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21RareMathieu Joseph headshot

Mathieu

Joseph

R · EDM · Defensive · Very good

PAL
73
WAR
0.2
Value
70
PTS
0

2025-26№ 295 / 615

Mathieu Joseph (Edmonton Oilers) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.

Mathieu Joseph

#21RPlays: Right wing · 5% of faceoffsEdmonton Oilers logoEdmonton Oilers

HEIGHT : 185 cm · WEIGHT : 85 kg · SHOOTS : L

Born : February 8, 1997 · Laval, Canada

Drafted : 2015 · TBL · round 4, pick #120

Contract : $1,000,000 · 2026-27 → 2026-27 · Standard Contract · UFA

NHL record

Year Team GPGAPTSPIM
2026-27Edmonton Oilers183586
2025-26Los Angeles Kings120005
2025-26St. Louis Blues3929114
2024-25St. Louis Blues604101428
2023-24Ottawa Senators7211243551
2022-23Ottawa Senators563151836
2021-22Ottawa Senators1148126
2021-22Tampa Bay Lightning588101823
2020-21Tampa Bay Lightning561271910
2019-20Tampa Bay Lightning3743716
2018-19Tampa Bay Lightning7013132626
NHL totals48964104168211

Playoffs

Year Team GPGAPTSPIM
2025-26Los Angeles Kings20002
2024-25St. Louis Blues310110
2020-21Tampa Bay Lightning60220
2018-19Tampa Bay Lightning40000
Playoff totals1512312

Honours

  • 🏆 Stanley Cup2 times · 2020-21, 2019-20

Mathieu Joseph: our analysis

2025-26 season: 12 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PTS, -2 +/-, 9:44 TOI. WAR 0.2 (295th of 615) · PAL 73, very good.

In 2025-26, Mathieu Joseph, 29, posts a PAL Rating of 73 out of 100 (very good), and his WAR of 0.2 ranks 295th among 615 regulars, in the top half.

His strengths: discipline (99, among the best in the league), defense (96, among the best in the league) and penalty kill (87, among the best in the league). On the other hand, offense (6, among the weakest in the league) and shooting (7, among the weakest in the league) hold him back.

Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV defense (+2.0); his biggest cost: finishing (-3.5).

A clear step forward: his PAL went from 61 in 2024-25 to 73; his WAR went from -0.1 to 0.2.

Contract-wise, his Value score of 70 (good value) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.

Mathieu Joseph's story

As a teenager in Laval, Mathieu Joseph rose through junior ranks with a steady knack for offence that caught scouts’ eyes; Saint John picked him 51st overall in the QMJHL draft of 2013 and he became a fixture in that club’s attack over the next seasons.

Joseph joined the Sea Dogs midway through 2013–14 and quickly racked up results: his first Sea Dogs goal came in a 2–0 win, he posted a five-point game that put him among the franchise’s notable single-game performers, and he finished his junior career with 171 points in 176 contests. The Tampa Bay Lightning selected him 120th overall in the 2015 NHL Entry Draft and signed him to a three-year entry-level deal on 24 December 2016.

Turning pro in 2017–18, Joseph led Syracuse in points with 53 and earned CCM/AHL Rookie of the Month honours for March after a 14-point surge in 12 games. He made his NHL debut on 6 October 2018 with Tampa Bay, recorded his first NHL assist on 16 October and scored his first goal on 4 November. He was part of Tampa Bay organizations that won the Stanley Cup in 2020 and again in 2021, playing a larger role in the victorious 2021 run.

On 20 March 2022 Tampa Bay traded Joseph to the Ottawa Senators. He produced immediately with a hat-trick on 1 April 2022 and later signed a four-year, $11.8 million extension on 29 July. His time in Ottawa included a fine for a high-sticking incident in November 2022 and spells out of the lineup due to injury, yet he finished the 2023–24 campaign with 11 goals and 35 points in 72 games, including a three-point performance on 8 November 2023 and a two-goal game on 20 February 2024.

Traded to St. Louis on 2 July 2024, Joseph scored his first Blues goal on 15 October 2024 and totaled 14 points in 60 games as the club reached the playoffs. Subsequent roster moves included AHL assignments, a contract termination and a one-year stint with Los Angeles in 2025–26; he then signed a one-year, $1 million deal with the Edmonton Oilers on 1 July 2026. Internationally, Joseph was part of Canada’s silver-medal teams at the 2017 World Junior Championship—he scored in the final—and at the 2019 World Championship, where he posted one goal and one assist in 10 games.

Joseph’s game is straightforward: he uses speed and board work to create chances from the wing, and his flexibility has led coaches to deploy him in various situations up and down the lineup.

Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.

Advanced stats

TOI/GP
13:23
PP TOI/GP
0:05
SH TOI/GP
1:34
Pts/GP
0.44
EV points
8
Hits
43
Blocks
12
Takeaways
5
Corsi % (SAT)
35.5 %
Off. zone starts
28.7 %
Faceoffs
46.2 %

Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)

2026-27 projection

Projected points

21between 9 and 33 (80% range)

Goals
7
Assists
14
Games
67

So far: 8 pts in 18 games. The team has played 18 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.27 pts per game (last season: 0.22).

The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.

Trend

Stable

  • Points per game: 0.49 in 23-24, 0.22 in 25-26
  • PAL Rating: 61 → 73

Outlook, age included

→ StableAge 29: prime years

This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.

Player ratings, 2025-26

All ratings →

Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.

OV · OverallConfidence 76 %

67

Depth

SK
Skating
84
Confidence 73 %
ST
Strength
77
Confidence 80 %
EN
Endurance
63
Confidence 80 %
DU
Durability
68
Confidence 77 %
CK
Checking
84
Confidence 80 %
FG
Fighting
79
Confidence 60 %
DI
Discipline
94
Confidence 80 %
FO
Faceoffs
68
Confidence 28 %
PA
Passing
66
Confidence 76 %
SC
Scoring
47
Confidence 76 %
DF
Defense
89
Confidence 73 %
PS
Penalty shot
67
Confidence 8 %
EX
Experience
77
Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?

SK — Skating84

  • Top speed (35 %)36.7 · 84
  • Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)7.08 · 82
  • Distance /60 (20 %)15.9 · 69
  • Speed consistency (15 %)36.4 · 89

ST — Strength77

  • Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)4.897 · 84
  • Body mass (50 %)-0.717 · 69

EN — Endurance63

  • Ice time per game (45 %)13.4 · 66
  • Total ice time (20 %)605 · 62
  • Shift length (15 %)42.1 · 56
  • Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)12.1 · 66
  • Special-teams time per game (5 %)1.64 · 67

DU — Durability68

  • Share of games played (100 %)0.759 · 68

CK — Checking84

  • Hits /60 (70 %)7.944 · 84
  • Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)5.267 · 80
  • Season volume (10 %)4.754 · 81

FG — Fighting79

  • Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.925 · 79

DI — Discipline94

  • Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.089 · 94
  • Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.612 · 77
  • Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)1.139 · 87

FO — Faceoffs68

  • Faceoff % (85 %)48.9 · 72
  • Faceoffs /60 (15 %)13.1 · 45

PA — Passing66

  • Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.603 · 69
  • Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.463 · 75
  • Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)-0.048 · 58
  • Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.066 · 69
  • Assist consistency (10 %)0.341 · 66

SC — Scoring47

  • Goals /60 (25 %)0.521 · 37
  • Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.698 · 60
  • Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)-0.8 · 55
  • High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.097 · 64
  • xG per shot (10 %)0.079 · 72
  • Shot attempts /60 (10 %)11.7 · 61

DF — Defense89

  • RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.09 · 85
  • Relative xG against (20 %)-0.185 · 86
  • On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.356 · 89
  • Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.121 · 88
  • Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-0.581 · 95
  • Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)54.8 · 91
  • Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.904 · 83

PS — Penalty shot67

  • Shootouts (60 %)32 · 65
  • Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76

EX — Experience77

  • Career regular-season games (65 %)87
  • Career playoff games (25 %)52
  • NHL seasons (10 %)75

OV — Overall67

  • SC · Scoring (28 %)47
  • PA · Passing (22 %)66
  • DF · Defense (18 %)89
  • SK · Skating (12 %)84
  • EN · Endurance (8 %)63
  • DI · Discipline (5 %)94
  • ST · Strength (4 %)77
  • CK · Checking (3 %)84
Season by season
SeasonOVSKSCDF
2025-2667844789
2024-2566824886
2023-2469835479
2022-2367854877

The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.

WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26

How we rate →

PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.

ProfileDefensiveValue comes mostly from defense

Offense
9
Defense
93
See full details
Offense
6
Creation
13
Shooting
7
Possession
53
Defense
96
Discipline
99
Power play
34
Penalty kill
87

From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.

Season by season
SeasonTeamWARPALValue
2025-26LAK0.27370
2024-25STL-0.16153
2023-24OTT-0.44938
2022-23OTT-0.34432

Hockey IQ, 2025-26

Rankings and method →

The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.

Overall IQ

93/ 100

Elite
better than 93% of forwards, offense and defense combined

Offensive IQ

46/ 100

Average
passing, shots, puck

Defensive IQ

98/ 100

Elite
takeaways, discipline, own zone

Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 28 of 424 forwards.

See full details

Offense

Playmaking passes
10
Shot selection
52
Penalties drawn
92
Puck management
11

Defense

Takeaways
83
Discipline
89
Safe zone exits
94

Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.

Season by season
SeasonTeamIQOff.Def.
2025-26LAK934698
2024-25STL726071
2023-24OTT878965
2022-23OTT408018

Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.

0.2

wins above replacement

-0.1 to 0.7 — 90% interval

295 of 615 forwards

+1.1 goals above replacement

Full leaderboard →
See full details
EV offense
-1.0
EV defense
+2.0
Power play
0.0
Penalty kill
+0.2
Shooting
-3.5
Penalties
+1.9
Average → replacement
+1.6

In goals.

Season by season
SeasonTeamGPWARRank
2025-26LAK510.2295/615
2024-25STL59-0.1418/596
2023-24OTT72-0.4537/608
2022-23OTT56-0.3539/617

Player tracking (NHL EDGE)

League EDGE leaderboards →

Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.

Season
Hardest shot
126.4 km/h28th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
Top skating speed
35.3 km/h55th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
Bursts over 20 mph, season
2568th percentileleague avg. 21
Offensive zone time
36.3 %5th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full details
Total distance, season
63.4 km58th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
Distance, single-game high
4.21 km38th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
Offensive zone at 5v5
36.1 %1st percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
Neutral zone time
19.0 %88th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
Defensive zone time
44.7 %8th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %

Shooting

Shots on goalGoalsShooting %
All1539th percentile366th percentile20.0 %80th percentile
High danger539th percentile386th percentile60.0 %98th percentile
Mid range550th percentile054th percentile0.0 %32nd percentile
Long range031st percentile092nd percentile0.0 %0th percentile

Shots on goal by zone

Neutral zone : 0 · 63th percentileOutside left : 1 · 68th percentileOutside right : 1 · 70th percentileLeft point : 0 · 60th percentileRight point : 0 · 61th percentileCenter point : 0 · 62th percentileLeft circle : 1 · 46th percentileRight circle : 1 · 49th percentileHigh slot : 3 · 77th percentileLeft of the net : 0 · 58th percentileRight of the net : 1 · 85th percentileLow slot : 4 · 38th percentileCrease : 1 · 71th percentileLeft corner : 0 · 95th percentileBehind the net : 0 · 79th percentileRight corner : 0 · 97th percentile0110001130141000
Beyond the red line : 2

2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.

Game log, 2026-27

DateOpponentGAPTS+/-
Nov 7vsVancouver Canucks logoVAN011+1
Nov 5vsAnaheim Ducks logoANA000-1
Nov 3@New Jersey Devils logoNJD0000
Nov 1@New York Rangers logoNYR0000
Oct 31@New York Islanders logoNYI011+1
Oct 28vsCalgary Flames logoCGY101+2
Oct 26vsDetroit Red Wings logoDET000-1
Oct 24vsToronto Maple Leafs logoTOR000-1
Oct 22vsCarolina Hurricanes logoCAR000-2
Oct 20vsMinnesota Wild logoMIN1010

Mathieu Joseph: frequently asked questions

How many goals does Mathieu Joseph have in 2026-27?

Mathieu Joseph has 3 goals and 8 points (5 assists) in 18 games in 2026-27.

How old is Mathieu Joseph?

Mathieu Joseph is 29 years old: he was born on February 9, 1997.

How tall is Mathieu Joseph, and how much does he weigh?

Mathieu Joseph is 6'1" (185 cm) and weighs 187 lb (85 kg).

Where is Mathieu Joseph from?

Canada: Mathieu Joseph was born in Laval, Quebec, Canada.

What team does Mathieu Joseph play for?

Mathieu Joseph plays for the Edmonton Oilers in the NHL, at R, wearing number 21.

Is Mathieu Joseph injured?

No: Mathieu Joseph is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.

How good is Mathieu Joseph?

Mathieu Joseph produced 0.2 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 295th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 73 out of 100: very good for his position.

How much does Mathieu Joseph make?

Mathieu Joseph earns $3.0M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 70 out of 100 (good value): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.

When does Mathieu Joseph's contract end?

Mathieu Joseph's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent.

Is Mathieu Joseph overpaid?

No, he gives more than he costs. His Value rating is 70 out of 100 (good value), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.

Is Mathieu Joseph a top-10 player at his position?

No: by WAR, he ranks 295th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.

Is Mathieu Joseph getting better?

Yes: his PAL rating went from 61 in 2024-25 to 73 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).

How has Mathieu Joseph played lately?

Over his last 10 games, Mathieu Joseph has 4 points (2 goals, 2 assists).

What are Mathieu Joseph's career stats?

Over his NHL career, Mathieu Joseph has 489 games, 64 goals, 104 assists and 168 points. His best season: 2023-24, with 35 points in 72 games.

Where was Mathieu Joseph drafted?

Mathieu Joseph was drafted 120th overall (round 4) by Tampa Bay Lightning in 2015.

Is Mathieu Joseph better at home or on the road?

No real difference: in 2026-27, he averages 0.40 points per game at home (4 in 10 games) and 0.50 on the road (4 in 8 games).

How does Mathieu Joseph perform in the playoffs?

In the playoffs, Mathieu Joseph has 15 games and 3 points in his career. His pace (0.20 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (0.34).

Which player is most similar to Mathieu Joseph?

Beck Malenstyn: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.

Beck Malenstyn's page →

Is Mathieu Joseph a good fantasy pick?

Probably not, except in deep leagues: our projection has him at 21 points in 2026-27, or 0.31 points per game.

Does Mathieu Joseph have siblings?

Yes: his brother Pierre-Olivier Joseph (defenceman for the Carolina Hurricanes).

Is Mathieu Joseph related to anyone famous?

Yes: Frantzi Joseph (father, played and coached ice hockey for many years).

What is Mathieu Joseph's nationality?

Mathieu Joseph is Canadian. Internationally: Canada — silver medal at the 2017 World Junior Championship (scored in the final) ; silver medal at the 2019 IIHF World Championship (played 10 games, 1 goal and 1 assist).

What awards has Mathieu Joseph won?

Canadian Hockey League Player of the Week (2016–17 playoffs) ; QMJHL Second All-Star Team (2017) ; CCM/AHL Rookie of the Month (March 2018).

How many championships has Mathieu Joseph won?

3: Stanley Cup with the Tampa Bay Lightning (2020); Stanley Cup with the Tampa Bay Lightning (2021); President's Cup (QMJHL champion) with the Saint John Sea Dogs (2017).

Where did Mathieu Joseph play before turning pro?

Saint John Sea Dogs (QMJHL), began playing midway through the 2013–14 season and played with the club through the 2016–17 season.

How many points is Mathieu Joseph projected to score in 2026-27?

Our projection has him at 21 points in 67 games in 2026-27 (9 to 33 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.

See also: his Edmonton Oilers teammates

Full roster →

NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)