Leo
Carlsson
C · ANA · Offensive · Excellent
- PAL
- 89
- WAR
- 2.4
- Value
- 97
- PTS
- 67
2025-26№ 49 / 615
Leo Carlsson (Anaheim Ducks) stats and profile: offensive production, ice time, advanced stats, WAR and PAL rating.
Leo Carlsson
#91CPlays: Centre · 60% of faceoffs
Anaheim Ducks
HEIGHT : 191 cm · WEIGHT : 98 kg · SHOOTS : L
Born : December 25, 2004 · Karlstad, Sweden
Drafted : 2023 · ANA · round 1, pick #2
Contract : $18,000,000 · 2026-27 → 2030-31 · Standard Contract · UFA · Signing bonus $19,950,000
NHL record
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Anaheim Ducks | 18 | 6 | 20 | 26 | 6 |
| 2025-26 | Anaheim Ducks | 70 | 29 | 38 | 67 | 33 |
| 2024-25 | Anaheim Ducks | 76 | 20 | 25 | 45 | 14 |
| 2023-24 | Anaheim Ducks | 55 | 12 | 17 | 29 | 16 |
| NHL totals | 219 | 67 | 100 | 167 | 69 | |
Playoffs
| Year | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Anaheim Ducks | 12 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| Playoff totals | 12 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 0 | |
Leo Carlsson: our analysis
2025-26 season: 70 GP, 29 G, 38 A, 67 PTS, +4 +/-, 19:09 TOI. WAR 2.4 (49th of 615) · PAL 89, excellent.
In 2025-26, Leo Carlsson, 21, posts a PAL Rating of 89 out of 100 (excellent), and his WAR of 2.4 ranks 49th among 615 regulars, in the top quarter.
His strengths: discipline (97, among the best in the league), shooting (91, among the best in the league) and offense (90, among the best in the league). On the other hand, defense (35, below average) holds him back.
Breaking down his WAR (goals above average), his biggest contribution: finishing (+6.1); his biggest cost: EV defense (-0.7).
A clear step forward: his PAL went from 35 in 2024-25 to 89; his WAR went from 1.9 to 2.4.
Contract-wise, his Value score of 97 (exceptional value) weighs his output against what he costs: 50 is what that salary should buy.
Leo Carlsson's story
Born 26 December 2004 in Karlstad, Leo Carlsson moved through local youth ranks before joining Örebro HK's junior setup in 2020. He broke into professional hockey as a 17-year-old in the SHL during 2021–22, finishing that regular season with three goals and six assists across 35 games.
The following year he skated exclusively with Örebro's senior squad and established himself as an offensively-minded forward with a scoring-line role for 2022–23. That season raised his profile ahead of the NHL entry draft; Bob McKenzie labelled him a "blue-chip" prospect before the 2023 draft. Anaheim selected him second overall on 28 June 2023, and he signed a three-year entry-level contract on 12 July.
After attending Ducks training camp, Carlsson made the opening-night roster for 2023–24, though an October 6 practice injury kept him out of the team's first two games. He made his NHL debut on 19 October 2023 and scored in a 3–2 loss to the Dallas Stars. On 10 November he recorded a hat-trick in a 6–3 defeat to the Philadelphia Flyers, becoming the youngest player in Ducks history to do so at 18 years and 319 days. On 22 February 2025 he notched his 49th career point, tying Hampus Lindholm for the fourth-most points by a Ducks player before turning 21.
Internationally, Carlsson represented Sweden at the 2023 World Junior Championship and was named to the senior national team for the 2023 World Championship. He had been selected for Sweden's 2026 Olympic team and was projected as the first-line centre, but a Morel–Lavallée lesion on his left thigh prevented his participation.
On 3 July 2026 the Philadelphia Flyers submitted an offer sheet for Carlsson — five years for US$90 million — which would have made him the highest-paid player in the NHL by annual value; Anaheim matched the offer on 9 July. Known as a centre with a nose for offence, Carlsson's game mixes playmaking and scoring instincts, traits that earned him early responsibility and a leadership designation with the Ducks.
Facts drawn from Wikipédia, told in our own words.
Advanced stats
- TOI/GP
- 20:15
- PP TOI/GP
- 4:17
- SH TOI/GP
- 1:02
- Pts/GP
- 1.44
- EV points
- 8
- Hits
- 3
- Blocks
- 6
- Takeaways
- 5
- Corsi % (SAT)
- 48.4 %
- Off. zone starts
- 35.4 %
- Faceoffs
- 43.4 %
Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)
2026-27 projection
Projected points
90between 67 and 106 (80% range)
- Goals
- 30
- Assists
- 60
- Games
- 75
So far: 26 pts in 18 games. The team has played 18 of 84 games. Projected pace: 1.12 pts per game (last season: 0.96).
Three straight seasons of growth. Since 2018, of 97 players in that spot, 23 kept improving the next season; on average, their pace fell back to 90% of their best season.
The projection follows last season's pace. Tested on 2,265 player seasons (2022-23 to 2025-26): average miss of 9 points over 82 games; for players at 0.9 points per game and up, it ran 5 points high on average.
Trend
Trending up
- Points per game: 0.53 in 23-24, 0.96 in 25-26
- PAL Rating: 35 → 89
Outlook, age included
↑ Trending upAge 21: usually still improving
This is only a projection. It knows nothing about injuries, trades or role changes; one player in five finishes outside the range.
Player ratings, 2025-26
All ratings →Fourteen ratings from 0 to 100 drawn from data, never by hand: 75 = established NHL player, 95+ = elite.
OV · OverallConfidence 77 %
83
Very good
- SK
- Skating
- 87
- Confidence 67 %
- ST
- Strength
- 73
- Confidence 81 %
- EN
- Endurance
- 82
- Confidence 75 %
- DU
- Durability
- 75
- Confidence 67 %
- CK
- Checking
- 54
- Confidence 81 %
- FG
- Fighting
- 68
- Confidence 55 %
- DI
- Discipline
- 89
- Confidence 81 %
- FO
- Faceoffs
- 53
- Confidence 85 %
- PA
- Passing
- 81
- Confidence 77 %
- SC
- Scoring
- 85
- Confidence 77 %
- DF
- Defense
- 70
- Confidence 74 %
- PS
- Penalty shot
- 94
- Confidence 52 %
- EX
- Experience
- 65
- Confidence 100 %
Why these ratings?Hide details
SK — Skating87
- Top speed (35 %)36.6 · 82
- Bursts > 20 mph /60 (30 %)8.028 · 82
- Distance /60 (20 %)17.6 · 96
- Speed consistency (15 %)35.5 · 75
ST — Strength73
- Contact absorbed /60 (50 %)2.694 · 61
- Body mass (50 %)0.845 · 86
EN — Endurance82
- Ice time per game (45 %)16.9 · 82
- Total ice time (20 %)1,278 · 81
- Shift length (15 %)48.2 · 83
- Lowest recent ice time per game (15 %)15.3 · 80
- Special-teams time per game (5 %)3.301 · 83
DU — Durability75
- Share of games played (100 %)0.814 · 75
CK — Checking54
- Hits /60 (70 %)1.724 · 56
- Lowest seasonal rate (20 %)1.511 · 58
- Season volume (10 %)2.708 · 54
FG — Fighting68
- Fights per 82 games (100 %)0.721 · 68
DI — Discipline89
- Net penalty value /60 (50 %)0.077 · 89
- Penalties taken /60 (30 %)0.456 · 84
- Penalties drawn /60 (20 %)0.907 · 81
FO — Faceoffs53
- Faceoff % (85 %)44.3 · 51
- Faceoffs /60 (15 %)40.8 · 77
PA — Passing81
- Primary assists /60 (40 %)0.828 · 82
- Secondary assists /60 (20 %)0.637 · 84
- Offensive creation (RAPM) (20 %)0.072 · 79
- Power-play points /60 (10 %)4.33 · 72
- Assist consistency (10 %)0.439 · 73
SC — Scoring85
- Goals /60 (25 %)1.127 · 85
- Individual xG /60 (20 %)0.916 · 83
- Finishing (goals − xG per shot) (20 %)0.839 · 88
- High-danger chances /60 (15 %)1.516 · 82
- xG per shot (10 %)0.083 · 76
- Shot attempts /60 (10 %)14.5 · 82
DF — Defense70
- RAPM defense /60 (35 %)-0.011 · 71
- Relative xG against (20 %)-0.109 · 79
- On-ice xG against /60 (15 %)2.833 · 60
- Penalty kill /60 (10 %)0.032 · 83
- Takeaways − giveaways /60 (10 %)-1.574 · 69
- Shot attempts against /60 (5 %)60 · 64
- Blocked shots /60 (5 %)2.005 · 63
PS — Penalty shot94
- Shootouts (60 %)34.8 · 89
- Penalty shots (40 %)30.2 · 93
EX — Experience65
- Career regular-season games (65 %)75
- Career playoff games (25 %)48
- NHL seasons (10 %)47
OV — Overall83
- SC · Scoring (20 %)85
- PA · Passing (20 %)81
- DF · Defense (20 %)70
- SK · Skating (12 %)87
- FO · Faceoffs (10 %)53
- EN · Endurance (8 %)82
- DI · Discipline (5 %)89
- ST · Strength (3 %)73
- CK · Checking (2 %)54
| Season | OV | SK | SC | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 83 | 87 | 85 | 70 |
| 2024-25 | 76 | 86 | 79 | 72 |
| 2023-24 | 72 | 78 | 75 | 76 |
The bars show confidence (sample size), not player quality. — : not enough data, not a zero. Engine version 1.0.
WAR and PAL ratings, 2025-26
How we rate →PAL Rating scores performance from 0 to 100 against players at the same position (50 = average player), starting from the player's strength, offensive or defensive. Value Rating compares that performance with what the player costs: 50 means paid what the play is worth.
WAR
2.4
wins above replacement
49 of 615
PAL Rating
89/ 100
Performance · Excellent
49 of 476 at the position
Value Rating
97/ 100
Exceptional value
0.95 M$ · expected PAL 36
ProfileOffensiveValue comes mostly from offense
- Offense
- 88
- Defense
- 50
See full detailsHide details
- Offense
- 90
- Creation
- 83
- Shooting
- 91
- Possession
- 75
- Defense
- 35
- Discipline
- 97
- Power play
- 73
- Penalty kill
- 75
From 0 to 100; 50 is the average player at the same position, adjusted for ice time.
| Season | Team | WAR | PAL | Value | Cap hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | ANA | 2.4 | 89 | 97 | 0.95 M$ |
| 2024-25 | ANA | 1.9 | 35 | 52 | 0.95 M$ |
| 2023-24 | ANA | 1.1 | 48 | 61 | 0.95 M$ |
Hockey IQ, 2025-26
Rankings and method →The quality of the player's decisions with and against the puck at 5-on-5, against regulars at the same position (50 = average). PAL measures output; IQ measures how the player plays.
Overall IQ
96/ 100
Elite
better than 96% of forwards, offense and defense combined
Offensive IQ
76/ 100
Very good
passing, shots, puck
Defensive IQ
97/ 100
Elite
takeaways, discipline, own zone
Overall IQ isn't an average of the two scores: it's the player's rank with offense and defense combined, 15 of 424 forwards.
See full detailsHide details
Offense
- Playmaking passes
- 54
- Shot selection
- 56
- Penalties drawn
- 87
- Puck management
- 51
Defense
- Takeaways
- 92
- Discipline
- 91
- Safe zone exits
- 61
Percentiles: 80 means better than 80% of regulars at the same position. Play without the puck (positioning, coverage) isn't measured: the NHL doesn't publish that data.
| Season | Team | IQ | Off. | Def. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | ANA | 96 | 76 | 97 |
| 2024-25 | ANA | 61 | 69 | 47 |
| 2023-24 | ANA | 54 | 22 | 78 |
WAR, 2025-26
How it's calculated →Wins added to the team, compared with a replacement-level player called up from the AHL.
2.4
wins above replacement
0.7 to 3.7 — 90% interval
49 of 615 forwards
+12.7 goals above replacement
Full leaderboard →See full detailsHide details
- EV offense
- +1.7
- EV defense
- -0.7
- Power play
- -0.2
- Penalty kill
- +0.1
- Shooting
- +6.1
- Penalties
- +2.4
- Average → replacement
- +3.3
In goals.
| Season | Team | GP | WAR | 90% interval | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | ANA | 70 | 2.4 | 0.7 to 3.7 | 49/615 |
| 2024-25 | ANA | 73 | 1.9 | 0.7 to 2.9 | 77/596 |
| 2023-24 | ANA | 55 | 1.1 | -0.1 to 1.8 | 138/608 |
Player tracking (NHL EDGE)
League EDGE leaderboards →Speed, shot power, distance covered, time by zone: measured by chips in the puck and shoulder pads. 90th percentile = better than 90% of players.
- Hardest shot
- 134.6 km/h59th percentileleague avg. 130.1 km/h
- Top skating speed
- 37.2 km/h94th percentileleague avg. 35.2 km/h
- Bursts over 20 mph, season
- 6198th percentileleague avg. 21
- Offensive zone time
- 44.4 %76th percentileleague avg. 43.1 %
See full detailsHide details
- Total distance, season
- 95.8 km97th percentileleague avg. 52.2 km
- Distance, single-game high
- 7.06 km99th percentileleague avg. 4.52 km
- Offensive zone at 5v5
- 41.1 %50th percentileleague avg. 42.4 %
- Neutral zone time
- 18.4 %66th percentileleague avg. 16.8 %
- Defensive zone time
- 37.2 %78th percentileleague avg. 40.1 %
Shooting
| Shots on goal | Goals | Shooting % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 2869th percentile | 687th percentile | 21.4 %87th percentile |
| High danger | 857th percentile | 386th percentile | 37.5 %90th percentile |
| Mid range | 972nd percentile | 396th percentile | 33.3 %96th percentile |
| Long range | 272nd percentile | 092nd percentile | 0.0 %87th percentile |
Shots on goal by zone
2026-2027 regular season. Measured by puck and player tracking chips; the percentile ranks the player within the league.
Game log, 2026-27
PIT
CGY
EDM
VAN
OTT
BUF
PHI
NJD
NYI
NYR
BOS
WPG
FLA
VGKLeo Carlsson: frequently asked questions
How many goals does Leo Carlsson have in 2026-27?
Leo Carlsson has 6 goals and 26 points (20 assists) in 18 games in 2026-27.
How old is Leo Carlsson?
Leo Carlsson is 21 years old: he was born on December 26, 2004.
How tall is Leo Carlsson, and how much does he weigh?
Leo Carlsson is 6'3" (191 cm) and weighs 216 lb (98 kg).
Where is Leo Carlsson from?
Sweden: Leo Carlsson was born in Karlstad, Sweden.
What team does Leo Carlsson play for?
Leo Carlsson plays for the Anaheim Ducks in the NHL, at C, wearing number 91.
Is Leo Carlsson injured?
No: Leo Carlsson is not on the latest NHL injury report. This answer is updated throughout the season.
How good is Leo Carlsson?
Leo Carlsson produced 2.4 wins above replacement (WAR) in 2025-26, 49th of 615 players at his position in the NHL. His PAL rating is 89 out of 100: excellent for his position.
How much does Leo Carlsson make?
Leo Carlsson earns $950K for the 2025-26 season. His Value Rating is 97 out of 100 (exceptional value): it measures the on-field return for that salary, compared with players at his position.
When does Leo Carlsson's contract end?
Leo Carlsson's contract runs through the 2030-31 season; he will then be an unrestricted free agent.
Is Leo Carlsson overpaid?
No, he gives more than he costs. His Value rating is 97 out of 100 (exceptional value), where 50 is the output expected for his salary, compared with players at his position.
Is Leo Carlsson a top-10 player at his position?
No: by WAR, he ranks 49th of 615 players at his position in the NHL in 2025-26. Our comparison tool puts him side by side with any other player.
Is Leo Carlsson getting better?
Yes: his PAL rating went from 35 in 2024-25 to 89 in 2025-26 (out of 100, 50 = average player at his position).
How has Leo Carlsson played lately?
Over his last 10 games, Leo Carlsson has 17 points (4 goals, 13 assists).
What are Leo Carlsson's career stats?
Over his NHL career, Leo Carlsson has 219 games, 67 goals, 100 assists and 167 points. His best season: 2025-26, with 67 points in 70 games.
Where was Leo Carlsson drafted?
Leo Carlsson was drafted 2nd overall (round 1) by Anaheim Ducks in 2023.
Is Leo Carlsson better at home or on the road?
At home: in 2026-27, he averages 1.75 points per game at home (14 in 8 games) and 1.20 on the road (12 in 10 games).
How does Leo Carlsson perform in the playoffs?
In the playoffs, Leo Carlsson has 12 games and 11 points in his career. His pace (0.92 points per game) is higher than his regular-season pace (0.76).
Which player is most similar to Leo Carlsson?
Taylor Hall: he is the player at his position whose PAL profile (the 0-to-100 dimensions) is closest to his in 2025-26.
Taylor Hall's page →Is Leo Carlsson a good fantasy pick?
Yes, a top-tier pick: our projection has him at 90 points in 2026-27, or 1.20 points per game.
What is Leo Carlsson's nationality?
Leo Carlsson is Swedish. Internationally: Represented Sweden: junior team at the 2023 World Junior Championships; senior team at the 2023 World Championship; selected to the 2026 Swedish Olympic team but missed the tournament due to injury.
Where did Leo Carlsson play before turning pro?
Played youth hockey with hometown club Färjestad BK; moved to Örebro HK for the 2020–21 season; made his professional SHL debut in 2021–22 with Örebro HK..
How many points is Leo Carlsson projected to score in 2026-27?
Our projection has him at 90 points in 75 games in 2026-27 (67 to 106 points, 80% interval), based on his recent seasons, age and role.
See also: his Anaheim Ducks teammates
Full roster →
NHL.com ↗ · Stats and photos: NHL (NHL.com)