Mitchell
Chaffee
R · NYI · Limited · Very poor
- PAL
- 8
- WAR
- 0.6
- Value
- 17
- PTS
- 18
2024-25№ 210 / 596
Mitchell Chaffee (New York Islanders) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Mitchell Chaffee
#26RPlays: Right wing · 13% of faceoffs
New York Islanders
HEIGHT : 183 cm · WEIGHT : 89 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : January 25, 1998 · Grand Rapids, United States
Contract : $850,000 · 2026-27 → 2026-27 · Standard Contract · UFA
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | New York Islanders | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| 2025-26 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 2024-25 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 66 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 21 |
| 2023-24 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 30 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 2021-22 | Minnesota Wild | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| NHL totals | 117 | 17 | 10 | 27 | 36 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2023-24 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Playoff totals | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
Mitchell Chaffee: our analysis
2024-25 season: 66 GP, 12 G, 6 A, 18 PTS, -3 +/-, 12:02 TOI. WAR 0.6 (210th of 596) · PAL 8, very poor.
In 2024-25, Mitchell Chaffee, 28, posts a PAL Rating of 8 out of 100 (very poor), and his WAR of 0.6 ranks 210th among 596 regulars, in the top half.
His strengths: discipline (80, well above average) and shooting (76, well above average). On the other hand, possession (2, among the weakest in the league) and defense (15, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: finishing (+2.8); his biggest cost: EV defense (-1.5).
A marked decline: his PAL was 23 in 2023-24, against 8 now; his WAR, though, went from 0.3 to 0.6.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 17 (very poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Mitchell Chaffee's story
Growing up around Rockford and Grand Rapids-area programs, Mitchell Chaffee was already on skates at four and moved away from home at 16 to join the HoneyBaked Hockey Club. That season he helped the club reach the USA Hockey National Championship game, a turning point that opened doors to junior ranks.
His USHL path began after HoneyBaked: although initially associated with the Muskegon Lumberjacks, his playing rights were traded to the Bloomington Thunder in May 2015. In his rookie USHL year he appeared in 54 games and posted 13 points while attending Normal Community West High School. From there he committed to the University of Massachusetts Amherst to continue both his hockey development and studies.
At UMass Chaffee emerged as a leading offensive player. In his sophomore season he led Hockey East in scoring and was named to the conference’s first All-Star team. He was selected as a co-captain for the 2019–20 season, then on March 24, 2020 he left college to sign a two-year entry-level contract with the Minnesota Wild.
Assigned to the Iowa Wild in the AHL for the 2020–21 campaign, he adjusted to the professional game before making his NHL debut on April 19, 2022 with Minnesota; he played two NHL games that 2021–22 season. On July 1, 2023 he signed a one-year, two-way deal with the Tampa Bay Lightning. While with Tampa Bay he recorded his first NHL goal and first NHL assist on January 25, 2024 against the Arizona Coyotes.
Chaffee’s profile is that of a forwards who contributes offensively through both scoring and playmaking. His resume traces a steady climb — AAA and elite youth teams to the USHL, a productive NCAA tenure, then the AHL and NHL — marked by an ability to translate collegiate scoring touch into a complementary professional role.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 9:43
- PP TOI/GP
- 0:02
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:00
- Pts/GP
- 0.13
- EV points
- 1
- Hits
- 14
- Blocks
- 2
- Takeaways
- 0
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 45.7 %
- Off. zone starts
- 13.6 %
- Faceoffs
- 0.0 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
7between 1 and 15 (80% range)
- Goals
- 5
- Assists
- 2
- Games
- 36
So far: 1 pts in 8 games. The team has played 16 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.21 pts per game (last season: 0.09).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Slight decline
- Points per game: 0.23 in 23-24, 0.27 in 24-25
- PAL Rating: 23 → 8
Outlook, age included
↘ Slight declineAge 28: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2024-25
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 52 %
60
Depth
- SK
- Skating
- 72
- Confidence 67 %
- ST
- Strength
- 82
- Confidence 57 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 62
- Confidence 67 %
- DU
- Durability
- 61
- Confidence 67 %
- CK
- Checking
- 85
- Confidence 57 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 81
- Confidence 37 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 86
- Confidence 57 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 46
- Confidence 52 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 76
- Confidence 52 %
- DF
- Defense
- 68
- Confidence 47 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 76
- Confidence 0 %
- EX
- Experience
- 58
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating72
- Top speed (35 %)35.8 · 71
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)6.331 · 79
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.2 · 75
- Speed consistency (15 %)34.1 · 60
ST — Strength82
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)5.878 · 88
- Body mass (50 %)-0.375 · 72
EN — Endurance62
- Ice time per game (45 %)12.8 · 63
- Total ice time (20 %)746 · 65
- Shift length (15 %)44.9 · 72
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)11.9 · 63
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.454 · 63
DU — Durability61
- Share of games played (100 %)0.696 · 61
CK — Checking85
- Hits /60 (70 %)8.725 · 85
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)8.231 · 87
- Season volume (10 %)4.836 · 82
FG — Fighting81
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.947 · 81
DI — Discipline86
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.055 · 87
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.632 · 76
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.95 · 82
PA — Passing46
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.398 · 46
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.361 · 64
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)-0.026 · 61
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.078 · 70
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.28 · 59
SC — Scoring76
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.945 · 76
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.788 · 69
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.568 · 83
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.51 · 81
- xG per shot (10 %)0.081 · 82
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)11.6 · 61
DF — Defense68
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.073 · 62
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.146 · 64
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.674 · 71
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.039 · 74
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.15 · 71
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)58.1 · 79
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.291 · 74
PS — Penalty shot76
- Shootouts (60 %)32.7 · 76
- Penalty shots (40 %)29.3 · 76
EX — Experience58
- Career regular-season games (65 %)65
- Career playoff games (25 %)43
- NHL seasons (10 %)55
OV — Overall60
- SC · Scoring (28 %)76
- PA · Passing (22 %)46
- DF · Defense (18 %)68
- SK · Skating (12 %)72
- EN · Endurance (8 %)62
- DI · Discipline (5 %)86
- ST · Strength (4 %)82
- CK · Checking (3 %)85
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 60 | 72 | 76 | 68 |
| 2023-24 | 69 | 68 | 74 | 73 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2024-25
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
PAL Rating
8/ 100
Performance · Very poor
412 of 451 at the position
Value Rating
17/ 100
Very poor return
0.80 M$ · expected PAL 29
ProfileLimitedBelow average at both ends
- Offense
- 22
- Defense
- 7
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 28
- Creation
- 28
- Shooting
- 76
- Possession
- 2
- Defense
- 15
- Discipline
- 80
- Power play
- 55
- Penalty kill
- 23
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | TBL | 0.6 | 8 | 17 | 0.80 M$ |
| 2023-24 | TBL | 0.3 | 23 | 39 | 0.78 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2024-25
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
77/ 100
Very good
better than 77% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
75/ 100
Very good
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
65/ 100
Average
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Why 77, higher than both scores? Overall IQ isn't an average, it's a rank: 90 of 399 forwards. Few players are good at both ends at once; being so puts Mitchell Chaffee ahead of almost everyone else.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 14
- Shot selection
- 89
- Penalties drawn
- 86
- Puck management
- 10
Defense
- Takeaways
- 41
- Discipline
- 30
- Safe zone exits
- 97
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | TBL | 77 | 75 | 65 |
| 2023-24 | TBL | 48 | 82 | 18 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
-0.2
wins above replacement
-0.4 to -0.1 — 90% interval
514 of 615 forwards
-1.1 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- -0.1
- EV defense
- -0.2
- Power play
- +0.0
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- -1.1
- Penalties
- 0.0
- Average → replacement
- +0.3
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TBL | 11 | -0.2 | -0.4 to -0.1 | 514/615 |
| 2024-25 | TBL | 63 | 0.6 | -0.3 to 1.7 | 210/596 |
| 2023-24 | TBL | 30 | 0.3 | -0.0 to 1.0 | 262/608 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 108.1 km/h6th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 35.0 km/h46th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 1235th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 39.2 %19th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 21.3 km20th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 3.10 km11th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 39.2 %18th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 20.3 %100th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 40.5 %40th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 721st percentile | 139th percentile | 14.3 %57th percentile |
| High danger | 646th percentile | 157th percentile | 16.7 %43rd percentile |
| Mid range | 010th percentile | 054th percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
| Long range | 031st percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %0th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
NJD
CAR
EDM
MIN
NSH
DAL
LAK
ANAMitchell Chaffee: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Mitchell Chaffee have in 2026-27?
Mitchell Chaffee has 1 goal and 1 point (0 assists) in 8 games in 2026-27.
How old is Mitchell Chaffee?
Mitchell Chaffee is 28 years old: he was born on January 26, 1998.
How tall is Mitchell Chaffee, and how much does he weigh?
Mitchell Chaffee is 6'0" (183 cm) and weighs 196 lb (89 kg).
Where is Mitchell Chaffee from?
United States: Mitchell Chaffee was born in Grand Rapids, Michigan, United States.
What team does Mitchell Chaffee play for?
Mitchell Chaffee plays for the New York Islanders in the NHL, at R, wearing number 26.
Is Mitchell Chaffee injured?
No: Mitchell Chaffee is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Mitchell Chaffee?
Mitchell Chaffee produced -0.2 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 514th of 615 players at his position in the NHL.
How much does Mitchell Chaffee make?
Mitchell Chaffee carries a cap hit of $850K per season, on a contract worth $850K in total over 1 years.
When does Mitchell Chaffee's contract end?
Mitchell Chaffee's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent.
Is Mitchell Chaffee a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 514th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Mitchell Chaffee getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 23 in 2023-24 to 8 in 2024-25 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Mitchell Chaffee played lately?
Over his last 8 games, Mitchell Chaffee has 1 point (1 goal, 0 assists).
What are Mitchell Chaffee's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Mitchell Chaffee has 117 games, 17 goals, 10 assists and 27 points. His best season: 2024-25, with 18 points in 66 games.
How does Mitchell Chaffee perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Mitchell Chaffee has 9 games and 1 point in his career. His pace (0.11 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (0.23).
Is Mitchell Chaffee a good fantasy pick?
Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 7 points in 2026-27, or 0.19 points per game.
What is Mitchell Chaffee's nationality?
Mitchell Chaffee is American.
What awards has Mitchell Chaffee won?
Hockey East scoring champion ; Named to the Hockey East first All-Star team.
Where did Mitchell Chaffee play before turning pro?
Michigan Nationals U18; HoneyBaked Hockey Club; Bloomington Thunder (USHL); Normal Community West High School; University of Massachusetts Amherst (college hockey).
How many points is Mitchell Chaffee projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 7 points in 36 games in 2026-27 (1 to 15 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his New York Islanders teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)