Matias
Maccelli
L · NYI · Balanced · Below average
- PAL
- 36
- WAR
- 1.5
- Value
- 27
- PTS
- 39
2025-26№ 102 / 615
Matias Maccelli (New York Islanders) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Matias Maccelli
#63LPlays: Left wing · 1% of faceoffs
New York Islanders
HEIGHT : 183 cm · WEIGHT : 83 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : October 13, 2000 · Turku, Finland
Drafted : 2019 · ARI · round 4, pick #98
Contract : $2,250,000 · 2026-27 → 2026-27 · Standard Contract · RFA (Arb)
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | New York Islanders | 8 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 2025-26 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 71 | 14 | 25 | 39 | 16 |
| 2024-25 | Utah Hockey Club | 55 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 2023-24 | Arizona Coyotes | 82 | 17 | 40 | 57 | 8 |
| 2022-23 | Arizona Coyotes | 64 | 11 | 38 | 49 | 18 |
| 2021-22 | Arizona Coyotes | 23 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| NHL totals | 303 | 53 | 122 | 175 | 56 | |
Matias Maccelli: our analysis
2025-26 season: 71 GP, 14 G, 25 A, 39 PTS, -23 +/-, 14:34 TOI. WAR 1.5 (102nd of 615) · PAL 36, below average.
In 2025-26, Matias Maccelli, 26, posts a PAL Rating of 36 out of 100 (below average), and his WAR of 1.5 ranks 102nd among 615 regulars, in the top quarter.
On the other hand, creation (17, well below average) and penalty kill (25, well below average) hold him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: finishing (+2.9); his biggest cost: power play (-0.3).
A season in line with 2024-25 (PAL of 38); his WAR went from 0.5 to 1.5.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 27 (poor return) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Matias Maccelli's story
Born in Turku on October 14, 2000, Matias Maccelli learned his hockey in a Finnish environment before testing himself abroad. After developing at TPS, he moved in 2017 to the Dubuque Fighting Saints of the USHL, adapting to the smaller North American rinks and producing prolifically: 39 goals and 54 assists in 98 games. His second USHL season earned him a spot on the ALL‑USHL Second Team and put him on NHL radars.
The Arizona Coyotes picked him 98th overall in the 2019 draft, and Maccelli returned home to begin his professional career with Ilves in Liiga that autumn. In 2019–20 he posted 13 goals and 17 assists in 42 games, performances that brought him the Jarmo Wasama Memorial Trophy as Liiga rookie of the year and led to a three‑year entry‑level deal with Arizona on April 29, 2020. An agreement between Ilves and Arizona allowed him to continue his Liiga development after signing.
He crossed the Atlantic again in 2021 to join the Tucson Roadrunners in the AHL, where he compiled 14 goals and 43 assists for 57 points in 47 contests. Arizona recalled him in March 2022; he made his NHL debut on March 3 against Colorado and scored his first NHL goal a few days later versus Ottawa. In 2022–23 he secured a full-time spot with the Coyotes, finishing with 11 goals and 38 assists for 49 points in 64 games and earning a place on the NHL All‑Rookie Team.
Following the suspension of the Coyotes franchise, his rights transferred to the Utah Hockey Club. On June 30, 2025, Utah traded him to the Toronto Maple Leafs; he collected 39 points with Toronto but was not given a qualifying offer at the end of his deal. On July 1, 2026, Maccelli signed a one‑year contract with the New York Islanders. Internationally, he represented Finland at the 2017 Ivan Hlinka Tournament and at the 2020 World Junior Championships, registering two goals and three assists in seven games.
Practical and playmaking describes his on‑ice profile: he contributes by creating chances and quarterbacking special teams, blending goal scoring and setup ability to drive offensive sequences.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 14:28
- PP TOI/GP
- 3:21
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:00
- Pts/GP
- 0.75
- EV points
- 4
- Hits
- 1
- Blocks
- 1
- Takeaways
- 2
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 50.3 %
- Off. zone starts
- 20.4 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
37between 19 and 55 (80% range)
- Goals
- 13
- Assists
- 24
- Games
- 62
So far: 6 pts in 8 games. The team has played 16 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.57 pts per game (last season: 0.55).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Stable
- Points per game: 0.70 in 23-24, 0.55 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 38 → 36
Outlook, age included
→ StableAge 25: prime years
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
Injured reserve· Lower Body· expected back November 14
OV · OverallConfidence 80 %
74
Established NHL
- SK
- Skating
- 74
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 67
- Confidence 83 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 73
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 73
- Confidence 77 %
- CK
- Checking
- 57
- Confidence 83 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 63
- Confidence 63 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 75
- Confidence 83 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 82
- Confidence 80 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 67
- Confidence 80 %
- DF
- Defense
- 77
- Confidence 77 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 62
- Confidence 14 %
- EX
- Experience
- 58
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating74
- Top speed (35 %)36.2 · 78
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)4.194 · 69
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.1 · 74
- Speed consistency (15 %)35.6 · 79
ST — Strength67
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)3.793 · 73
- Body mass (50 %)-1.012 · 66
EN — Endurance73
- Ice time per game (45 %)14.5 · 72
- Total ice time (20 %)1,006 · 74
- Shift length (15 %)46.1 · 76
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)13.5 · 74
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.873 · 71
DU — Durability73
- Share of games played (100 %)0.803 · 73
CK — Checking57
- Hits /60 (70 %)2.101 · 59
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)1.303 · 47
- Season volume (10 %)3.219 · 62
FG — Fighting63
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.69 · 63
DI — Discipline75
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.018 · 74
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.469 · 83
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.572 · 63
PA — Passing82
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.831 · 80
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.636 · 84
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.13 · 79
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.283 · 73
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.558 · 78
SC — Scoring67
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.829 · 69
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.725 · 63
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.428 · 80
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.035 · 61
- xG per shot (10 %)0.078 · 69
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)12.7 · 68
DF — Defense77
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.067 · 83
- Relative xG against (20 %)-0.129 · 81
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.675 · 71
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.032 · 66
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-2.353 · 56
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)58.5 · 74
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)1.401 · 49
PS — Penalty shot62
- Shootouts (60 %)31.2 · 61
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience58
- Career regular-season games (65 %)80
- Career playoff games (25 %)0
- NHL seasons (10 %)61
OV — Overall74
- SC · Scoring (28 %)67
- PA · Passing (22 %)82
- DF · Defense (18 %)77
- SK · Skating (12 %)74
- EN · Endurance (8 %)73
- DI · Discipline (5 %)75
- ST · Strength (4 %)67
- CK · Checking (3 %)57
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 74 | 74 | 67 | 77 |
| 2024-25 | 73 | 74 | 65 | 77 |
| 2023-24 | 80 | 76 | 68 | 77 |
| 2022-23 | 77 | 77 | 63 | 78 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
1.5
wins above replacement
102 of 615
PAL Rating
36/ 100
Performance · Below average
286 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
27/ 100
Poor return
3.43 M$ · expected PAL 57
ProfileBalancedNeither end dominates
- Offense
- 46
- Defense
- 44
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 61
- Creation
- 17
- Shooting
- 48
- Possession
- 55
- Defense
- 48
- Discipline
- 28
- Power play
- 46
- Penalty kill
- 25
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TOR | 1.5 | 36 | 27 | 3.43 M$ |
| 2024-25 | UTA | 0.5 | 38 | 28 | 3.43 M$ |
| 2023-24 | ARI | 1.9 | 66 | 52 | 3.43 M$ |
| 2022-23 | ARI | 1.5 | 51 | 66 | 0.85 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
17/ 100
Low
better than 17% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
13/ 100
Low
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
36/ 100
Below average
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 350 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 74
- Shot selection
- 46
- Penalties drawn
- 19
- Puck management
- 5
Defense
- Takeaways
- 50
- Discipline
- 69
- Safe zone exits
- 10
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TOR | 17 | 13 | 36 |
| 2024-25 | UTA | 33 | 8 | 72 |
| 2023-24 | ARI | 21 | 17 | 40 |
| 2022-23 | ARI | 14 | 33 | 13 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
1.5
wins above replacement
0.4 to 2.5 — 90% interval
102 of 615 forwards
+8.0 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +2.0
- EV defense
- +1.0
- Power play
- -0.3
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- +2.9
- Penalties
- -0.2
- Average → replacement
- +2.6
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TOR | 71 | 1.5 | 0.4 to 2.5 | 102/615 |
| 2024-25 | UTA | 55 | 0.5 | -0.4 to 1.6 | 226/596 |
| 2023-24 | ARI | 82 | 1.9 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 72/608 |
| 2022-23 | ARI | 64 | 1.5 | 0.8 to 2.8 | 93/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 136.7 km/h66th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 36.1 km/h75th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 822nd percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 46.2 %90th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 30.0 km26th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 4.90 km63rd percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 43.0 %83rd percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 17.2 %14th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 36.6 %86th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 1335th percentile | 254th percentile | 15.4 %61st percentile |
| High danger | 433rd percentile | 034th percentile | 0.0 %10th percentile |
| Mid range | 656th percentile | 288th percentile | 33.3 %96th percentile |
| Long range | 153rd percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
TOR
OTT
VAN
TBL
CHI
NYR
NJDMatias Maccelli: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Matias Maccelli have in 2026-27?
Matias Maccelli has 2 goals and 6 points (4 assists) in 8 games in 2026-27.
How old is Matias Maccelli?
Matias Maccelli is 26 years old: he was born on October 14, 2000.
How tall is Matias Maccelli, and how much does he weigh?
Matias Maccelli is 6'0" (183 cm) and weighs 183 lb (83 kg).
Where is Matias Maccelli from?
Finland: Matias Maccelli was born in Turku, Finland.
What team does Matias Maccelli play for?
Matias Maccelli plays for the New York Islanders in the NHL, at L, wearing number 63.
Is Matias Maccelli injured?
Yes: Matias Maccelli is on injured reserve (lower body). He is expected back around November 14.
How good is Matias Maccelli?
Matias Maccelli produced 1.5 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 102nd of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 36 out of 100: below average for his position.
How much does Matias Maccelli make?
Matias Maccelli earns $3.4M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 27 out of 100 (poor return): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Matias Maccelli's contract end?
Matias Maccelli's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be a restricted free agent.
Is Matias Maccelli overpaid?
Yes, his output falls short of what his salary should buy. His Value rating is 27 out of 100 (poor return), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Matias Maccelli a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 102nd of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Matias Maccelli getting better?
He is holding steady: his PAL rating went from 38 in 2024-25 to 36 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Matias Maccelli played lately?
Over his last 8 games, Matias Maccelli has 6 points (2 goals, 4 assists).
What are Matias Maccelli's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Matias Maccelli has 303 games, 53 goals, 122 assists and 175 points. His best season: 2023-24, with 57 points in 82 games.
Where was Matias Maccelli drafted?
Matias Maccelli was drafted 98th overall (round 4) by ARI in 2019.
How does Matias Maccelli perform in the playoffs?
Matias Maccelli has not played in the NHL playoffs yet.
Which player is most similar to Matias Maccelli?
Kaapo Kakko: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Kaapo Kakko's page →Is Matias Maccelli a good fantasy pick?
A useful depth pick: our projection has him at 37 points in 2026-27, or 0.60 points per game.
What is Matias Maccelli's nationality?
Matias Maccelli is Finnish. Internationally: Finland — played at the 2017 Ivan Hlinka Memorial Tournament; played at the 2020 World Junior Championships (2 goals and 3 assists in 7 games).
What awards has Matias Maccelli won?
2019–20: Jarmo Wasama Memorial Trophy (Liiga rookie of the year) ; 2022–23: named to the NHL All-Rookie Team.
Where did Matias Maccelli play before turning pro?
Junior career with HC TPS (Finland); Dubuque Fighting Saints (USHL) from 2017 to 2019; returned to Finland with Ilves in 2019.
How many points is Matias Maccelli projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 37 points in 62 games in 2026-27 (19 to 55 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his New York Islanders teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)