Luke
Evangelista
R · NJD · Defensive · Elite
- PAL
- 91
- WAR
- 1.2
- Value
- 92
- PTS
- 56
2025-26№ 139 / 615
Luke Evangelista (New Jersey Devils) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Luke Evangelista
#77RPlays: Right wing · 0% of faceoffs
New Jersey Devils
HEIGHT : 183 cm · WEIGHT : 83 kg · SHOOTS : R
Born : February 20, 2002 · Toronto, Canada
Drafted : 2020 · NSH · round 2, pick #42
Contract : $3,000,000 · 2025-26 → 2026-27 · Standard Contract (Extension) · RFA (Arb)
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | New Jersey Devils | 15 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 8 |
| 2025-26 | Nashville Predators | 81 | 12 | 44 | 56 | 28 |
| 2024-25 | Nashville Predators | 68 | 10 | 22 | 32 | 22 |
| 2023-24 | Nashville Predators | 80 | 16 | 23 | 39 | 18 |
| 2022-23 | Nashville Predators | 24 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 6 |
| NHL totals | 267 | 49 | 103 | 152 | 80 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | Nashville Predators | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Playoff totals | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
Luke Evangelista: our analysis
2025-26 season: 81 GP, 12 G, 44 A, 56 PTS, +1 +/-, 16:37 TOI. WAR 1.2 (139th of 615) · PAL 91, elite.
In 2025-26, Luke Evangelista, 24, posts a PAL Rating of 91 out of 100 (elite), and his WAR of 1.2 ranks 139th among 615 regulars, in the top quarter.
His strengths: possession (96, among the best in the league), defense (94, among the best in the league) and discipline (92, among the best in the league). On the other hand, shooting (12, among the weakest in the league) holds him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: EV defense (+4.1); his biggest cost: finishing (-6.6).
A clear step forward: his PAL went from 70 in 2024-25 to 91; his WAR went from 0.5 to 1.2.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 92 (exceptional value) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Luke Evangelista's story
Raised through the Oakville minor system and forged in the OHL with the London Knights, Evangelista learned to finish plays and read defenders long before stepping onto NHL ice. His junior tenure in London framed him as a prolific scorer and playmaker.
Nashville selected him 42nd overall in the 2020 NHL Entry Draft and signed him to a three-year entry-level deal on November 9, 2020. With junior seasons disrupted by the pandemic, he made his first professional appearances in the AHL, recording four assists across 14 games in his initial stint.
He returned to London for 2021–22 and wore the captain's C, answering with an outstanding offensive season: 55 goals and 56 assists for 111 points in 62 regular-season games, leading his club in every scoring category.
Stepping back into professional play for 2022–23, Evangelista joined the Milwaukee Admirals, settled onto the top scoring line and earned selection to the AHL All-Star Classic. Nashville called him up on February 28, 2023; he debuted that night against the Pittsburgh Penguins, registered his first NHL point with an assist on March 3, 2023, and scored his first two NHL goals on March 7, 2023.
On paper he profiles as an offensively driven forward: a natural finisher with playmaking instincts who has translated junior production to the pro level. Born February 21, 2002 in Toronto and a member of a family with noted public connections, Evangelista’s game remains defined by his scoring touch and hockey sense.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 17:09
- PP TOI/GP
- 3:10
- SH TOI/GP
- 0:00
- Pts/GP
- 0.67
- EV points
- 7
- Hits
- 11
- Blocks
- 5
- Takeaways
- 2
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 59.5 %
- Off. zone starts
- 29.0 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
53between 31 and 74 (80% range)
- Goals
- 15
- Assists
- 38
- Games
- 76
So far: 10 pts in 15 games. The team has played 18 of 84 games. Projected pace: 0.71 pts per game (last season: 0.69).
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Trending up
- Points per game: 0.49 in 23-24, 0.69 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 70 → 91
Outlook, age included
↑ Trending upAge 24: usually still improving
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 78 %
79
Established NHL
- SK
- Skating
- 64
- Confidence 73 %
- ST
- Strength
- 77
- Confidence 82 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 78
- Confidence 80 %
- DU
- Durability
- 77
- Confidence 73 %
- CK
- Checking
- 57
- Confidence 82 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 63
- Confidence 61 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 91
- Confidence 82 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- —
- PA
- Passing
- 85
- Confidence 78 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 63
- Confidence 78 %
- DF
- Defense
- 88
- Confidence 75 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 61
- Confidence 33 %
- EX
- Experience
- 65
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating64
- Top speed (35 %)35.5 · 67
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)3.746 · 65
- Distance /60 (20 %)16.1 · 75
- Speed consistency (15 %)34.2 · 61
ST — Strength77
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)5.196 · 86
- Body mass (50 %)-1.063 · 64
EN — Endurance78
- Ice time per game (45 %)15.1 · 76
- Total ice time (20 %)1,303 · 82
- Shift length (15 %)49.2 · 86
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)13.6 · 75
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)2.068 · 73
DU — Durability77
- Share of games played (100 %)0.834 · 77
CK — Checking57
- Hits /60 (70 %)2.088 · 58
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)1.687 · 60
- Season volume (10 %)3.091 · 60
FG — Fighting63
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.69 · 63
DI — Discipline91
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.074 · 91
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.535 · 80
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.971 · 83
PA — Passing85
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.991 · 87
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.647 · 85
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.132 · 80
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.812 · 82
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.602 · 79
SC — Scoring63
- Goals /60 (25 %)0.714 · 62
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.842 · 72
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)-0.781 · 55
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.452 · 78
- xG per shot (10 %)0.076 · 63
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)14.5 · 76
DF — Defense88
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)0.141 · 89
- Relative xG against (20 %)-0.268 · 90
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.465 · 83
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.036 · 76
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.279 · 80
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)58.1 · 76
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)1.747 · 63
PS — Penalty shot61
- Shootouts (60 %)30.7 · 59
- Penalty shots (40 %)26.7 · 76
EX — Experience65
- Career regular-season games (65 %)78
- Career playoff games (25 %)37
- NHL seasons (10 %)55
OV — Overall79
- SC · Scoring (28 %)63
- PA · Passing (22 %)85
- DF · Defense (18 %)88
- SK · Skating (12 %)64
- EN · Endurance (8 %)78
- DI · Discipline (5 %)91
- ST · Strength (4 %)77
- CK · Checking (3 %)57
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 79 | 64 | 63 | 88 |
| 2024-25 | 76 | 63 | 69 | 85 |
| 2023-24 | 78 | 61 | 77 | 79 |
| 2022-23 | 72 | 58 | 79 | 69 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
1.2
wins above replacement
139 of 615
PAL Rating
91/ 100
Performance · Elite
39 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
92/ 100
Exceptional value
3.00 M$ · expected PAL 54
ProfileDefensiveValue comes mostly from defense
- Offense
- 70
- Defense
- 94
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 73
- Creation
- 71
- Shooting
- 12
- Possession
- 96
- Defense
- 94
- Discipline
- 92
- Power play
- 69
- Penalty kill
- 52
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NSH | 1.2 | 91 | 92 | 3.00 M$ |
| 2024-25 | NSH | 0.5 | 70 | 86 | 0.80 M$ |
| 2023-24 | NSH | 0.7 | 78 | 90 | 0.80 M$ |
| 2022-23 | NSH | 0.5 | 49 | 66 | 0.80 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
90/ 100
Elite
better than 90% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
62/ 100
Average
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
93/ 100
Elite
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 41 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 94
- Shot selection
- 11
- Penalties drawn
- 68
- Puck management
- 72
Defense
- Takeaways
- 83
- Discipline
- 60
- Safe zone exits
- 88
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NSH | 90 | 62 | 93 |
| 2024-25 | NSH | 70 | 58 | 71 |
| 2023-24 | NSH | 91 | 86 | 81 |
| 2022-23 | NSH | 93 | 92 | 73 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
1.2
wins above replacement
0.1 to 3.1 — 90% interval
139 of 615 forwards
+6.2 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +3.5
- EV defense
- +4.1
- Power play
- -0.4
- Penalty kill
- 0.0
- Shooting
- -6.6
- Penalties
- +2.2
- Average → replacement
- +3.4
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NSH | 81 | 1.2 | 0.1 to 3.1 | 139/615 |
| 2024-25 | NSH | 64 | 0.5 | -0.2 to 1.6 | 224/596 |
| 2023-24 | NSH | 80 | 0.7 | -0.4 to 1.8 | 198/608 |
| 2022-23 | NSH | 24 | 0.5 | -0.4 to 1.5 | 206/617 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 123.0 km/h17th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 34.6 km/h34th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 1235th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 46.1 %88th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 60.2 km53rd percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 5.02 km67th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 42.1 %69th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 17.4 %20th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 36.5 %86th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 3986th percentile | 474th percentile | 10.3 %33rd percentile |
| High danger | 2195th percentile | 386th percentile | 14.3 %36th percentile |
| Mid range | 867th percentile | 177th percentile | 12.5 %53rd percentile |
| Long range | 383rd percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
TOR
NYI
STL
EDM
VGK
COL
DAL
LAK
ANA
OTT
VAN
UTA
PHILuke Evangelista: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Luke Evangelista have in 2026-27?
Luke Evangelista has 4 goals and 10 points (6 assists) in 15 games in 2026-27.
How old is Luke Evangelista?
Luke Evangelista is 24 years old: he was born on February 21, 2002.
How tall is Luke Evangelista, and how much does he weigh?
Luke Evangelista is 6'0" (183 cm) and weighs 183 lb (83 kg).
Where is Luke Evangelista from?
Canada: Luke Evangelista was born in Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
What team does Luke Evangelista play for?
Luke Evangelista plays for the New Jersey Devils in the NHL, at R, wearing number 77.
Is Luke Evangelista injured?
No: Luke Evangelista is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Luke Evangelista?
Luke Evangelista produced 1.2 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 139th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 91 out of 100: elite for his position.
How much does Luke Evangelista make?
Luke Evangelista earns $3.0M for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 92 out of 100 (exceptional value): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Luke Evangelista's contract end?
Luke Evangelista's contract runs through the 2026-27 season; he will then be a restricted free agent.
Is Luke Evangelista overpaid?
No, he gives more than he costs. His Value rating is 92 out of 100 (exceptional value), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Luke Evangelista a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 139th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Luke Evangelista getting better?
Yes: his PAL rating went from 70 in 2024-25 to 91 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Luke Evangelista played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Luke Evangelista has 7 points (2 goals, 5 assists).
What are Luke Evangelista's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Luke Evangelista has 267 games, 49 goals, 103 assists and 152 points. His best season: 2025-26, with 56 points in 81 games.
Where was Luke Evangelista drafted?
Luke Evangelista was drafted 42nd overall (round 2) by Nashville Predators in 2020.
Is Luke Evangelista better at home or on the road?
At home: in 2026-27, he averages 0.78 points per game at home (7 in 9 games) and 0.50 on the road (3 in 6 games).
How does Luke Evangelista perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Luke Evangelista has 6 games and 1 point in his career. His pace (0.17 points per game) is lower than his regular-season pace (0.57).
Which player is most similar to Luke Evangelista?
Zach Benson: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Zach Benson's page →Is Luke Evangelista a good fantasy pick?
A useful depth pick: our projection has him at 53 points in 2026-27, or 0.70 points per game.
Is Luke Evangelista related to anyone famous?
Yes: Linda Evangelista (second cousin, supermodel); Brendan Shanahan (second cousin, Toronto Maple Leafs executive).
What is Luke Evangelista's nationality?
Luke Evangelista is Canadian.
What awards has Luke Evangelista won?
Selected to the AHL All-Star Classic (2022–23 season).
Where did Luke Evangelista play before turning pro?
Oakville Rangers (SCTA); London Knights (OHL), captain in 2021–22.
How many points is Luke Evangelista projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 53 points in 76 games in 2026-27 (31 to 74 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his New Jersey Devils teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)