Matvei
Michkov
R · PHI · Offensive · Around average
- PAL
- 44
- WAR
- 0.4
- Value
- 60
- PTS
- 51
2025-26№ 265 / 615
Matvei Michkov (Philadelphia Flyers) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Matvei Michkov
#39RPlays: Right wing · 10% of faceoffs
Philadelphia Flyers
HEIGHT : 178 cm · WEIGHT : 78 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : December 8, 2004 · Perm, Russia
Drafted : 2023 · PHI · round 1, pick #7
Contract : $950,000 · 2024-25 → 2026-27 · Entry-Level Contract · RFA · Signing bonus $95,000
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Philadelphia Flyers | 19 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 8 |
| 2025-26 | Philadelphia Flyers | 81 | 20 | 31 | 51 | 71 |
| 2024-25 | Philadelphia Flyers | 80 | 26 | 37 | 63 | 46 |
| NHL totals | 179 | 56 | 71 | 127 | 125 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Philadelphia Flyers | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| Playoff totals | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
Matvei Michkov: our analysis
2025-26 season: 81 GP, 20 G, 31 A, 51 PTS, 0 +/-, 14:50 TOI. WAR 0.4 (265th of 615) · PAL 44, around average.
In 2025-26, Matvei Michkov, 21, posts a PAL Rating of 44 out of 100 (around average), and his WAR of 0.4 ranks 265th among 615 regulars, in the top half.
His strengths: offense (78, well above average), power play (77, well above average) and creation (67, above average). On the other hand, discipline (1, among the weakest in the league) and defense (26, below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV offense (+2.3); his biggest cost: penalties (-2.7).
A marked decline: his PAL was 65 in 2024-25, against 44 now; his WAR went from 1.9 to 0.4.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 60 (good value) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Matvei Michkov's story
Born in Perm, Michkov moved with his family to Yaroslavl in 2015 to follow a youth development path that put him on the radar early; as a teenager he set scoring marks in Russia’s under‑16 ranks and then posted 56 points in 56 games as a 16‑year‑old at the under‑20 level.
He joined SKA Saint Petersburg’s junior structure and broke out in the MHL in 2020–21, splitting time between SKA‑1946 and SKA Varyagi while finishing the season with 56 points in 56 contests and leading the league with 38 goals. That production ushered him into the KHL: Michkov made his senior debut for SKA on 2 September 2021 and alternated between the KHL and SKA’s junior and minor affiliates during his early professional years.
Holding a multi‑year agreement with SKA, Michkov was loaned to HC Sochi on 20 December 2022. There he stood out despite the club’s struggles, collecting 20 points in 27 KHL games and posting a 0.67 points‑per‑game rate—the highest ever for a draft‑eligible player in KHL history. Those campaigns kept him among the top prospects for the 2023 NHL Entry Draft, where Philadelphia selected him seventh overall.
Michkov remained in Russia to continue his development before signing a three‑year entry‑level deal with the Philadelphia Flyers on 1 July 2024. He qualified on the NHL roster out of camp, recorded his first NHL point on 12 October 2024, and scored his first two NHL goals—both on the power play—on 15 October. His rookie campaign produced 26 goals and 37 assists for 63 points in 80 games; he finished fourth in Calder Trophy voting and was named to the 2025 NHL All‑Rookie Team.
On the international stage he starred at the 2021 U18 Worlds: a hat trick against Germany, tournament MVP at age 16, 12 goals and 16 points overall, plus recognition as best forward and a place on the media all‑star team as Russia claimed silver. His game is defined by goal scoring and playmaking instincts—an ability to find and exploit scoring opportunities combined with a mature sense for creating chances.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 15:55
- PP TOI/GP
- 3:17
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:00
- Pts/GP
- 0.68
- EV points
- 7
- Hits
- 7
- Blocks
- 7
- Takeaways
- 6
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 42.0 %
- Off. zone starts
- 40.8 %
- Faceoffs
- 46.4 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
69between 47 and 84 (80% range)
- Goals
- 35
- Assists
- 34
- Games
- 101
So far: 13 pts in 19 games. The team has played 0 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.68 pts per game (last season: 0.63).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Declining
- Points per game: 0.79 in 24-25, 0.63 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 65 → 44
Outlook, age included
↘ Slight declineAge 21: usually still improving
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 70 %
77
Established NHL
- SK
- Skating
- 70
- Confidence 57 %
- ST
- Strength
- 58
- Confidence 75 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 76
- Confidence 67 %
- DU
- Durability
- 85
- Confidence 57 %
- CK
- Checking
- 63
- Confidence 75 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 78
- Confidence 50 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 53
- Confidence 75 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 85
- Confidence 70 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 80
- Confidence 70 %
- DF
- Defense
- 67
- Confidence 66 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 85
- Confidence 61 %
- EX
- Experience
- 61
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating70
- Top speed (35 %)35.2 · 62
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)4.238 · 69
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.7 · 89
- Speed consistency (15 %)34.8 · 67
ST — Strength58
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)3.79 · 73
- Body mass (50 %)-1.805 · 48
EN — Endurance76
- Ice time per game (45 %)14.9 · 75
- Total ice time (20 %)1,156 · 78
- Shift length (15 %)45 · 71
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)14.1 · 78
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)2.327 · 76
DU — Durability85
- Share of games played (100 %)0.872 · 85
CK — Checking63
- Hits /60 (70 %)2.461 · 62
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)2.443 · 67
- Season volume (10 %)3.526 · 66
FG — Fighting78
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.877 · 78
DI — Discipline53
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)-0.053 · 53
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)1.203 · 54
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.889 · 80
PA — Passing85
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.942 · 85
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.612 · 83
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.128 · 79
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.438 · 76
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.829 · 87
SC — Scoring80
- Goals /60 (25 %)1.089 · 81
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.955 · 80
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.362 · 79
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.545 · 80
- xG per shot (10 %)0.079 · 74
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)15.7 · 80
DF — Defense67
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.071 · 64
- Relative xG against (20 %)0.074 · 70
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.506 · 80
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.036 · 74
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-2.884 · 47
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)55.9 · 84
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)1.559 · 58
PS — Penalty shot85
- Shootouts (60 %)34.1 · 86
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience61
- Career regular-season games (65 %)72
- Career playoff games (25 %)41
- NHL seasons (10 %)37
OV — Overall77
- SC · Scoring (28 %)80
- PA · Passing (22 %)85
- DF · Defense (18 %)67
- SK · Skating (12 %)70
- EN · Endurance (8 %)76
- DI · Discipline (5 %)53
- ST · Strength (4 %)58
- CK · Checking (3 %)63
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 77 | 70 | 80 | 67 |
| 2024-25 | 78 | 74 | 84 | 57 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
0.4
wins above replacement
265 of 615
PAL Rating
44/ 100
Performance · Around average
251 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
60/ 100
Good value
0.95 M$ · expected PAL 36
ProfileOffensiveValue comes mostly from offense
- Offense
- 74
- Defense
- 32
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 78
- Creation
- 67
- Shooting
- 62
- Possession
- 67
- Defense
- 26
- Discipline
- 1
- Power play
- 77
- Penalty kill
- 39
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | PHI | 0.4 | 44 | 60 | 0.95 M$ |
| 2024-25 | PHI | 1.9 | 65 | 79 | 0.95 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
5/ 100
Low
better than 5% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
50/ 100
Average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
3/ 100
Low
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 401 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 85
- Shot selection
- 45
- Penalties drawn
- 64
- Puck management
- 19
Defense
- Takeaways
- 82
- Discipline
- 0
- Safe zone exits
- 24
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | PHI | 5 | 50 | 3 |
| 2024-25 | PHI | 16 | 65 | 9 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
0.4
wins above replacement
-0.7 to 1.5 — 90% interval
265 of 615 forwards
+1.8 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +2.3
- EV defense
- -1.3
- Power play
- +0.7
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- -0.2
- Penalties
- -2.7
- Average → replacement
- +3.0
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | PHI | 81 | 0.4 | -0.7 to 1.5 | 265/615 |
| 2024-25 | PHI | 77 | 1.9 | 0.4 to 3.7 | 85/596 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 123.3 km/h18th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 34.0 km/h19th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 822nd percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 42.6 %56th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 73.5 km76th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 5.33 km78th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 38.9 %14th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 18.3 %60th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 39.2 %56th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 2766th percentile | 1098th percentile | 37.0 %100th percentile |
| High danger | 752nd percentile | 699th percentile | 85.7 %100th percentile |
| Mid range | 656th percentile | 177th percentile | 16.7 %66th percentile |
| Long range | 490th percentile | 199th percentile | 25.0 %95th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
CGY
NYR
MIN
UTA
WSH
CBJ
ANA
BUF
COL
OTT
DET
SEA
CAR
BOS
TBL
NJD
PITMatvei Michkov: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Matvei Michkov have in 2026-27?
Matvei Michkov has 10 goals and 13 points (3 assists) in 19 games in 2026-27.
How old is Matvei Michkov?
Matvei Michkov is 21 years old: he was born on December 9, 2004.
How tall is Matvei Michkov, and how much does he weigh?
Matvei Michkov is 5'10" (178 cm) and weighs 172 lb (78 kg).
Where is Matvei Michkov from?
Russia: Matvei Michkov was born in Perm, Russia.
What team does Matvei Michkov play for?
Matvei Michkov plays for the Philadelphia Flyers in the NHL, at R, wearing number 39.
Is Matvei Michkov injured?
No: Matvei Michkov is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Matvei Michkov?
Matvei Michkov produced 0.4 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 265th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 44 out of 100: around average for his position.
How much does Matvei Michkov make?
Matvei Michkov earns $950K for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 60 out of 100 (good value): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Matvei Michkov's contract end?
Matvei Michkov's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be a restricted free agent.
Is Matvei Michkov overpaid?
No, he gives more than he costs. His Value rating is 60 out of 100 (good value), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Matvei Michkov a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 265th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Matvei Michkov getting better?
No, he is slipping: his PAL rating went from 65 in 2024-25 to 44 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Matvei Michkov played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Matvei Michkov has 10 points (7 goals, 3 assists).
What are Matvei Michkov's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Matvei Michkov has 179 games, 56 goals, 71 assists and 127 points. His best season: 2024-25, with 63 points in 80 games.
Where was Matvei Michkov drafted?
Matvei Michkov was drafted 7th overall (round 1) by Philadelphia Flyers in 2023.
Is Matvei Michkov better at home or on the road?
At home: in 2026-27, he averages 0.90 points per game at home (9 in 10 games) and 0.44 on the road (4 in 9 games).
How does Matvei Michkov perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Matvei Michkov has 8 games and 1 point in his career. His pace (0.13 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (0.71).
Which player is most similar to Matvei Michkov?
Evgeni Malkin: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Evgeni Malkin's page →Is Matvei Michkov a good fantasy pick?
A useful depth pick: our projection has him at 69 points in 2026-27, or 0.68 points per game.
Is Matvei Michkov related to anyone famous?
Yes: Andrei Michkov (father, scout of the Russian national team system and Michkov's first coach).
What is Matvei Michkov's nationality?
Matvei Michkov is Russian. Internationally: Russia under-18 team – 2021 World U18 Championships: silver medal; tournament most valuable player; best forward; scoring leader (12 goals, 16 points).
What awards has Matvei Michkov won?
Most valuable player, 2021 World U18 Championships ; Best forward, 2021 World U18 Championships ; Media all-star team, 2021 World U18 Championships ; Top goal scorer (12 goals) at the 2021 World U18 Championships (Russian single-tournament record) ; NHL Rookie of the Month — October 2024 ; NHL Rookie of the Month — February 2025 ; Named to the 2025 NHL All-Rookie Team.
Where did Matvei Michkov play before turning pro?
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl youth program (moved there in 2015); SKA Saint Petersburg youth program; SKA-1946 and SKA Varyagi (2020–21 season, 56 points in 56 games).
How many points is Matvei Michkov projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 69 points in 101 games in 2026-27 (47 to 84 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Philadelphia Flyers teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)