Morgan
Rielly
D · TOR · Offensive · Around average
- PAL
- 50
- WAR
- 0.4
- Value
- 27
- PTS
- 36
2025-26№ 109 / 325
Morgan Rielly (Toronto Maple Leafs) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Morgan Rielly
HEIGHT : 185 cm · WEIGHT : 102 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : March 8, 1994 · Vancouver, Canada
Drafted : 2012 · TOR · round 1, pick #5
Contract : $7,500,000 · 2022-23 → 2029-30 · Standard Contract (Extension) · UFA · Signing bonus $4,000,000NMC / M-NTC
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 18 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 8 |
| 2025-26 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 78 | 11 | 25 | 36 | 29 |
| 2024-25 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 82 | 7 | 34 | 41 | 21 |
| 2023-24 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 72 | 7 | 51 | 58 | 27 |
| 2022-23 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 65 | 4 | 37 | 41 | 21 |
| 2021-22 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 82 | 10 | 58 | 68 | 40 |
| 2020-21 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 55 | 5 | 30 | 35 | 14 |
| 2019-20 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 47 | 3 | 24 | 27 | 24 |
| 2018-19 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 82 | 20 | 52 | 72 | 14 |
| 2017-18 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 76 | 6 | 46 | 52 | 14 |
| 2016-17 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 76 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 21 |
| 2015-16 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 82 | 9 | 27 | 36 | 28 |
| 2014-15 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 81 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 14 |
| 2013-14 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 73 | 2 | 25 | 27 | 12 |
| NHL totals | 969 | 98 | 463 | 561 | 287 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 13 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 2023-24 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| 2022-23 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 11 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 6 |
| 2021-22 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 |
| 2020-21 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 2019-20 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 2018-19 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| 2017-18 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 2016-17 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Playoff totals | 70 | 15 | 32 | 47 | 35 | |
Morgan Rielly: our analysis
2025-26 season: 78 GP, 11 G, 25 A, 36 PTS, -18 +/-, 21:08 TOI. WAR 0.4 (109th of 325) · PAL 50, around average.
In 2025-26, Morgan Rielly, 32, posts a PAL Rating of 50 out of 100 (around average), and his WAR of 0.4 ranks 109th among 325 regulars, in the top half.
His strengths: power play (88, among the best in the league), creation (87, among the best in the league) and shooting (85, among the best in the league). On the other hand, defense (3, among the weakest in the league) and possession (24, well below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: finishing (+3.2); his biggest cost: EV defense (-4.8).
A season in line with 2024-25 (PAL of 48); his WAR went from 0.4 to 0.4.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 27 (poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Morgan Rielly's story
A Vancouver native born on March 9, 1994, Morgan Rielly first drew attention in junior ranks after standout seasons in Saskatchewan. He spent his minor years with the Notre Dame Hounds in Wilcox and finished as the top-scoring defenceman in the province’s midget league in his final Hounds season, helping that club claim the national midget title. Moose Jaw picked him high in the WHL bantam draft and he began his WHL career with the Warriors in 2010–11.
Despite a torn ACL that cost him much of one WHL season, Rielly remained a highly rated prospect and was taken fifth overall by the Toronto Maple Leafs in the 2012 NHL Entry Draft. He signed with Toronto shortly before the 2012–13 lockout, made his pro debut with the Toronto Marlies at the end of that campaign and earned a spot on the Maple Leafs opening roster in 2013–14, making his NHL debut on October 5, 2013 and scoring his first NHL goal on December 16, 2013.
Rielly’s NHL career mixes defensive duties with offensive contribution. Early milestones include his first multi-goal game in February 2015, a career jump in usage in 2015–16 and a six-year, $30 million deal signed on April 13, 2016. He was named an alternate captain before 2016–17, recorded a four-point game in November 2016 and was a Bill Masterton nominee that season. Rielly posted back-to-back 50-point campaigns, highlighted by a 20-goal, 72-point season in 2018–19, and later agreed to an eight-year, $60 million extension on October 29, 2021. In the 2023 playoffs he delivered pivotal goals in the first-round series win over Tampa Bay, including an overtime winner in game 3.
Internationally, Rielly has represented Canada at multiple age levels and senior tournaments: bronze at the World U-17s, gold at the 2011 Ivan Hlinka, appearances at the 2011 U18s and 2013 World Juniors, and selections to Canada’s rosters at the 2014 and 2016 World Championships, the latter resulting in a gold medal and All-Star recognition; he also played for Team North America in the 2016 World Cup of Hockey.
On the ice, Rielly is defined by his mobility and his ability to move the puck from the blue line. Coaches deploy him for significant minutes, and he is frequently counted on to jump into the play offensively while handling defensive-zone responsibilities.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 18:46
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:58
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:51
- Pts/GP
- 0.67
- EV points
- 11
- Hits
- 8
- Blocks
- 23
- Takeaways
- 3
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 49.6 %
- Off. zone starts
- 39.6 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
42between 27 and 55 (80% range)
- Goals
- 7
- Assists
- 35
- Games
- 80
So far: 12 pts in 18 games. The team has played 19 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.48 pts per game (last season: 0.46).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Slight decline
- Points per game: 0.81 in 23-24, 0.46 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 48 → 50
Outlook, age included
↓ DecliningAge 32: the age when production usually declines
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
Out· Lower Body· expected back November 10
OV · OverallConfidence 86 %
74
Established NHL
- SK
- Skating
- 87
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 79
- Confidence 89 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 80
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 84
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 65
- Confidence 89 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 80
- Confidence 65 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 79
- Confidence 89 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 84
- Confidence 86 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 83
- Confidence 86 %
- DF
- Defense
- 50
- Confidence 84 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 67
- Confidence 8 %
- EX
- Experience
- 92
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating87
- Top speed (35 %)36.2 · 84
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)2.732 · 84
- Distance /60 (20 %)14.7 · 86
- Speed consistency (15 %)35.7 · 89
ST — Strength79
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)4.748 · 72
- Body mass (50 %)1.127 · 84
EN — Endurance80
- Ice time per game (45 %)20.6 · 81
- Total ice time (20 %)1,608 · 81
- Shift length (15 %)44.6 · 63
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)20 · 84
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)2.785 · 80
DU — Durability84
- Share of games played (100 %)0.867 · 84
CK — Checking65
- Hits /60 (70 %)1.955 · 65
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)1.237 · 59
- Season volume (10 %)3.584 · 69
FG — Fighting80
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.947 · 80
DI — Discipline79
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)-0.026 · 79
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.411 · 87
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.259 · 60
PA — Passing84
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.546 · 85
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.59 · 85
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.05 · 80
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.033 · 72
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.351 · 83
SC — Scoring83
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.316 · 83
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.278 · 84
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.357 · 79
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)0.144 · 80
- xG per shot (10 %)0.035 · 80
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)11.6 · 83
DF — Defense50
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.17 · 48
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.185 · 59
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.822 · 59
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.02 · 78
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-2.264 · 67
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)61.8 · 49
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)4.398 · 75
PS — Penalty shot67
- Shootouts (60 %)32 · 65
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience92
- Career regular-season games (65 %)97
- Career playoff games (25 %)80
- NHL seasons (10 %)90
OV — Overall74
- DF · Defense (30 %)50
- PA · Passing (22 %)84
- SK · Skating (12 %)87
- SC · Scoring (12 %)83
- EN · Endurance (9 %)80
- ST · Strength (6 %)79
- DI · Discipline (5 %)79
- CK · Checking (4 %)65
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 74 | 87 | 83 | 50 |
| 2024-25 | 76 | 87 | 80 | 53 |
| 2023-24 | 80 | 90 | 81 | 48 |
| 2022-23 | 75 | 90 | 77 | 48 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
0.4
wins above replacement
109 of 325
PAL Rating
50/ 100
Performance · Around average
122 of 250 at the position
Value Rating
27/ 100
Poor return
7.50 M$ · expected PAL 71
ProfileOffensiveValue comes mostly from offense
- Offense
- 80
- Defense
- 4
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 78
- Creation
- 87
- Shooting
- 85
- Possession
- 24
- Defense
- 3
- Discipline
- 54
- Power play
- 88
- Penalty kill
- 28
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TOR | 0.4 | 50 | 27 | 7.50 M$ |
| 2024-25 | TOR | 0.4 | 48 | 21 | 7.50 M$ |
| 2023-24 | TOR | -0.3 | 87 | 69 | 7.50 M$ |
| 2022-23 | TOR | -0.3 | 69 | 40 | 7.50 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
57/ 100
Average
better than 57% of defensemen, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
49/ 100
Average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
61/ 100
Average
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 96 of 225 defensemen.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 28
- Shot selection
- 68
- Penalties drawn
- 35
- Puck management
- 65
Defense
- Takeaways
- 45
- Discipline
- 61
- Safe zone exits
- 60
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TOR | 57 | 49 | 61 |
| 2024-25 | TOR | 60 | 53 | 61 |
| 2023-24 | TOR | 90 | 81 | 88 |
| 2022-23 | TOR | 86 | 73 | 87 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
0.4
wins above replacement
-0.6 to 1.1 — 90% interval
109 of 325 defensemen
+2.2 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +0.8
- EV defense
- -4.8
- Power play
- +0.5
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- +3.2
- Penalties
- -0.9
- Average → replacement
- +3.4
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TOR | 78 | 0.4 | -0.6 to 1.1 | 109/325 |
| 2024-25 | TOR | 78 | 0.4 | -0.4 to 1.3 | 111/314 |
| 2023-24 | TOR | 72 | -0.3 | -1.7 to 0.6 | 252/316 |
| 2022-23 | TOR | 65 | -0.3 | -1.1 to 0.7 | 269/334 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 139.0 km/h43rd percentileleague avg. 139.7 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 35.4 km/h82nd percentileleague avg. 34.0 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 1480th percentileleague avg. 8
- Offensive zone time
- 42.3 %62nd percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 79.1 km74th percentileleague avg. 56.1 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 5.18 km56th percentileleague avg. 4.98 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 41.8 %47th percentileleague avg. 42.8 %
- Neutral zone time
- 18.8 %84th percentileleague avg. 16.9 %
- Defensive zone time
- 38.9 %70th percentileleague avg. 40.8 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 2174th percentile | 049th percentile | 0.0 %27th percentile |
| High danger | 175th percentile | 084th percentile | 0.0 %60th percentile |
| Mid range | 366th percentile | 073rd percentile | 0.0 %50th percentile |
| Long range | 651st percentile | 077th percentile | 0.0 %67th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
MTL
UTA
VAN
SEA
CGY
EDM
NYR
CBJ
SJS
NYI
BUF
COL
VGK
NSH
OTTMorgan Rielly: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Morgan Rielly have in 2026-27?
Morgan Rielly has 0 goals and 12 points (12 assists) in 18 games in 2026-27.
How old is Morgan Rielly?
Morgan Rielly is 32 years old: he was born on March 9, 1994.
How tall is Morgan Rielly, and how much does he weigh?
Morgan Rielly is 6'1" (185 cm) and weighs 225 lb (102 kg).
Where is Morgan Rielly from?
Canada: Morgan Rielly was born in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
What team does Morgan Rielly play for?
Morgan Rielly plays for the Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL, at D, wearing number 44.
Is Morgan Rielly injured?
Yes: Morgan Rielly is injured and out (lower body). He is expected back around November 10.
How good is Morgan Rielly?
Morgan Rielly produced 0.4 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 109th of 325 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 50 out of 100: around average for his position.
How much does Morgan Rielly make?
Morgan Rielly earns $7.5M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 27 out of 100 (poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Morgan Rielly's contract end?
Morgan Rielly's contract runs through the 2029-30 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent. It includes a NMC / M-NTC clause.
Is Morgan Rielly overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 27 out of 100 (poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Morgan Rielly a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 109th of 325 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Morgan Rielly getting better?
He is holding steady: his PAL rating went from 48 in 2024-25 to 50 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Morgan Rielly played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Morgan Rielly has 8 points (0 goals, 8 assists).
What are Morgan Rielly's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Morgan Rielly has 969 games, 98 goals, 463 assists and 561 points. His best season: 2018-19, with 72 points in 82 games.
Where was Morgan Rielly drafted?
Morgan Rielly was drafted 5th overall (round 1) by Toronto Maple Leafs in 2012.
Is Morgan Rielly better at home or on the road?
On the road: in 2026-27, he averages 0.50 points per game at home (5 in 10 games) and 0.88 on the road (7 in 8 games).
How does Morgan Rielly perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Morgan Rielly has 70 games and 47 points in his career. His pace (0.67 points per game) is higher than his regular-season pace (0.58).
Which player is most similar to Morgan Rielly?
Vince Dunn: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Vince Dunn's page →Is Morgan Rielly a good fantasy pick?
A useful depth pick: our projection has him at 42 points in 2026-27, or 0.53 points per game.
Is Morgan Rielly related to anyone famous?
Yes: Tessa Virtue (wife, Canadian ice dancer; engagement reported in early 2023; married in 2023); Shirley (mother, cancer researcher and owner of a medical company).
Is Morgan Rielly married?
Yes, married to Tessa Virtue (2023).
What is Morgan Rielly's nationality?
Morgan Rielly is Canadian. Internationally: Canada — gold medallist at the 2016 World Championship; part of Canada's squads at the 2011 Ivan Hlinka (gold), 2011 World U-17 (bronze), 2013 World Junior Championship (4th), and selected to the 2014 World Championship roster.
What awards has Morgan Rielly won?
2016 World Championship All-Star Team ; Named one of Canada's most valuable players at the 2016 World Championship ; Bill Masterton Memorial Trophy nominee (end of 2016–17 season).
How many championships has Morgan Rielly won?
3: World Champion with Canada — 2016 World Championship (gold); Ivan Hlinka Memorial Tournament winner with Canada — 2011 (gold); Canada's national midget championship with the Notre Dame Hounds (team won; year not specified in the article).
Where did Morgan Rielly play before turning pro?
Notre Dame Hounds (minor hockey; final season: top-scoring defenceman in the Saskatchewan Midget AAA and team won Canada's national midget championship); Moose Jaw Warriors (WHL), joined for the 2010–11 season; also spent the 2012–13 season with the Warriors.
How many points is Morgan Rielly projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 42 points in 80 games in 2026-27 (27 to 55 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Toronto Maple Leafs teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)