocks: 17
Takeaways: 13
Corsi % (SAT): 47.2 %
Off. zone starts: 26.2 %
Faceoffs: 66.7 %

Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)

2026-27 projection

Projected points

9between 0 and 19 (80% range)

Goals: 3
Assists: 7
Games: 35

So far: 0 pts in 0 games. The team has played 20 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.26 pts per game (last season: 0.25).

The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.

This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.

Player ratings, 2025-26

All ratings →

Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.

Injured reserve· Back· expected back February 13

OV · OverallConfidence 40 %

Depth

SK: Skating; 69; Confidence 57 %
ST: Strength; 91; Confidence 46 %
EN: Endurance; 63; Confidence 50 %
DU: Durability; 57; Confidence 57 %
CK: Checking; 82; Confidence 46 %
FG: Fighting; 85; Confidence 28 %
DI: Discipline; 83; Confidence 46 %
FO: Faceoffs; —
PA: Passing; 73; Confidence 40 %
SC: Scoring; 56; Confidence 40 %
DF: Defense; 77; Confidence 36 %
PS: Penalty shot; 76; Confidence 0 %
EX: Experience; 42; Confidence 100 %

Why these ratings?

SK — Skating69

Top speed (35 %)35.6 · 68
Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)4.398 · 70
Distance /60 (20 %)16 · 71
Speed consistency (15 %)35.2 · 75

ST — Strength91

Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)6.181 · 94
Body mass (50 %)0.499 · 81

EN — Endurance63

Ice time per game (45 %)12.6 · 62
Total ice time (20 %)610 · 62
Shift length (15 %)44.6 · 69
Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)12.4 · 68
Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.076 · 56

DU — Durability57

Share of games played (100 %)0.66 · 57

CK — Checking82

Hits /60 (70 %)6.889 · 82
Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)6.51 · 83
Season volume (10 %)4.466 · 78

FG — Fighting85

Fights per 82 games (100 %)1.181 · 85

DI — Discipline83

Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.05 · 83
Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.746 · 72
Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)1.041 · 85

PA — Passing73

Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.658 · 74
Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.441 · 73
Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.029 · 68
Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.221 · 72
Assist consistency (10 %)0.553 · 78

SC — Scoring56

Goals /60 (25 %)0.672 · 60
Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.612 · 45
Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.069 · 74
High-danger chances /60 (15 %)0.888 · 49
xG per shot (10 %)0.08 · 75
Shot attempts /60 (10 %)10.9 · 55

DF — Defense77

RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.007 · 73
Relative xG against (20 %)-0.049 · 78
On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.504 · 81
Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.036 · 78
Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.821 · 69
Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)56.2 · 83
Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.22 · 73

PS — Penalty shot76

Shootouts (60 %)32.7 · 76
Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76

EX — Experience42

Career regular-season games (65 %)58
Career playoff games (25 %)0
NHL seasons (10 %)37

OV — Overall64

SC · Scoring (28 %)56
PA · Passing (22 %)73
DF · Defense (18 %)77
SK · Skating (12 %)69
EN · Endurance (8 %)63
DI · Discipline (5 %)83
ST · Strength (4 %)91
CK · Checking (3 %)82

The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.

WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26

How we rate →

PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.

WAR

0.3

wins above replacement
271 of 615

PAL Rating

17/ 100

Performance · Very poor
390 of 476 at the position

Value Rating

30/ 100

Poor return
0.88 M$ · expected PAL 35

ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates

Offense: 7
Defense: 40

See full details

Offense: 25
Creation: 0
Shooting: 16
Possession: 31
Defense: 48
Discipline: 85
Power play: 15
Penalty kill: 26

Hockey IQ, 2025-26

Rankings and method →

The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.

Overall IQ

17/ 100

Low
better than 17% of forwards, offense and defense combined

Offensive IQ

51/ 100

Average
passing, shots, puck

Defensive IQ

13/ 100

Low
takeaways, discipline, own zone

Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 350 of 424 forwards.

See full details

Offense

Playmaking passes: 64
Shot selection: 37
Penalties drawn: 88
Puck management: 11

Defense

Takeaways: 84
Discipline: 24
Safe zone exits: 1

Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.

WAR, 2025-26

How it's calculated →

Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.

0.3

wins above replacement

-0.3 to 0.7 — 90% interval

271 of 615 forwards

+1.7 goals above replacement

Full leaderboard →

See full details

EV offense: -0.3
EV defense: -0.1
Power play: 0.0
Penalty kill: 0.0
Shooting: -0.4
Penalties: +0.9
Average → replacement: +1.6

Season by season
Season	Team	GP	WAR	90% interval	Rank
2025-26	PHI	55	0.3	-0.3 to 0.7	271/615
2024-25	TOR	7	-0.1	-0.2 to 0.0	448/596

Player tracking (NHL EDGE)

League EDGE leaderboards →

Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.

SeasonCompare with 24-25

Hardest shot: 133.1 km/h34th percentileleague avg. 134.6 km/h
Top skating speed: 35.5 km/h39th percentileleague avg. 35.7 km/h
Bursts over 20 mph, season: 3134th percentileleague avg. 75
Offensive zone time: 41.7 %45th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %

See full details

Total distance, season: 162.7 km41st percentileleague avg. 198.8 km
Distance, single-game high: 4.31 km39th percentileleague avg. 4.70 km
Offensive zone at 5v5: 41.5 %62nd percentileleague avg. 42.0 %
Neutral zone time: 18.8 %98th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
Defensive zone time: 39.5 %57th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %

Shooting

	Shots on goal	Goals	Shooting %
All	3229th percentile	434th percentile	12.5 %39th percentile
High danger	1027th percentile	228th percentile	20.0 %48th percentile
Mid range	1135th percentile	130th percentile	9.1 %25th percentile
Long range	543rd percentile	181st percentile	20.0 %96th percentile

Shots on goal by zone

Beyond the red line : 2

2025-2026 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.

Game log, 2025-26

Date	Opponent	G	A	PTS	+/-	Shots	TOI
Mar 21	@SJS	0	0	0	+1	0	8:55
Mar 19	@LAK	0	0	0	-1	0	10:44
Mar 18	@ANA	0	0	0	+1	0	8:47
Mar 14	vsCBJ	0	0	0	0	2	11:55
Mar 12	@MIN	0	0	0	0	0	12:50
Mar 11	vsWSH	0	0	0	0	1	14:44
Mar 9	vsNYR	0	1	1	+1	0	11:40
Mar 7	@PIT	0	1	1	+1	0	10:30
Mar 5	vsUTA	0	0	0	0	0	12:27
Mar 2	@TOR	0	0	0	-1	0	8:44
Feb 28	vsBOS	0	0	0	-1	1	11:37
Feb 26	@NYR	0	0	0	-1	1	12:08
Feb 25	@WSH	0	0	0	0	0	9:13
Feb 5	vsOTT	0	0	0	0	0	10:38
Feb 3	vsWSH	0	0	0	0	1	13:18
Jan 31	vsLAK	0	1	1	0	0	13:07
Jan 29	@BOS	1	0	1	-1	5	13:43
Jan 28	@CBJ	0	0	0	0	0	10:16
Jan 26	vsNYI	0	0	0	-1	0	11:45
Jan 21	@UTA	0	0	0	0	0	11:54
Jan 17	vsNYR	0	0	0	-1	0	13:53
Jan 15	@PIT	0	0	0	-2	0	15:41
Jan 14	@BUF	0	0	0	+1	1	13:50
Jan 12	vsTBL	0	0	0	0	0	10:50
Jan 10	vsTBL	0	0	0	-2	1	15:40
Jan 8	vsTOR	0	0	0	0	1	13:06
Jan 6	vsANA	1	1	2	+2	3	11:49
Dec 31	@CGY	0	0	0	-1	0	10:49
Dec 30	@VAN	0	1	1	0	0	10:52
Dec 28	@SEA	0	1	1	0	0	12:25
Dec 23	@CHI	0	0	0	0	1	11:03
Dec 22	vsVAN	1	1	2	+2	2	12:16
Dec 20	@NYR	0	0	0	-1	2	11:27
Dec 14	@CAR	0	0	0	0	0	6:48
Dec 13	vsCAR	0	0	0	-1	1	13:29
Dec 11	vsVGK	0	0	0	+1	1	12:20
Dec 9	vsSJS	0	0	0	+1	1	10:46
Dec 7	vsCOL	0	0	0	0	0	14:53
Dec 3	vsBUF	0	1	1	+1	0	12:02
Dec 1	vsPIT	0	0	0	0	1	12:40
Nov 29	@NJD	0	0	0	0	0	9:25
Nov 28	@NYI	0	0	0	-2	0	9:45
Nov 26	@FLA	0	0	0	0	0	10:59
Nov 15	@DAL	0	0	0	0	1	12:24
Nov 8	vsOTT	0	0	0	0	2	8:27
Nov 6	@NSH	0	0	0	-1	1	8:26
Nov 4	@MTL	1	0	1	+1	1	9:41
Nov 2	vsCGY	0	0	0	+1	0	12:06
Nov 1	vsTOR	0	1	1	0	0	10:44
Oct 25	vsNYI	0	0	0	-1	0	7:35
Oct 23	@OTT	0	0	0	0	0	7:12
Oct 20	vsSEA	0	0	0	0	0	7:38
Oct 16	vsWPG	0	0	0	-2	0	11:37
Oct 13	vsFLA	0	0	0	0	1	10:37
Oct 11	@CAR	0	1	1	-1	0	8:36

Show 45 more games

Nikita Grebenkin: frequently asked questions

How many goals does Nikita Grebenkin have in 2025-26?

Nikita Grebenkin has 4 goals and 14 points (10 assists) in 55 games in 2025-26.

How old is Nikita Grebenkin?

Nikita Grebenkin is 23 years old: he was born on May 2, 2003.

How tall is Nikita Grebenkin, and how much does he weigh?

Nikita Grebenkin is 6'2" (188 cm) and weighs 209 lb (95 kg).

Where is Nikita Grebenkin from?

Russia: Nikita Grebenkin was born in Serov, Russia.

What team does Nikita Grebenkin play for?

Nikita Grebenkin plays for the Philadelphia Flyers in the NHL, at R, wearing number 17.

Is Nikita Grebenkin injured?

Yes: Nikita Grebenkin is on injured reserve (back). He is expected back around February 13.

How good is Nikita Grebenkin?

Nikita Grebenkin produced 0.3 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 271st of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 17 out of 100: very poor for his position.

How much does Nikita Grebenkin make?

Nikita Grebenkin earns $875K for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 30 out of 100 (poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.

When does Nikita Grebenkin's contract end?

Nikita Grebenkin's contract runs through the 2027-28 season; he will then be a restricted free agent.

Is Nikita Grebenkin overpaid?

Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 30 out of 100 (poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.

Is Nikita Grebenkin a top-10 player at his position?

No: by WAR, he ranks 271st of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

How has Nikita Grebenkin played lately?

Over his last 10 games, Nikita Grebenkin has 2 points (0 goals, 2 assists).

What are Nikita Grebenkin's career stats?

Over his NHL career, Nikita Grebenkin has 62 games, 4 goals, 10 assists and 14 points. His best season: 2025-26, with 14 points in 55 games.

Where was Nikita Grebenkin drafted?

Nikita Grebenkin was drafted 135th overall (round 5) by Toronto Maple Leafs in 2022.

Is Nikita Grebenkin better at home or on the road?

No real difference: in 2025-26, he averages 0.29 points per game at home (8 in 28 games) and 0.22 on the road (6 in 27 games).

How does Nikita Grebenkin perform in the playoffs?

Nikita Grebenkin has not played in the NHL playoffs yet.

Which player is most similar to Nikita Grebenkin?

Jonatan Berggren: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.

Jonatan Berggren's page →

Is Nikita Grebenkin a good fantasy pick?

Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 9 points in 2026-27, or 0.26 points per game.

What is Nikita Grebenkin's nationality?

Nikita Grebenkin is Russian.

What awards has Nikita Grebenkin won?

Alexei Cherepanov Award — KHL rookie of the year (2022–23 season).

How many championships has Nikita Grebenkin won?

1: 2024 Gagarin Cup with Metallurg Magnitogorsk.

Where did Nikita Grebenkin play before turning pro?

Stalnye Lisy (Russian Junior Hockey League, MHL) — majority of the 2021–22 season, 17 goals and 64 points in 58 games.

How many points is Nikita Grebenkin projected to score in 2026-27?

Our projection has him at 9 points in 35 games in 2026-27 (0 to 19 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.

Nikita Grebenkin

NHL record

Nikita Grebenkin: our analysis

Nikita Grebenkin's story

Advanced stats

2026-27 projection

Player ratings, 2025-26

WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26

Hockey IQ, 2025-26

WAR, 2025-26

Player tracking (NHL EDGE)

Shooting

Shots on goal by zone

Game log, 2025-26

Nikita Grebenkin: frequently asked questions

How many goals does Nikita Grebenkin have in 2025-26?

How old is Nikita Grebenkin?

How tall is Nikita Grebenkin, and how much does he weigh?

Where is Nikita Grebenkin from?

What team does Nikita Grebenkin play for?

Is Nikita Grebenkin injured?

How good is Nikita Grebenkin?

How much does Nikita Grebenkin make?

When does Nikita Grebenkin's contract end?

Is Nikita Grebenkin overpaid?

Is Nikita Grebenkin a top-10 player at his position?

How has Nikita Grebenkin played lately?

What are Nikita Grebenkin's career stats?

Where was Nikita Grebenkin drafted?

Is Nikita Grebenkin better at home or on the road?

How does Nikita Grebenkin perform in the playoffs?

Which player is most similar to Nikita Grebenkin?

Is Nikita Grebenkin a good fantasy pick?

What is Nikita Grebenkin's nationality?

What awards has Nikita Grebenkin won?

How many championships has Nikita Grebenkin won?

Where did Nikita Grebenkin play before turning pro?

How many points is Nikita Grebenkin projected to score in 2026-27?

See also: his Philadelphia Flyers teammates