Nathan
Bastian
R · FLA · Balanced · Below average
- PAL
- 35
- WAR
- 0.5
- Value
- 52
- PTS
- 7
2025-26№ 237 / 615
Nathan Bastian (Florida Panthers) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Nathan Bastian
#11RPlays: Right wing · 1% of faceoffs
Florida Panthers
HEIGHT : 193 cm · WEIGHT : 98 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : December 5, 1997 · Kitchener, Canada
Drafted : 2016 · NJD · round 2, pick #41
Contract : $850,000 · 2026-27 → 2026-27 · Two-Way Contract · UFA
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Dallas Stars | 36 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21 |
| 2024-25 | New Jersey Devils | 59 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 31 |
| 2023-24 | New Jersey Devils | 54 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 32 |
| 2022-23 | New Jersey Devils | 43 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 31 |
| 2021-22 | New Jersey Devils | 60 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 34 |
| 2021-22 | Seattle Kraken | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 31 |
| 2020-21 | New Jersey Devils | 41 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 |
| 2018-19 | New Jersey Devils | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 |
| NHL totals | 312 | 39 | 36 | 75 | 211 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | New Jersey Devils | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-23 | New Jersey Devils | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| Playoff totals | 17 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | |
Nathan Bastian: our analysis
2025-26 season: 36 GP, 6 G, 1 A, 7 PTS, +4 +/-, 8:39 TOI. WAR 0.5 (237th of 615) · PAL 35, below average.
In 2025-26, Nathan Bastian, 28, posts a PAL Rating of 35 out of 100 (below average), and his WAR of 0.5 ranks 237th among 615 regulars, in the top half.
His strengths: shooting (80, well above average). On the other hand, discipline (4, among the weakest in the league) and penalty kill (28, below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: finishing (+2.3); his biggest cost: penalties (-0.7).
A slight dip from 2024-25, when his PAL was 40; his WAR, though, went from 0.1 to 0.5.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 52 (fair value) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Nathan Bastian's story
Born in Kitchener on December 6, 1997, Bastian cut his teeth in Ontario hockey before rising to the junior ranks. After playing midget with the Brantford 99ers, he was taken by the Mississauga Steelheads in the 2013 OHL priority selection and joined them late in the 2013–14 season. He established himself as a dependable presence the following year, appearing in every game for Mississauga in 2014–15 and earning recognition for his work ethic.
Installed on the Steelheads’ top line in 2015–16, he produced notable offensive numbers and was invited to the CHL/NHL Top Prospects game. His play that season attracted attention from NHL scouts and led to his being picked 41st overall by the New Jersey Devils in the 2016 draft. He signed a three-year entry-level deal with New Jersey on October 20, 2016, and returned for another strong season in junior before turning pro.
Bastian began his professional career with the Binghamton Devils in the AHL in 2017, finding his bearings in the pro game. His first NHL call-up came on January 19, 2019, when he made his debut against the Anaheim Ducks, and he scored his first NHL goal a month later on February 25, 2019, versus the Montreal Canadiens. Over the next seasons he split time between the AHL and the NHL, eventually earning a regular spot on New Jersey’s roster in 2020–21.
The next phase of his career included movement across organizations: Seattle selected him in the 2021 expansion draft, but after a short stint he was placed on waivers and reclaimed by New Jersey. In August 2025 he signed a one-year contract with the Dallas Stars. The following year he attended Florida Panthers training camp on a professional try-out and secured a one-year, two-way contract on September 28, 2026.
Bastian’s game is straightforward and physical. Listed as a right winger, he brings a hard-nosed approach, leading the way on hits while chipping in secondary offence when needed — a player whose value has been built on physicality, work rate and occasional scoring contributions.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 8:39
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:01
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:00
- Pts/GP
- 0.19
- EV points
- 7
- Hits
- 85
- Blocks
- 7
- Takeaways
- 1
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 45.4 %
- Off. zone starts
- 27.3 %
- Faceoffs
- 0.0 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
5between 0 and 18 (80% range)
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 2
- Games
- 33
So far: 0 pts in 0 games. The team has played 18 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.17 pts per game (last season: 0.19).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Stable
- Points per game: 0.22 in 23-24, 0.19 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 40 → 35
Outlook, age included
→ StableAge 28: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 66 %
62
Depth
- SK
- Skating
- 60
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 91
- Confidence 71 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 45
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 61
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 88
- Confidence 71 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 86
- Confidence 54 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 63
- Confidence 71 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 60
- Confidence 66 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 71
- Confidence 66 %
- DF
- Defense
- 85
- Confidence 62 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 76
- Confidence 0 %
- EX
- Experience
- 74
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating60
- Top speed (35 %)34.8 · 55
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)4.437 · 70
- Distance /60 (20 %)15.9 · 69
- Speed consistency (15 %)34.2 · 58
ST — Strength91
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)5.68 · 90
- Body mass (50 %)1.036 · 86
EN — Endurance45
- Ice time per game (45 %)11.5 · 46
- Total ice time (20 %)308 · 35
- Shift length (15 %)42.3 · 60
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)9.576 · 46
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.228 · 59
DU — Durability61
- Share of games played (100 %)0.692 · 61
CK — Checking88
- Hits /60 (70 %)10.8 · 88
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)10 · 88
- Season volume (10 %)4.454 · 78
FG — Fighting86
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)1.354 · 86
DI — Discipline63
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)-0.018 · 63
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.951 · 63
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.845 · 78
PA — Passing60
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.51 · 61
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.331 · 60
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.015 · 66
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.15 · 71
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.259 · 60
SC — Scoring71
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.84 · 70
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.789 · 69
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.162 · 76
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.442 · 78
- xG per shot (10 %)0.082 · 82
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)11.5 · 60
DF — Defense85
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.051 · 80
- Relative xG against (20 %)-0.117 · 80
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.459 · 83
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.121 · 88
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.417 · 77
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)54.7 · 91
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.94 · 84
PS — Penalty shot76
- Shootouts (60 %)32.7 · 76
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience74
- Career regular-season games (65 %)81
- Career playoff games (25 %)55
- NHL seasons (10 %)75
OV — Overall62
- SC · Scoring (28 %)71
- PA · Passing (22 %)60
- DF · Defense (18 %)85
- SK · Skating (12 %)60
- EN · Endurance (8 %)45
- DI · Discipline (5 %)63
- ST · Strength (4 %)91
- CK · Checking (3 %)88
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 62 | 60 | 71 | 85 |
| 2024-25 | 63 | 65 | 62 | 87 |
| 2023-24 | 68 | 66 | 69 | 82 |
| 2022-23 | 77 | 62 | 77 | 84 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
0.5
wins above replacement
237 of 615
PAL Rating
35/ 100
Performance · Below average
292 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
52/ 100
Fair value
0.78 M$ · expected PAL 32
ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates
- Offense
- 52
- Defense
- 50
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 41
- Creation
- 53
- Shooting
- 80
- Possession
- 55
- Defense
- 54
- Discipline
- 4
- Power play
- 41
- Penalty kill
- 28
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 0.5 | 35 | 52 | 0.78 M$ |
| 2024-25 | NJD | 0.1 | 40 | 48 | 1.35 M$ |
| 2023-24 | NJD | -0.1 | 35 | 42 | 1.35 M$ |
| 2022-23 | NJD | -0.1 | 76 | 87 | 0.83 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
23/ 100
Below average
better than 23% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
57/ 100
Average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
16/ 100
Low
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 325 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 15
- Shot selection
- 88
- Penalties drawn
- 61
- Puck management
- 14
Defense
- Takeaways
- 4
- Discipline
- 13
- Safe zone exits
- 95
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 23 | 57 | 16 |
| 2024-25 | NJD | 18 | 52 | 16 |
| 2023-24 | NJD | 37 | 77 | 16 |
| 2022-23 | NJD | 86 | 92 | 54 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
0.5
wins above replacement
-0.0 to 1.4 — 90% interval
237 of 615 forwards
+2.6 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- -0.3
- EV defense
- +0.4
- Power play
- 0.0
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- +2.3
- Penalties
- -0.7
- Average → replacement
- +0.8
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 36 | 0.5 | -0.0 to 1.4 | 237/615 |
| 2024-25 | NJD | 56 | 0.1 | -0.7 to 0.8 | 328/596 |
| 2023-24 | NJD | 54 | -0.1 | -0.8 to 0.6 | 471/608 |
| 2022-23 | NJD | 43 | -0.1 | -0.8 to 0.6 | 438/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 129.5 km/h22nd percentileleague avg. 134.6 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 33.9 km/h10th percentileleague avg. 35.7 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 1522nd percentileleague avg. 75
- Offensive zone time
- 42.9 %61st percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 78.6 km28th percentileleague avg. 198.8 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 3.43 km15th percentileleague avg. 4.70 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 42.9 %86th percentileleague avg. 42.0 %
- Neutral zone time
- 17.3 %17th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 39.8 %53rd percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 2525th percentile | 642nd percentile | 24.0 %100th percentile |
| High danger | 1433rd percentile | 549th percentile | 35.7 %98th percentile |
| Mid range | 522nd percentile | 130th percentile | 20.0 %92nd percentile |
| Long range | 225th percentile | 00th percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2025-2026 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2025-26
PIT
NYI
VGK
MIN
COL
DET
CHI
CGY
VAN
NSH
SEA
CBJ
BOS
LAK
WSH
SJS
NJD
EDM
PHI
MTL
TBL
CAR
STL
WPGNathan Bastian: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Nathan Bastian have in 2025-26?
Nathan Bastian has 6 goals and 7 points (1 assist) in 36 games in 2025-26.
How old is Nathan Bastian?
Nathan Bastian is 28 years old: he was born on December 6, 1997.
How tall is Nathan Bastian, and how much does he weigh?
Nathan Bastian is 6'4" (193 cm) and weighs 216 lb (98 kg).
Where is Nathan Bastian from?
Canada: Nathan Bastian was born in Kitchener, Ontario, Canada.
What team does Nathan Bastian play for?
Nathan Bastian plays for the Florida Panthers in the NHL, at R, wearing number 11.
Is Nathan Bastian injured?
No: Nathan Bastian is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Nathan Bastian?
Nathan Bastian produced 0.5 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 237th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 35 out of 100: below average for his position.
How much does Nathan Bastian make?
Nathan Bastian earns $775K for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 52 out of 100 (fair value): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Nathan Bastian's contract end?
Nathan Bastian's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent.
Is Nathan Bastian overpaid?
Neither: he delivers about what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 52 out of 100 (fair value), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Nathan Bastian a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 237th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Nathan Bastian getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 40 in 2024-25 to 35 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Nathan Bastian played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Nathan Bastian has 3 points (2 goals, 1 assist).
What are Nathan Bastian's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Nathan Bastian has 312 games, 39 goals, 36 assists and 75 points. His best season: 2021-22, with 16 points in 60 games.
Where was Nathan Bastian drafted?
Nathan Bastian was drafted 41st overall (round 2) by New Jersey Devils in 2016.
Is Nathan Bastian better at home or on the road?
On the road: in 2025-26, he averages 0.12 points per game at home (2 in 17 games) and 0.26 on the road (5 in 19 games).
How does Nathan Bastian perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Nathan Bastian has 17 games and 2 points in his career. His pace (0.12 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (0.24).
Which player is most similar to Nathan Bastian?
Danila Yurov: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Danila Yurov's page →Is Nathan Bastian a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 5 points in 2026-27, or 0.15 points per game.
What is Nathan Bastian's nationality?
Nathan Bastian is Canadian.
What awards has Nathan Bastian won?
Named Mississauga Steelheads' "Hardest Working Player" (2014–15 season) ; Named to Team Orr for the CHL/NHL Top Prospects Game (2016).
Where did Nathan Bastian play before turning pro?
Brantford 99ers (midget, GOJHL) at the start of the 2013–14 season; Mississauga Steelheads (OHL) from 2013 to 2017.
How many points is Nathan Bastian projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 5 points in 33 games in 2026-27 (0 to 18 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Florida Panthers teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)