Nick
Perbix
D · NSH · Limited · Very poor
- PAL
- 11
- WAR
- -0.3
- Value
- 11
- PTS
- 13
2025-26№ 280 / 325
Nick Perbix (Nashville Predators) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Nick Perbix
HEIGHT : 193 cm · WEIGHT : 93 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : June 14, 1998 · Elk River, United States
Drafted : 2017 · TBL · round 6, pick #169
Contract : $2,750,000 · 2025-26 → 2026-27 · Standard Contract · UFA
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Nashville Predators | 16 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2025-26 | Nashville Predators | 79 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 20 |
| 2024-25 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 74 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 20 |
| 2023-24 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 77 | 2 | 22 | 24 | 10 |
| 2022-23 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 69 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 22 |
| NHL totals | 315 | 18 | 62 | 80 | 78 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 2023-24 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2022-23 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Playoff totals | 13 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | |
Nick Perbix: our analysis
2025-26 season: 79 GP, 3 G, 10 A, 13 PTS, -14 +/-, 19:07 TOI. WAR -0.3 (280th of 325) · PAL 11, very poor.
In 2025-26, Nick Perbix, 28, posts a PAL Rating of 11 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of -0.3 ranks 280th among 325 regulars, in the bottom quarter.
On the other hand, possession (10, among the weakest in the league) and offense (11, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), no component is positive; the costliest: EV offense (-2.2).
A marked decline: his PAL was 52 in 2024-25, against 11 now; his WAR went from 0.4 to -0.3.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 11 (very poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Nick Perbix's story
Growing up in Elk River, Minnesota, Perbix stood out early at the high-school level, finishing his senior year with well over a point per game and earning recognition as a finalist for the Mr. Hockey Award. That local success led to a steady climb through junior hockey and college rather than a fast-track professional jump.
Selected by the Tampa Bay Lightning in the 2017 NHL Draft, sixth round (169th overall), he spent 2017–18 with the Omaha Lancers in the USHL before enrolling at St. Cloud State. He made an immediate impact in the NCHC, helping the Huskies top the conference standings and earning a spot on the conference All-Rookie team. The COVID-19 pandemic cut short his sophomore year, but he returned to play a key role in sending St. Cloud to its first NCAA championship game.
Perbix turned pro in 2022: Tampa Bay signed him to a one-year entry-level contract on March 31, 2022, and he finished the season in the AHL with the Syracuse Crunch on an amateur tryout. He made his NHL debut on October 18, 2022, in a loss to the Philadelphia Flyers at Amalie Arena. His first NHL point was an assist on October 26 at the Honda Center, and his first goal came November 5, 2022, against the Buffalo Sabres. Tampa Bay locked him into a two-year extension on January 2, 2023, keeping him through the 2024–25 season.
Internationally, Perbix has represented the United States at various youth levels and was named to the U.S. roster for the 2022 Winter Olympics after the NHL opted not to send players. As a defenseman he has progressively increased his offensive output while solidifying his role on the blue line, combining steady defensive positioning with an ability to contribute points from the backend.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 18:28
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:08
- SH TOI/GP
- 3:01
- Pts/GP
- 0.25
- EV points
- 4
- Hits
- 3
- Blocks
- 26
- Takeaways
- 3
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 43.9 %
- Off. zone starts
- 25.9 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
15between 6 and 23 (80% range)
- Goals
- 5
- Assists
- 10
- Games
- 79
So far: 4 pts in 16 games. The team has played 17 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.18 pts per game (last season: 0.16).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Slight decline
- Points per game: 0.31 in 23-24, 0.16 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 52 → 11
Outlook, age included
↘ Slight declineAge 28: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 83 %
61
Depth
- SK
- Skating
- 60
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 75
- Confidence 86 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 69
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 82
- Confidence 73 %
- CK
- Checking
- 69
- Confidence 86 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 59
- Confidence 65 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 82
- Confidence 86 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 65
- Confidence 83 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 70
- Confidence 83 %
- DF
- Defense
- 71
- Confidence 80 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 76
- Confidence 0 %
- EX
- Experience
- 70
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating60
- Top speed (35 %)34.4 · 61
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)1.28 · 64
- Distance /60 (20 %)13.9 · 68
- Speed consistency (15 %)33.4 · 61
ST — Strength75
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)4.947 · 73
- Body mass (50 %)0.473 · 76
EN — Endurance69
- Ice time per game (45 %)17.5 · 67
- Total ice time (20 %)1,477 · 78
- Shift length (15 %)45.8 · 68
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)15 · 62
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.884 · 67
DU — Durability82
- Share of games played (100 %)0.863 · 82
CK — Checking69
- Hits /60 (70 %)2.432 · 69
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)1.62 · 65
- Season volume (10 %)3.466 · 68
FG — Fighting59
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.668 · 59
DI — Discipline82
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)-0.02 · 82
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.475 · 82
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.361 · 72
PA — Passing65
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.31 · 69
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.351 · 68
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)-0.071 · 66
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)3.999 · 70
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.182 · 68
SC — Scoring70
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.182 · 70
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.184 · 72
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.099 · 70
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)0.097 · 74
- xG per shot (10 %)0.034 · 76
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)8.672 · 67
DF — Defense71
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.015 · 74
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.038 · 72
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.672 · 71
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)-0.069 · 68
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-2.109 · 71
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)60 · 64
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)4.159 · 72
PS — Penalty shot76
- Shootouts (60 %)32.7 · 76
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience70
- Career regular-season games (65 %)80
- Career playoff games (25 %)50
- NHL seasons (10 %)55
OV — Overall61
- DF · Defense (30 %)71
- PA · Passing (22 %)65
- SK · Skating (12 %)60
- SC · Scoring (12 %)70
- EN · Endurance (9 %)69
- ST · Strength (6 %)75
- DI · Discipline (5 %)82
- CK · Checking (4 %)69
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 61 | 60 | 70 | 71 |
| 2024-25 | 80 | 72 | 78 | 77 |
| 2023-24 | 84 | 76 | 67 | 85 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 80 | 80 | 78 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
-0.3
wins above replacement
280 of 325
PAL Rating
11/ 100
Performance · Very poor
219 of 250 at the position
Value Rating
11/ 100
Very poor return
2.75 M$ · expected PAL 55
ProfileLimitedBelow average at both ends
- Offense
- 13
- Defense
- 24
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 11
- Creation
- 36
- Shooting
- 26
- Possession
- 10
- Defense
- 30
- Discipline
- 56
- Power play
- 25
- Penalty kill
- 54
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NSH | -0.3 | 11 | 11 | 2.75 M$ |
| 2024-25 | TBL | 0.4 | 52 | 68 | 1.13 M$ |
| 2023-24 | TBL | 0.5 | 60 | 71 | 1.13 M$ |
| 2022-23 | TBL | 0.5 | 69 | 79 | 0.84 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
32/ 100
Below average
better than 32% of defensemen, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
16/ 100
Low
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
48/ 100
Average
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 152 of 225 defensemen.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 5
- Shot selection
- 47
- Penalties drawn
- 20
- Puck management
- 35
Defense
- Takeaways
- 56
- Discipline
- 92
- Safe zone exits
- 4
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NSH | 32 | 16 | 48 |
| 2024-25 | TBL | 84 | 84 | 64 |
| 2023-24 | TBL | 86 | 59 | 91 |
| 2022-23 | TBL | 79 | 86 | 59 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
-0.3
wins above replacement
-1.1 to 0.5 — 90% interval
280 of 325 defensemen
-1.6 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- -2.2
- EV defense
- -0.8
- Power play
- -0.0
- Penalty kill
- -0.4
- Shooting
- -0.6
- Penalties
- -0.7
- Average → replacement
- +3.1
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NSH | 79 | -0.3 | -1.1 to 0.5 | 280/325 |
| 2024-25 | TBL | 71 | 0.4 | -0.2 to 1.5 | 114/314 |
| 2023-24 | TBL | 77 | 0.5 | 0.1 to 1.1 | 91/316 |
| 2022-23 | TBL | 69 | 0.5 | -0.2 to 1.4 | 85/334 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 126.3 km/h11th percentileleague avg. 139.7 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 34.4 km/h61st percentileleague avg. 34.0 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 858th percentileleague avg. 8
- Offensive zone time
- 40.0 %32nd percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 65.1 km52nd percentileleague avg. 56.1 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 4.75 km38th percentileleague avg. 4.98 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 43.1 %65th percentileleague avg. 42.8 %
- Neutral zone time
- 18.0 %43rd percentileleague avg. 16.9 %
- Defensive zone time
- 42.0 %30th percentileleague avg. 40.8 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 1350th percentile | 287th percentile | 15.4 %96th percentile |
| High danger | 394th percentile | 084th percentile | 0.0 %60th percentile |
| Mid range | 251st percentile | 190th percentile | 50.0 %100th percentile |
| Long range | 329th percentile | 077th percentile | 0.0 %67th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
STL
COL
CAR
TBL
WSH
NYI
PIT
SJS
VGK
OTT
MTL
TOR
DAL
MINNick Perbix: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Nick Perbix have in 2026-27?
Nick Perbix has 2 goals and 4 points (2 assists) in 16 games in 2026-27.
How old is Nick Perbix?
Nick Perbix is 28 years old: he was born on June 15, 1998.
How tall is Nick Perbix, and how much does he weigh?
Nick Perbix is 6'4" (193 cm) and weighs 205 lb (93 kg).
Where is Nick Perbix from?
United States: Nick Perbix was born in Elk River, Minnesota, United States.
What team does Nick Perbix play for?
Nick Perbix plays for the Nashville Predators in the NHL, at D, wearing number 48.
Is Nick Perbix injured?
No: Nick Perbix is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Nick Perbix?
Nick Perbix produced -0.3 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 280th of 325 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 11 out of 100: very poor for his position.
How much does Nick Perbix make?
Nick Perbix earns $2.8M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 11 out of 100 (very poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Nick Perbix's contract end?
Nick Perbix's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent.
Is Nick Perbix overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 11 out of 100 (very poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Nick Perbix a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 280th of 325 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Nick Perbix getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 52 in 2024-25 to 11 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Nick Perbix played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Nick Perbix has 4 points (2 goals, 2 assists).
What are Nick Perbix's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Nick Perbix has 315 games, 18 goals, 62 assists and 80 points. His best season: 2023-24, with 24 points in 77 games.
Where was Nick Perbix drafted?
Nick Perbix was drafted 169th overall (round 6) by Tampa Bay Lightning in 2017.
Is Nick Perbix better at home or on the road?
At home: in 2026-27, he averages 0.36 points per game at home (4 in 11 games) and 0.00 on the road (0 in 5 games).
How does Nick Perbix perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Nick Perbix has 13 games and 4 points in his career. His pace (0.31 points per game) is similar to his regular-season pace (0.25).
Which player is most similar to Nick Perbix?
Troy Stecher: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Troy Stecher's page →Is Nick Perbix a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 15 points in 2026-27, or 0.19 points per game.
What is Nick Perbix's nationality?
Nick Perbix is American. Internationally: United States — member of the national team at the 2022 Winter Olympics.
What awards has Nick Perbix won?
Finalist for the Mr. Hockey Award (high school level) ; Named to the NCHC conference All-Rookie team.
Where did Nick Perbix play before turning pro?
Elk River High School; Omaha Lancers (junior); St. Cloud State University (college).
How many points is Nick Perbix projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 15 points in 79 games in 2026-27 (6 to 23 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Nashville Predators teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)